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MINN

Minnesota 20 at Nebraska 13

NEB
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:41 · Mark Crawford punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 93Pregame prior−15.8Home team on offense+6.5Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential+1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:25: Timeout MINNESOTA, clock 02:25 — NEB win probability +10.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:20: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +17.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 14:02: Matthew Trickett 49 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +4.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:22: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +15.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:49: Timmy Bleekrode 26 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +9.3 pts (now 23%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 9 of 11MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 8:49MINN 4th & 19 at MINN 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:18NEB 4th & 6 at MINN 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:01MINN 4th & 13 at NEB 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    66.2%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:43NEB 4th & 12 at NEB 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−2.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:17MINN 4th & 23 at MINN 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−2.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:33NEB 4th & 11 at MINN 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:18MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 41, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:52NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−3.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:30MINN 4th & 7 at NEB 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−8.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:17NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:41MINN 4th & 8 at NEB 36, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%−0.4
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:21NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 16, up 7
    Close callPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:21NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 16, up 7
    Close callPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:24NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−1.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:02MINN 4th & 8 at NEB 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−3.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:06NEB 4th & 10 at MINN 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−0.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:49NEB 4th & 5 at MINN 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−4.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:25MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 47, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%−2.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:13NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.9%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:46NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:20MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:22MINN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1416% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
15.6%
Anthony Grant run for 36 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
15.6%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 4 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+1
15.6%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Minn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+12
15.6%
Anthony Grant run for 12 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
15.6%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for 9 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+2
15.6%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Minn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
15.6%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Minn 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+3
15.6%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Minn 2Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
18.8%
Chubba Purdy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:5181% → 80%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
18.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
18.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 24Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
18.7%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 19
OWN 11
0
20.4%
Mark Crawford punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:3121% → 25%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
20.5%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
20.4%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 4
50
+13
20.4%
Chubba Purdy run for 13 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
20.5%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
20.5%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for 6 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+11
20.4%
Chubba Purdy run for 11 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
20.6%
Anthony Grant run for 11 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
20.6%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Minn 7Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
20.6%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Minn 6Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
20.4%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q1 4:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
24.8%
Timmy Bleekrode 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 5:0976% → 70%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
23.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Michael Brown-StephensSimilar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
24.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 11 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
23.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+8
23.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 8 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
23.3%
Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Minn 49Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+7
23.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 7 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
23.2%
Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
27.6%
Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+1
27.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 44
0
28.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-FordSimilar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
30.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:1830% → 33%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
29.8%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+5
29.9%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 5 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
30.0%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for 10 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
30.1%
Chubba Purdy sacked by Cody Lindenberg for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 12
OWN 32
0
29.8%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
29.4%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Alante BrownSimilar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 12
OWN 32
+8
32.6%
Brian Buschini punt for 54 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 8 yds to the Minn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 2:2666% → 59%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
34.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Kristen Hoskins for 3 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+3
34.2%
Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the Minn 16 Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by Minn Tanner MorganSimilar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 16
OWN 16
-7
34.9%
Tanner Morgan sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 9Similar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 23
OWN 9
0
40.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Minn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4439% → 40%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
39.3%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Lutovsky,Henry) 5 yards from MIN48 to NEB47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+1
38.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 14
OWN 48
-4
38.3%
Chubba Purdy sacked by Mariano Sori-Marin for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 18
OWN 44
+7
37.5%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 7 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
40.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 4:1559% → 50%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
41.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
41.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
41.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
40.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Morgan,Tanner pass incomplete short right to Brown-Stephens,Michael broken up by Buford Jr.,Marques PENALTY MIN Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Schmitz,John Michael) 5 yards from MIN32 to MIN27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+12
41.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 12 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
39.6%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
39.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 41Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
49.8%
Mark Crawford punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2649% → 49%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
49.4%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 19Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
49.0%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
49.9%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
49.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:5248% → 47%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
51.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 3 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-6
52.7%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Ty Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:3051% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
49.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 8 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
47.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
48.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Le'Meke BrockingtonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+16
48.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 16 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
46.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 9 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+7
46.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
45.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+2
44.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
46.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Le'Meke BrockingtonSimilar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
49.4%
Matthew Trickett 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:1352% → 55%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.2%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
51.8%
Chubba Purdy run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
56.3%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+14
55.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 61 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 14 yds to the Minn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:3646% → 44%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+38
54.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 38 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
50.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
50.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
50.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Michael Brown-StephensSimilar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
55.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:2061% → 60%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
60.6%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+2
60.8%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
59.7%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Oliver MartinSimilar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
60.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 57 ydsSimilar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
60.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 3:0142% → 66%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+45
58.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 45 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
53.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 16 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
51.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+13
51.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 13 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
51.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
33.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5644% → 42%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.0%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
44.6%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
42.2%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Nate BoerkircherSimilar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+6
42.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 56 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 6 yds to the Minn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:2260% → 67%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
40.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+8
38.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
38.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+10
37.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
37.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 16 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
36.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
36.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Michael Brown-StephensSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
37.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+49
33.4%
Matthew Trickett 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18INT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5238% → 36%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
37.5%
PENALTY NEB Delay Of Game 5 yards from NEB25 to NEB20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
37.0%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
36.8%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
35.8%
Chubba Purdy pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19TD
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:4871% → 90%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
29.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+8
26.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
25.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+5
25.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+6
27.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
25.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
9.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 4:3312% → 23%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
12.4%
Logan Smothers run for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
12.9%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Trey Palmer for 7 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
13.2%
Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+9
14.7%
Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
15.1%
Logan Smothers sacked by Lucas Finnessy for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 46Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
14.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Minn 46Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+1
13.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 6:06
4TH & 10
OPP 45
+32
10.5%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Marcus Washington for 32 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
15.0%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Minn 13Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+5
15.0%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Anthony Grant for 5 yds to the Minn 8Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
13.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
23.0%
Timmy Bleekrode 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 2:2487% → 94%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
12.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
11.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 38Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
10.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 3 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+6
9.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
6.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:1216% → 11%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
16.1%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 13Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 9
OWN 13
-2
15.9%
Logan Smothers sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 11Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+31
15.4%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Marcus Washington for 31 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
18.8%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Trey Palmer for 5 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
20.0%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Chancellor BrewingtonSimilar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
18.8%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Alante BrownSimilar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
11.2%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 1:1398% → 95%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
2.4%
Kneel down by Minnesota at NEB49 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-3
4.7%
Kneel down by Minnesota at MIN48 for loss of 3 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:20
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-17.5
TD · Q4 9:22
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-15.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 2:25
Timeout MINNESOTA, clock 02:25
+10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com