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PUR

Purdue 30 at Indiana 16

IU
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:13 · Jack Ansell punt for 37 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Home team on offense−38.2Pregame prior−2.5Score differential−19.4Garbage-time factor−11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−9.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 11:49: Mitchell Fineran 29 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +1.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:35: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 15 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +15.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:06: Devin Mockobee run for 27 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +12.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:06: Charles Campbell 28 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +6.0 pts (now 29%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:38: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 60 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +16.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 12PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:49PUR 4th & 11 at IU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    71.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:38PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:38IU 4th & 2 at PUR 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−0.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:38IU 4th & 1 at PUR 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−0.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:50IU 4th & 12 at PUR 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:56PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:57IU 4th & 8 at PUR 40, up 4
    Close callPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:35PUR 4th & 15 at IU 39, down 4
    Close callPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    55.2%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:22IU 4th & 7 at IU 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:26IU 4th & 5 at IU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:03IU 4th & 3 at PUR 18, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.6%−0.8
    79% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−9.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:50PUR 4th & 13 at PUR 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−3.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:50PUR 4th & 13 at PUR 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−3.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:06IU 4th & 6 at PUR 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−7.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:18IU 4th & 7 at PUR 17, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%−1.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−4.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:13PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 24, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:13IU 4th & 4 at IU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:51IU 4th & 9 at PUR 45, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%
    25% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:20PUR 4th & 1 at IU 46, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−1.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−1.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:17IU 4th & 19 at IU 1, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:02IU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:35PUR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:06PUR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:38PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.9
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:17PUR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:0577% → 75%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
23.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 21 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
23.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
23.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 11 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
23.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 16 yds to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
23.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Abdur-Rahmaan YaseenSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
23.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Ind 12Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
23.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne DurhamSimilar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
24.7%
Mitchell Fineran 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:3925% → 26%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
24.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+71
25.6%
Jaylin Lucas run for 71 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:2474% → 72%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
25.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
25.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 1 yd to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
25.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 7 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
25.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
25.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 6 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-8
25.4%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Alfred Bryant for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 12
OWN 38
+8
28.2%
Jack Ansell punt for 44 yds , D.J. Matthews Jr. returns for 8 yds to the Ind 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4MISSED FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 7:4828% → 32%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
27.8%
Dexter Williams II run for 11 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
28.0%
Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+5
28.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
28.3%
Dexter Williams II run for no gain to the Ind 47Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
28.2%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+4
28.2%
Dexter Williams II run for 4 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+10
28.0%
Emery Simmons run for 10 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
28.6%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to AJ Barner for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+2
28.6%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+2
28.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+2
28.0%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-6
28.6%
Dexter Williams II sacked by OC Brothers for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 30
+4
33.6%
Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 26
0
33.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+44
32.4%
Charles Campbell 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5467% → 65%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-9
32.8%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Demarcus Elliott for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 17Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 19
OWN 17
+2
33.1%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 17
OWN 19
+9
33.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 9 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 12:56
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
35.4%
Jack Ansell punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 10 , D.J. Matthews Jr. returns for no gain to the Ind 28 INDIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (Jaylin Williams) to the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
14 plays · 50 yds · 7:5934% → 41%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
34.0%
Jaylin Lucas run for 5 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+4
34.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 4 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+3
33.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Ind 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
34.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 12 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
34.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+5
35.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 5 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
34.9%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
35.4%
Josh Henderson run for 7 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
35.7%
Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+3
35.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
35.7%
Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the Prdue 44 Connor Bazelak fumbled, recovered by Ind Connor BazelakSimilar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+1
35.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 1 yd to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+3
34.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 3 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
41.1%
James Evans punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 56 yds · 1:2259% → 58%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
40.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+58
40.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 58 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
36.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne DurhamSimilar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
36.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
37.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 10
OPP 34
-5
40.2%
PENALTY PUR Delay Of Game 5 yards from IND34 to IND39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
42.0%
Jack Ansell punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8END OF HALF
5 plays · 24 yds · 3:3542% → 45%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
41.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Ind 5Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+4
41.6%
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+7
40.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
42.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+6
44.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the Ind 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3845% → 44%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
45.2%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
45.3%
Josh Henderson run for no gain to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
43.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malachi Holt-BennettSimilar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
44.2%
James Evans punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:4754% → 69%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
45.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+11
46.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 11 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
45.3%
Aidan O'Connell run for 10 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
44.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 18 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
42.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 11 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
40.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+17
46.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 17 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
30.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 15 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0936% → 35%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
35.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to James Bomba for 8 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
38.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
35.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Shaun ShiversSimilar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
34.5%
James Evans punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 3:2066% → 81%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
33.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 13 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
33.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+8
33.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
31.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Deion BurksSimilar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
32.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete short left to Sheffield,TJ PENALTY IND Holding (Williams,Jaylin) 10 yards from PUR42 to IND48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
31.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 9 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+3
30.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
31.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Devin MockobeeSimilar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+9
31.1%
Aidan O'Connell run for 9 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+27
19.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 27 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:5521% → 22%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
21.2%
Jaylin Lucas run for 6 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
21.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
20.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short middle to Simmons,Emery PENALTY PUR Holding (Douglas,Kieren) 10 yards from IND31 to IND41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
22.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 22 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
23.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
23.6%
Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+10
23.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass complete short right to Holt-Bennett,Malachi for 6 yards to the PUR29 (Brown,Jamari) PENALTY PUR Holding (Brown,Jamari) 10 yards from PUR35 to PUR25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
25.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+5
24.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 5 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 19
OPP 34
+16
22.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 16 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q3 2:03
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
21.6%
Charles Campbell 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kydran JenkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1381% → 80%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
19.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 13 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
18.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
17.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne DurhamSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
-8
17.7%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Alfred Bryant for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 13
OWN 30
+1
20.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 42 yds , D.J. Matthews Jr. returns for 1 yd to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 13
OWN 30
+1
20.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 42 yds , D.J. Matthews Jr. returns for 1 yd to the Ind 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 73 yds · 3:4420% → 29%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
19.7%
Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+17
19.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 17 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
20.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malachi Holt-BennettSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
20.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 8 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
21.2%
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
21.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short left to Simmons,Emery PENALTY PUR Pass Interference (Graham,Jalen) 15 yards from IND48 to PUR37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
22.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 23 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
24.7%
Connor Bazelak run for 1 yd to the Prdue 13Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+3
24.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 3 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
22.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
28.9%
Charles Campbell 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2878% → 96%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
21.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 10 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
4.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 60 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:139% → 7%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
8.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 9 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+6
9.5%
Josh Henderson run for 6 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
9.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 19 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
10.4%
Josh Henderson run for 8 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+12
12.0%
Josh Henderson run for 12 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
12.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 3 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
12.0%
Jaylin Lucas run for no gain to the Prdue 17Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
11.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 7
OPP 17
0
6.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0596% → 96%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
4.1%
Tyrone Tracy run for 3 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+4
4.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 3
OWN 24
0
4.3%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
3.6%
Jack Ansell punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:226% → 4%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
5.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Jaylin LucasSimilar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
5.5%
Jaylin Lucas run for 6 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
5.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+9
5.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 9 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
6.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 1 yd to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
6.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
5.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
3.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:3198% → 98%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
2.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
2.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
2.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
2.1%
Jack Ansell punt for 36 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews Jr. at the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21INT TD
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:032% → 0%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
1.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
1.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Josh HendersonSimilar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 10
OWN 10
-9
1.4%
Connor Bazelak sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 19
OWN 1
-8
0.4%
Cory Trice 8 Yd Interception Return (Mitchell Fineran PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
0.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to James Bomba for 3 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+10
0.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to McCall Ray for 10 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
0.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 19 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
0.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to James BombaSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
0.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 9 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+8
0.4%
Josh Henderson run for 8 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
0.5%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Nic Caraway for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+15
0.5%
PENALTY PUR UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jenkins,Kydran) 15 yards from PUR29 to PUR14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
0.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 5 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
0.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 9 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:38
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 60 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
-16.7
TD · Q3 10:35
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 15 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
-15.2
TD · Q3 6:06
Devin Mockobee run for 27 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
-12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com