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NU

Northwestern 3 at Minnesota 31

MINN
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:56 · Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+0.7Home team on offense+35.9Score differential+28.1Garbage-time factor+12.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+14.3Blowout margin+12.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:57: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +3.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 12:16: Matthew Trickett 41 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +2.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:08: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 48 — MINN win probability +2.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:09: Timeout NORTHWESTERN, clock 01:09 — MINN win probability +2.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:57: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:34MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:55NU 4th & 5 at NU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:59MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:39NU 4th & 1 at MINN 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%−0.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:04NU 4th & 12 at NU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:44MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:23NU 4th & 3 at NU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:18NU 4th & 10 at NU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:08MINN 4th & 5 at NU 41, up 14
    Close callPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    88.6%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:27NU 4th & 10 at MINN 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:16MINN 4th & 8 at NU 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−3.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:10NU 4th & 5 at NU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:08NU 4th & 1 at MINN 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−2.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−2.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:56MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 31, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:04MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:57MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:57MINN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:24MINN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2688% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
88.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
88.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3913% → 13%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
87.5%
Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
87.5%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+1
87.5%
Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the Nwest 43Similar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
87.1%
Luke Akers punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5687% → 87%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
87.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
87.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 22Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
87.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
86.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds, downed at the Nwest 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 42 yds · 3:2013% → 15%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
86.6%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 38Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+37
86.7%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Marshall Lang for 37 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
86.5%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+6
86.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 6 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
86.6%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Minn 16Similar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 1
OPP 16
-2
85.4%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 4:3586% → 87%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
85.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 14 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
85.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 5 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
85.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
86.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+14
86.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 14 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
86.2%
Trey Potts run for 7 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+16
86.2%
Trey Potts run for 16 yds to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
86.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Nwest 6Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
87.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:0014% → 14%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.4%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for no gain to the Nwest 25Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.5%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
86.6%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Jah Joyner and Braelen Oliver for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 23Similar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
86.4%
Luke Akers punt for 44 yds, downed at the Minn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2086% → 86%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
86.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
86.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
86.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 5
OWN 38
-3
85.7%
Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2114% → 14%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
85.8%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
85.8%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 18Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+4
86.1%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 4 yds to the Nwest 22Similar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
86.0%
Luke Akers punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:2686% → 90%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
86.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+10
86.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
86.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
86.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+9
86.2%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass to the left incomplete intended for SPANN-FORD, Brevyn thrown to the NWU31. PENALTY NWU Pass Interference on TURNER, Devin enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the NWU33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
86.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+2
86.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
86.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Nwest 15Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+3
86.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
86.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Nwest 11Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
86.8%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Rod Heard II) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:3911% → 10%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.4%
Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
89.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 11 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
89.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 4 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
88.8%
Malik Washington run for 1 yd to the Nwest 46Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 5
OWN 46
-5
89.0%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Beanie Bishop for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 41Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+6
89.8%
Luke Akers punt for 43 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 6 yds to the Minn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:1090% → 91%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
90.1%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Targeting on UIHLEIN, Mac enforced (Mac Uihlein) to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
90.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+8
90.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
90.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
90.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-10
91.1%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass to the right complete for 6 yards to SPANN-FORD, Brevyn caught at the NWU41 and advanced to the NWU38 (MUELLER, Xander). PENALTY UMN Illegal Block in the Back on GEARY, Clay enforced 10 yards from the NWU44 to the UMN46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 18
OWN 46
+13
90.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 13 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
90.8%
Mark Crawford punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Nwest 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12FG
6 plays · 76 yds · 0:419% → 11%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+27
91.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 27 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+49
90.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 49 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
89.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
89.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
90.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+35
89.1%
Adam Stage 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 17 yds · 1:2789% → 89%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
89.0%
Trey Potts run for 6 yds to the Minn 14Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+11
89.3%
Trey Potts run for 11 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1312% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
87.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:3189% → 91%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
89.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Nwest 22Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
89.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Nwest 22Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-10
88.6%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass up the middle complete for 9 yards to BROWN-STEPHENS, Michael caught at the NWU13 and advanced to the NWU13 (MITCHELL, Cameron). PENALTY UMN Holding on ERSERY, Aireontae enforced 10 yards from the NWU22 to the NWU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 17
OPP 32
+9
88.3%
Trey Potts run for 9 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
90.9%
Matthew Trickett 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0610% → 9%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Donny Navarro III for 2 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
90.3%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
90.7%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 3 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q3 11:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
90.9%
Luke Akers punt for 33 yds, downed at the Minn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:5992% → 93%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
91.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 21 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
92.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+1
92.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Nwest 37Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+14
92.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 14 yds fumbled, forced by Devin Turner, recovered by Nwest A.J. Hampton Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:039% → 9%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
91.5%
run for 5 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
91.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+23
91.3%
Evan Hull run for 23 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
90.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
90.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Donny Navarro III for 5 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+4
90.5%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
90.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19TD
13 plays · 59 yds · 7:1194% → 99%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
93.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
93.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 1
50
+4
93.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
93.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 19 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
93.7%
Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+7
93.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 7 yds to the Nwest 18Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+1
93.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
93.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+3
96.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Nwest 8Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+6
95.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Nwest 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Nwest 1Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 2:341% → 1%
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Holding Roughing the Passer on NUBIN, Tyler enforced (Braelen Oliver) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
98.8%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
98.7%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+4
98.7%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
98.6%
RICHARDSON, Carl pass up the middle incomplete intended for LANG, Marshall thrown to the UMN20. PENALTY NWU Holding on SKORONSKI, Peter enforced 10 yards from the UMN35 to the UMN45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+6
98.8%
Carl Richardson pass complete to Malik Washington for 6 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 14
OPP 39
0
98.8%
Carl Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 14
OPP 39
0
99.0%
Carl Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 14
OPP 39
0
99.0%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Holding on SKORONSKI, Peter ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 7:59100% → 100%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+8
99.5%
Trey Potts run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.5%
Trey Potts run for 1 yd to the Nwest 49Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+7
99.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+2
99.5%
Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.5%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
99.5%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+13
99.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 13 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.5%
Trey Potts run for 1 yd to the Nwest 22Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+4
99.5%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the Nwest 18Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+12
99.5%
Zach Evans run for 12 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Zach Evans run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22INT
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Carl Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+31
100.0%
Carl Richardson pass complete to Evan Hull for 31 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
100.0%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Carl Richardson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Zach Evans run for no gain to the Minn 31Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+44
100.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
100.0%
Cole Freeman pass complete to Raymond Niro III for 7 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Cole Freeman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+8
100.0%
Cole Freeman run for 8 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
100.0%
Cole Freeman run for 8 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Cole Freeman pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:57
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q4 14:57
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+2.7
FG · Q3 12:16
Matthew Trickett 41 yd FG GOOD
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com