Try the model
WVU

West Virginia 31 at Pittsburgh 38

PITT
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2022 · Acrisure Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:10 · Oliver Straw punt for 48 yds , Khalil Anderson returns for 3 yds to the Pitt 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior+1.9Home team on offense−22.6Garbage-time factor−10.6Score differential−4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:08: CJ Donaldson 5 Yd Run (Casey Legg Kick) — WVU win probability +19.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:52: JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 16 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +23.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:37: JT Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +25.5 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:41: Kedon Slovis pass complete to Israel Abanikanda for 24 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +39.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:58: JT Daniels pass intercepted for a TD M.J. Devonshire return for 56 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +34.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:00WVU 4th & 18 at PITT 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:39PITT 4th & 13 at PITT 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:25WVU 4th & 9 at PITT 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:37PITT 4th & 3 at WVU 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.3%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:10PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:11WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00WVU 4th & 1 at PITT 7, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.8%−2.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−10.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:16PITT 4th & 15 at PITT 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−3.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:56PITT 4th & 2 at WVU 49, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:26WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:08WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−2.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:51PITT 4th & 10 at PITT 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−3.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:37PITT 4th & 30 at PITT 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−4.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:10WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:22WVU 4th & 16 at PITT 28, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 12:45WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:23PITT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:08WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:54PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:42PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:52WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:37WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:41PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−1.7
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:58PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:4531% → 31%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
68.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 10 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
68.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 22 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
68.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tony Mathis Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 41Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
68.4%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 11
OPP 41
-5
68.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 46Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 16
OPP 46
-2
68.5%
JT Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 48 JT Daniels fumbled, recovered by WVirg Tony Mathis Jr.Similar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 18
OPP 48
0
68.6%
Oliver Straw punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Konata Mumpfield at the Pitt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 2:1169% → 68%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
68.6%
Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the Pitt 14Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+3
68.4%
Konata Mumpfield run for 3 yds to the Pitt 17Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 17
-9
68.1%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Jared Bartlett for a loss of 9 yards to the Pitt 8Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 13
OWN 8
0
67.8%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0732% → 32%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
67.7%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
67.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the Pitt 44Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+5
67.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 5 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 4
OPP 39
-5
67.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 44Similar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
67.7%
Oliver Straw punt for 41 yds, downed at the Pitt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4FG
12 plays · 73 yds · 6:4868% → 68%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
67.7%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (-1 Yards) to the Pitt 2Similar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+3
67.6%
Daniel Carter run for 3 yds to the Pitt 5Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 8
OWN 5
-1
67.5%
Israel Abanikanda run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 4Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+20
67.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 20 yds to the Pitt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
67.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 15 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
67.8%
Kedon Slovis run for 14 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
68.4%
Israel Abanikanda run for 1 yd to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+15
68.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bub Means for 15 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
68.7%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Davis Mallinger for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+5
68.1%
Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+5
68.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 5 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q1 0:37
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+42
68.1%
Ben Sauls 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4032% → 39%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.1%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
67.9%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 5 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
68.0%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
67.5%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
66.7%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+44
66.7%
CJ Donaldson run for 44 yds to the Pitt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
60.9%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 10 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:2063% → 61%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
63.2%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 7 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
63.8%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the Pitt 33Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
62.8%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 8 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
64.0%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Bub MeansSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
62.8%
C'Bo Flemister run for no gain to the Pitt 41 C'Bo Flemister fumbled, recovered by Pitt Carter WarrenSimilar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+5
61.5%
Kedon Slovis run for 5 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
61.1%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 53 yds, downed at the WVirg 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:3439% → 39%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
61.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 3 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (-2 Yards) to the WVirg 1Similar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
61.0%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+15
61.2%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
60.5%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
60.9%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
61.6%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
61.3%
Oliver Straw punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Konata Mumpfield at the Pitt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:5862% → 61%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
62.3%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 13 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
62.6%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+14
61.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bub Means for 14 yds Bub Means fumbled, recovered by WVirgSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:1542% → 43%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
57.7%
Garrett Greene run for 5 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-2
57.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for a loss of 2 yards Kaden Prather fumbled, recovered by Pitt Erick HallettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:3763% → 70%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
63.0%
Bub Means run for 2 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+15
62.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 15 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
62.6%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 12 yds to the WVirg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
62.4%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
62.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q2 3:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
69.9%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11END OF HALF
16 plays · 74 yds · 3:0032% → 42%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-6
67.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Tony Mathis Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 13Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 16
OWN 13
+3
68.1%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 13
OWN 16
+15
69.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 15 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
66.9%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 12 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
65.1%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+18
65.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 18 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
65.7%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 44Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+5
67.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Justin Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+23
67.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 23 yds to the Pitt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
64.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Justin Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+1
64.0%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Pitt 9Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+2
65.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 2 yds to the Pitt 7Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+24
58.2%
Casey Legg 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2664% → 62%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
64.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
64.1%
Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-7
62.7%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Jared Bartlett and Dante Stills for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 19Similar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 15
OWN 19
+14
61.6%
Sam Vander Haar punt blocked by CJ Donaldson blocked by CJ Donaldson Hershey McLaurin return for 14 yds to the Pitt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q3 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
42.4%
CJ Donaldson 5 Yd Run (Casey Legg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:0448% → 47%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
47.8%
Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
47.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Bub MeansSimilar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+16
45.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 16 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
48.8%
Israel Abanikanda run for 1 yd to the Pitt 44Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
48.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jared WayneSimilar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+7
46.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 7 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
47.3%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the WVirg 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:4956% → 57%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-7
43.9%
JT Daniels sacked by John Morgan III for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 1 JT Daniels fumbled, recovered by WVirgSimilar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 17
OWN 1
0
44.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the WVirg 1Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 17
OWN 1
+5
43.7%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVirg 6Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 12
OWN 6
+21
44.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 21 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
40.6%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
41.2%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
41.9%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
43.2%
Oliver Straw punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Konata Mumpfield at the Pitt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:2144% → 63%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
44.1%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the Pitt 35Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+64
43.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 64 yds to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
49.1%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the WVirg 1Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.4%
Daniel Carter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
62.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:3940% → 38%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
59.6%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Treylan DavisSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+1
60.0%
CJ Donaldson run for 1 yd to the WVirg 17Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
61.1%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
62.3%
Oliver Straw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Konata Mumpfield at the Pitt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 1:0365% → 84%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
64.7%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+49
65.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Rodney Hammond Jr. for 49 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
84.0%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 11 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2322% → 49%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
77.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
78.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
76.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
78.1%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+5
79.0%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
77.4%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+35
77.4%
CJ Donaldson run for 20 yds to the PITTSBURGH 32 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
74.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Reese Smith for 1 yd to the Pitt 16Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
51.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 16 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:5462% → 59%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.3%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
62.6%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
62.3%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
63.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jared WayneSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
62.9%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the Pitt 37Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
60.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:51
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+11
59.4%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 46 yds , Reese Smith returns for 11 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 0:5344% → 77%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+39
55.9%
CJ Donaldson run for 39 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
49.4%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
49.3%
JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 9 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+23
50.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 23 yds to the Pitt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
48.9%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.3%
JT Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:5331% → 27%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
31.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bub Means for 15 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-14
34.0%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 14 yards to the Pitt 26Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 24
OWN 26
0
30.6%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 24
OWN 26
-6
28.8%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Sean Martin for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 20Similar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 30
OWN 20
+52
26.8%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the PITTSBURGH 43 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1877% → 81%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
23.0%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Mike O'LaughlinSimilar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+15
23.6%
Mathis Jr., Tony rush for no gain to the WESTVIR28, PENALTY PITTSBURGH illegal block 15 yards to the WESTVIR43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
20.9%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
21.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 3
50
+2
18.9%
CJ Donaldson run for 2 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 1
OPP 48
-5
18.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+3
19.2%
Oliver Straw punt for 48 yds , Khalil Anderson returns for 3 yds to the Pitt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 2:0423% → 69%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
23.2%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+21
22.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Rodney Hammond Jr. for 6 yds to the Pitt 16 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
23.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 9 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+2
26.6%
Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
26.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 20 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
28.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 14 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
68.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Israel Abanikanda for 24 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25INT TD
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:3647% → 12%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
52.7%
CJ Donaldson run for 14 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-56
87.6%
JT Daniels pass intercepted for a TD M.J. Devonshire return for 56 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 2:1810% → 9%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
89.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
87.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
90.0%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
90.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 5 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
89.8%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
88.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+32
90.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 32 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
83.9%
JT Daniels sacked by SirVocea Dennis for a loss of 10 yards to the Pitt 32Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 20
OPP 32
+9
87.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Reese Smith for 9 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 11
OPP 23
-5
87.4%
JT Daniels sacked by David Green and Habakkuk Baldonado for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 28Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 16
OPP 28
0
90.7%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Reese SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:2097% → 97%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.7%
TEAM run for no gain to the Pitt 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-2
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:41
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Israel Abanikanda for 24 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)
+39.6
TD · Q4 2:58
JT Daniels pass intercepted for a TD M.J. Devonshire return for 56 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)
+34.9
TD · Q4 10:37
JT Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)
-25.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com