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MICH

Michigan 52 at Rutgers 17

RUTG
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD-1.3RUTG 7.2%J.J. McCarthy run for 1 yd for a TD,(Jake Moody KICK)AWAY 14 - HOME 7 · Q1 1:46
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:46 · J.J. McCarthy run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior−43.3Home team on offense−3.5Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:44: Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 3 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK) — RUTG win probability +9.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:24: J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +8.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:53: Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +6.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:42: Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted for a TD Michael Barrett return for 31 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +5.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:23: J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 10MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 8:47MICH 4th & 1 at RUTG 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:49RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:04MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:46MICH 4th & 1 at RUTG 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:33RUTG 4th & 4 at MICH 14, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.3%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:38MICH 4th & 13 at MICH 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:06RUTG 4th & 19 at RUTG 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:42MICH 4th & 4 at RUTG 32, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.6%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:50RUTG 4th & 3 at MICH 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%−0.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−4.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:17MICH 4th & 3 at RUTG 46, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    75.9%
    23% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00MICH 4th & 3 at RUTG 32, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.4%−1.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:17RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−2.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:23RUTG 4th & 10 at MICH 44, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:20MICH 4th & 6 at MICH 12, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:41RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:18MICH 4th & 5 at RUTG 10, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:20RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:32MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 49, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:37RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 8, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:14RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 29, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:47MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:04RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:46MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:44RUTG Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:24MICH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:53MICH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:42MICH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:23MICH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:23MICH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:0896% → 94%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
4.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 35 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
4.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 7 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
4.8%
Blake Corum run for no gain to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-5
4.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+12
5.0%
J.J. McCarthy run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
5.1%
Donovan Edwards run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
5.3%
Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+3
5.4%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+4
5.6%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
5.7%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
5.9%
Blake Corum run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
6.0%
Blake Corum run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q1 8:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.7%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:516% → 6%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
5.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
6.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
5.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:49
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
5.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 54 yds, downed at the Mich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3PUNT TD
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:2794% → 92%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
6.1%
Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+6
6.1%
Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
6.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
6.3%
Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the Mich 36Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-1
6.4%
Blake Corum run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 35Similar
Q1 5:04
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+7
7.8%
Timmy Ward 7 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jude McAtamney Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:1093% → 93%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
50
0
7.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 10
50
+43
7.7%
Blake Corum run for 43 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
7.7%
Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
8.0%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 0
OPP 1
0
8.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, 12 Men on the Field ( Yards) to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
8.3%
Blake Corum run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q1 1:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.2%
J.J. McCarthy run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:037% → 10%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
7.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
7.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+37
7.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 37 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
8.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 16 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
8.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 1 yd to the Mich 19Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+5
9.0%
Rashad Rochelle run for 5 yds to the Mich 14Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
8.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
9.6%
Jude McAtamney 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:4090% → 89%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
9.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+13
9.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 13 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
9.7%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
9.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
10.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-5
10.5%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 22Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
10.6%
Brad Robbins punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:1210% → 10%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
10.3%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
10.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-9
10.2%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Mike Morris for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
10.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 36 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 5:1390% → 88%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
10.2%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Mich 39Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+6
10.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 6 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+5
10.7%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
50
+5
10.4%
Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
10.5%
Donovan Edwards run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
10.7%
A.J. Henning run for no gain to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
11.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 5 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+1
11.4%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+50
12.3%
Jake Moody 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:5313% → 24%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
12.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
12.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Chris Long for 2 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+48
12.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Chris Long for 48 yds to the Mich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
15.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for no gain to the Mich 18Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
16.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+7
15.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 7 yds to the Mich 11Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+8
14.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 8 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
24.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 3 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 36 yds · 1:3479% → 77%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
20.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, Roughing Passer (Aaron Lewis) to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
19.6%
Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
-11
19.2%
J.J. McCarthy sacked by Ifeanyi Maijeh for a loss of 11 yards to the Mich 42Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 15
OWN 42
+12
22.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 12 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+7
21.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 7 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
19.9%
J.J. McCarthy run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+3
18.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 3 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
21.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+50
23.0%
Jake Moody 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:3823% → 25%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
23.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
25.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for no gain to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-10
24.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+10
25.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 10 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+30
25.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 45 yds, downed at the RUTGERS 31 RUTGERS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Mich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:4276% → 83%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
24.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+26
25.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 26 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
23.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Luke SchoonmakerSimilar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
24.2%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+9
25.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Tyler Morris for 9 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
25.1%
Andrel Anthony run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+6
26.2%
Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
17.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:3120% → 20%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
20.4%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-21
19.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Michael Barrett return for 21 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:1584% → 90%
Q3 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
16.3%
Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
9.6%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-31
5.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted for a TD Michael Barrett return for 31 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:046% → 6%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
5.8%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
5.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+28
5.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 28 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
6.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the Mich 36Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 2
OPP 36
-5
6.7%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Kris Jenkins for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 41Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
-3
6.4%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Taylor Upshaw and Mike Morris for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 44Similar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
6.0%
Adam Korsak punt for 36 yds, downed at the Mich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5897% → 97%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
3.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+4
3.5%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Mich 12Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
3.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
3.5%
Brad Robbins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:336% → 5%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
5.7%
Gavin Wimsatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-29
5.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Will Johnson return for 29 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:5297% → 99%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+28
2.9%
Blake Corum run for 28 yds to the Rutgr 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
2.7%
Donovan Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:191% → 1%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
0.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
0.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:41
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+42
0.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 47 yds, downed at the RUTGERS 24 RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Mich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:1299% → 100%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
0.6%
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the Mich 30Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+1
0.6%
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the Mich 31Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+8
0.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 8 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+46
0.5%
Donovan Edwards run for 46 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
0.3%
Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
0.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
0.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:18
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+29
0.3%
Jake Moody 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-6
0.2%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 16
OWN 17
+7
0.2%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+7
0.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 7 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 9:20
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
0.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:33100% → 100%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
0.2%
C.J. Stokes run for 5 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
0.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
0.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:32
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
0.2%
Brad Robbins punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:340% → 0%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
0.2%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
0.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 9
OWN 8
0
0.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 9
OWN 8
-2
0.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 48 yds , A.J. Henning returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 25TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:39100% → 100%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
0.2%
C.J. Stokes run for 3 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+12
0.2%
Davis Warren run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
0.1%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
0.1%
Davis Warren run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+2
0.1%
Isaiah Gash run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+3
0.1%
C.J. Stokes run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
0.1%
C.J. Stokes run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+4
0.1%
C.J. Stokes run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.1%
Isaiah Gash run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
0.1%
Parker Day run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
0.1%
Parker Day run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
0.1%
Parker Day run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
0.1%
Parker Day run for no gain to the Rutgr 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:44
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 3 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)
+9.6
TD · Q3 8:24
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)
-8.7
TD · Q3 6:53
Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)
-6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com