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PSU

Penn State 45 at Indiana 14

IU
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:52 · James Evans punt for 69 yds, downed at the PnSt 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Home team on offense−16.6Pregame prior−20.6Score differential−8.6Garbage-time factor−5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:09: AJ Barner 11 Yd pass from Jack Tuttle (Charles Campbell Kick) — IU win probability +2.6 pts (now 21%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:25: Kaytron Allen 11 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick) — PSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:04: Kaytron Allen 6 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick) — PSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:50: Jake Pinegar 50 Yd Field Goal — PSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:21: Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +5.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9PSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:34PSU 4th & 13 at PSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:36IU 4th & 12 at IU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:34PSU 4th & 7 at IU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    71.6%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:37IU 4th & 1 at IU 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:31PSU 4th & 3 at PSU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:53IU 4th & 2 at IU 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:41IU 4th & 2 at IU 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:16IU 4th & 27 at IU 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−1.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:49PSU 4th & 1 at IU 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    82.7%−2.0
    40% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:50PSU 4th & 10 at IU 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:52IU 4th & 10 at IU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:43PSU 4th & 2 at PSU 26, up 17
    Close callPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:29IU 4th & 3 at IU 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:59PSU 4th & 5 at PSU 34, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:52IU 4th & 3 at PSU 17, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−2.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:33IU 4th & 6 at PSU 45, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:47PSU 4th & 3 at PSU 8, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:25PSU 4th & 4 at IU 28, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:50PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:09IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:25PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:04PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:21PSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:09PSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:51PSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:16IU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:1685% → 84%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.9%
Sean Clifford run for no gain to the PnSt 25Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
15.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 11 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
15.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
15.6%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Brenton Strange for 4 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-9
15.9%
Sean Clifford sacked by Alfred Bryant for a loss of 9 yards to the PnSt 33Similar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
16.1%
Barney Amor punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2416% → 17%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
16.3%
Jack Tuttle sacked by Nick Tarburton for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 17Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 11
OWN 17
-5
16.4%
Shaun Shivers run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 12Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 16
OWN 12
+4
16.6%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Emery Simmons for 4 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 12
OWN 16
0
16.8%
James Evans punt for 38 yds, downed at the PnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:2583% → 84%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
16.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+9
17.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 9 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
17.3%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
17.4%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+10
17.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 10 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
17.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
17.7%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KeAndre Lambert-SmithSimilar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+27
18.1%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 27 yds to the Ind 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
17.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the Ind 1Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
16.3%
Nicholas Singleton 1 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2117% → 21%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
17.1%
Shaun Shivers run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 21Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
17.1%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 4 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
17.1%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Emery Simmons for 14 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+35
17.6%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Andison Coby for 35 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
18.4%
Jack Tuttle run for 6 yds to the PnSt 20Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+15
18.5%
Jack Tuttle run for 15 yds to the PnSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
18.8%
Jack Tuttle run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 11Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
21.4%
AJ Barner 11 Yd pass from Jack Tuttle (Charles Campbell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.3%
Sean Clifford pass intercepted Tiawan Mullen return for no gain to the PnSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · -13 yds · 2:5022% → 22%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
21.5%
Josh Henderson run for 8 yds to the PnSt 23Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 2
OPP 23
-2
21.6%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 25Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+6
21.9%
Jack Tuttle run for 6 yds to the PnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
22.6%
Josh Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 23Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 14
OPP 23
-9
22.6%
Jack Tuttle sacked by Adisa Isaac for a loss of 9 yards to the PnSt 32Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 23
OPP 32
-5
22.6%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Joshua Sales Jr.) to the PnSt 37Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 28
OPP 37
-7
22.9%
Jack Tuttle sacked by Ji'Ayir Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 44Similar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 35
OPP 44
0
22.4%
James Evans punt for 42 yds, downed at the PnSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 53 yds · 2:2678% → 77%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
22.3%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 11 yds to the PnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+21
22.2%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 6 yds to the PnSt 19 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Christopher Keys) to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
21.9%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (Bryce Effner) to the PnSt 29Similar
Q1 0:18
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+5
22.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 5 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
22.7%
Sean Clifford run for 4 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+14
22.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 14 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
22.0%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
22.0%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
22.2%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KeAndre Lambert-SmithSimilar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
23.2%
Barney Amor punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5325% → 25%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
24.5%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
24.7%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Javon Swinton for 3 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+6
24.4%
Jack Tuttle run for 6 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
24.5%
James Evans punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Parker Washington at the PnSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4776% → 75%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
23.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+3
24.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PnSt 36Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+3
24.7%
Sean Clifford run for 3 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
25.5%
Barney Amor punt for 51 yds, downed at the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:2027% → 26%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
26.7%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Emery Simmons for 8 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 2
OWN 18
0
27.1%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
26.2%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Jaylin LucasSimilar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 2
OWN 18
+19
26.0%
James Evans punt for 39 yds , Parker Washington returns for 19 yds to the Ind 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 38 yds · 0:1576% → 81%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+27
24.0%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 27 yds to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
18.8%
Kaytron Allen 11 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3421% → 20%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
20.6%
D.J. Matthews Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 21Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+7
20.6%
Jack Tuttle run for 7 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
19.9%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 5 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+2
20.2%
James Evans punt for 54 yds , Parker Washington returns for 2 yds to the PnSt 15 Parker Washington fumbled, recovered by PnSt Tyler HolzworthSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:3180% → 86%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+29
20.2%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Theo Johnson for 29 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
18.9%
Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to Johnson, Theo, PENALTY INDIANA personal foul (Matthews, Devon) 15 yards to the INDIANA41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.Similar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
18.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
18.6%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Kaytron AllenSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+7
18.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
18.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+8
18.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the Ind 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
18.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 12 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
13.6%
Kaytron Allen 6 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 1:3815% → 14%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
14.7%
Jack Tuttle sacked by Dvon Ellies for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-1
14.6%
Brendan Sorsby sacked by Chop Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 15Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-7
14.4%
Brendan Sorsby sacked by Coziah Izzard for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 8Similar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 27
OWN 8
+4
14.2%
James Evans punt for 42 yds , Parker Washington returns for 4 yds to the Ind 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15FG
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:2287% → 91%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
13.4%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
13.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 5 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+4
13.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+4
11.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
11.0%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Theo JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
10.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
11.1%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+50
8.9%
Jake Pinegar 50 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:2713% → 13%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
12.8%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
12.7%
Jaylin Lucas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3812% → 11%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
11.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
11.6%
Jaylin Lucas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
11.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jaylin LucasSimilar
Q3 13:52
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
11.4%
James Evans punt for 69 yds, downed at the PnSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:0289% → 89%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
11.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 12 yds to the PnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
11.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PnSt 20Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
10.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the PnSt 20Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+6
11.0%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 6 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+12
10.8%
Barney Amor punt for 44 yds , Connor Delp returns for 12 yds to the Ind 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:1212% → 12%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
12.2%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-3
12.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted Kalen King return for no gain to the PnSt 45 PENN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (3 Yards) to the PnSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:3990% → 97%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
10.4%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 6Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+3
10.4%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PnSt 9Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+25
10.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Brenton Strange for 25 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+45
10.0%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 45 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
8.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 9 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+6
8.8%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Theo Johnson for 6 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
3.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:414% → 4%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
4.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 9 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-2
4.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 32Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
4.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
4.1%
James Evans punt for 50 yds, downed at the PnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:1697% → 97%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-8
3.3%
Singleton, Nicholas rush for 4 yards to the PENNST22, PENALTY PENNST holding (Shelton, Drew) 8 yards to the PENNST10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 18
OWN 10
+9
3.3%
Drew Allar pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 9 yds to the PnSt 19Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+10
3.3%
Drew Allar run for 10 yds to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
3.0%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
2.9%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+1
2.9%
Drew Allar run for 1 yd to the PnSt 34Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
3.0%
Gabriel Nwosu punt for 36 yds, downed at the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23INT
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:534% → 4%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
3.5%
Josh Henderson run for 23 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
3.7%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to AJ Barner for 13 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
3.9%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 10 yds to the PnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
4.0%
Dexter Williams II pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
3.8%
Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the PnSt 19Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+2
3.8%
Dexter Williams II run for 2 yds to the PnSt 17Similar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 3
OPP 17
-20
3.7%
Dexter Williams II pass intercepted Dani Dennis-Sutton return for 20 yds to the PnSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:2198% → 100%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
2.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+15
2.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 15 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
2.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+16
2.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 16 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
2.0%
Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+4
2.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 4 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
1.8%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+10
1.8%
Allar, Drew pass incomplete, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference 10 yards to the INDIANA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.Similar
Q3 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
1.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.8%
Drew Allar run for no gain to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-18
0.4%
Dexter Williams II pass intercepted Daequan Hardy return for 18 yds to the Ind 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 26TD
1 play · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:080% → 0%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
0.2%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Josh Henderson for 9 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+2
0.2%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
0.2%
Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
0.2%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+11
0.2%
Dexter Williams II run for 11 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
0.2%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Kahlil Benson) to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
0.2%
Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 15
OWN 46
0
0.2%
Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+9
0.2%
Josh Henderson run for 9 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
0.1%
James Evans punt for 44 yds, downed at the PnSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
0.3%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Omari EvansSimilar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+3
0.3%
Tank Smith run for 3 yds to the PnSt 4Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 7
OWN 4
-2
0.3%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (Amin Vanover) to the PnSt 2Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+6
0.3%
Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 6 yds to the PnSt 8Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
0.3%
Gabriel Nwosu punt for 32 yds, downed at the PnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 29TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
0.1%
Jaylin Lucas run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 41Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
0.1%
Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+21
0.1%
Dexter Williams II run for 6 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Amin Vanover) to the PnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
0.1%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the PnSt 17Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+2
0.1%
Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the PnSt 15Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+9
0.1%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Javon Swinton for 9 yds to the PnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
0.1%
Dexter Williams II run for 5 yds to the PnSt 1Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 30END OF GAME
11 plays · 43 yds · 5:50100% → 100%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
0.2%
Tank Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 49Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+17
0.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 17 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
0.2%
Tank Smith run for 4 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
0.1%
Tank Smith run for 2 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
0.1%
Tank Smith run for no gain to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+9
0.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 9 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
0.1%
Tank Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 20Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+9
0.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Holzworth for 9 yds to the Ind 11Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+3
0.1%
Tyler Holzworth run for 3 yds to the Ind 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
0.1%
Tyler Holzworth run for 2 yds to the Ind 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:21
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)
-5.6
TD · Q2 9:25
Kaytron Allen 11 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)
-5.2
TD · Q2 5:04
Kaytron Allen 6 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)
-5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com