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LAM

Lamar 14 at New Mexico State 51

NMSU
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Aggie Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NMSU
modelNMSU aheadLAM aheadconfidence bandkey playNMSU scoreLAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:11 · A.Deleon punts 31 yards to NMS 23, Center-LAM. Out of bounds.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Pregame prior+18.7Home team on offense−2.4Score differential−3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Blowout margin+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 2:17: E.Albertson 37 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-NMS, Holder-NMS. — LAM win probability +0.5 pts (now 11%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:40: D.Pavia pass complete to LAM 5. Catch made by T.Whitford at LAM 5. Gain of 5 yards. T.Whitford for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — LAM win probability +0.8 pts (now 16%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:02: D.Pavia pass complete to LAM 30. Catch made by S.Thomas at LAM 30. Gain of 30 yards. S.Thomas for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — LAM win probability +1.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:23: H.Batten rushed to NMS End Zone for 38 yards. H.Batten for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — NMSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: LAM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:19: N.Yockey pass complete to NMS 5. Catch made by J.Dummett at NMS 5. Gain of 5 yards. J.Dummett for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — NMSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 55%) (top driver: LAM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NMSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5LAM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:08LAM 4th & 10 at LAM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:55LAM 4th & 2 at LAM 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:17NMSU 4th & 5 at LAM 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:56LAM 4th & 7 at LAM 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:40NMSU 4th & 2 at LAM 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    82.4%−0.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−3.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:02NMSU 4th & 5 at LAM 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:51NMSU 4th & 6 at NMSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:41LAM 4th & 3 at LAM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:11LAM 4th & 6 at LAM 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:54NMSU 4th & 10 at NMSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:53LAM 4th & 13 at NMSU 26, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 7.6 ptsWent for it · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%−7.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    42.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−22.3
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LAMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:527% → 8%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.7%
M.Chandler steps back to pass. M.Chandler pass incomplete intended for J.Dummett.Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
K.Griffin rushed to LAM 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 25.Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
M.Chandler steps back to pass. M.Chandler pass incomplete intended for A.Dennis.Similar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+21
92.5%
A.Deleon punts 21 yards to LAM 46, Center-LAM. Fair catch by L.Dixon.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 46 yds · 6:0693% → 91%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
92.5%
D.Pavia pass complete to LAM 35. Catch made by J.Powers at LAM 35. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 35.Similar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
92.4%
J.Jones rushed to LAM 31 for 4 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 31.Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-10
92.2%
J.Brady rushed to LAM 41 for -10 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 41.Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 16
OPP 41
0
91.9%
D.Pavia rushed to LAM 13 for yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 13. PENALTY on NMS-C.Yarro, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 26
OWN 49
+27
91.9%
D.Pavia pass complete to NMS 49. Catch made by C.Bellamy at NMS 49. Gain of 27 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 24.Similar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
91.6%
S.Thomas rushed to LAM 20 for 4 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 20.Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+5
91.5%
D.Pavia pass complete to LAM 20. Catch made by J.Powers at LAM 20. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 15.Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+8
91.3%
J.Jones pass complete to LAM 15. Catch made by J.Powers at LAM 15. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 7.Similar
Q1 7:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
91.2%
D.Pavia pass complete to LAM 7. Catch made by J.Brady at LAM 7. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 1.Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.0%
J.Jones rushed to LAM End Zone for 1 yards. J.Jones for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:599% → 10%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
M.Chandler steps back to pass. M.Chandler pass incomplete intended for D.Gibbs.Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
M.Chandler pass INTERCEPTED at LAM 31. Intercepted by T.Brohard at LAM 31. Tackled by LAM at LAM 31. PENALTY on NMS-T.Brohard, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
90.4%
D.Harris rushed to LAM 45 for 5 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 45.Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
90.1%
D.Harris rushed to LAM 45 for 0 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 45.Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+3
89.9%
H.Batten rushed to LAM 48 for 3 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 48.Similar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+41
89.9%
A.Deleon punts 41 yards to NMS 11, Center-LAM. L.Dixon returned punt from the NMS 11. Tackled by LAM at NMS 10.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:3090% → 89%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
90.0%
D.Pavia steps back to pass. D.Pavia pass incomplete intended for J.Brady.Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+23
89.9%
D.Pavia pass complete to NMS 10. Catch made by J.Brady at NMS 10. Gain of 23 yards. Tackled by LAM at NMS 33.Similar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+27
89.8%
D.Pavia scrambles to LAM 40 for 27 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 40. PENALTY on LAM-B.Tita, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
90.2%
D.Pavia steps back to pass. D.Pavia pass incomplete intended for C.Bellamy.Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
90.2%
S.Thomas rushed to LAM 23 for 2 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 23.Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+3
89.8%
D.Pavia scrambles to LAM 20 for 3 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 20.Similar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
89.4%
E.Albertson 37 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-NMS, Holder-NMS.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:4390% → 89%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
89.5%
T.Gans rushed to LAM 28 for 5 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 28.Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
89.3%
D.Pavia rushed to LAM 25 for 3 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 25.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+12
89.0%
D.Pavia rushed to LAM 13 for 12 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 13.Similar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
89.1%
S.Thomas rushed to LAM 4 for 9 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 4.Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
89.0%
J.Jones rushed to LAM End Zone for 4 yards. J.Jones for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:2112% → 14%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.7%
K.Griffin rushed to LAM 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 28.Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
87.3%
M.Chandler pass complete to LAM 28. Catch made by J.Bowden at LAM 28. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 27.Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
87.3%
R.Carver rushed to LAM 38 for 11 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 38.Similar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
86.4%
R.Carver rushed to LAM 35 for -3 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 35.Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+6
86.6%
R.Carver rushed to LAM 41 for 6 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 41.Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
85.9%
M.Chandler steps back to pass. M.Chandler pass incomplete intended for D.Gibbs.Similar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 7
OWN 41
+44
86.5%
A.Deleon punts 44 yards to NMS 15, Center-LAM. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 7TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 6:0787% → 85%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
86.7%
D.Pavia rushed to NMS 20 for 5 yards. Tackled by LAM at NMS 20.Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+15
86.4%
D.Pavia pass complete to NMS 20. Catch made by B.Childress at NMS 20. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by LAM at NMS 35.Similar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
84.9%
T.Gans rushed to NMS 38 for 3 yards. Tackled by LAM at NMS 38.Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
87.0%
D.Pavia pass complete to NMS 38. Catch made by B.Childress at NMS 38. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by LAM at NMS 41.Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+12
86.8%
D.Pavia pass complete to NMS 41. Catch made by J.Brady at NMS 41. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 47.Similar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
87.1%
T.Gans rushed to LAM 39 for 8 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 39.Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+16
86.8%
T.Gans rushed to LAM 23 for 16 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 23.Similar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
86.6%
D.Pavia scrambles to LAM 19 for 4 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 19.Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+6
86.4%
D.Pavia pass complete to LAM 19. Catch made by J.Powers at LAM 19. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 13.Similar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
86.1%
T.Gans rushed to LAM 12 for 1 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 12.Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+7
86.0%
J.Jones rushed to LAM 5 for 7 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 5.Similar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
85.2%
D.Pavia steps back to pass. D.Pavia pass incomplete intended for K.David.Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+5
84.5%
D.Pavia pass complete to LAM 5. Catch made by T.Whitford at LAM 5. Gain of 5 yards. T.Whitford for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:5918% → 19%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.1%
D.Harris rushed to LAM 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 28.Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
81.6%
M.Chandler pass complete to LAM 28. Catch made by J.Dummett at LAM 28. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 35.Similar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.1%
D.Harris rushed to NMS 35 for 0 yards. D.Harris FUMBLES, forced by S.Webb. Fumble RECOVERED by NMS-L.Lavea at NMS 35. Tackled by LAM at LAM 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:2985% → 83%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
85.3%
D.Pavia steps back to pass. D.Pavia pass incomplete intended for K.David.Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
85.2%
S.Thomas rushed to LAM 34 for 1 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 34.Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+4
84.2%
D.Pavia pass complete to LAM 34. Catch made by J.Jones at LAM 34. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 30.Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+30
83.0%
D.Pavia pass complete to LAM 30. Catch made by S.Thomas at LAM 30. Gain of 30 yards. S.Thomas for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 10INT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:2920% → 22%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
80.3%
R.Carver rushed to LAM 16 for 1 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 16.Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
80.1%
M.Chandler steps back to pass. M.Chandler pass incomplete intended for A.Dennis.Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+23
80.8%
M.Chandler pass complete to LAM 16. Catch made by D.Gibbs at LAM 16. Gain of 23 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 39.Similar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
78.5%
M.Chandler steps back to pass. M.Chandler pass incomplete intended for S.Rhea. PENALTY on NMS-S.Dumas, Defensive Pass Interference, 0 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
78.4%
M.Chandler steps back to pass. M.Chandler pass incomplete intended for S.Rhea.Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
78.6%
M.Chandler pass complete to LAM 39. Catch made by S.Rhea at LAM 39. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 43.Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
78.0%
M.Chandler pass INTERCEPTED at NMS 35. Intercepted by B.Jackson at NMS 35. Tackled by LAM at NMS 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0981% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.4%
S.Thomas rushed to NMS 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by LAM at NMS 30.Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
81.6%
D.Pavia pass complete to NMS 30. Catch made by J.Brady at NMS 30. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by LAM at NMS 29.Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
80.2%
D.Pavia steps back to pass. D.Pavia pass incomplete intended for J.Powers.Similar
Q3 13:51
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+48
79.2%
J.Carlson punts 48 yards to LAM 23, Center-NMS. Fair catch by K.Fuselier.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 11 yds · 3:0222% → 23%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
78.1%
N.Yockey pass complete to LAM 23. Catch made by D.Gibbs at LAM 23. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 33.Similar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
77.2%
K.Griffin rushed to LAM 39 for 6 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 39.Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 4
OWN 39
-2
75.3%
K.Griffin rushed to LAM 37 for -2 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 37.Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+3
76.7%
N.Yockey pass complete to LAM 37. Catch made by K.Griffin at LAM 37. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 40.Similar
Q3 10:41
4TH & 3
OWN 40
-4
76.7%
J.Dummett rushed to LAM 36 for -4 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 36.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 2:2082% → 81%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
81.6%
M.Young rushed to LAM 33 for 1 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 33.Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+6
81.3%
D.Pavia rushed to LAM 27 for 6 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 27.Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+21
80.2%
D.Pavia rushed to LAM 6 for 21 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 6.Similar
Q3 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
80.8%
M.Young rushed to LAM 5 for 1 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 5.Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
80.5%
M.Young rushed to LAM End Zone for 5 yards. M.Young for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:4926% → 28%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
74.4%
J.Bowden rushed to LAM 26 for 2 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 26.Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+16
73.8%
J.Bowden rushed to LAM 42 for 16 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 42.Similar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
71.2%
J.Bowden rushed to LAM 43 for 1 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 43.Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+3
70.7%
N.Yockey pass complete to LAM 43. Catch made by N.Gaskamp at LAM 43. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 46.Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
70.2%
N.Yockey steps back to pass. N.Yockey pass incomplete intended for J.Dummett.Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+31
72.5%
A.Deleon punts 31 yards to NMS 23, Center-LAM. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:2675% → 77%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+62
74.8%
G.Frakes pass complete to NMS 23. Catch made by T.Brooks at NMS 23. Gain of 62 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 15.Similar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
78.3%
G.Frakes rushed to LAM 10 for 5 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 10.Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+7
78.1%
T.Gans rushed to LAM 3 for 7 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 3.Similar
Q3 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
77.7%
T.Gans rushed to LAM 1 for 2 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 1.Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.3%
T.Gans rushed to LAM End Zone for 1 yards. T.Gans for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 16TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
64.1%
PENALTY on LAM-LAM, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+38
66.5%
H.Batten rushed to NMS End Zone for 38 yards. H.Batten for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:2072% → 70%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.4%
PENALTY on NMS-NMS, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Offense, 15 yards, offset. PENALTY on LAM-LAM, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense, 15 yards, offset. No Play.Similar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.4%
O.Samuels rushed to NMS 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by LAM at NMS 28.Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+23
72.3%
G.Frakes pass complete to NMS 28. Catch made by B.Childress at NMS 28. Gain of 23 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 49.Similar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
75.3%
G.Frakes steps back to pass. G.Frakes sacked at NMS 41 for -10 yards (B.Tita)Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+8
71.7%
G.Frakes pass complete to NMS 41. Catch made by T.Brooks at NMS 41. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by LAM at NMS 49.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
71.2%
G.Frakes steps back to pass. G.Frakes pass incomplete intended for C.Bellamy.Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+41
69.8%
J.Carlson punts 41 yards to LAM 10, Center-NMS. Fair catch by T.Carter.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 18TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 6:2933% → 45%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+35
67.5%
N.Yockey pass complete to LAM 10. Catch made by J.Davis at LAM 10. Gain of 35 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 45.Similar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
63.4%
R.Carver rushed to NMS 50 for 5 yards. Tackled by NMS at NMS 50.Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 5
OPP 0
+2
59.4%
R.Carver rushed to NMS 48 for 2 yards. Tackled by NMS at NMS 48.Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+13
61.3%
N.Yockey rushed to NMS 35 for 13 yards. N.Yockey ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
58.6%
N.Yockey steps back to pass. N.Yockey pass incomplete intended for J.Davis.Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
58.6%
J.Bowden rushed to NMS 29 for 6 yards. Tackled by NMS at NMS 29.Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+7
59.0%
N.Yockey rushed to NMS 22 for 7 yards. Tackled by NMS at NMS 22.Similar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
56.2%
N.Yockey steps back to pass. N.Yockey pass incomplete intended for S.Rhea.Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
56.8%
H.Batten rushed to NMS 19 for 3 yards. Tackled by NMS at NMS 19.Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+14
57.5%
N.Yockey pass complete to NMS 19. Catch made by D.Gibbs at NMS 19. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by NMS at NMS 5.Similar
Q4 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
55.1%
N.Yockey steps back to pass. N.Yockey sacked at NMS 11 for -6 yards (D.McCullough)Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+6
54.7%
N.Yockey scrambles to NMS 5 for 6 yards. Tackled by NMS at NMS 5.Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
55.4%
N.Yockey pass complete to NMS 5. Catch made by J.Dummett at NMS 5. Gain of 5 yards. J.Dummett for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:0349% → 45%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
51.5%
R.Carver rushed to LAM 48 for 4 yards. Tackled by NMS at LAM 48.Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+19
50.3%
N.Yockey pass complete to LAM 48. Catch made by J.Boyd at LAM 48. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by NMS at NMS 33.Similar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
47.2%
R.Carver rushed to NMS 23 for 10 yards. Tackled by NMS at NMS 23.Similar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
46.2%
N.Yockey steps back to pass. N.Yockey sacked at NMS 26 for -3 yards (G.Peterson)Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 13
OPP 26
0
46.7%
N.Yockey steps back to pass. N.Yockey pass incomplete intended for J.Boyd.Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 13
OPP 26
0
50.6%
N.Yockey steps back to pass. N.Yockey pass incomplete intended for J.Davis.Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 13
OPP 26
0
55.4%
N.Yockey steps back to pass. N.Yockey pass incomplete intended for J.Boyd.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 20END OF GAME
6 plays · 47 yds · 1:5661% → 67%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
60.6%
T.Gans rushed to NMS 41 for 15 yards. Tackled by LAM at NMS 41. PENALTY on LAM-P.Njenge, Personal Foul / Defense, 13 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
66.4%
M.Young rushed to LAM 43 for 3 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 43.Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+6
65.7%
O.Samuels rushed to LAM 37 for 6 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 37.Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+8
64.7%
O.Samuels rushed to LAM 29 for 8 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 29.Similar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
67.2%
O.Samuels rushed to LAM 15 for 14 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 15.Similar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
67.1%
O.Samuels rushed to LAM 13 for 2 yards. Tackled by LAM at LAM 13.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+32.9
TD · Q3 2:23
H.Batten rushed to NMS End Zone for 38 yards. H.Batten for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+2.5
TD · Q2 2:02
D.Pavia pass complete to LAM 30. Catch made by S.Thomas at LAM 30. Gain of 30 yards. S.Thomas for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com