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ILL

Illinois 26 at Nebraska 9

NEB
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:01 · Hugh Robertson punt for 52 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Home team on offense−45.8Pregame prior−1.0Score differential−22.1Garbage-time factor−11.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−11.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:38: Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 56 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode PAT BLOCKED) — NEB win probability +5.6 pts (now 43%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:03: Chase Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK) — ILL win probability +7.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:23: Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 12 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK) — ILL win probability +9.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:29: Caleb Griffin 36 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +5.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:00: Chase Brown run for no gain to the Neb 25 — ILL win probability +4.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 8:41ILL 4th & 4 at ILL 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:03NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 39, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:04ILL 4th & 3 at ILL 41, up 6
    Close callPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:49NEB 4th & 2 at ILL 8, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%−0.7
    90% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:02ILL 4th & 24 at NEB 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:29ILL 4th & 12 at ILL 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−2.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:31NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:38NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:29ILL 4th & 1 at NEB 18, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.0%−2.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−8.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:00NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 26, down 14
    Close callPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:26ILL 4th & 8 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:12ILL 4th & 8 at NEB 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−5.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:32NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:01ILL 4th & 8 at ILL 48, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:46NEB 4th & 22 at NEB 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ILL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:33ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:38NEB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:03ILL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:23ILL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1270% → 70%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
29.9%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+20
30.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Tip Reiman for 20 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
30.2%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 9
50
+4
30.3%
Tommy DeVito run for 4 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+46
30.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 46 yds for a TD, (Fabrizio Pinton PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2INT
7 plays · 44 yds · 1:1931% → 31%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
30.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 19 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
30.9%
Casey Thompson run for 3 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+22
31.2%
Anthony Grant run for 22 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
31.5%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
31.6%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
31.4%
Casey Thompson pass intercepted Jartavius Martin return for no gain to the Illin 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:1069% → 68%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
31.0%
ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Alex Pihlstrom) to the Illin 12Similar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 15
OWN 12
-1
31.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 11Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 16
OWN 11
+6
31.3%
Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 17Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+6
31.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the Illin 23Similar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
31.8%
Hugh Robertson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Neb 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3232% → 32%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
31.5%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Brody BeltSimilar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
31.6%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+1
31.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 1 yd to the Neb 39Similar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+24
31.8%
Brian Buschini punt for 51 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for 24 yds to the Illin 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4668% → 68%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
31.6%
Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-3
31.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Hank Beatty for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 35Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+6
32.2%
Tommy DeVito run for 6 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q1 5:04
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
31.9%
Hugh Robertson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6FG
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:1132% → 35%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
32.1%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+4
32.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 4 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+15
32.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 15 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
32.8%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+45
32.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 45 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
34.6%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
34.7%
Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the Illin 8Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
33.6%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Illin 8Similar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+26
34.7%
Timmy Bleekrode 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 36 yds · 4:3866% → 64%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
34.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Tip Reiman for 19 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
33.4%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+12
33.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 12 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
33.4%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+8
33.1%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+8
33.1%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
32.7%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Neb 25Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
33.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 3 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-12
33.6%
Isaiah Williams sacked by Quinton Newsome for a loss of 12 yards to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 19
OPP 34
-5
35.9%
ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Hunter Whitenack) to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 24
OPP 39
0
36.0%
Hugh Robertson punt for 32 yds, downed at the Neb 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8TD
5 plays · 93 yds · 1:5236% → 43%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
36.1%
Jaquez Yant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 5Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+32
36.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 32 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
37.1%
Jaquez Yant run for no gain to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
37.3%
Casey Thompson run for 7 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+56
42.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 56 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0158% → 55%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
41.7%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 24Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
42.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-7
43.2%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Isaac Gifford for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 23Similar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
45.0%
Hugh Robertson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5344% → 42%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
44.4%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Rahmir JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
44.1%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 11
OWN 29
-37
42.4%
Casey Thompson pass intercepted Sydney Brown return for 37 yds to the Neb 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:2260% → 68%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
39.9%
Chase Brown run for 10 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.1%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0935% → 35%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
35.2%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Trey Palmer for 1 yd to the Neb 26Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
35.1%
Logan Smothers run for 7 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
36.1%
Logan Smothers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 4:31
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
34.6%
Brian Buschini punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:5766% → 79%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
34.5%
Chase Brown run for 9 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+5
33.8%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
33.3%
Chase Brown run for 21 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
31.7%
Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+8
31.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 8 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
30.6%
Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+3
30.7%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+2
31.2%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
30.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Ford for 15 yds to the Neb 2 ILLINOIS Penalty, Illegal Block (Tip Reiman) to the Neb 12Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 5
OPP 12
0
30.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
21.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 12 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
24.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:0225% → 23%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
24.6%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Anthony Grant for 7 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
25.4%
Chubba Purdy run for 3 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
24.8%
Chubba Purdy run for 2 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
26.6%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Chancellor BrewingtonSimilar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-5
26.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Trent Hixson) to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 15
OWN 47
0
25.2%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 15
OWN 47
0
24.3%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
23.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 44 yds, downed at the Illin 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:3975% → 76%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
24.6%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 17Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+6
23.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds Isaiah Williams fumbled, recovered by Neb Quinton NewsomeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:5027% → 25%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
27.4%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
27.3%
Chubba Purdy run for no gain to the Illin 23Similar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-22
24.5%
Chubba Purdy pass intercepted Sydney Brown return for 10 yds to the Illin 13 ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the Illin 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 7:1677% → 88%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
23.2%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 13Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+5
23.2%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+8
22.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 8 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
22.1%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+3
21.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Reggie Love III for 3 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+3
21.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 3 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
21.1%
Chase Brown run for 17 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
19.6%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 48Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-10
19.8%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaiah Adams) to the Illin 42Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 22
OWN 42
+31
20.4%
Tommy DeVito run for 16 yds to the NEBRASKA 42 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
18.8%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+3
17.4%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+3
17.4%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+36
12.2%
Caleb Griffin 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:0014% → 12%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
13.6%
Anthony Grant run for 10 yds to the Neb 28 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 18Similar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
13.5%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 18Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+8
13.2%
Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
12.8%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for no gain to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
12.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:1989% → 91%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
11.1%
Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+18
10.8%
Tommy DeVito run for 18 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
9.6%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
8.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Tip ReimanSimilar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+2
8.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 2 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 13:45
4TH & 3
OPP 45
-5
9.1%
ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 8
50
0
9.1%
Hugh Robertson punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
11.5%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Neb 25 Anthony Grant fumbled, forced by Jartavius Martin, recovered by Illin Jer'Zhan NewtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4893% → 94%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
7.2%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-1
7.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 26Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+3
6.9%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
5.8%
Caleb Griffin 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:277% → 5%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
6.5%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-2
5.6%
Jaquez Yant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+8
5.3%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Marcus Washington for 8 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 9:32
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
5.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24PUNT
13 plays · 25 yds · 5:5995% → 98%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-7
4.9%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 26 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Illin 16Similar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 17
OWN 16
+3
4.9%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 19Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+9
4.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 9 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+6
3.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
3.3%
Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
2.7%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 40Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+6
2.5%
Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
2.0%
Reggie Love III run for no gain to the Illin 46Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
1.9%
Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-1
1.6%
Reggie Love III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 48Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
1.7%
Hugh Robertson punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:442% → 2%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
2.1%
Chubba Purdy sacked by Kenenna Odeluga for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+4
1.7%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-10
1.7%
Chubba Purdy sacked by Jer'Zhan Newton for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 8Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 22
OWN 8
0
1.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 55 yds, downed at the Illin 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:2099% → 99%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
1.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 36Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-1
1.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:23
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 12 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q2 6:03
Chase Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)
-7.8
TD · Q2 9:38
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 56 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode PAT BLOCKED)
+5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com