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PSU

Penn State 55 at Rutgers 10

RUTG
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:22 · A.Korsak punts 37 yards to PSU 15, Center-RUT. Fair catch by M.Tinsley.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore differential
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:01: G.Wimsatt pass complete to PSU 4. Catch made by S.Jones at PSU 4. Gain of 4 yards. S.Jones for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — RUTG win probability +1.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 8:15: J.Pinegar 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-PSU, Holder-PSU. — RUTG win probability +2.6 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 6:23: K.Allen rushed to RUT End Zone for 8 yards. K.Allen for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — PSU win probability +5.3 pts (now 65%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q3 1:37: S.Sahaydak 20 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-PSU, Holder-PSU. — RUTG win probability +2.5 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 5:55: D.Allar rushed to RUT End Zone for 1 yards. D.Allar for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — RUTG win probability +3.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 10 of 10PSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:45PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:27PSU 4th & 9 at PSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:11RUTG 4th & 6 at PSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:09PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 30, down 3
    Close callPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:11RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:42PSU 4th & 8 at PSU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:44RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:54RUTG 4th & 9 at PSU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:23PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:00RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:19RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:34RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:15PSU 4th & 5 at RUTG 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−9.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:58RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:37PSU 4th & 2 at RUTG 2, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.3%−2.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−15.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:37RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−1.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:18PSU 4th & 3 at PSU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:05PSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.8%−3.6
    62% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−16.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:55PSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    40.5%−7.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−26.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:22RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:01RUTG Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1590% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.1%
N.Singleton rushed to PSU 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Young; T.Powell at PSU 26.Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
10.4%
N.Singleton rushed to PSU 31 for 5 yards. Tackled by K.Hamilton; A.Lewis at PSU 31.Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
10.6%
S.Clifford steps back to pass. S.Clifford pass incomplete intended for K.Lambert-Smith.Similar
Q1 13:45
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+35
10.7%
B.Amor punts 35 yards to RUT 34, Center-PSU. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:1889% → 88%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
11.1%
S.Clifford pass complete to PSU 21. Catch made by B.Strange at PSU 21. Gain of 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Igbinosun at PSU 29.Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+2
11.1%
N.Singleton rushed to PSU 31 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Powell at PSU 31.Similar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
11.4%
S.Clifford pass complete to PSU 31. Catch made by K.Lambert-Smith at PSU 31. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by C.Braswell at PSU 36.Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+1
11.4%
S.Clifford pass complete to PSU 36. Catch made by K.Lambert-Smith at PSU 36. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by A.Dean at PSU 37.Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-5
11.7%
S.Clifford steps back to pass. S.Clifford sacked at PSU 32 for -5 yards (A.Young)Similar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+25
12.2%
B.Amor punts 25 yards to RUT 43, Center-PSU. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:0912% → 14%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
12.3%
R.Rochelle rushed to RUT 50 for 7 yards. Tackled by T.Elsdon; C.Jacobs at RUT 50.Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 3
OPP 0
+7
12.7%
R.Rochelle rushed to PSU 43 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Brown; J.Dixon at PSU 43.Similar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
12.9%
G.Wimsatt pass complete to PSU 43. Catch made by A.Cruickshank at PSU 43. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by J.Reed at PSU 28.Similar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
13.2%
R.Rochelle rushed to PSU 24 for 4 yards. Tackled by PSU at PSU 24.Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
13.5%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for A.Cruickshank.Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
13.4%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for A.Cruickshank.Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 6
OPP 24
0
13.6%
J.McAtamney 42 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-RUT, Holder-RUT.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:4313% → 15%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
13.3%
K.Monangai rushed to PSU 21 for 0 yards. Tackled by C.Izzard; K.King at PSU 21.Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+12
13.6%
G.Wimsatt pass complete to PSU 21. Catch made by S.Jones at PSU 21. Gain of 12 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Brown at PSU 9.Similar
Q1 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
13.8%
G.Wimsatt rushed to PSU 4 for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Brown; J.Dixon at PSU 4.Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
15.3%
G.Wimsatt pass complete to PSU 4. Catch made by S.Jones at PSU 4. Gain of 4 yards. S.Jones for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4285% → 84%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
14.9%
K.Allen rushed to PSU 23 for 2 yards. Tackled by I.Maijeh at PSU 23.Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+5
15.3%
S.Clifford pass complete to PSU 23. Catch made by B.Strange at PSU 23. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by A.Dean; A.Young at PSU 28.Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+2
15.6%
K.Allen rushed to PSU 30 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Igbinosun at PSU 30.Similar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+29
16.3%
B.Amor punts 29 yards to RUT 41, Center-PSU. Downed by M.Meiga. Tackled by PSU at RUT 41.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4516% → 16%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
16.3%
K.Monangai rushed to RUT 44 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Dennis-Sutton; P.Mustipher at RUT 44.Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
16.9%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for K.Monangai.Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
16.6%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for J.Langan.Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 7
OWN 44
+45
16.2%
A.Korsak punts 45 yards to PSU 11, Center-RUT. Fair catch by M.Tinsley.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:2383% → 83%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
16.8%
S.Clifford pass complete to PSU 11. Catch made by M.Tinsley at PSU 11. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by C.Izien at PSU 20.Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+25
16.8%
S.Clifford pass complete to PSU 20. Catch made by H.Wallace at PSU 20. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by R.Longerbeam at PSU 45.Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
16.3%
S.Clifford steps back to pass. S.Clifford pass incomplete intended for K.Lambert-Smith.Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
16.5%
S.Clifford steps back to pass. S.Clifford pass incomplete intended for K.Allen.Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+7
16.8%
S.Clifford scrambles to RUT 48 for 7 yards. Tackled by D.Djabome; A.Lewis at RUT 48.Similar
Q1 1:51
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+5
17.0%
PENALTY on PSU-D.Hardy, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 8
OWN 47
+37
17.5%
B.Amor punts 37 yards to RUT 16, Center-PSU. Fair catch by A.Cruickshank.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:0218% → 19%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
17.8%
G.Wimsatt pass complete to RUT 21. Catch made by S.Ryan at RUT 21. Gain of 21 yards. Tackled by M.Wilson; K.Ellis at RUT 42.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
19.0%
R.Rochelle rushed to RUT 49 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Dixon at RUT 49.Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-2
19.6%
G.Wimsatt pass complete to RUT 49. Catch made by R.Rochelle at RUT 49. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by A.Vanover at RUT 47.Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
19.7%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for S.Ryan.Similar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 5
OWN 47
+38
19.0%
A.Korsak punts 38 yards to PSU 15, Center-RUT. Downed by C.Izien.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
19.7%
N.Singleton rushed to PSU 24 for 9 yards. N.Singleton FUMBLES, forced by A.Young. Fumble RECOVERED by RUT-S.Collins at PSU 24. Tackled by PSU at PSU 24.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11MISSED FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3521% → 21%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
20.8%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt sacked at PSU 26 for -2 yards (T.Elsdon)Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+3
21.3%
G.Wimsatt pass complete to PSU 26. Catch made by J.Langan at PSU 26. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by C.Jacobs at PSU 23.Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
21.6%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for S.Jones.Similar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 9
OPP 23
0
20.7%
J.McAtamney 41 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-RUT, Holder-RUT.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:2779% → 76%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
20.9%
S.Clifford pass complete to PSU 23. Catch made by M.Tinsley at PSU 23. Gain of 1 yards. M.Tinsley ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+7
21.4%
K.Allen rushed to PSU 31 for 7 yards. Tackled by W.Bailey at PSU 31.Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 2
OWN 31
-3
21.5%
K.Allen rushed to PSU 28 for -3 yards. Tackled by A.Lewis at PSU 28.Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+5
23.2%
PENALTY on RUT-Z.Williams, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
21.9%
S.Clifford rushed to PSU 36 for 3 yards. Tackled by I.Maijeh at PSU 36.Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
22.0%
K.Allen rushed to PSU 36 for 0 yards. Tackled by I.Maijeh; A.Dean at PSU 36.Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+3
22.9%
S.Clifford pass complete to PSU 36. Catch made by B.Strange at PSU 36. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by RUT at PSU 39.Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+58
23.6%
B.Amor punts 58 yards to RUT 3, Center-PSU. Downed by T.Johnson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13INT
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
24.0%
G.Wimsatt pass INTERCEPTED at RUT 25. Intercepted by J.Dixon at RUT 25. J.Dixon for yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on PSU-C.Izzard, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:4678% → 77%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
21.8%
S.Clifford steps back to pass. S.Clifford pass incomplete intended for M.Tinsley.Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
21.9%
S.Clifford scrambles to RUT 19 for 11 yards. S.Clifford ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
22.0%
S.Clifford pass complete to RUT 19. Catch made by B.Strange at RUT 19. Gain of 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Powell at RUT 11.Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+1
22.4%
N.Singleton rushed to RUT 10 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Izien at RUT 10.Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+10
23.5%
S.Clifford pass complete to RUT 10. Catch made by T.Warren at RUT 10. Gain of 10 yards. T.Warren for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1126% → 26%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
26.1%
A.Salaam rushed to RUT 24 for -1 yards. Tackled by C.Jacobs at RUT 24.Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
26.3%
A.Salaam rushed to RUT 29 for 5 yards. Tackled by C.Izzard at RUT 29.Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
26.4%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for S.Jones.Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+42
25.7%
A.Korsak punts 42 yards to PSU 29, Center-RUT. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 0:5571% → 74%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
29.0%
S.Clifford rushed to PSU 44 for 11 yards. Tackled by RUT at PSU 44.Similar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
28.0%
S.Clifford steps back to pass. S.Clifford pass incomplete intended for K.Lambert-Smith.Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
28.4%
N.Singleton rushed to PSU 47 for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Hamilton; I.Maijeh at PSU 47.Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+21
28.5%
S.Clifford pass complete to PSU 47. Catch made by M.Tinsley at PSU 47. Gain of 21 yards. Tackled by A.Young; A.Dean at RUT 32.Similar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
26.4%
S.Clifford pass complete to RUT 32. Catch made by H.Wallace at RUT 32. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by C.Braswell at RUT 14.Similar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
26.2%
S.Clifford rushed to RUT End Zone for 14 yards. S.Clifford for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:4431% → 30%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
30.7%
G.Wimsatt rushed to RUT 34 for 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.Carter at RUT 34.Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
32.2%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for J.Langan.Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
31.2%
K.Monangai rushed to RUT 39 for 5 yards. Tackled by C.Jacobs; D.Ellies at RUT 39.Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
32.2%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for S.Ryan.Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-3
31.9%
K.Monangai rushed to RUT 36 for -3 yards. Tackled by H.Beamon at RUT 36.Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 13
OWN 36
-2
30.4%
R.Rochelle rushed to RUT 34 for -2 yards. Tackled by A.Carter at RUT 34.Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 15
OWN 34
+45
29.5%
A.Korsak punts 45 yards to PSU 21, Center-RUT. Downed by E.Rogowski.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:4232% → 36%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+55
31.9%
G.Wimsatt pass complete to RUT 25. Catch made by S.Ryan at RUT 25. Gain of 55 yards. Tackled by K.King at PSU 20.Similar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
37.1%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for A.Cruickshank.Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
37.2%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for J.Langan.Similar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
36.1%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt sacked at PSU 30 for -10 yards (C.Jacobs) G.Wimsatt FUMBLES, forced by C.Jacobs. Fumble RECOVERED by PSU-J.Brown at PSU 30. J.Brown for yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:3234% → 36%
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
34.1%
A.Salaam rushed to RUT 32 for 7 yards. Tackled by K.King; C.Katshir at RUT 32.Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
36.0%
A.Salaam rushed to RUT 32 for 0 yards. Tackled by K.King; N.Tarburton at RUT 32.Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
34.7%
G.Wimsatt pass complete to RUT 32. Catch made by J.Langan at RUT 32. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by K.King; J.Sutherland at RUT 41.Similar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
37.2%
A.Salaam rushed to RUT 42 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Sutherland at RUT 42.Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
36.8%
G.Wimsatt scrambles to RUT 43 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Sutherland at RUT 43.Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
36.6%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for J.Langan.Similar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+37
35.5%
A.Korsak punts 37 yards to PSU 20, Center-RUT. Downed by E.Rogowski.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0964% → 63%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
35.6%
S.Clifford pass complete to PSU 20. Catch made by M.Tinsley at PSU 20. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by R.Longerbeam; D.Igbinosun at PSU 31.Similar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
35.5%
S.Clifford pass complete to PSU 31. Catch made by M.Tinsley at PSU 31. Gain of 21 yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.Young at RUT 48.Similar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
33.0%
S.Clifford steps back to pass. S.Clifford pass incomplete intended for M.Tinsley.Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
33.4%
S.Clifford pass complete to RUT 48. Catch made by L.Clifford at RUT 48. Gain of 10 yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.Young at RUT 38.Similar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+32
33.4%
K.Allen rushed to RUT 6 for 32 yards. Tackled by A.Lewis; M.Melton at RUT 6.Similar
Q3 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
32.6%
K.Allen rushed to RUT 3 for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Hamilton; I.Maijeh at RUT 3.Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
33.2%
S.Clifford steps back to pass. S.Clifford pass incomplete intended for T.Warren.Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
34.6%
S.Clifford pass complete to RUT 3. Catch made by K.Allen at RUT 3. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by A.Young at RUT 5.Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
37.2%
J.Pinegar 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-PSU, Holder-PSU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1241% → 41%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.9%
K.Monangai rushed to RUT 32 for 7 yards. Tackled by Z.Wheatley at RUT 32.Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
43.1%
K.Monangai rushed to RUT 32 for 0 yards. Tackled by K.King at RUT 32.Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
41.7%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for RUT.Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+43
40.8%
A.Korsak punts 43 yards to PSU 25, Center-RUT. M.Tinsley returned punt from the PSU 25. Tackled by C.Izien at PSU 25.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:2759% → 65%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+59
40.8%
K.Allen rushed to RUT 16 for 59 yards. Tackled by C.Izien at RUT 16. PENALTY on RUT-C.Izien, Horse Collar Tackle, 8 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
35.4%
K.Allen rushed to RUT End Zone for 8 yards. K.Allen for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:0960% → 55%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
40.0%
D.Allar steps back to pass. D.Allar pass incomplete intended for M.Tinsley.Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
40.9%
D.Allar pass complete to PSU 41. Catch made by N.Singleton at PSU 41. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by A.Dean at PSU 46.Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+19
41.3%
D.Allar scrambles to RUT 35 for 19 yards. Pushed out of bounds by M.Melton at RUT 35.Similar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+26
39.2%
N.Singleton rushed to RUT 9 for 26 yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.Young at RUT 9.Similar
Q3 3:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
39.2%
D.Allar scrambles to RUT 4 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Powell at RUT 4.Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
40.2%
N.Singleton rushed to RUT 2 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Rainey at RUT 2.Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
42.7%
B.Strange rushed to RUT 2 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Young; W.Bailey at RUT 2.Similar
Q3 1:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
45.2%
S.Sahaydak 20 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-PSU, Holder-PSU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5549% → 47%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.5%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for M.Alaimo.Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
48.2%
G.Wimsatt pass complete to RUT 25. Catch made by C.Long at RUT 25. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by K.Winston Jr at RUT 31.Similar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
48.6%
G.Wimsatt steps back to pass. G.Wimsatt pass incomplete intended for C.Long.Similar
Q3 0:37
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+53
47.4%
A.Korsak punts 53 yards to PSU 16, Center-RUT. Downed by E.Rogowski.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0850% → 45%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
50.0%
K.Allen rushed to PSU 21 for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Young; A.Dean at PSU 21.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+2
50.4%
K.Allen rushed to PSU 23 for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Dean; K.Hamilton at PSU 23.Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
53.6%
D.Allar steps back to pass. D.Allar pass incomplete intended for L.Clifford.Similar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 3
OWN 23
+42
55.5%
A.Bacchetta punts 42 yards to RUT 35, Center-PSU. Fair catch by A.Cruickshank.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 26TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 6:1746% → 42%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
54.1%
D.Allar steps back to pass. D.Allar pass incomplete intended for H.Wallace. PENALTY on RUT-RUT, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+13
51.0%
N.Singleton rushed to RUT 47 for 13 yards. Tackled by I.Maijeh at RUT 47.Similar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
50.5%
D.Allar steps back to pass. D.Allar pass incomplete intended for L.Clifford.Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
51.6%
D.Allar steps back to pass. D.Allar pass incomplete intended for H.Wallace.Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+11
54.1%
D.Allar pass complete to RUT 47. Catch made by O.Evans at RUT 47. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by R.Longerbeam at RUT 36.Similar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
51.2%
D.Allar steps back to pass. D.Allar pass incomplete intended for O.Evans.Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
51.4%
D.Allar pass complete to RUT 36. Catch made by K.Dinkins at RUT 36. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by D.Igbinosun; S.Loyal at RUT 28.Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+1
51.5%
D.Allar rushed to RUT 27 for 1 yards. Tackled by W.Bailey; T.Rainey at RUT 27.Similar
Q4 9:05
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+12
54.6%
D.Allar pass complete to RUT 27. Catch made by K.Allen at RUT 27. Gain of 12 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Izien at RUT 15.Similar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
50.8%
D.Allar pass complete to RUT 15. Catch made by H.Wallace at RUT 15. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by D.Igbinosun at RUT 9.Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
51.3%
D.Allar steps back to pass. D.Allar pass incomplete intended for O.Evans. PENALTY on RUT-R.Longerbeam, Defensive Pass Interference, 7 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 7:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
51.5%
T.Smith rushed to RUT 2 for 0 yards. Tackled by S.Loyal; D.Igbinosun at RUT 2.Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
50.9%
D.Allar rushed to RUT 5 for -3 yards. Tackled by W.Bailey at RUT 5.Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
54.5%
D.Allar rushed to RUT 1 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Powell; W.Bailey at RUT 1.Similar
Q4 5:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.9%
D.Allar rushed to RUT End Zone for 1 yards. D.Allar for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 5:2269% → 90%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
68.9%
A.Salaam rushed to RUT 33 for 8 yards. Tackled by M.Wilson at RUT 33.Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
71.7%
A.Salaam rushed to RUT 33 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Wilson; C.Katshir at RUT 33.Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
71.4%
E.Simon pass complete to RUT 33. Catch made by M.Patterson at RUT 33. Gain of 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Winston Jr at RUT 36.Similar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
77.5%
A.Salaam rushed to RUT 37 for 1 yards. Tackled by S.Costantini; Z.Durant at RUT 37.Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
78.4%
E.Simon pass complete to RUT 37. Catch made by M.Patterson at RUT 37. Gain of 3 yards. M.Patterson ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+7
83.5%
E.Simon pass complete to RUT 40. Catch made by J.Langan at RUT 40. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by D.DeLuca at RUT 47.Similar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
86.1%
E.Simon pass complete to RUT 47. Catch made by A.Salaam at RUT 47. Gain of -3 yards. Tackled by K.Winston Jr at RUT 44.Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+1
86.8%
A.Salaam rushed to RUT 45 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Townley at RUT 45.Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+3
90.2%
E.Simon pass complete to RUT 45. Catch made by A.Salaam at RUT 45. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by C.Miller at RUT 48.Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 9
OWN 48
+37
90.1%
A.Korsak punts 37 yards to PSU 15, Center-RUT. Fair catch by M.Tinsley.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-90.1
TD · Q3 6:23
K.Allen rushed to RUT End Zone for 8 yards. K.Allen for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-5.3
TD · Q4 5:55
D.Allar rushed to RUT End Zone for 1 yards. D.Allar for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com