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PUR

Purdue 31 at Illinois 24

ILL
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:58 · Hugh Robertson punt for 34 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Home team on offense+5.9Pregame prior+8.5Garbage-time factor+1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Score differential+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:40: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 32 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +15.5 pts (now 46%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:57: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 5 yds for a TD — PUR win probability +16.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:13: Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 6 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK) — ILL win probability +18.0 pts (now 66%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:13: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 12 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +24.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:17: Caleb Griffin 38 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +12.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 6PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 10:38PUR 4th & 5 at ILL 26, tied
    Close callWent for it · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:06PUR 4th & 8 at ILL 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:46ILL 4th & 6 at ILL 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:50ILL 4th & 7 at PUR 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    69.5%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:53PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:47ILL 4th & 11 at ILL 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:49PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:58ILL 4th & 10 at ILL 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:53ILL 4th & 10 at PUR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    60.4%−1.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:09ILL 4th & 4 at ILL 48, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:39PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−3.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:24PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 38, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:22PUR 4th & 9 at ILL 32, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    85.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    83.9%−1.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:05PUR 4th & 1 at ILL 8, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%−1.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−5.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:07ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:46PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:33ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:40PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:57PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:13ILL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:13PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 49 yds · 4:2234% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 4 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
66.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+14
66.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 14 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
66.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 15 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
66.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the Illin 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+2
66.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 2 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
66.0%
Shotgun O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete short middle to Sheffield,TJ PENALTY ILL Pass Interference (Smith,Kendall) 6 yards from ILL37 to ILL31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
66.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Dylan DowningSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
66.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 5 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
66.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to TJ SheffieldSimilar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 5
OPP 26
0
65.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne DurhamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:3166% → 69%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
65.7%
Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
66.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Tip Reiman for 11 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
66.3%
Chase Brown run for 15 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
66.3%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+33
65.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 33 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.5%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:0132% → 32%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+26
67.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 26 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
67.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+11
67.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 11 yds to the Illin 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
66.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
66.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
67.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Devin MockobeeSimilar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+44
68.1%
Mitchell Fineran 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2069% → 68%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
68.6%
Reggie Love III run for 4 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
68.7%
Reggie Love III run for no gain to the Illin 31Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
68.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Isaiah WilliamsSimilar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+8
68.2%
Hugh Robertson punt for 56 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 8 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:0531% → 32%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
68.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+13
68.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 13 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
68.4%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
68.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Deion BurksSimilar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+9
68.7%
Shotgun O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete short right to Jones,Charlie, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ILL Pass Interference (Witherspoon,Devon) 9 yards from PUR36 to PUR45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
67.9%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
67.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5170% → 69%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
70.1%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
70.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Michael MarcheseSimilar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
69.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q1 0:50
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
69.2%
Hugh Robertson punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:0731% → 30%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
69.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+2
69.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+4
69.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 4 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
69.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+2
69.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for 2 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+3
69.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 3 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
70.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0670% → 69%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
69.9%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
69.8%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
69.3%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
68.5%
Hugh Robertson punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 2:0132% → 41%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
68.2%
Aidan O'Connell run for 9 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+2
67.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+28
67.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 28 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
66.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the Illin 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
58.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1364% → 74%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.8%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
64.0%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
63.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 7 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+25
64.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 25 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
66.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Tip ReimanSimilar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+14
66.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 14 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
66.5%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
66.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for no gain to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+12
65.8%
Tommy DeVito run for 12 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
74.3%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3829% → 28%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
71.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
71.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to TJ SheffieldSimilar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+5
72.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 5 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
72.0%
Jack Ansell punt for 38 yds , Peyton Vining returns for no gain to the Illin 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5172% → 71%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
72.4%
Reggie Love III run for no gain to the Illin 29Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
72.1%
Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the Illin 28Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+1
72.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Reggie Love III for 1 yd to the Illin 29Similar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
71.1%
Hugh Robertson punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 0:1828% → 46%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
72.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 16 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
70.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
70.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun O'Connell,Aidan pass intercepted by Witherspoon,Devon at ILL29, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ILL Pass Interference (Witherspoon,Devon) 15 yards from ILL47 to ILL32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
54.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 32 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4063% → 62%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
62.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Chase rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ILL29, End Of Play PENALTY ILL Holding (Adams,Isaiah) 10 yards from ILL25 to ILL15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+2
62.4%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 17Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+7
62.1%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Illin 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:0763% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Tip Reiman for 2 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
62.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Devito,Tommy pass incomplete short right to Bryant,Pat PENALTY PUR Pass Interference (Trice,Cory) 15 yards from ILL27 to ILL42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
64.8%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
63.8%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+10
64.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 10 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
65.9%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Prdue 48 Chase Brown fumbled, recovered by Illin Tommy DeVitoSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 48
0
64.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Isaiah WilliamsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+9
62.7%
Tommy DeVito run for 9 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 39
-5
63.7%
PENALTY ILL False Start (Palczewski,Alex) 5 yards from PUR39 to PUR44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
61.4%
Hugh Robertson punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 4:5641% → 61%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
59.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 7 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+5
59.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
59.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 4 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+24
58.7%
Aidan O'Connell run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
50
+6
55.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 6 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
55.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
55.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
55.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to TJ SheffieldSimilar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+34
55.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 34 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
53.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Illin 5Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
53.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q3 6:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
36.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 5 yds for a TDSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
38.9%
PENALTY PUR UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sheffield,TJ) 15 yards from PUR35 to PUR20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17TD
15 plays · 63 yds · 5:3644% → 62%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
44.3%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 39Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
45.8%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Tip ReimanSimilar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+15
43.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Devito,Tommy pass intercepted by Brown,Jamari at PUR20 PENALTY PUR Pass Interference (Brown,Jamari) 15 yards from ILL39 to PUR46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+23
47.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 23 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
50.1%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+5
50.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 5 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
50.0%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the Prdue 13Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+9
50.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 9 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
48.1%
Tommy DeVito run for 2 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
50.1%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Prdue 1Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
50.0%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
48.1%
ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Alex Palczewski) to the Prdue 6Similar
Q3 1:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
66.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 6 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)Similar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+30
62.1%
PURDUE Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Lawrence Johnson) to the Prdue 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 2:5943% → 74%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
57.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 5 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Calvin Avery) to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
53.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Abdur-Rahmaan YaseenSimilar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
54.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete short right PENALTY ILL Roughing The Passer (Newton,Jer'Zhan) 15 yards from PUR43 to ILL42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
52.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+2
51.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+6
52.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete short right to Rice,Mershawn, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ILL Pass Interference (Scott,Xavier) 6 yards from ILL36 to ILL30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
50.3%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Illin 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+15
50.3%
Shotgun O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete short right to Burks,Deion broken up by Brown,Sydney, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ILL Pass Interference (Brown,Sydney) 15 yards from ILL30 to ILL15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
50.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the Illin 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
50.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Devin MockobeeSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+12
26.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 12 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:0036% → 36%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
35.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 10 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
37.9%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+5
38.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Devito,Tommy pass incomplete short left to Hightower,Brian PENALTY PUR Disconcerting Signals 5 yards from ILL44 to ILL49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+1
39.5%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 48Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
38.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Casey WashingtonSimilar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
35.8%
Hugh Robertson punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3072% → 74%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
28.4%
PENALTY PUR UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting ILL UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
28.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
29.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to TJ SheffieldSimilar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+3
30.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 3 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
25.9%
Jack Ansell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · -11 yds · 2:4333% → 24%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
32.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-10
32.6%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Illin 41Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+4
35.9%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
35.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Miles ScottSimilar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-18
33.6%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Khordae Sydnor for a loss of 18 yards to the Illin 27Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 28
OWN 27
-10
30.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Devito,Tommy pass complete deep right to Marchese,Michael for 13 yards to the ILL40, out of bounds at ILL40 PENALTY ILL Holding (Palczewski,Alex) 10 yards from ILL27 to ILL17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 38
OWN 17
+5
30.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 5 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 33
OWN 22
0
23.8%
Hugh Robertson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:3278% → 91%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
22.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
22.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for no gain to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+6
23.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 6 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
8.8%
Jack Ansell punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 23INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:4724% → 23%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.8%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
23.2%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
23.2%
Tommy DeVito pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24FG
11 plays · 25 yds · 2:3294% → 98%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
6.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Illin 32Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
5.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to TJ SheffieldSimilar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
5.9%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Illin 32Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+15
6.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 15 yds to the Illin 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
4.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Illin 12Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+1
4.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Illin 11Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+3
2.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the Illin 8Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+25
2.0%
Mitchell Fineran 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 25FG
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:423% → 17%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
3.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 17 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
3.8%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Chase BrownSimilar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+13
3.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 13 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
4.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 10 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+38
17.3%
Caleb Griffin 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
4.4%
Kneel down by Purdue at ILL41 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:13
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 12 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
-24.1
TD · Q3 1:13
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 6 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)
+18
TD · Q3 6:57
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 5 yds for a TD
-16.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com