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WIS

Wisconsin 15 at Nebraska 14

NEB
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-22.3NEB 56.5%Graham Mertz pass complete to SkylerBell for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-PointConversion failed )AWAY 9 - HOME 14 · Q4 10:07
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:07 · Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior−4.9Home team on offense+2.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 0:34: Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 19 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +15.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:07: Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WIS win probability +22.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:59: Isaac Guerendo run for 5 yds to the Neb 45 — WIS win probability +15.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:35: Graham Mertz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — WIS win probability +58.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:20: Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 5 yds to the Neb 26 — NEB win probability +18.5 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:28NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:02WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:15NEB 4th & 11 at NEB 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:46WIS 4th & 21 at NEB 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51NEB 4th & 2 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:14WIS 4th & 10 at NEB 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−2.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    42.5%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:25WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:24NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−2.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:50WIS 4th & 6 at NEB 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−13.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:44NEB 4th & 12 at NEB 39, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−4.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:58WIS 4th & 13 at WIS 37, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:11NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 14, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−3.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WIS made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q2 6:40NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:34NEB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:07WIS Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.1 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    32.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    30.9%−1.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:35WIS Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.4 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    67.1%−2.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:1224% → 25%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
23.7%
Casey Thompson run for 1 yd to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+14
23.8%
Casey Thompson run for 14 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
24.0%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
24.3%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+8
24.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 8 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q1 12:38
4TH & 3
OPP 49
-5
24.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
24.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 26 yds, downed at the Wisc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5475% → 74%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
25.0%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
24.9%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
25.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Dean Engram for no gain to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
25.6%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3526% → 26%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
25.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 4 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
26.0%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-8
26.3%
Casey Thompson sacked by Keeanu Benton for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
26.0%
Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 5:2074% → 71%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
26.4%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+4
26.2%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
26.6%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+7
26.6%
Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
26.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
27.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 4 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+1
27.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
27.6%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
27.7%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-13
28.1%
Graham Mertz sacked by Ochaun Mathis for a loss of 13 yards to the Neb 48 WISCONSIN Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Neb 48Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 21
OPP 48
0
29.3%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:4729% → 32%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
29.1%
Anthony Grant run for 11 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
29.5%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
30.0%
Casey Thompson run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+11
30.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 11 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
31.3%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-5
31.5%
Casey Thompson sacked by Maema Njongmeta for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+13
30.9%
Casey Thompson run for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 2
50
0
31.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6INT
8 plays · 27 yds · 4:2569% → 68%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
30.8%
Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+4
30.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
31.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-1
31.2%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 28Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+8
32.4%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 8 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
31.7%
Isaac Guerendo run for no gain to the Wisc 36Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
32.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-23
32.5%
Graham Mertz pass intercepted Malcolm Hartzog return for 23 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7TD
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:2036% → 48%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
36.3%
Casey Thompson run for 8 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+4
37.4%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
37.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 10 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
37.7%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Wisc 12Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
38.2%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+8
37.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 8 yds to the Wisc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-7
38.7%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 11Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
47.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 11 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8MISSED FG
16 plays · 54 yds · 6:1355% → 48%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
44.8%
Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
43.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 7 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
44.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+8
44.1%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
44.4%
Braelon Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+9
46.4%
Isaac Guerendo run for 9 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+6
45.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
44.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
43.9%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+7
46.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 7 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
44.8%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
46.9%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Keontez LewisSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
48.6%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack EschenbachSimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+39
51.7%
Nate Van Zelst 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
53.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2748% → 46%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
51.7%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
52.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
53.1%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack EschenbachSimilar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
54.5%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5455% → 52%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
54.7%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
54.4%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
53.5%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Oliver MartinSimilar
Q3 12:24
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
52.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 74 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12FG
15 plays · 74 yds · 7:2546% → 48%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
54.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+10
52.9%
Skyler Bell run for 10 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
53.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
50
+20
52.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 20 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
51.2%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Riley NowakowskiSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
51.6%
Isaac Guerendo run for 9 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+3
53.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
51.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+2
52.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+5
55.1%
Isaac Guerendo run for 5 yds to the Neb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
53.4%
Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
54.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 0
OPP 1
-5
55.3%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Jackson Acker) to the Neb 6Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
57.9%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+25
51.9%
Nate Van Zelst 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:0457% → 82%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
56.7%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+4
57.7%
Casey Thompson run for 4 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+15
56.2%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (Nick Herbig) to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
60.1%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
59.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 7 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+12
61.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 12 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
63.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Omar Manning for 4 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
65.8%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 24Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+5
65.9%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Wisc 19Similar
Q3 0:34
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+19
81.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 19 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0521% → 38%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.0%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
78.2%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
78.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
76.9%
Graham Mertz run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
50
+4
77.0%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
77.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 7 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+22
78.6%
Braelon Allen run for 22 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
78.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+3
78.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
56.5%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-15
62.2%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nick Herbig) to the Wisc 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:1672% → 79%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
71.7%
Casey Thompson run for 7 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+7
73.9%
Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
76.8%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-7
78.7%
Casey Thompson sacked by Darryl Peterson for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 18
OWN 33
+6
78.1%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 12
OWN 39
+13
78.8%
Brian Buschini punt for 34 yds , Dean Engram returns for 13 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:3633% → 26%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
66.7%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-4
68.4%
Braelon Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 37Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
73.2%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Keontez LewisSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
74.5%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3983% → 84%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-3
82.9%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 8Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 13
OWN 8
+6
83.7%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 7
OWN 14
0
84.5%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 7
OWN 14
+9
84.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 45 yds , Dean Engram returns for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:2431% → 84%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
50
+5
68.6%
Isaac Guerendo run for 5 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+8
68.6%
Isaac Guerendo run for 8 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
69.3%
Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+27
67.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 27 yds to the Neb 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
66.2%
Isaac Guerendo run for 1 yd to the Neb 6Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
73.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
16.5%
Graham Mertz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19END OF GAME
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:2040% → 18%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
39.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 5 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
32.2%
Casey Thompson run for no gain to the Neb 26Similar
Q4 0:09
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+7
24.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 7 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
22.8%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
17.5%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:35
Graham Mertz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-58.1
TD · Q4 10:07
Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-22.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:20
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 5 yds to the Neb 26
+18.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com