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NEB

Nebraska 3 at Michigan 34

MICH
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:14 · Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Pregame prior+44.5Home team on offense+0.4Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:26: Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +0.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:46: J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:01: Jake Moody 30 yd FG GOOD — MICH win probability +1.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:15: Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST down — MICH win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:57: J.J. McCarthy 3 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) — MICH win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NEB made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:14NEB 4th & 10 at MICH 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:14MICH 4th & 2 at NEB 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:53NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:27MICH 4th & 13 at MICH 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:50NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:54MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:10NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:10NEB 4th & 14 at MICH 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:40MICH 4th & 1 at NEB 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:11MICH 4th & 8 at NEB 41, up 14
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:55NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:06NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:46NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:52NEB 4th & 16 at NEB 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:17MICH 4th & 5 at NEB 25, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:26MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:46MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:57MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:39MICH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:343% → 3%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.3%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
97.2%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for no gain to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+30
97.1%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Marcus Washington for 30 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
97.1%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for 3 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
97.0%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 4
OPP 35
-5
97.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Travis Vokolek) to the Mich 40Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 9
OPP 40
-1
96.8%
Chubba Purdy sacked by Junior Colson for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 41Similar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
96.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 6:1097% → 96%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
96.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 4 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
96.6%
Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
96.5%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 36Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+25
96.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 25 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
96.3%
Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
96.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Andrel AnthonySimilar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+4
96.2%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+4
96.1%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
96.0%
Donovan Edwards run for 9 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+5
95.9%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
95.8%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Neb 12Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+10
95.6%
McCarthy, J.J. pass incomplete to Wilson, Roman, PENALTY NEBRASKA pass interference (Gifford, Isaac) 10 yards to the NEBRASKA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q1 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.2%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:574% → 4%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
96.0%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+2
96.0%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
95.9%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 6
OWN 16
+4
95.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 54 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 4 yds to the Mich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1796% → 96%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
95.8%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-8
95.8%
J.J. McCarthy sacked by Garrett Nelson for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 31Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 13
OWN 31
0
95.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 13
OWN 31
0
95.5%
Brad Robbins punt for 45 yds, downed at the Neb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:274% → 5%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
95.6%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
95.5%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+6
95.5%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 6 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+39
95.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 39 yds , A.J. Henning returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:5096% → 95%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
95.5%
Blake Corum run for 12 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
95.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Andrel AnthonySimilar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
95.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
95.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q2 13:54
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
95.1%
Brad Robbins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:395% → 5%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.2%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
95.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Trent Hixson) to the Neb 15Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
95.2%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 15Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+12
95.2%
Chubba Purdy run for 12 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+9
95.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 48 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 9 yds to the Mich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:5495% → 97%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
94.9%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+7
95.1%
Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
95.0%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+28
94.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 28 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
94.9%
Blake Corum run for 12 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 4:264% → 5%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
95.9%
Chubba Purdy run for 13 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.8%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Tommi HillSimilar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
95.8%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for 4 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+13
95.7%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Alante Brown for 13 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
95.5%
Purdy, Chubba pass incomplete to Vokolek, Travis, PENALTY MICHIGAN personal foul (Upshaw, Taylor) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.Similar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
95.3%
Chubba Purdy run for 7 yds to the Mich 23Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 3
OPP 23
0
95.2%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+8
95.4%
Chubba Purdy run for 8 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
95.1%
Logan Smothers run for 3 yds to the Mich 12Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
95.1%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 7
OPP 12
-7
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 19 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Neb Logan SmothersSimilar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 14
OPP 19
+37
95.4%
Timmy Bleekrode 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 3:5895% → 96%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
95.1%
Blake Corum run for 11 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
95.3%
C.J. Stokes run for 1 yd to the Mich 45Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
95.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+13
95.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 13 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
95.4%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+3
95.4%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
95.2%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
95.0%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
95.4%
Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
95.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Roman WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+12
95.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 12 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+30
96.3%
Jake Moody 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:3596% → 95%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
95.7%
Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 39
-1
95.8%
Blake Corum run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 38Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+7
95.6%
Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
95.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
95.7%
Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+4
95.5%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
95.8%
C.J. Stokes run for 5 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
95.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-3
95.5%
J.J. McCarthy sacked by Ernest Hausmann for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
95.3%
Brad Robbins punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:055% → 5%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
95.2%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+3
95.0%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+4
95.0%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Anthony Grant for 4 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.9%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
94.9%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
94.6%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Alante BrownSimilar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
94.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 5:3395% → 99%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
94.9%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+12
95.2%
Blake Corum run for 12 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
95.4%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 9 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+4
95.5%
Isaiah Gash run for 4 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
95.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 9 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
95.4%
C.J. Stokes run for 3 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
95.4%
C.J. Stokes run for 4 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+7
96.5%
Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
96.7%
Blake Corum run for 10 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.3%
J.J. McCarthy 3 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:391% → 1%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Oliver MartinSimilar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
98.9%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Marcus Washington for 6 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Neb Rahmir JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+8
99.1%
Rahmir Johnson run for 8 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q4 13:06
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 35 yds, downed at the Mich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 3:19100% → 100%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
99.5%
C.J. Stokes run for 17 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
99.6%
Isaiah Gash run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 38Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+15
99.6%
C.J. Stokes run for 15 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
99.6%
C.J. Stokes run for 14 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.6%
Isaiah Gash run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Ronnie Bell 29 Yd pass from J.J. McCarthy, fumbled, recovered by Andrel Anthony for a TD (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 3:360% → 0%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
99.9%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Trey Palmer for 8 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
99.9%
Logan Smothers sacked by Mason Graham for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 14
OWN 27
-3
99.9%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Trey Palmer for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 17
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 16
OWN 25
+42
99.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 42 yds , A.J. Henning returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:24100% → 100%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
99.9%
C.J. Stokes run for 9 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Isaiah Gash run for 5 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 7 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 5 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
99.9%
Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 12 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Leon Franklin run for 3 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+2
100.0%
Isaiah Gash run for 2 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Davis Warren pass incomplete to Tyler MorrisSimilar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
99.9%
Jake Moody 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19END OF GAME
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Cooper Jewett run for 2 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Cooper Jewett run for 4 yds to the Neb 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:57
J.J. McCarthy 3 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)
+2.5
TD · Q2 8:46
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)
+1.6
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:15
Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST down
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com