Try the model
VMI

VMI 10 at Wake Forest 44

WAKE
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2022 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadVMI aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreVMI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:28 · Jack Culbreath punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jackson Hensley at the WFrst 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior+12.5Home team on offense+36.2Score differential+30.2Garbage-time factor+10.7Blowout margin+16.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:04: Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 23 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +1.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:39: Matthew Dennis 31 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:46: Christian Turner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:01: Collin Ironside pass complete to Grant Swinehart for 34 yds for a TD, (Jerry Rice KICK) — VMI win probability +1.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: VMI has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:42: Mitch Griffis pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 27 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 8 of 8VMI made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 14:20VMI 4th & 5 at VMI 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:43WAKE 4th & 14 at VMI 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:40VMI 4th & 3 at WAKE 31, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:32VMI 4th & 10 at VMI 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:22VMI 4th & 1 at VMI 34, down 17
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:08WAKE 4th & 17 at VMI 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:08VMI 4th & 8 at VMI 4, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:39WAKE 4th & 13 at VMI 13, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:01VMI 4th & 1 at VMI 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:35WAKE 4th & 4 at VMI 15, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:34WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 49, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:43VMI 4th & 7 at VMI 13, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:54VMI 4th & 3 at WAKE 41, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:55WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 14, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:00VMI 4th & 1 at VMI 34, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:28VMI 4th & 13 at VMI 22, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:07WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 34, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:52VMI 4th & 22 at VMI 20, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:00WAKE 4th & 1 at VMI 30, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5VMI made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:04WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:04WAKE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:46WAKE Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:01VMI Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:42WAKE Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:44WAKE Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VMIDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:223% → 3%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.3%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 5 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
97.2%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance KnoxSimilar
Q1 14:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.2%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance KnoxSimilar
Q1 14:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
97.2%
Jack Culbreath punt for 37 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 3 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:2297% → 97%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
97.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 10 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
97.1%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+6
97.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Donavon Greene for 6 yds to the VMI 49Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+18
97.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 18 yds to the VMI 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
97.0%
Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the VMI 22 for a 1ST down VMI Penalty, Face Mask (11 yards) (11 Yards) to the VMI 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
96.9%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the VMI 10Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+3
96.9%
Mitch Griffis run for 3 yds to the VMI 7Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 6
OPP 7
-8
96.8%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Evan Eller for a loss of 8 yards to the VMI 15Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 14
OPP 15
+33
96.7%
Matthew Dennis 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 3MISSED FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 3:533% → 4%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
96.7%
Rashad Raymond run for 12 yds to the VMI 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.6%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance KnoxSimilar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
96.6%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 6 yds to the VMI 38Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+8
96.5%
Seth Morgan run for 8 yds to the VMI 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
96.4%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Andre CooperSimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
96.4%
Rashad Raymond run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 6
50
+12
96.3%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 12 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
96.1%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Rashad Raymond for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+10
96.1%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 10 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 3
OPP 31
0
95.9%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance KnoxSimilar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+48
96.0%
Jerry Rice 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:2196% → 96%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
96.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Christian Turner for 11 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
96.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Donavon Greene for 18 yds to the VMI 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
96.0%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
95.9%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the VMI 35Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+35
96.3%
Christian Turner run for 35 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:054% → 4%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
96.0%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 7 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+9
95.9%
Hunter Rice run for 9 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
95.8%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
95.8%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance KnoxSimilar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
96.0%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+6
96.0%
Jack Culbreath punt for 41 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 6 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:0196% → 97%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+45
96.0%
Justice Ellison run for 45 yds to the VMI 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
96.1%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the VMI 24Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+1
96.0%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the VMI 23Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+23
97.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 23 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:333% → 3%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.8%
Rashad Raymond run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 24Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
96.8%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Max Brimigion for 10 yds to the VMI 34Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
96.7%
Rashad Raymond run for no gain to the VMI 34Similar
Q1 0:22
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
96.8%
Jack Culbreath punt for 43 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 4 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
13 plays · 27 yds · 4:5397% → 97%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
97.0%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+4
97.0%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+15
97.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
50
-8
97.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 2 yds to the WAKEFOREST 48 WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WFrst 42Similar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 18
OWN 42
0
97.1%
Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 18
OWN 42
+14
97.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Donavon Greene for 14 yds to the VMI 44Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
97.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Donavon Greene for 5 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
97.2%
Christian Turner run for 7 yds to the VMI 32Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
97.2%
Christian Turner run for no gain to the VMI 32Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 3
OPP 32
-9
97.0%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the VMI 31 WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the VMI 41Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 12
OPP 41
-5
96.9%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Christian Dunn for a loss of 5 yards to the VMI 46Similar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
96.8%
Ivan Mora punt for 44 yds, downed at the VMI 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:423% → 4%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
96.6%
Hunter Rice run for no gain to the VMI 2Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+3
96.6%
Hunter Rice run for 3 yds to the VMI 5Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+2
96.6%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 2 yds to the VMI 7Similar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 5
OWN 7
-3
96.7%
VMI Penalty, Delay of Game (-3 Yards) to the VMI 4Similar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 8
OWN 4
0
96.5%
Jack Culbreath punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:1697% → 98%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+33
96.8%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to A.T. Perry for 33 yds to the VMI 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
96.8%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the VMI 17Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+8
96.8%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to A.T. Perry for 8 yds to the VMI 9Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+1
96.7%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the VMI 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
96.8%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the VMI 5Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
96.7%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the VMI 3Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 0
OPP 3
-10
96.7%
Griffis, Mitch pass complete to Ellison, Justice for 3 yards to the VMI0, PENALTY WAKEFOREST holding 10 yards to the VMI13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
96.6%
Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q2 4:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
97.8%
Matthew Dennis 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:192% → 2%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.8%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Jack Caussin for 8 yds to the VMI 33Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
97.5%
Rashad Raymond run for 1 yd to the VMI 34Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
97.7%
Seth Morgan run for no gain to the VMI 34Similar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.7%
Rashad Raymond run for no gain to the VMI 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1098% → 99%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
98.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to A.T. Perry for 6 yds to the VMI 28Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+7
98.3%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Christian Turner for 7 yds to the VMI 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
98.3%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the VMI 16Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+1
98.4%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the VMI 15Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
98.3%
Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
98.5%
Matthew Dennis 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 13END OF HALF
9 plays · 50 yds · 0:322% → 2%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.0%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 5 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+19
97.8%
Rashad Raymond run for 19 yds to the VMI 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
97.9%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 8 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+4
97.7%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 4 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
97.8%
Seth Morgan run for 14 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+42
98.2%
Jerry Rice 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:1198% → 98%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
98.3%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WFrst 12Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+4
98.3%
Mitch Griffis run for 4 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+8
98.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 8 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+23
98.3%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 23 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.4%
Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
98.4%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
98.4%
Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
98.3%
Ivan Mora punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VMI 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:442% → 2%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
98.0%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Andre CooperSimilar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+3
98.1%
Rashad Raymond run for 3 yds to the VMI 13Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
98.1%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance KnoxSimilar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
98.1%
Jack Culbreath punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the VMI 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:4498% → 100%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
98.4%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 5 yds to the VMI 38Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+24
98.4%
Christian Turner run for 24 yds to the VMI 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
98.5%
Christian Turner run for 10 yds to the VMI 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
98.5%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the VMI 1Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 37 yds · 2:410% → 0%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.7%
Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the VMI 26Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+15
99.7%
Morgan, Seth pass incomplete to Knox, Chance, PENALTY WAKEFOREST roughing passer (Bergan Jr., Dion) 15 yards to the VMI41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VMI.Similar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.7%
Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the VMI 42Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance KnoxSimilar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+5
99.7%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 5 yds to the VMI 47Similar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+5
99.7%
Morgan, Seth pass incomplete to Smith, Jordan, PENALTY WAKEFOREST offside 5 yards to the WAKEFOREST48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VMI.Similar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.7%
Hunter Rice run for 7 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
99.7%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Jack CaussinSimilar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
99.7%
Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance KnoxSimilar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
99.7%
Seth Morgan punt for 33 yds, downed at the WFrst 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:35100% → 100%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
99.8%
Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 1
OWN 17
-3
99.8%
Mitch Griffis run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 14 Mitch Griffis fumbled, recovered by WFrst Mitch GriffisSimilar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 4
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Ivan Mora punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Chance Knox at the VMI 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 19TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:390% → 1%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.8%
Grant Swinehart run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 39Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Collin Ironside pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+15
99.8%
Grant Swinehart run for 15 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.8%
Collin Ironside pass complete to Grant Swinehart for 8 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+3
99.8%
Grant Swinehart run for 3 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.8%
Collin Ironside pass complete to Julio DaSilva for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-5
99.8%
VMI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.8%
Collin Ironside run for 1 yd to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+34
98.7%
Collin Ironside pass complete to Grant Swinehart for 34 yds for a TD, (Jerry Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 0:4899% → 100%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
98.6%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Donavon Greene for 20 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.0%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+15
99.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 15 yds to the VMI 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 27 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-10
99.9%
Griffis, Mitch rush score nullified by penalty, PENALTY WAKEFOREST holding 10 yards to the VMI13, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 21FUMBLE
9 plays · 4 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Collin Ironside pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 4 yds to the VMI 29Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Collin Ironside pass incomplete to Ivan ThorpeSimilar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Collin Ironside pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 5 yds to the VMI 34Similar
Q4 14:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Collin Ironside pass complete to Julio DaSilva for 4 yds to the VMI 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Grant Swinehart run for 5 yds to the VMI 43Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-5
99.9%
VMI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VMI 38Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Collin Ironside pass incomplete to Ivan ThorpeSimilar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-9
99.9%
Collin Ironside sacked by Rondell Bothroyd for a loss of 9 yards to the VMI 29 Collin Ironside fumbled, forced by Rondell Bothroyd, recovered by WFrst Rondell Bothroyd , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the VMI 25Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+11
99.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 11 yds to the VMI 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 14 yds for a TD, (Zach Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Collin Shannon run for 3 yds to the VMI 28Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
99.9%
Grant Swinehart run for a loss of 4 yards to the VMI 24Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-2
99.9%
Grant Swinehart run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 22Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Jack Culbreath punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jackson Hensley at the WFrst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:58100% → 100%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-5
99.9%
Michael Kern pass complete to Demond Claiborne for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Michael Kern pass incomplete to Jackson HensleySimilar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Zach Murphy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Chance Knox at the VMI 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-7
99.9%
Collin Shannon sacked by Kendron Wayman and Bernard Gooden for a loss of 7 yards to the VMI 25Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 17
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Collin Shannon run for no gain to the VMI 25Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 17
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
Collin Shannon sacked by Kendron Wayman for a loss of 5 yards to the VMI 20Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 22
OWN 20
+6
100.0%
Jack Culbreath punt for 48 yds , Jackson Hensley returns for 6 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:40100% → 100%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 8 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the VMI 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
100.0%
Michael Kern pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 6 yds to the VMI 43Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-1
100.0%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 44Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
Michael Kern pass complete to Nick Ragano for 5 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
100.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 7 yds to the VMI 32Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the VMI 32Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
100.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the VMI 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
Luke Schalow run for 1 yd to the VMI 31Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Luke Schalow run for 2 yds to the VMI 33Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-3
100.0%
Luke Schalow run for a loss of 3 yards to the VMI 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 4:39
Matthew Dennis 31 yd FG GOOD
+1.2
TD · Q3 9:46
Christian Turner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q3 2:01
Collin Ironside pass complete to Grant Swinehart for 34 yds for a TD, (Jerry Rice KICK)
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com