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OSU

Ohio State 43 at Maryland 30

MD
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:36 · TEAM punt blocked by Lathan Ransom blocked by Lathan Ransom Denzel Burke return for 7 yds to the Mary 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Pregame prior−32.6Home team on offense+3.0Garbage-time factor+0.6Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:13: Dallan Hayden 8 Yd Run (Noah Ruggles Kick) — OSU win probability +7.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:16: Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +7.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:53: Taulia Tagovailoa run for 5 yds for a TD, (Taulia Tagovailoa pass to Jacob Copeland for Two-Point Conversion) — MD win probability +18.2 pts (now 28%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 12:36: Dallan Hayden run for 13 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles PAT BLOCKED), (Noah Ruggles PAT BLOCKED) — OSU win probability +7.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:49: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — MD win probability +18.6 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 8OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 8:47MD 4th & 6 at OSU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:50OSU 4th & 21 at OSU 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:52MD 4th & 3 at OSU 3, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.9%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:53OSU 4th & 9 at OSU 16, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:01MD 4th & 5 at OSU 46, down 1
    Close callPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:02OSU 4th & 11 at MD 15, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    83.6%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:21OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:36MD 4th & 12 at MD 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−1.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:56MD 4th & 18 at MD 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−2.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:52OSU 4th & 25 at MD 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−3.3
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−6.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:24MD 4th & 8 at OSU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:49MD 4th & 1 at OSU 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    10.9%−3.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−10.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:36OSU 4th & 1 at MD 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    64.8%−10.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−8.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:54MD 4th & 6 at MD 46, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:42OSU 4th & 3 at MD 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−17.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 3OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:28OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:52MD Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:13OSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:16OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:53MD Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    15.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:36OSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    89.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:49MD Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:1796% → 95%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
4.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 29 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
4.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+6
4.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 6 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+6
4.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
4.6%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+31
4.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 31 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
4.6%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mary 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:335% → 6%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
4.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to CJ Dippre for 25 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
4.7%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the OhSt 48Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
4.8%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+12
4.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to CJ Dippre for 12 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
5.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 39Similar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+7
5.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 7 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+15
5.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
5.4%
Antwain Littleton II run for 3 yds to the OhSt 14Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+3
5.6%
Rakim Jarrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 11Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 4
OPP 11
-2
5.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 13Similar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
5.9%
Chad Ryland 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · -11 yds · 0:5794% → 94%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
5.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 20Similar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-1
6.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 19Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-5
6.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 14Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 21
OWN 14
0
6.1%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
6.2%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
6.3%
Jesse Mirco punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:356% → 8%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
6.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Josh Proctor for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 42Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+11
6.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 11 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
6.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 10 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+27
6.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 27 yds to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
7.1%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the OhSt 6Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
7.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 2 yds to the OhSt 4Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
7.5%
Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the OhSt 3Similar
Q1 3:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
7.8%
Chad Ryland 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:4092% → 91%
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
8.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 10 TreVeyon Henderson fumbled, recovered by OhSt TreVeyon HendersonSimilar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 15
OWN 10
-5
8.1%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 5Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 20
OWN 5
+5
8.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 10Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+6
8.4%
C.J. Stroud run for 6 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
8.7%
Jesse Mirco punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:459% → 10%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
9.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+2
8.8%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 18
OWN 41
+10
9.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 10 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+3
9.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 3 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
9.5%
Colton Spangler punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7FG
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:4891% → 89%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
9.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OhSt 10Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
9.5%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+25
9.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 25 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
9.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+13
9.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
9.6%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
9.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+6
10.1%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 6 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
10.1%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+24
10.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 9 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Mary 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
10.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 15Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
10.5%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 11
OPP 15
0
10.8%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q2 10:02
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+33
10.8%
Noah Ruggles 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:0611% → 21%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.9%
Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
11.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 1 yd to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
11.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 9 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
11.7%
Rakim Jarrett run for 2 yds to the Mary 38 MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 18
OWN 28
0
11.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+34
11.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 34 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
12.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 9 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+4
13.8%
Antwain Littleton II run for 4 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
14.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (12 Yards) to the OhSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
14.2%
Antwain Littleton II run for 4 yds to the OhSt 9Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+1
14.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 1 yd to the OhSt 8Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+7
14.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 7 yds to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
15.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
15.4%
Antwain Littleton II run for no gain to the OhSt 1Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to CJ Dippre for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:2481% → 80%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
18.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
-1
19.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+7
20.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 7 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
19.7%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
19.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 5 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
18.8%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+1
20.1%
Jesse Mirco punt for 45 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 1 yd to the Mary 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:1021% → 21%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+21
21.0%
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Mary 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
21.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 4 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-7
23.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by J.T. Tuimoloau for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+15
21.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 15 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:0424% → 25%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
24.4%
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
26.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+5
25.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 5 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
26.8%
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-8
28.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to CJ Dippre for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 39Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
25.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 12
OWN 39
+7
24.9%
TEAM punt blocked by Lathan Ransom blocked by Lathan Ransom Denzel Burke return for 7 yds to the Mary 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:0778% → 85%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
22.2%
Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the Mary 8Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
14.6%
Dallan Hayden 8 Yd Run (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 1:0217% → 17%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
17.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 7 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-10
18.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mary 22Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-5
17.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 17Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
17.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
17.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
16.7%
Colton Spangler punt for 47 yds, downed at the OhSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:5283% → 86%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
16.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 7 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+8
16.5%
Dallan Hayden run for 8 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
16.2%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
16.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Dallan Hayden for no gain to the Mary 49Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+35
17.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 35 yds to the Mary 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
16.1%
Dallan Hayden run for no gain to the Mary 14Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
16.3%
Emeka Egbuka run for 1 yd to the Mary 13Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 9
OPP 13
-16
17.8%
C.J. Stroud sacked by TEAM for a loss of 16 yards to the Mary 29 OHIO ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 25
OPP 29
+47
14.2%
Noah Ruggles 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:1515% → 16%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
15.2%
Antwain Littleton II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+26
15.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
50
+4
18.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 4 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
18.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 6
OPP 46
-2
18.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 48Similar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
16.2%
Colton Spangler punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 4:3985% → 94%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
14.7%
Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
14.8%
Dallan Hayden run for 4 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+17
14.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 17 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
13.3%
Dallan Hayden run for 9 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
13.2%
Dallan Hayden run for no gain to the OhSt 47Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+4
13.7%
Dallan Hayden run for 4 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
13.5%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the Mary 48Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+17
13.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 17 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
13.3%
Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+12
13.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (12 Yards) to the Mary 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
13.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 14 yds to the Mary 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
5.7%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:128% → 28%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
7.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+36
7.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 36 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
9.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 12 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
10.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
10.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 5 yds to the OhSt 5Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
28.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 5 yds for a TD, (Taulia Tagovailoa pass to Jacob Copeland for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 0:3984% → 90%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
15.9%
C.J. Stroud run for 6 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+21
15.5%
Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
14.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
7.3%
Dallan Hayden run for 13 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles PAT BLOCKED), (Noah Ruggles PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
6.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mary 8Similar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 0
OPP 8
0
9.7%
Jakorian Bennett return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:2813% → 32%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
12.8%
Jeshaun Jones run for 16 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
13.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+49
13.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 49 yds to the OhSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
16.1%
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the OhSt 3Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
16.3%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the OhSt 1Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
13.3%
Roman Hemby run for no gain to the OhSt 1Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:5475% → 76%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
25.0%
Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
23.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 10 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
22.5%
C.J. Stroud run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 39Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+10
24.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
22.3%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
22.6%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+6
22.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 6 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
24.2%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:2635% → 31%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
35.2%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
36.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
34.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
30.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 42 yds, downed at the OhSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22FG
17 plays · 61 yds · 5:0677% → 95%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
23.5%
Dallan Hayden run for 11 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
23.7%
Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+3
22.5%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+5
21.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
20.4%
Dallan Hayden run for 18 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
17.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+1
16.8%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the Mary 42Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+8
16.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
13.8%
Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+1
9.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the Mary 31Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+4
7.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 4 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 0:42
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+45
5.3%
Noah Ruggles 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23FUMBLE TD
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:169% → 1%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-7
9.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Zach Harrison for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 9Similar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 17
OWN 9
+1
1.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Zach Harrison for a loss of 8 yards Taulia Tagovailoa fumbled, recovered by OhSt Steele Chambers , return for 0 yards , return for 1 yd, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
1.4%
OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the OhSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+25
2.0%
Eric Najarian pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 25 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:49
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)
+18.6
TD · Q4 13:53
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 5 yds for a TD, (Taulia Tagovailoa pass to Jacob Copeland for Two-Point Conversion)
+18.2
TD · Q3 0:16
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)
-7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com