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FAMU

Florida A&M 24 at North Carolina 56

UNC
2022 · Week 1 · Aug 27, 2022 · Kenan Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadFAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreFAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:45 · Chris Faddoul punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Cam'Ron Kelly at the NCaro 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 171Pregame prior+13.0Home team on offense+36.2Score differential+30.4Garbage-time factor+11.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.5Blowout margin+16.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:01: Jaylen McCloud run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK) — FAMU win probability +1.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: FAMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:05: Josh Downs 2 Yd pass from Drake Maye (Noah Burnette Kick) — UNC win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:18: Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Trevonte Davis for 22 yds for a TD, (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK) — FAMU win probability +3.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: FAMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:24: George Pettaway 29 Yd Run (Noah Burnette Kick) — UNC win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:37: Josh Downs 27 Yd pass from Drake Maye (Noah Burnette Kick) — UNC win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5FAMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:04FAMU 4th & 4 at FAMU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:06UNC 4th & 1 at UNC 21, tied
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:12FAMU 4th & 18 at FAMU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:48FAMU 4th & 10 at FAMU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:39UNC 4th & 4 at FAMU 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:53FAMU 4th & 3 at UNC 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:58FAMU 4th & 9 at UNC 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:45UNC 4th & 18 at UNC 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:41FAMU 4th & 4 at UNC 18, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:52UNC 4th & 3 at FAMU 40, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:47FAMU 4th & 26 at FAMU 20, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:45FAMU 4th & 5 at FAMU 30, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:44UNC 4th & 5 at FAMU 30, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 8 of 8FAMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:51UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:21FAMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:29UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:39UNC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:01FAMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:05UNC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:10UNC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:18FAMU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:24UNC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:37UNC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:14UNC Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAMUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.5%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Darian Oxendine for 7 yds to the FlaAM 32Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
99.5%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to David Manigo for 6 yds to the FlaAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.4%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Xavier Smith for 6 yds to the FlaAM 44Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Terrell Jennings run for no gain to the FlaAM 44Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Chris Faddoul punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:3999% → 99%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
99.4%
D.J. Jones run for 1 yd to the NCaro 13Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
99.4%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+8
99.4%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 8 yds to the NCaro 21Similar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Ben Kiernan punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Xavier Smith at the FlaAM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:431% → 1%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.4%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 9 yds to the FlaAM 39Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
99.3%
Jeremy Moussa pass incomplete to Jah'Marae ShereadSimilar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
99.3%
Terrell Jennings run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.3%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Xavier Smith for 6 yds to the FlaAM 49Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-1
99.3%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Jeremiah Pruitte for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 48Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+7
99.2%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Xavier Smith for 7 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.2%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-9
99.2%
Jeremy Moussa sacked by Noah Taylor for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaAM 46Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 19
OWN 46
+1
99.2%
Terrell Jennings run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 47Similar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 18
OWN 47
0
99.1%
Chris Faddoul punt for 31 yds, downed at the NCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:1199% → 99%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.1%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the NCaro 26Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
99.1%
Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the NCaro 26Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+12
99.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 12 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.1%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the NCaro 39Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+42
99.0%
Drake Maye run for 42 yds to the FlaAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.1%
Kamari Morales 19 Yd pass from Drake Maye (Noah Burnette Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:211% → 1%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
Terrell Jennings run for 5 yds to the FlaAM 30Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.0%
Jeremy Moussa run for 6 yds to the FlaAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.0%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Trevonte Davis for 6 yds to the FlaAM 42Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+6
98.9%
Jeremy Moussa run for 6 yds to the FlaAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
98.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Koby Gross for 15 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+20
98.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to David Manigo for 20 yds to the NCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
98.6%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to A.J. Davis for 17 yds for a TD, (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4299% → 99%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.7%
Caleb Hood run for 2 yds to the NCaro 27Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
98.7%
Drake Maye pass complete to Caleb Hood for 12 yds Caleb Hood fumbled, recovered by NCaroSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
98.6%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the NCaro 41Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+13
98.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 13 yds to the FlaAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
98.6%
Omarion Hampton run for 11 yds to the FlaAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
98.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 12 yds to the FlaAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
98.8%
Bryson Nesbit 23 Yd pass from Drake Maye (Noah Burnette Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:121% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.6%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 28Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
98.6%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to David Manigo for 12 yds to the FlaAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.5%
A.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 44Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
98.4%
A.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 45Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
98.3%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 5
OWN 45
-5
98.4%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 40Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+9
98.4%
Chris Faddoul punt for 52 yds , Josh Downs returns for 9 yds to the NCaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 4:5698% → 99%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
98.4%
Omarion Hampton run for 13 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.4%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+14
98.3%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 14 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
98.4%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 12 yds to the FlaAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
98.4%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FlaAM 39Similar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+1
98.3%
D.J. Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 38Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+7
98.3%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 7 yds to the FlaAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
98.3%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 7 yds to the FlaAM 24Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+18
98.2%
Omarion Hampton run for 18 yds to the FlaAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.2%
Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the FlaAM 6Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 0
OPP 6
+3
98.2%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Substitution Infraction (3 Yards) to the FlaAM 3Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
98.1%
Caleb Hood run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 4Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.0%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.5%
Gavin Blackwell 4 Yd pass from Drake Maye (Noah Burnette Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 9TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:202% → 4%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
98.4%
Terrell Jennings run for 21 yds to the FlaAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
98.3%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaAM 36Similar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+10
98.4%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Xavier Smith for 10 yds to the FlaAM 46Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
98.2%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Xavier Smith for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 6
50
+3
98.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to A.J. Davis for 3 yds to the NCaro 47Similar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+8
98.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Darian Oxendine for 8 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-12
98.0%
Jeremy Moussa sacked by Power Echols for a loss of 12 yards to the FlaAM 49Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 22
OWN 49
0
98.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 22
OWN 49
+13
98.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Darian Oxendine for 13 yds to the NCaro 38Similar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+15
98.0%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Darian Oxendine for 15 yds to the NCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
97.7%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Terrell Jennings for 18 yds to the NCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
97.7%
Terrell Jennings run for no gain to the NCaro 5Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.2%
Jaylen McCloud run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 1:0397% → 96%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 7 yds to the NCaro 32Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
97.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 11 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
97.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to George Pettaway for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 38Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 15
OWN 38
-3
96.7%
George Pettaway run for 7 yds to the NCaro 45 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NCaro 35Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 18
OWN 35
0
96.6%
Drake Maye run for no gain to the NCaro 35Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 18
OWN 35
0
96.3%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 18
OWN 35
+1
96.2%
Ben Kiernan punt for 50 yds , Xavier Smith returns for 1 yd to the FlaAM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:104% → 4%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
96.5%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-14
96.5%
Jeremy Moussa pass intercepted Storm Duck return for 14 yds to the FlaAM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12TD
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:2197% → 98%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
96.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 9 yds to the FlaAM 12Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+7
96.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 7 yds to the FlaAM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
96.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 3 yds to the FlaAM 2Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.8%
Josh Downs 2 Yd pass from Drake Maye (Noah Burnette Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:4598% → 99%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.1%
D.J. Jones run for 6 yds to the NCaro 41Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+11
98.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 11 yds to the FlaAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
98.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 7 yds to the FlaAM 41Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+33
98.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 33 yds to the FlaAM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.1%
D.J. Jones run for no gain to the FlaAM 8Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
98.0%
Drake Maye run for 7 yds to the FlaAM 1Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Omarion Hampton 1 Yd Run (Noah Burnette Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:141% → 2%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.1%
Terrell Jennings run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 29Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.1%
Terrell Jennings run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 31Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+23
99.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Xavier Smith for 23 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.0%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Terrell Jennings for 4 yds to the NCaro 42Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+7
99.0%
Jeremy Moussa run for 7 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
99.0%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Xavier Smith for 11 yds to the NCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
98.9%
Kareem Burke run for 3 yds to the NCaro 21Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+3
98.9%
Jaylen McCloud run for 3 yds to the NCaro 18Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
99.0%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Xavier Smith for no gain to the NCaro 18Similar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
98.2%
Jose Romo-Martinez 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 31 yds · 3:3799% → 99%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
98.7%
Caleb Hood run for 9 yds to the NCaro 38Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+1
98.7%
Caleb Hood run for 1 yd to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.7%
George Pettaway run for 3 yds to the NCaro 42Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-5
98.7%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 37Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+3
98.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 3 yds to the NCaro 40Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+5
98.6%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NCaro 45Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+8
98.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 8 yds to the FlaAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.7%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
98.7%
Drake Maye pass complete to D.J. Jones for 5 yds to the FlaAM 42Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+2
98.7%
D.J. Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 40Similar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
98.5%
Drake Maye pass complete to D.J. Jones for no gain to the FlaAM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:232% → 6%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
98.2%
A.J. Davis run for 6 yds to the FlaAM 46Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-4
98.2%
A.J. Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaAM 42Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+36
98.2%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Trevonte Davis for 21 yds to the UNC 37 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the NCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
97.8%
A.J. Davis run for no gain to the NCaro 22Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
94.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Trevonte Davis for 22 yds for a TD, (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK)Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
94.4%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 2:4096% → 99%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
96.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the NCaro 26Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+11
95.9%
Omarion Hampton run for 11 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.2%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
96.2%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+16
96.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 16 yds to the FlaAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
96.3%
George Pettaway run for 12 yds to the FlaAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
96.4%
Drake Maye run for 6 yds to the FlaAM 29Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+29
99.0%
George Pettaway 29 Yd Run (Noah Burnette Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:322% → 2%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.4%
Terrell Jennings run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 29Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
98.3%
Terrell Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 27 Terrell Jennings fumbled, recovered by NCaro DeAndre BoykinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 20TD
1 play · 27 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.8%
Josh Downs 27 Yd pass from Drake Maye (Noah Burnette Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · -5 yds · 2:380% → 0%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Xavier Smith for 6 yds to the FlaAM 31Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.7%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Xavier Smith for 5 yds to the FlaAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
99.7%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaAM 26Similar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-5
99.7%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 21Similar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 25
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 25
OWN 21
-7
99.7%
Jeremy Moussa sacked by Kaimon Rucker for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaAM 14Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 32
OWN 14
+6
99.8%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Jaylen McCloud for 6 yds to the FlaAM 20Similar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 26
OWN 20
+26
99.8%
Chris Faddoul punt for 50 yds , Cam'Ron Kelly returns for 26 yds to the FlaAM 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 22TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
99.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 13 yds to the FlaAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 7 yds to the FlaAM 24Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 3
OPP 24
-1
99.8%
Omarion Hampton run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 25Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Omarion Hampton 25 Yd Run (Noah Burnette Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Rasean McKay run for 5 yds to the FlaAM 30Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
De'Andre Francis run for no gain to the FlaAM 30Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Chris Faddoul punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Cam'Ron Kelly at the NCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 24END OF GAME
11 plays · 71 yds · 6:25100% → 100%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+46
99.9%
Elijah Green run for 46 yds to the FlaAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.9%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 31Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-3
100.0%
Elijah Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaAM 34Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+4
100.0%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 30Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+17
99.9%
Jacolby Criswell run for 17 yds to the FlaAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
100.0%
Elijah Green run for 7 yds to the FlaAM 6Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+4
100.0%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
100.0%
Elijah Green run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 1Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 0
OPP 1
-10
100.0%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaAM 11Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 0
OPP 11
-5
100.0%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 16Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 0
OPP 16
+6
100.0%
Elijah Green run for 6 yds to the FlaAM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:18
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Trevonte Davis for 22 yds for a TD, (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK)
-3
TD · Q4 13:24
George Pettaway 29 Yd Run (Noah Burnette Kick)
+2.6
TD · Q2 2:01
Jaylen McCloud run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK)
-1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com