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MD

Maryland 0 at Penn State 30

PSU
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of GameFG-0.2PSU 95.0%Jake Pinegar 50 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 24 · Q2 1:34
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:34 · Jake Pinegar 50 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Home team on offense+20.0Pregame prior+15.7Score differential+14.3Garbage-time factor+6.9Blowout margin−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:25: Nicholas Singleton run for 45 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +3.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:46: Nicholas Singleton run for 27 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 5:15: Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 34 — PSU win probability +1.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Jake Pinegar 46 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. PUNT · Q3 12:01: Colton Spangler punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Parker Washington at the PnSt 35 — PSU win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9MD made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 13:20MD 4th & 16 at MD 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:43MD 4th & 22 at MD 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:51PSU 4th & 10 at MD 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    76.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:55MD 4th & 7 at MD 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:25PSU 4th & 1 at MD 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    75.9%−1.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    76.4%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00MD 4th & 10 at PSU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:31PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:37MD 4th & 27 at MD 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:46PSU 4th & 1 at MD 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    81.8%−1.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:15MD 4th & 9 at PSU 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    8.6%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:34PSU 4th & 14 at MD 33, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:09MD 4th & 7 at MD 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:00PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 34, up 27
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:01MD 4th & 6 at MD 26, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:15PSU 4th & 4 at MD 4, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−3.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:38MD 4th & 5 at PSU 47, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:38PSU 4th & 9 at PSU 48, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:30MD 4th & 17 at MD 29, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:15PSU 4th & 10 at MD 43, up 30
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:41MD 4th & 10 at MD 3, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:40MD 4th & 2 at PSU 17, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:52PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:25PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:46PSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:3421% → 22%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
78.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+2
78.7%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Mary 13Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 13
-8
78.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Zane Durant for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 5Similar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 16
OWN 5
-4
78.4%
Colton Spangler punt for 38 yds , Parker Washington returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 4:2879% → 79%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
78.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 8 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+2
78.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 2 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
78.5%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
78.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+16
78.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Brenton Strange for 16 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
78.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+12
78.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 12 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
78.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the Mary 3Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.2%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Brenton Strange for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:0921% → 21%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
78.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Adisa Isaac for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 18Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
78.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-5
78.9%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the right complete for -1 yard to HARRIS, Aric caught at the UMD11 and advanced to the UMD17 (CARTER, Abdul). PENALTY UMD Illegal Touch-Pass on HARRIS, Aric enforced 5 yards from the UMD18 to the UMD13, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
79.1%
Colton Spangler punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Parker Washington at the PnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:5279% → 79%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
79.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 15 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
79.3%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
79.2%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
79.0%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
78.6%
Barney Amor punt for 15 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5621% → 21%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
78.7%
Antwain Littleton II run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+1
78.8%
Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the Mary 22 fumbled, recovered by MarySimilar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 12
OWN 22
+5
79.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 5 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
79.1%
Colton Spangler punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Parker Washington at the PnSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 3:3079% → 83%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
79.1%
Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+8
79.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
79.4%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 6
50
+4
79.4%
Parker Washington run for 4 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
79.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+45
82.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 45 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:1919% → 18%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
81.5%
Colby McDonald run for 13 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
81.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for no gain to the PnSt 49Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
81.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
81.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
82.1%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 38 yds, downed at the PnSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2983% → 83%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
83.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-2
83.1%
Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
82.8%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
82.8%
Barney Amor punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -17 yds · 1:5418% → 17%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
82.2%
Antwain Littleton II run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 32Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 14
OWN 32
-11
82.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Abdul Carter for a loss of 11 yards to the Mary 21Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 25
OWN 21
-2
82.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Ji'Ayir Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 19Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 27
OWN 19
0
83.1%
Colton Spangler punt for 53 yds, downed at the PnSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 3:5184% → 91%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
84.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+17
84.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
50
+14
84.8%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 14 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
84.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+4
84.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
84.5%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+27
91.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 27 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 2:319% → 8%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.8%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
90.6%
Roman Hemby run for 5 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
90.6%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
90.5%
Roman Hemby run for 12 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
90.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 18 yds to the PENNST 34 MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dontay Demus Jr.) to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 12
OWN 46
+15
90.5%
PENN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ji'Ayir Brown) to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
90.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 1 yd to the PnSt 38Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
90.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
90.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+6
91.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 6 yds to the PnSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12FG
17 plays · 35 yds · 3:4193% → 95%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
92.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
92.9%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+15
92.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Brenton Strange for 15 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
93.1%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
93.1%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (Sal Wormley) to the PnSt 44Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+7
92.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Malick Meiga for 7 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-10
92.9%
CLIFFORD, Sean pass to the left complete for 4 yards to TINSLEY, Mitchell caught at the UMD45 and advanced to the UMD45 (BENNETT, Jakorian). PENALTY PSU Holding on SHELTON, Drew enforced 10 yards from the UMD49 to the PSU41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 18
OWN 41
+5
94.3%
Sean Clifford run for 5 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 13
OWN 46
+15
94.0%
AMOR, Barney punt 52 yards to the UMD2 downed by HARDY, Daequan, clock 02:19. PENALTY UMD Roughing the Kicker on TRADER JR., Dante enforced 15 yards from the PSU46 to the UMD39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
94.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 10 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
94.7%
PENN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 25
OPP 44
+1
95.0%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 1 yd to the Mary 43Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 24
OPP 43
+10
95.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 10 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+50
95.0%
Jake Pinegar 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:254% → 4%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
95.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Demeioun Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 17Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+11
95.9%
Roman Hemby run for 11 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
95.8%
Colton Spangler punt for 49 yds , Parker Washington returns for no gain to the PnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 1:0996% → 99%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
95.8%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
95.8%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 8 yds to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+10
95.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Theo Johnson for 10 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
95.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 5 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+25
95.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 25 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
95.9%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+46
98.5%
Jake Pinegar 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0098% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the PnSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
98.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
98.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.6%
Barney Amor punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:592% → 1%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.6%
Roman Hemby run for no gain to the Mary 22Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
97.6%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
97.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
99.0%
Colton Spangler punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Parker Washington at the PnSt 35Similar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
98.9%
CLIFFORD, Sean pass to the left incomplete intended for TINSLEY, Mitchell thrown to the UMD15. PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on BANKS, Deonte enforced 15 yards to the PSU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:4699% → 99%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
50
+5
98.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
98.9%
Sean Clifford run for 4 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
98.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+33
98.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Theo Johnson for 33 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.9%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the Mary 6Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
98.9%
Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the Mary 4Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.9%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
99.4%
Jake Pinegar 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 37 yds · 4:301% → 0%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
99.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 7 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+1
99.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 1 yd to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+2
99.4%
Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
99.4%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the right complete for 18 yards to FELTON, Tai caught at the UMD44 and advanced to the UMD44, out of bounds. PENALTY UMD Holding enforced 10 yards from the UMD26 to the UMD16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 20
OWN 16
-1
99.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Demeioun Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 15Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 21
OWN 15
+21
99.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 21 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.3%
Colby McDonald run for 2 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
99.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to CJ Dippre for 7 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
99.3%
Antwain Littleton II run for 3 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 5 yds to the PnSt 47Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
99.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:38
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 1 yd to the PnSt 48Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:38
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 4:080% → 0%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
99.7%
Roman Hemby run for 9 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+4
99.7%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.7%
Roman Hemby run for 5 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-10
99.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Holding (Octavian Smith Jr.) to the Mary 28Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
99.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to CJ Dippre for 5 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
99.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 3 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-12
99.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Amin Vanover for a loss of 12 yards to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 24
-5
99.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Mary 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 27
OWN 19
+1
99.8%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the Mary 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 26
OWN 20
+9
99.8%
Roman Hemby run for 9 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 17
OWN 29
+1
99.8%
Colton Spangler punt for 59 yds , Marquis Wilson returns for 1 yd to the PnSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 5:15100% → 100%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.8%
Tank Smith run for 3 yds to the PnSt 16Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+17
99.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 17 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.8%
Tank Smith run for 1 yd to the PnSt 34Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+12
99.8%
Drew Allar run for 12 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.8%
Tank Smith run for 6 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
Tank Smith run for 5 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for no gain to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Tank Smith run for no gain to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mary 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Colby McDonald run for no gain to the Mary 3Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Colby McDonald run for no gain to the Mary 3Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:41
4TH & 10
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
99.9%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 46 fumbled, recovered by Mary Glendon MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:560% → 0%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Antwain Littleton II run for 5 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+9
99.9%
Antwain Littleton II run for 9 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
99.9%
PENN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the PnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the PnSt 24Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Antwain Littleton II run for no gain to the PnSt 24Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+7
99.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 7 yds to the PnSt 17Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+1
99.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the PnSt 16 fumbled, recovered by PnSt Jamari BuddinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 19 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
99.9%
Tank Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 14Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+7
99.9%
Tyler Holzworth run for 7 yds to the PnSt 21Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+7
99.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Tyler Holzworth for 7 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Tyler Holzworth run for 1 yd to the PnSt 29Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+6
100.0%
Tyler Holzworth run for 6 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:46
Nicholas Singleton run for 27 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q1 1:25
Nicholas Singleton run for 45 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)
+3.5
FG · Q2 0:00
Jake Pinegar 46 yd FG GOOD
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com