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IOWA

Iowa 24 at Purdue 3

PUR
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.5PUR 37.9%Drew Stevens 26 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 0 · Q2 6:11
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:11 · Drew Stevens 26 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense−16.8Score differential−6.5Garbage-time factor−3.4Pregame prior+4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:23: Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 16 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +6.6 pts (now 51%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:53: Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 29 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +8.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 11:32: Kaleb Johnson run for 44 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST down — IOWA win probability +7.1 pts (now 61%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:43: Kaleb Johnson run for 75 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +14.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. PUNT · Q3 7:21: Jack Ansell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the Iowa 11 — IOWA win probability +7.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 8 of 12IOWA made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 12:42PUR 4th & 7 at IOWA 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:31IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:54PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:51IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:40PUR 4th & 4 at IOWA 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:11IOWA 4th & 8 at PUR 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−7.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:40PUR 4th & 17 at IOWA 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:48IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.6%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:12PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.3
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:14IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 42, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:14PUR 4th & 1 at IOWA 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    17.9%−3.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    18.8%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:21PUR 4th & 13 at IOWA 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−1.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%−1.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:13IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 16, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:27PUR 4th & 13 at IOWA 38, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    8.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:00IOWA 4th & 13 at midfield, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:25PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:13IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:56PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−0.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:31IOWA 4th & 8 at PUR 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−1.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:31IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 44, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:23IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:53IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:43IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:1857% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
56.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 6 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
56.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 18 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
56.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
57.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 3 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
57.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
57.1%
Jack Ansell punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:1143% → 43%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
56.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
56.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
56.9%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
56.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 3 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
56.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
57.0%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
57.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:3757% → 57%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
57.2%
Dylan Downing run for 6 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+15
57.3%
O'CONNELL, Aidan pass to the left incomplete intended for JONES, Charlie thrown to the PUR39. PENALTY IOW Holding on MOSS, Riley enforced 15 yards from the PUR26 to the PUR41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
57.5%
Dylan Downing run for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
57.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+3
57.1%
Aidan O'Connell run for 3 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
57.0%
Jack Ansell punt for 33 yds, downed at the Iowa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:0343% → 43%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
56.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Diante Vines for 9 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+4
56.5%
Arland Bruce IV run for 4 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
56.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
56.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
56.8%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
57.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 55 yds, downed at the Prdue 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:1158% → 58%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
57.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+41
57.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 41 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
58.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+2
58.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
58.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
58.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 40 yds, downed at the Iowa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 4:1742% → 51%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
58.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+41
57.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 41 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
56.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+1
55.9%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+6
56.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-8
55.6%
Spencer Petras sacked by Lawrence Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 18
OPP 40
+10
56.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Diante Vines for 10 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+14
55.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 14 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
48.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 16 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4551% → 51%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
51.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 2 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
51.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:3851% → 61%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
49.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 22 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
48.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
39.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 29 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9INT
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:2145% → 46%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
45.2%
Tyrone Tracy run for 5 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+24
45.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 24 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
46.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+10
45.4%
O'CONNELL, Aidan pass to the left intercepted by MOSS, Riley at the IOW5 intended for SHEFFIELD, TJ. Moss return for -4 yards to the IOW1, End of Play, clock 11:41. PENALTY IOW Holding on MOSS, Riley enforced 10 yards from the IOW36 to the IOW26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
46.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10FG
11 plays · 77 yds · 5:2161% → 62%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+44
38.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 44 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
37.9%
Spencer Petras sacked by Jack Sullivan for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 49Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 20
OWN 49
+14
38.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 14 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+24
38.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 24 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
37.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+2
37.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
37.1%
PETRAS, Spencer pass to the left incomplete intended for POTTEBAUM, Monte thrown to the PUR2. PENALTY PUR Holding on TRICE, Cory enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the PUR2 to the PUR1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
37.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 3Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
37.2%
Arland Bruce IV run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 6Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
37.4%
Spencer Petras sacked by Lawrence Johnson and Khordae Sydnor for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 8Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
37.9%
Drew Stevens 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:2737% → 34%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
36.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-6
36.7%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+12
35.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 12 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+10
37.1%
O'CONNELL, Aidan pass to the right incomplete intended for DURHAM, Payne thrown to the PUR40. PENALTY IOW Holding on DEJEAN, Cooper enforced 10 yards from the PUR39 to the PUR49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
38.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
38.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 4 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+15
38.2%
IOWA Penalty, Personal Foul (Lukas Van Ness) to the Iowa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
39.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 15 yds to the Iowa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
40.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
39.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
39.0%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Lukas Van Ness for a loss of 15 yards to the Iowa 17Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+34
34.0%
Mitchell Fineran 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:5272% → 72%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
28.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
27.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
27.4%
Spencer Petras run for no gain to the Iowa 34Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
27.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4826% → 28%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
26.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for no gain to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
26.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 4 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
26.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
27.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:1770% → 84%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.0%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
15.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 75 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2420% → 19%
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
20.3%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Prdue 14Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+7
20.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q3 14:36
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
20.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 3
OWN 21
+17
19.1%
Jack Ansell punt for 59 yds , Cooper DeJean returns for 17 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5886% → 87%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
14.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
14.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+5
15.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Leshon Williams for 5 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
13.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 38 yds, downed at the Prdue 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 36 yds · 4:5318% → 12%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
18.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for 15 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
18.6%
Dylan Downing run for 6 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+7
19.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 7 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
19.9%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
19.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 3 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+5
19.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 5 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+2
20.0%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
20.3%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
20.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
19.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 8
OPP 39
-5
19.8%
PURDUE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Aidan O'Connell) to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
12.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the Iowa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0892% → 94%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-3
8.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 8Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 13
OWN 8
+5
8.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+3
8.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 3 yds to the Iowa 16Similar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
6.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 29 yds, downed at the Iowa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:469% → 7%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
9.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
10.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
10.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-5
9.6%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Deontae Craig for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 38Similar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 13
OPP 38
0
7.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:2795% → 96%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
4.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+7
4.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 7 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
4.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-4
4.6%
Arland Bruce IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+2
4.7%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 8
OPP 45
-5
5.2%
IOWA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Spencer Petras) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 13
50
0
3.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:355% → 3%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
5.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+1
5.2%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
5.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+11
5.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 11 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
5.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
5.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for no gain to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
5.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
3.4%
Jack Ansell punt for 31 yds, downed at the Iowa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:1297% → 98%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-9
3.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 23Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 19
OWN 23
+5
3.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+2
3.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Leshon Williams for 2 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
2.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:173% → 3%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
2.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 3 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
2.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 5 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
3.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
2.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2598% → 98%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
1.8%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+1
1.9%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
1.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:31
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+44
1.9%
Drew Stevens 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 2:473% → 1%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
2.5%
Dylan Downing run for 7 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+9
2.6%
Dylan Downing run for 9 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
2.6%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
2.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-15
2.5%
O'CONNELL, Aidan pass up the middle complete for 4 yards to SHEFFIELD, TJ caught at the PUR46 and advanced to the PUR48 (SCHULTE, Quinn). PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on SHEFFIELD, TJ enforced 15 yards to the PUR29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 23
OWN 29
-9
2.3%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Joe Evans for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 32
OWN 20
0
1.3%
Brendan Cropsey punt for 47 yds, downed at the Iowa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:1399% → 99%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
1.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 12 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
1.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+1
1.0%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
1.1%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 6
OWN 49
-5
1.1%
IOWA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Tory Taylor) to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
0.8%
Tory Taylor punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:311% → 1%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
1.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
1.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
1.1%
Austin Burton run for 4 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
1.1%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+3
0.7%
Austin Burton run for 3 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:43
Kaleb Johnson run for 75 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)
-14.2
TD · Q2 12:53
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 29 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)
-8.9
PUNT · Q3 7:21
Jack Ansell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the Iowa 11
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com