Try the model
DUQ

Duquesne 7 at Florida State 47

FSU
2022 · Week 1 · Aug 27, 2022 · Doak Campbell Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadDUQ aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreDUQ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:24 · Tate Rodemaker pass intercepted Ryan Webb return for 50 yds to the FlaSt 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+28.3Home team on offense+32.8Score differential+23.8Blowout margin+9.7Garbage-time factor+9.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:28: Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:48: Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:23: Ryan Fitzgerald 24 yd FG GOOD — FSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:56: Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:08: Trey Benson run for 43 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5DUQ made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 7:40DUQ 4th & 9 at DUQ 45, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:26DUQ 4th & 5 at DUQ 20, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:19DUQ 4th & 9 at FSU 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:31FSU 4th & 4 at DUQ 6, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:42DUQ 4th & 10 at DUQ 45, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:23FSU 4th & 6 at DUQ 6, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00DUQ 4th & 8 at DUQ 27, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:33DUQ 4th & 5 at DUQ 30, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:29DUQ 4th & 11 at DUQ 30, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:24FSU 4th & 7 at DUQ 32, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00DUQ 4th & 16 at DUQ 18, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:16FSU 4th & 1 at DUQ 46, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:45DUQ 4th & 6 at DUQ 43, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:17FSU 4th & 3 at FSU 43, up 40
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6DUQ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:03FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:28FSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:48FSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:56FSU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:37DUQ Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:08FSU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:58FSU Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 4:4299% → 99%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
98.8%
Treshaun Ward run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+8
98.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 8 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
98.8%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+12
98.7%
Treshaun Ward run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
50
+14
98.7%
Treshaun Ward run for 14 yds to the Duqsn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
98.7%
Lawrance Toafili run for 9 yds to the Duqsn 27Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+5
98.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 5 yds to the Duqsn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
98.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 9 yds to the Duqsn 13Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+2
98.5%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the Duqsn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
98.5%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+6
98.5%
Trey Benson run for 6 yds to the Duqsn 5Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
98.5%
Jordan Travis run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:082% → 2%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
98.4%
Billy Lucas run for 5 yds to the Duqsn 18Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+26
98.4%
Joe Mischler pass complete to Abdul Janneh for 11 yds to the Duqsn 29 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Duqsn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
98.4%
Billy Lucas run for 2 yds to the Duqsn 46Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-1
98.3%
Billy Lucas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duqsn 45Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
98.3%
Joe Mischler pass incomplete to Abdul JannehSimilar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
98.3%
Michael Berarducci punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 2:0498% → 99%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
98.2%
Treshaun Ward run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
98.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 3 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+11
98.2%
Treshaun Ward run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
98.2%
Lawrance Toafili run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+51
98.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 51 yds to the Duqsn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.5%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:532% → 2%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.3%
Joe Mischler pass incomplete to Rahmon Hart Jr.Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
98.3%
Billy Lucas run for 5 yds to the Duqsn 20Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
98.3%
Joe Mischler pass incomplete to Rahmon Hart Jr.Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+7
98.3%
Michael Berarducci punt for 43 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 7 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:3298% → 99%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
98.4%
Trey Benson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 4
50
-5
98.4%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+5
98.4%
DUQUESNE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 4
50
+5
98.4%
Jordan Travis run for 5 yds to the Duqsn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
98.4%
Trey Benson run for 11 yds to the Duqsn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
98.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Deuce Spann for 20 yds to the Duqsn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
98.3%
Trey Benson run for no gain to the Duqsn 14Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
98.3%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the Duqsn 11Similar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+5
98.2%
DUQUESNE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Duqsn 6Similar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
98.7%
Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:181% → 1%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
98.8%
DeMarcus Ware run for 20 yds to the Duqsn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
98.7%
DeMarcus Ware run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+3
98.7%
DeMarcus Ware run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
98.7%
DeMarcus Ware run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+11
98.7%
Joe Mischler pass complete to Abdul Janneh for 11 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
98.6%
Billy Lucas run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
98.6%
Joe Mischler pass incomplete to Abdul JannehSimilar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
98.7%
Joe Mischler pass incomplete to Abdul JannehSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
98.7%
Brian Bruzdewicz 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7FG
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:4199% → 99%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
98.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 9 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+14
98.8%
DUQUESNE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (14 Yards) to the Duqsn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
98.8%
Trey Benson run for 16 yds to the Duqsn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
98.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 18 yds to the Duqsn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
98.8%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 8Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
98.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+2
98.7%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the Duqsn 6Similar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+24
98.8%
Ryan Fitzgerald 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:421% → 1%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.8%
Dwayne Menders Jr. run for 9 yds to the Duqsn 34Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
98.6%
DeMarcus Ware run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duqsn 33Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+12
98.7%
Joe Mischler pass complete to Logan Lutz for 12 yds to the Duqsn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
98.7%
DeMarcus Ware run for 1 yd to the Duqsn 46Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-1
98.7%
Billy Lucas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duqsn 45Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
98.7%
Joe Mischler pass incomplete to Dwayne Menders Jr.Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
98.7%
Michael Berarducci punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9FG
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:1399% → 99%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
98.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 12 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
98.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonaldSimilar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+14
98.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+8
99.0%
Jordan Travis run for 8 yds to the Duqsn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for 5 yds to the Duqsn 38Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+11
99.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Deuce Spann for 11 yds to the Duqsn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
99.0%
Treshaun Ward run for 20 yds to the Duqsn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 0
OPP 7
-10
99.1%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Duqsn 17Similar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 0
OPP 17
-7
99.1%
Jordan Travis sacked by Todd Hill for a loss of 7 yards to the Duqsn 24Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 0
OPP 24
+18
99.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 18 yds to the Duqsn 6Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.0%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kentron PoitierSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.4%
Ryan Fitzgerald 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:181% → 1%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
DeMarcus Ware run for no gain to the Duqsn 25Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
DeMarcus Ware run for no gain to the Duqsn 25Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
DeMarcus Ware run for 2 yds to the Duqsn 27Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Michael Berarducci punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:141% → 1%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Dwayne Menders Jr. run for 3 yds to the Duqsn 28Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.4%
Billy Lucas run for 2 yds to the Duqsn 30Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.3%
Joe Mischler pass incomplete to Dwayne Menders Jr.Similar
Q3 13:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.4%
Michael Berarducci punt for 32 yds , Kevin Knowles II returns for no gain to the FlaSt 38 Kevin Knowles II fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Kevin Knowles IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+48
99.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 48 yds to the Duqsn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
99.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 3Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
99.8%
DeMarcus Ware run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duqsn 16Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+15
99.8%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Duqsn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.8%
DeMarcus Ware run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duqsn 30Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Joe Mischler pass complete to Dwayne Menders Jr. for no gain to the Duqsn 30Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Joe Mischler pass incomplete to Abdul JannehSimilar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Michael Berarducci punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14INT
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:38100% → 100%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.8%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
99.8%
Treshaun Ward run for 21 yds to the Duqsn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.8%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the Duqsn 32Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Tate Rodemaker run for no gain to the Duqsn 32Similar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 7
OPP 32
-50
99.8%
Tate Rodemaker pass intercepted Ryan Webb return for 50 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 15TD
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:310% → 0%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.8%
Joe Mischler pass complete to Dwayne Menders Jr. for 8 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+22
99.7%
Joe Mischler pass complete to Abdul Janneh for 22 yds for a TD, (Brian Bruzdewicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
99.7%
Lawrance Toafili run for 23 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.7%
Lawrance Toafili run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+6
99.7%
Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the Duqsn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.7%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 6 yds to the Duqsn 43Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+43
99.9%
Trey Benson run for 43 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
99.9%
Keshawn Brown run for 5 yds to the Duqsn 17Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+7
99.9%
Joe Mischler pass complete to Keshawn Brown for 7 yds to the Duqsn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Joe Mischler pass incomplete to Billy LucasSimilar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Joe Mischler pass incomplete to Abdul JannehSimilar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-6
99.9%
Joe Mischler sacked by Jared Verse for a loss of 6 yards to the Duqsn 18Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Michael Berarducci punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 66 yds · 5:42100% → 100%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for no gain to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Deuce Spann for 9 yds to the Duqsn 46Similar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
99.9%
Tate Rodemaker run for 2 yds to the Duqsn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete to Kentron PoitierSimilar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the Duqsn 41Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+12
99.9%
Trey Benson run for 12 yds to the Duqsn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 6 yds to the Duqsn 23Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+3
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 3 yds to the Duqsn 20Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+10
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 10 yds to the Duqsn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.9%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the Duqsn 8Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Rodney Hill run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:040% → 0%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
100.0%
DaMon Macklin run for 14 yds to the Duqsn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
100.0%
DaMon Macklin run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 43Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+1
100.0%
DaMon Macklin run for 1 yd to the Duqsn 44Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+4
100.0%
DaMon Macklin run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 48Similar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-5
100.0%
DUQUESNE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Duqsn 43Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Joey Corado punt for 34 yds, downed at the FlaSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
100.0%
Rodney Hill run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
100.0%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+10
100.0%
A.J. Duffy pass complete to Darion Williamson for 10 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
A.J. Duffy run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+2
100.0%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 52 yds, downed at the Duqsn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 21END OF GAME
4 plays · 16 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
100.0%
JaMario Clements run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 9Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+9
100.0%
JaMario Clements run for 9 yds to the Duqsn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
100.0%
JaMario Clements run for 2 yds to the Duqsn 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
JaMario Clements run for 1 yd to the Duqsn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:48
Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 5:28
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+0.3
FG · Q2 0:23
Ryan Fitzgerald 24 yd FG GOOD
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com