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NEB

Nebraska 24 at Iowa 17

IOWA
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2022 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:42 · Alex Padilla run for 2 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Home team on offense−3.7Pregame prior+22.0Score differential−2.1Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:51: Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 18 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +12.4 pts (now 49%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:15: Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 14 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +16.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:32: Kaleb Johnson run for 44 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +9.7 pts (now 32%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:49: Alex Padilla pass complete to Luke Lachey for 14 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +11.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:22: Timeout NEBRASKA, clock 01:22 — NEB win probability +12.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 14:06IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:58NEB 4th & 5 at IOWA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:57IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:24NEB 4th & 3 at IOWA 3, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:42IOWA 4th & 1 at NEB 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.6%−1.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:14IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:47NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 19, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−1.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:17IOWA 4th & 17 at IOWA 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−1.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:32NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:11NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 25, up 17
    Close callPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:50IOWA 4th & 12 at NEB 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    17.8%−2.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:34NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:41IOWA 4th & 10 at NEB 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−4.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:20NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 34, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:06IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.0%−1.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:05NEB 4th & 11 at IOWA 34, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:42IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:45NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:51NEB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:15NEB Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:32IOWA Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:49IOWA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5479% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
79.4%
Arland Bruce IV run for no gain to the Iowa 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
79.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
79.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:06
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
79.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Neb 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:0821% → 22%
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
79.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 6 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
79.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 5 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
79.1%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+14
79.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 14 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
79.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 9 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+6
79.1%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
79.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
79.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 5 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
79.1%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
78.2%
Timmy Bleekrode 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:0178% → 78%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
78.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
78.3%
Leshon Williams run for 11 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
78.4%
Leshon Williams run for 10 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
78.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
78.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
78.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
77.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4TD
1 play · 87 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+87
75.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 87 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4176% → 75%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
75.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 9 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
75.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-8
75.3%
Spencer Petras sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:5426% → 28%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
73.6%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
73.6%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+10
73.8%
THOMPSON, Casey pass to the left incomplete intended for PALMER, Trey thrown to the IOW11, clock 06:18. PENALTY IOW Holding on MOSS, Riley enforced 10 yards from the IOW29 to the IOW19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
73.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 15 yds to the Iowa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
73.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Iowa 4Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
73.6%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Iowa 3Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
73.7%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
71.7%
Timmy Bleekrode 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7FUMBLE
14 plays · 31 yds · 6:4271% → 66%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
71.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 2
OWN 30
0
71.6%
Alex Padilla run for no gain to the Iowa 30 Alex Padilla fumbled, recovered by IowaSimilar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
71.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
71.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 15 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
72.0%
Leshon Williams run for 6 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+5
72.2%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
69.3%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+5
69.2%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 5 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+5
68.7%
Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+2
67.3%
Alex Padilla run for 2 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
68.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 11
OPP 31
-5
67.9%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Luke Lachey) to the Neb 36Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 16
OPP 36
+7
66.5%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 7 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 9
OPP 29
-18
65.8%
Alex Padilla sacked for a loss of 18 yards to the Iowa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:5135% → 49%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
65.2%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
65.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+15
63.1%
THOMPSON, Casey pass up the middle incomplete intended for MARTIN, Oliver thrown to the IOW0. PENALTY IOW Pass Interference on CASTRO, Sebastian enforced 15 yards to the IOW18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
50.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 18 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:3756% → 53%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
55.8%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jack Plumb) to the Iowa 25Similar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 18
OWN 25
+3
55.6%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 3 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+2
55.5%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 2 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+6
55.2%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Luke Lachey for 6 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
52.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:2750% → 54%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
50.1%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 13Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+5
50.2%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+6
50.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 6 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 1
OWN 24
-5
50.8%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Eteva Mauga-Clements) to the Neb 19Similar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
46.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 29 yds, downed at the Neb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3051% → 46%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
51.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
51.5%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-13
50.9%
Alex Padilla sacked by Caleb Tannor for a loss of 13 yards to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 17
OWN 45
0
46.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 45 yds, downed at the Neb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12END OF HALF
14 plays · 47 yds · 4:1757% → 69%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
42.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 4 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+2
42.8%
Casey Thompson run for 2 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+8
43.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Gabe Ervin Jr. for 8 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
42.6%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for no gain to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
35.7%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+25
36.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 25 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
34.2%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
34.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 9 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
33.4%
Casey Thompson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
30.5%
Casey Thompson sacked by Deontae Craig for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 15
OPP 44
-10
31.3%
THOMPSON, Casey pass up the middle complete for 18 yards to WASHINGTON, Marcus caught at the IOW26 and advanced to the IOW26 (SCHULTE, Quinn). PENALTY NEB Holding on BANDO, Broc enforced 10 yards from the IOW44 to the NEB46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 25
OWN 46
+11
31.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 11 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2862% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
37.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 7 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
37.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 8 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
36.2%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
36.2%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
36.5%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 7
OWN 43
-2
35.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 37 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:1768% → 84%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
32.5%
Trey Palmer run for 7 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 3
OPP 11
-3
32.5%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 14Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
15.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 14 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:4320% → 32%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
20.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
21.2%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Eli Miller) to the Iowa 28Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
20.3%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Luke Lachey for 12 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
21.3%
Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
22.5%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
22.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+44
31.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 44 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:2173% → 77%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
27.4%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 6Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+11
27.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 11 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-4
27.2%
Casey Thompson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 13 Casey Thompson fumbled, recovered by Neb Casey ThompsonSimilar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 14
OWN 13
+13
27.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 13 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 1
OWN 26
-1
27.6%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
22.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 49 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for no gain to the Iowa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 4:2124% → 20%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
24.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
24.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
25.3%
Alex Padilla run for 4 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
25.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
26.4%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+13
25.9%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Luke Lachey for 13 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
27.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-1
26.5%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 45Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 12
OPP 45
0
25.5%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
19.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
14 plays · 35 yds · 6:1686% → 93%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
14.1%
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+1
12.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+3
13.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 3 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
12.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-11
12.9%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Casey Thompson) to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 17
+3
13.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 14
OWN 20
+15
10.8%
BUSCHINI, Brian punt 54 yards to the IOW26 downed by BROWN, Alante. PENALTY IOW Personal Foul on CASTRO, Sebastian enforced 15 yards from the NEB20 to the NEB35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
9.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 36Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+10
9.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 10 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
8.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
9.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
9.3%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
7.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 41 yds, downed at the Iowa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 2:458% → 19%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+20
7.5%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 20 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
7.6%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+14
7.5%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Luke Lachey for 14 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
8.2%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+15
7.9%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Luke Lachey for 15 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
8.7%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Logan Jones) to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+15
8.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Roughing the Passer on WRIGHT, Javin enforced (Javin Wright) to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
9.5%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
7.6%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 6 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
19.4%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Luke Lachey for 14 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
12.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Neb 27 Rahmir Johnson fumbled, recovered by Iowa Logan KlempSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2218% → 25%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
18.1%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
17.6%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
16.0%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+45
24.5%
Drew Stevens 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:2181% → 86%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
18.6%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-5
19.2%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 18Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+16
15.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 16 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
13.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 44 yds, downed at the Iowa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:1423% → 15%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
22.9%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Nick DeJong for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 14
OWN 18
0
22.1%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 14
OWN 18
+15
21.4%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Luke Lachey for 15 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
23.9%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
23.7%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
21.8%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
15.1%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 0:1798% → 97%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
2.3%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Iowa 32Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+2
2.4%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 2 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 7
OPP 30
-5
2.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Bryce Benhart) to the Iowa 35Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+1
2.5%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 11
OPP 34
0
3.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:2311% → 8%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
10.8%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Gavin Williams for 2 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
10.7%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
10.3%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:42
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
7.8%
Alex Padilla pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
4.4%
[NH] Kneel down by NEB at IOW37 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:15
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 14 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)
-16.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:22
Timeout NEBRASKA, clock 01:22
-12.8
TD · Q2 10:51
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 18 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)
-12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com