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NU

Northwestern 9 at Purdue 17

PUR
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:18 · Jack Ansell punt for 44 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for 4 yds to the Nwest 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 105Pregame prior+13.4Home team on offense+14.0Garbage-time factor+8.2Score differential+3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:12: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 3 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +4.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:49: Evan Hull 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — NU win probability +18.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:44: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Prdue 35 — PUR win probability +9.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:08: Mitchell Fineran 26 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +6.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:22: Timeout NORTHWESTERN, clock 01:22 — PUR win probability +6.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 8NU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 6:54NU 4th & 7 at NU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:41NU 4th & 5 at PUR 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−2.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:47PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:20NU 4th & 10 at NU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:12NU 4th & 11 at PUR 44, down 11
    Close callPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:52PUR 4th & 5 at NU 30, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.8%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:59PUR 4th & 3 at NU 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%−0.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:11NU 4th & 5 at NU 36, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:18PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−1.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:34NU 4th & 25 at NU 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−1.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:28PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:29PUR 4th & 1 at NU 11, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.7%−4.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−16.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:08PUR 4th & 8 at NU 8, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−14.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:02NU 4th & 3 at NU 47, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.5%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:26NU 4th & 4 at PUR 43, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−2.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−2.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:22PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 1:48PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:12PUR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:49NU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    22.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    22.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 46 yds · 6:2588% → 86%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
87.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+1
87.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
87.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
87.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 7 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+8
87.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
87.5%
Dylan Downing run for 8 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+4
87.5%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
87.5%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Sean McLaughlin for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 20
OWN 48
+19
87.5%
Tyrone Tracy run for 19 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
87.5%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Nwest 33Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
85.8%
PURDUE Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Illegal Motion on SHEFFIELD, TJ ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3715% → 15%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
85.5%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 29Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+4
85.6%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+3
85.6%
Cole Freeman pass complete to Evan Hull for 3 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
85.2%
Luke Akers punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:0685% → 87%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
85.1%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
85.1%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+6
85.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 6 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
85.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+10
85.0%
Dylan Downing run for 10 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+1
85.2%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
85.3%
Tyrone Tracy run for 8 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+19
85.3%
Kobe Lewis run for 19 yds to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
85.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the Nwest 15Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+15
86.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 15 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:0114% → 17%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
85.9%
Cole Freeman pass complete to Malik Washington for 9 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
85.4%
Cole Freeman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+6
85.5%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
85.5%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the Nwest 46Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
85.6%
Cole Freeman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+6
85.6%
Cole Freeman run for 6 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+5
85.5%
PURDUE Penalty, Offsides (Kieren Douglas) to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
85.0%
Evan Hull run for 19 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
84.6%
Cole Freeman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+17
84.6%
Cole Freeman pass complete to Marshall Lang for 17 yds to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
84.6%
Cole Freeman run for 1 yd to the Prdue 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
84.6%
Cole Freeman pass complete to Andrew Clair for no gain to the Prdue 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.0%
Cole Freeman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
83.4%
Adam Stage 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4983% → 82%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
83.4%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the Prdue 19Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
83.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
82.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 10
OWN 19
+3
82.4%
Jack Ansell punt for 39 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for 3 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2717% → 16%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-6
82.8%
Malik Washington run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 39Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 16
OWN 39
+6
83.3%
Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
83.3%
Cole Freeman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
83.6%
Hunter Renner punt for 33 yds , returns for no gain to the Prdue 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 6:0883% → 88%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
82.7%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+13
82.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 13 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
82.9%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
82.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
82.3%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offsides (Aidan Hubbard) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
83.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 17 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
83.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+5
83.7%
Austin Burton run for 5 yds to the Nwest 18Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+3
83.2%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the Nwest 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
83.6%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the Nwest 12Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+7
83.6%
Dylan Downing run for 7 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
83.6%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Nwest 3Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
87.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 3 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 4:0012% → 11%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.9%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
87.7%
Cole Freeman pass complete to Duke Olges for 15 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
87.3%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+6
87.3%
Cole Freeman run for 6 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+5
87.0%
Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
86.9%
PORTER, Cam rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR44 (TAYLOR, Reese). PENALTY NOR Holding on OLGES, Duke enforced 10 yards from the PUR43 to the NOR47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+1
87.5%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 48Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 19
OWN 48
+1
88.5%
Cole Freeman pass complete to Evan Hull for 1 yd to the Nwest 49Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 18
OWN 49
+7
88.8%
Cole Freeman run for 7 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
88.8%
Hunter Renner punt for 26 yds, downed at the Prdue 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
88.7%
[NH] Kneel down by O'CONNELL, Aidan at PUR16 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:5613% → 13%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.5%
Evan Hull run for 9 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
86.8%
Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
87.3%
Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
86.9%
Cole Freeman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
87.1%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+15
87.0%
PURDUE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Graham) to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11MISSED FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 4:0489% → 88%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
88.9%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
88.9%
Dylan Downing run for no gain to the Nwest 31Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+1
88.5%
Aidan O'Connell run for 1 yd to the Nwest 30Similar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
88.1%
Mitchell Fineran 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:0613% → 14%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+3
87.2%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 41
0
87.1%
Cole Freeman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+13
87.6%
Cole Freeman pass complete to Malik Washington for 13 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
87.2%
Joseph Himon II run for 13 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
86.7%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (Duke Olges) to the Nwest 38Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
86.0%
Cole Freeman run for 4 yds to the Prdue 42 Cole Freeman fumbled, recovered by Prdue Cam AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:5589% → 89%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
89.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 9 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+9
89.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 9 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
89.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
89.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 4 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+3
89.1%
Aidan O'Connell run for 3 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+2
88.5%
Aidan O'Connell run for 2 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4813% → 11%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
87.3%
run for 7 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
86.5%
run for 1 yd to the Nwest 39Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-3
86.8%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 36Similar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+7
88.8%
Luke Akers punt for 48 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 7 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5390% → 89%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
89.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
89.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-2
88.9%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 21Similar
Q3 3:18
4TH & 12
OWN 21
+4
88.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 44 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for 4 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:4412% → 10%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
87.9%
Cole Freeman run for 4 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-10
87.7%
HULL, Evan rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the PUR44 (BROWN, Jamari). PENALTY NOR Holding on LANG, Marshall enforced 10 yards from the NOR43 to the NOR33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 16
OWN 33
0
89.4%
Cole Freeman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 16
OWN 33
-9
90.0%
Cole Freeman sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 24Similar
Q3 1:34
4TH & 25
OWN 24
0
90.5%
Luke Akers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0690% → 90%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
90.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
90.9%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
90.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:28
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
90.0%
punt blocked by blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:3913% → 32%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
50
+3
86.9%
run for 3 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+12
86.9%
Cole Freeman pass complete to Genson Hooper Price for 12 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
86.1%
Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+5
85.8%
Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
85.8%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+4
85.8%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+16
86.8%
Evan Hull run for 16 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.4%
Evan Hull 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:3678% → 91%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
78.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+11
79.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 11 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
80.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for 17 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
81.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 17 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
82.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for 6 yds to the Nwest 14Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+3
82.1%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 1
OPP 11
0
84.6%
Dylan Downing run for no gain to the Nwest 11Similar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+2
83.5%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
85.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
85.7%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the Nwest 8Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
84.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
91.1%
Mitchell Fineran 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 28 yds · 5:3611% → 9%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
89.0%
Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
87.8%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+7
87.9%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
86.9%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+1
87.1%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the Nwest 43Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+4
87.4%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+4
88.1%
Cole Freeman run for 4 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
85.3%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+5
87.0%
Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
89.9%
Evan Hull run for no gain to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 4
OPP 43
-5
91.1%
Cole Freeman sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:0097% → 97%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
97.4%
Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+1
97.1%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 14
OWN 44
+5
97.3%
Tyrone Tracy run for 5 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
97.2%
Jack Ansell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Nwest 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:225% → 4%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
95.5%
Cole Freeman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
95.6%
Cole Freeman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+7
95.8%
Cole Freeman pass complete to Evan Hull for 7 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:49
Evan Hull 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-18.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:44
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Prdue 35
+9.9
FG · Q4 7:08
Mitchell Fineran 26 yd FG GOOD
+6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com