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RUTG

Rutgers 21 at Michigan State 27

MSU
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Spartan Stadium
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Win probability · MSU
modelMSU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playMSU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:53 · Payton Thorne pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorDefense timeouts
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior+8.7Home team on offense+20.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.3Score differential+7.3Garbage-time factor+5.3Defense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:52: Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aaron Young for 18 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK) — RUTG win probability +14.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:05: Jalen Berger run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Patton KICK) — MSU win probability +10.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:34: Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 25 yds for a TD, (Ben Patton KICK) — MSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:30: Johnny Langan 1 Yd Run (Jude McAtamney Kick) — RUTG win probability +12.2 pts (now 28%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:47: Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Shameen Jones for 31 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK) — RUTG win probability +16.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:22MSU 4th & 8 at RUTG 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    75.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:25RUTG 4th & 10 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:18MSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.3%−0.4
    79% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:13RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:34RUTG 4th & 7 at MSU 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    23.7%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:42MSU 4th & 7 at MSU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:48RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:53RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:53MSU 4th & 9 at RUTG 31, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    90.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:26MSU 4th & 4 at MSU 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:17RUTG 4th & 7 at MSU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−3.0
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−12.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:28MSU 4th & 6 at RUTG 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    80.9%−7.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:22MSU 4th & 15 at RUTG 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:47RUTG 4th & 28 at MSU 31, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 1:10MSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:52RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:05MSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:34MSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:30RUTG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:47RUTG Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:2475% → 75%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
75.3%
Jalen Berger run for 9 yds to the MchSt 44Similar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
75.4%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-5
75.4%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 39Similar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+21
75.3%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 21 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
75.4%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 1 yd to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+1
75.4%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
75.1%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
74.9%
Bryce Baringer punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:5725% → 26%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+23
74.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 23 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
74.7%
Rashad Rochelle run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
74.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 3 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
74.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
50
0
74.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 10
50
0
74.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 10
50
0
74.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 10
50
0
74.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 42 yds, downed at the MchSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:0774% → 73%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
74.2%
Jalen Berger run for 11 yds to the MchSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
74.3%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jalen Berger for 15 yds to the MchSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
74.4%
Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the MchSt 37Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+14
74.5%
Payton Thorne run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
74.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
74.8%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 10 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
74.9%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
74.9%
Jarek Broussard run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+2
74.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 1
OPP 18
0
73.4%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0527% → 27%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
72.6%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+1
72.5%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
72.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
73.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the MchSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:0373% → 80%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
73.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the MchSt 34Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
73.5%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+19
72.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Daniel Barker for 19 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
74.0%
THORNE, Payton pass to the left incomplete intended for REED, Jayden broken up by BRASWELL, Christian at the RUT40. PENALTY Before the snap, RUT Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the RUT47 to the RUT42. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 5
OPP 42
-5
74.1%
COLLINS, Elijah rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the RUT37 (WRIGHT-COLLINS, Jamier;BAILEY, Wesley). PENALTY Before the snap, MSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the RUT42 to the RUT47. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
74.0%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+11
73.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Daniel Barker for 11 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
74.1%
Payton Thorne run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+4
74.2%
Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+4
73.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Maliq Carr for 4 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
80.3%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Daniel Barker for 26 yds for a TD, (Ben Patton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:2924% → 24%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
75.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 9 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+1
75.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
75.5%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 41
0
75.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+16
76.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 16 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 23
OWN 44
+8
76.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 8 yds to the MchSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+8
76.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 8 yds to the MchSt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-13
74.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Gavin Wimsatt) to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 12:34
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
75.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 36 yds, downed at the MchSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:5279% → 79%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
79.3%
Payton Thorne run for 9 yds to the MchSt 13Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+4
79.0%
Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the MchSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
79.5%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 12 yds to the MchSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
79.5%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
79.3%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 3 yds to the MchSt 32Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-10
79.1%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Keon Coleman) to the MchSt 32Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
79.1%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
78.8%
Bryce Baringer punt for 64 yds, downed at the Rutgr 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
11 plays · 96 yds · 3:5022% → 37%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+31
78.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 31 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
77.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
77.5%
Rashad Rochelle run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
76.9%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the MchSt 48Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+6
76.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 32 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sean Ryan) to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+13
77.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Chris Long for 13 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
77.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+21
77.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 21 yds to the MchSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
63.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aaron Young for 18 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 3:4370% → 82%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
69.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 9 yds to the MchSt 36Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+4
71.2%
Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
71.2%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
70.5%
Jarek Broussard run for 7 yds to the MchSt 47Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+3
70.9%
Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
50
+5
71.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 5 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+35
72.1%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 35 yds to the Rutgr 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
72.5%
Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
72.5%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
71.8%
THORNE, Payton pass to the right incomplete intended for CARR, Maliq broken up by YOUNG, Avery at the RUT0 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY RUT Pass Interference on YOUNG, Avery enforced 6 yards to the RUT2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.1%
Jalen Berger run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Patton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10END OF HALF
15 plays · 26 yds · 1:4919% → 20%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
81.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-3
81.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+14
81.8%
Aaron Young run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.8%
Aaron Young run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
80.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
82.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
81.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 6 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-5
80.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
79.7%
[SG] Kneel down by RUT at RUT38 (team loss of 6), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:0824% → 23%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
76.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
76.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
75.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
76.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
77.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 54 yds, downed at the MchSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 86 yds · 2:1477% → 88%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
76.8%
Jalen Berger run for 8 yds to the MchSt 22Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+6
76.9%
Payton Thorne run for 6 yds to the MchSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+25
77.0%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 25 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
79.0%
Jalen Berger run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
88.2%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 25 yds for a TD, (Ben Patton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3514% → 13%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
86.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+3
86.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 3 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
86.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
87.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the MchSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:0089% → 90%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.9%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
88.7%
Germie Bernard run for 3 yds to the MchSt 39Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+15
88.6%
THORNE, Payton pass to the right incomplete intended for COLEMAN, Keon thrown to the MSU50; QB hurried by FLETCHER, Kenny. PENALTY RUT Roughing the Passer on FLETCHER, Kenny enforced 15 yards from the MSU39 to the RUT46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
89.4%
Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+12
89.2%
Jalen Berger run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
89.4%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-10
89.4%
THORNE, Payton pass up the middle complete for 6 yards to CARR, Maliq caught at the RUT30 and advanced to the RUT26 (WRIGHT-COLLINS, Jamier;MELTON, Max). PENALTY MSU Holding on BROWN, Spencer enforced 10 yards from the RUT32 to the RUT42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 20
OPP 42
+7
89.2%
Jarek Broussard run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+4
88.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Elijah Collins for 4 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 9
OPP 31
0
90.2%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:2313% → 28%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
87.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 10 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
86.6%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
87.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+28
87.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 28 yds to the MchSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
84.7%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the MchSt 27Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+1
84.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MchSt 26Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+25
85.1%
Aron Cruickshank run for 25 yds to the MchSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.9%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.7%
Johnny Langan 1 Yd Run (Jude McAtamney Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5683% → 82%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
82.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the MchSt 30Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
83.2%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
82.1%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:26
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
81.6%
Bryce Baringer punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17MISSED FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:4322% → 19%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
78.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 11 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
77.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
75.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
76.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+17
78.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 17 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
74.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the MchSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+7
73.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the MchSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
72.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the MchSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+4
71.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
76.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the MchSt 21Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
76.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
78.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
81.0%
Jude McAtamney 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 18FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:4991% → 97%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
90.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 17 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
91.1%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+18
90.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Maliq Carr for 18 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
91.1%
Jalen Berger run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+2
91.0%
Payton Thorne run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+4
90.6%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 4 yds to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
97.4%
Ben Patton 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 0 yds · 1:347% → 2%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Shameen Jones for 11 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
92.6%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass to the right complete for 17 yards to RYAN, Sean caught at the RUT43 and advanced to the MSU47 (BROOKS, Kendell;SPEED, Ameer). PENALTY RUT Pass Interference on RYAN, Sean enforced 15 yards to the RUT21 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 25
OWN 21
+12
93.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
93.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+5
93.7%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
93.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Holding on ZILINSKAS, Gus ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-13
98.0%
BERGER, Jalen rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the RUT23 (IZIEN, Christian;YOUNG, Avery). PENALTY MSU Chop Block on DUPLAIN, J.D. enforced 13 yards from the RUT25 to the RUT38 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 23
OPP 38
-5
97.9%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 20FG
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3298% → 99%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 28
OPP 43
+8
97.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Daniel Barker for 8 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 20
OPP 35
+4
97.9%
Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 16
OPP 31
+1
98.2%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 15
OPP 30
+48
99.2%
Ben Patton 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:354% → 20%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
96.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 28 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
95.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 7 yds to the MchSt 40Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+1
95.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MchSt 39Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+3
95.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
95.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 7 yds to the MchSt 29Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
95.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+16
95.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 16 yds to the MchSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
95.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 9 yds to the MchSt 4Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 1
OPP 4
-10
95.3%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for LANGAN, Johnny thrown to the MSU2; QB hurried by VANSUMEREN, Ben. PENALTY RUT Holding on ZILINSKAS, Gus enforced 10 yards from the MSU4 to the MSU14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
95.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 11
OPP 14
-10
96.2%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass to the left complete for 14 yards to RYAN, Sean caught at the MSU0 and advanced to the MSU0, TOUCHDOWN RUT, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:15. PENALTY RUT Holding on DIRENZO, J.D. enforced 10 yards from the MSU14 to the MSU24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 21
OPP 24
-7
96.4%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Avery Dunn for a loss of 7 yards to the MchSt 31Similar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 28
OPP 31
+31
80.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Shameen Jones for 31 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 22Uncategorized
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:4696% → 94%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
95.9%
Kneel down by MSU at RUT44 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 12
OPP 44
0
95.7%
Kneel down by MSU at RUT46 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 44
0
93.9%
Kneel down by MSU at RUT46 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:47
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Shameen Jones for 31 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)
-16.4
TD · Q2 5:52
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aaron Young for 18 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)
-14.3
TD · Q3 1:30
Johnny Langan 1 Yd Run (Jude McAtamney Kick)
-12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com