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IOWA

Iowa 13 at Minnesota 10

MINN
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:01 · Mark Crawford punt for 36 yds , Cooper DeJean returns for 8 yds to the Iowa 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Home team on offense−0.4Pregame prior+4.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:24: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +8.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:07: Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for no gain to the Iowa 9 — IOWA win probability +11.6 pts (now 49%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:06: Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 33 yds to the Minn 12 for a 1ST down — IOWA win probability +20.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:28: Drew Stevens 21 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +31.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:28: Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete — MINN win probability +11.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 7IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:07MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:01IOWA 4th & 9 at MINN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:01MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:01IOWA 4th & 2 at MINN 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    43.4%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:09IOWA 4th & 25 at IOWA 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−2.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:38MINN 4th & 1 at IOWA 16, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.8%−0.9
    81% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−7.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:44IOWA 4th & 5 at MINN 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:20MINN 4th & 6 at IOWA 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    39.9%−10.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:25IOWA 4th & 20 at MINN 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−3.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    46.0%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:40MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−1.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:59IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−1.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:42MINN 4th & 1 at IOWA 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.6%−8.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−10.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:11IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−7.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:28IOWA 4th & 1 at MINN 3, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 9.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%
    63% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.9%−9.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−45.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:03MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.1%−7.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:42IOWA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:24MINN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:4855% → 55%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
54.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+7
54.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 7 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+3
54.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
54.7%
Trey Potts run for 4 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+1
54.7%
Trey Potts run for 1 yd to the Minn 39Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+2
54.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
55.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds, downed at the Iowa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2FG
5 plays · 59 yds · 2:0645% → 45%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+58
55.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 58 yds to the Minn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
54.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-6
54.4%
Spencer Petras run for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 27 Spencer Petras fumbled, recovered by Iowa Spencer PetrasSimilar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 16
OPP 27
+7
54.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 7 yds to the Minn 20Similar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+38
54.7%
Drew Stevens 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5255% → 54%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
54.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+5
54.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 5 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+2
54.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+8
54.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 36 yds , Cooper DeJean returns for 8 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 6:1946% → 54%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
54.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+11
54.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 11 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
53.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 6
50
0
53.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 6
50
+6
53.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 6 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
53.6%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
53.5%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+1
53.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the Minn 36Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+24
54.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 24 yds to the Minn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
51.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 11 yds to the Minn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
51.3%
Spencer Petras run for no gain to the Minn 1Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.5%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:3646% → 53%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
46.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-2
46.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+13
45.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 13 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
47.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
47.2%
Cole Kramer run for 1 yd to the Minn 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+29
47.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 29 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
45.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 12 yds to the Iowa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
44.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 7 yds to the Iowa 5Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
53.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 4:1548% → 49%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.1%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 25Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
52.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 7 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
52.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brody Brecht for 7 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
50.8%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Iowa 40Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+21
51.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 21 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
50.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
50.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-15
50.6%
run for a loss of 15 yards to the Iowa 46 fumbled, recovered by Iowa Spencer PetrasSimilar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 25
OWN 46
0
51.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:3147% → 48%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
47.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+5
47.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
47.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+35
47.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 35 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
50.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+2
51.3%
Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+3
50.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
51.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 6 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
51.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Iowa 16Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
50.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+34
47.6%
Matthew Trickett 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8END OF HALF
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:3853% → 54%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
46.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Gavin Williams for 4 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+12
46.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 12 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
45.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
45.9%
Gavin Williams run for 8 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:1651% → 52%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.6%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
48.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 6 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+14
48.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brody Brecht for 14 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
46.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
46.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
46.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
48.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 34 yds, downed at the Minn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10FG
8 plays · 76 yds · 3:2449% → 59%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
48.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+14
48.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 14 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
49.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+54
49.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 54 yds to the Iowa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
54.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
54.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
52.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
58.6%
Matthew Trickett 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:5546% → 46%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.8%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 25Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
54.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 11 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
52.6%
Leshon Williams run for 17 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
49.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 21 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
48.3%
Spencer Petras sacked by Terell Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the Minn 36Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 20
OPP 36
0
51.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 20
OPP 36
0
53.0%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the Minn 36Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 20
OPP 36
0
54.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 33 yds, downed at the Minn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:4556% → 55%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
56.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 5Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+5
55.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 10Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+19
54.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 19 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
57.2%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+4
57.3%
Trey Potts run for 4 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 3
OWN 36
-2
57.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 5
OWN 34
+16
55.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds , Cooper DeJean returns for 16 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0149% → 46%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
51.5%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
49.9%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
50.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
53.8%
Tory Taylor punt for 56 yds , Quentin Redding returns for no gain to the Minn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14FUMBLE
17 plays · 88 yds · 8:5256% → 63%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+16
56.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 16 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
57.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+4
59.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
57.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
57.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+19
59.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 19 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
62.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+5
62.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
61.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 9:42
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
59.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
64.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+6
64.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+5
62.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
64.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+2
64.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+4
62.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Iowa 9 Mohamed Ibrahim fumbled, recovered by Iowa Deontae CraigSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5649% → 45%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
51.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for no gain to the Iowa 9Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
51.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
53.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:11
4TH & 10
OWN 9
0
55.2%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds, downed at the Minn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 2:0562% → 63%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
61.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 19 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
63.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Iowa 35Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+2
64.7%
Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
62.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 1:3857% → 94%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+33
42.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 33 yds to the Minn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
37.8%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 10Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+7
37.7%
Leshon Williams run for 7 yds to the Minn 3Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
37.9%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the Minn 3Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+21
6.4%
Drew Stevens 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:2518% → 14%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
17.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 9 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
18.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
13.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
5.1%
Kneel down by PETRAS, Spencer at UMN35 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:28
Drew Stevens 21 yd FG GOOD
-31.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:06
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 33 yds to the Minn 12 for a 1ST down
-20
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:07
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for no gain to the Iowa 9
-11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com