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RUTG

Rutgers 0 at Minnesota 31

MINN
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:51 · Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Pregame prior+14.9Home team on offense+16.0Score differential+7.0Garbage-time factor+5.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 0:00: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST down — RUTG win probability +2.6 pts (now 21%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:20: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +3.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:14: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +3.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:08: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 28 — MINN win probability +2.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:19: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 28 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 9:47RUTG 4th & 8 at MINN 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    18.9%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:17RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:14MINN 4th & 1 at RUTG 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    79.9%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−4.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:01MINN 4th & 6 at RUTG 39, up 14
    Close callPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−0.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:29RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:51MINN 4th & 10 at RUTG 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:32RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:29MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:33RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:39MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:21RUTG 4th & 6 at MINN 49, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:55RUTG 4th & 10 at MINN 36, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:06MINN 4th & 13 at RUTG 13, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:20MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:14MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:19MINN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:20MINN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 5:1317% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
83.1%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
83.1%
Aron Cruickshank run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+18
83.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 18 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
83.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
83.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+13
83.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 13 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
83.1%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
83.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+3
83.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
81.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 35 yds, downed at the Minn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2TD
20 plays · 99 yds · 10:2782% → 83%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
81.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 2Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+8
81.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the Minn 10Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+1
81.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
81.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 14Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+8
81.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
81.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+2
81.8%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+6
81.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
81.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
81.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 2 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+15
81.6%
Tanner Morgan run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
82.0%
POTTS, Trey rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the RUT43 (IGBINOSUN, Desmond). PENALTY RUT Offsides on IZIEN, Christian enforced 5 yards from the RUT46 to the RUT41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 5
OPP 41
+2
82.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+8
82.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
82.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 14 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
82.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+2
82.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+3
79.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
79.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:5518% → 18%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
81.8%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+3
81.8%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 4
OWN 14
-5
82.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
82.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
82.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 77 yds, downed at the Minn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4TD
15 plays · 86 yds · 7:0382% → 87%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+18
81.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 18 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
82.0%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
81.9%
Tanner Morgan run for no gain to the Minn 32Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+11
81.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 11 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
82.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+21
83.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 21 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
83.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+7
83.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+8
83.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
83.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
83.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
83.0%
Michael Brown-Stephens run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5613% → 14%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.0%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
87.1%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass to the left complete for 7 yards to LONG, Chris caught at the RUT27 and advanced to the RUT33 (WALLEY, Justin). PENALTY UMN Holding on SMITH, Terell enforced 10 yards from the RUT26 to the RUT36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
86.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Chris Long for 9 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-2
86.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 43 Gavin Wimsatt fumbled, recovered by Minn Jah JoynerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1788% → 88%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
88.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 1 yd to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+3
88.1%
Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
87.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
87.7%
Mark Crawford punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:3212% → 12%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
87.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
87.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
87.4%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 5
OWN 20
-5
87.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Shameen Jones) to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
87.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 63 yds , Quentin Redding returns for no gain to the Minn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:2990% → 89%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
89.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+4
89.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+2
88.9%
Tanner Morgan run for 2 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 5:0989% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
89.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
89.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+5
88.6%
MORGAN, Tanner pass to the left incomplete intended for BROWN-STEPHENS, Michael thrown to the UMN37; QB hurried by LEWIS, Aaron. PENALTY RUT Pass Interference on LOYAL, Shaquan enforced at the spot of the foul for 5 yards to the UMN38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
89.4%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
89.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 4 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+10
89.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
89.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-10
89.5%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chuck Filiaga) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
50
0
89.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
50
+4
88.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 4 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
89.7%
Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:1911% → 10%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
89.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+11
88.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 11 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
88.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 12 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
88.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Ireland Brown) to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 15
OWN 43
0
89.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 15
OWN 43
0
89.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 15
OWN 43
0
89.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
90.0%
Adam Korsak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 5:0391% → 93%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
91.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 21Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
91.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-5
91.0%
MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (Nathan Boe) to the Minn 24Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+9
91.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 9 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
91.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
91.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 9 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
91.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
91.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 43Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+5
91.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 5 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
91.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
93.4%
Mark Crawford punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:569% → 8%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
91.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 5 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
91.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
91.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 4:5494% → 93%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
94.3%
Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
94.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+5
94.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
94.9%
IBRAHIM, Mohamed rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the RUT46 (YOUNG, Avery). PENALTY UMN Holding on SPANN-FORD, Brevyn enforced 10 yards from the UMN44 to the UMN34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+1
94.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 35
0
94.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 35
+8
94.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 8 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
94.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 22Similar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
92.8%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for CRUICKSHANK, Aron thrown to the RUT38. PENALTY RUT Holding on LANGAN, Johnny enforced 10 yards from the RUT22 to the RUT12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14INT
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:317% → 7%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+1
92.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 19
OWN 13
0
93.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:4996% → 99%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
95.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+28
98.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 28 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 3:241% → 1%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+14
98.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
98.8%
Noah Vedral run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
98.8%
Noah Vedral run for 3 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
98.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for no gain to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 6
OPP 49
+13
98.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 13 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
98.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Curtis Dunlap Jr.) to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 15
OPP 41
0
98.8%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 15
OPP 41
0
98.8%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 15
OPP 41
+5
98.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Chris Long for 5 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q4 6:55
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
98.9%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:4999% → 100%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.4%
Trey Potts run for 7 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+40
99.4%
Trey Potts run for 40 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
99.6%
Bryce Williams run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 2
OPP 9
0
99.7%
Bryce Williams run for no gain to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+2
99.7%
Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.7%
Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.7%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Block (Daniel Jackson) to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-1
99.8%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
99.8%
Matthew Trickett 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18INT
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:441% → 1%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.5%
Noah Vedral sacked by Danny Striggow and Jah Joyner for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
99.5%
Noah Vedral pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
100.0%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:14
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+3.8
TD · Q4 10:19
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 28 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q2 14:20
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com