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NU

Northwestern 13 at Iowa 33

IOWA
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:20 · Luke Akers punt for 36 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 4 yds to the Iowa 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+27.1Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:31: Spencer Petras run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +2.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 2:45: Drew Stevens 24 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +3.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:22: Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 6 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +8.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:17: Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Duke Olges for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Stage KICK) — NU win probability +8.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 1:20: Drew Stevens 54 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +2.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:01IOWA 4th & 4 at NU 11, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.4%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:20NU 4th & 21 at NU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:03IOWA 4th & 1 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:45IOWA 4th & 6 at NU 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−4.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:36NU 4th & 18 at NU 17, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:05NU 4th & 1 at NU 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:15NU 4th & 1 at NU 44, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:46NU 4th & 9 at NU 47, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:51IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 22, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:17NU 4th & 1 at IOWA 1, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    -1.4%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:20IOWA 4th & 15 at NU 36, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%
    42% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:04NU 4th & 7 at NU 27, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:11IOWA 4th & 7 at NU 7, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−2.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:23NU 4th & 2 at NU 33, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:52NU 4th & 20 at NU 28, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:31IOWA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:22IOWA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:17NU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:13IOWA Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 4:5381% → 80%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
80.6%
Arland Bruce IV run for 8 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+18
80.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 18 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
80.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 15 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
80.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+7
80.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
80.1%
Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the Nwest 15Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+6
80.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brody Brecht for 6 yds to the Nwest 9Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 2
OPP 9
-2
79.8%
Gavin Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 11Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
79.8%
Drew Stevens 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:4020% → 20%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.6%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
79.6%
Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
79.6%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 7 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
79.2%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 39Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
79.2%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-15
79.0%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Deontae Craig for a loss of 15 yards to the Nwest 27Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 21
OWN 27
+4
79.6%
Luke Akers punt for 36 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 4 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
14 plays · 59 yds · 6:3879% → 81%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
79.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the Iowa 41 IOWA Penalty, Illegal use of the hands on ELSBURY, Tyler enforced (-10 Yards) to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+6
78.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Leshon Williams for 6 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+11
78.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Diante Vines for 11 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
78.9%
Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 1
50
+3
78.7%
Spencer Petras run for 3 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
79.1%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
79.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brody Brecht for 7 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+17
78.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Monte Pottebaum for 17 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
79.1%
Brody Brecht run for 4 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+2
78.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 17Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+8
78.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Leshon Williams for 8 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
78.6%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Nwest 6Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
78.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 1Similar
Q1 0:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.1%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4PUNT
14 plays · 24 yds · 6:0219% → 18%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
80.6%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 20Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+17
80.8%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Marshall Lang for 17 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
80.3%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 12 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
79.8%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 9
50
+5
80.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 5 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+10
80.1%
Brendan Sullivan run for 10 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
79.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 6 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+2
79.2%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+2
79.7%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
78.8%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Andrew Clair for 3 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-10
78.8%
(11:14) CLAIR, Andrew rush to the left for no gain to the IOW22 (MOSS, Riley), clock 11:13. PENALTY NWU Holding enforced 10 yards from the IOW22 to the IOW32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 17
OPP 32
-10
79.9%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Ethan Hurkett for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 42Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 27
OPP 42
-9
80.9%
Brendan Sullivan run for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 49Similar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 36
OWN 49
+10
81.7%
Luke Akers punt for 44 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 10 yds to the IOWA 41 IOWA Penalty, Illegal Block (Jay Higgins) to the Iowa 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5FG
16 plays · 85 yds · 6:4081% → 86%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
80.7%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 7Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 12
OWN 7
+12
80.7%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 9 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Adetomiwa Adebawore) to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
81.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Leshon Williams for 5 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+6
81.5%
Leshon Williams run for 6 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
81.6%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
81.8%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+20
81.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 20 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
82.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 17 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
83.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 31Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+11
82.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
82.0%
Nico Ragaini run for 12 yds to the Nwest 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
82.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
82.4%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Nwest 6Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
82.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
85.8%
Drew Stevens 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:0915% → 14%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.9%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
85.0%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (Peter Skoronski) to the Nwest 21Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
85.3%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 6 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-10
85.4%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Logan Lee for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 17Similar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
85.6%
Luke Akers punt for 33 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:0687% → 96%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
50
+13
86.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 13 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
86.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Brody Brecht for 5 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+10
86.7%
Leshon Williams run for 10 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
86.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 10 yds to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
86.8%
Leshon Williams run for 6 yds to the Nwest 6Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
95.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 6 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:186% → 6%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.1%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
93.8%
Brendan Sullivan pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 22 yds · 4:115% → 5%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.7%
Evan Hull run for 8 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
94.4%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
94.6%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 14:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
95.0%
Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
95.2%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
95.3%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Donny Navarro III for 6 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
94.4%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the Nwest 44Similar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
94.7%
Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
94.8%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Lukas Van Ness for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 44Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+3
94.6%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Genson Hooper Price for 3 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
94.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
95.1%
Luke Akers punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4996% → 96%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
96.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
96.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
96.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
96.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 12 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:235% → 13%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
95.2%
Malik Washington run for no gain to the Iowa 34Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+14
95.3%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Duke Olges for 14 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
95.2%
Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+10
95.5%
Evan Hull run for 10 yds to the Iowa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
95.6%
Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the Iowa 7Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.7%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
96.1%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 6 yds to the Iowa 1Similar
Q3 6:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Duke Olges for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Stage KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:5690% → 94%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
89.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Diante Vines for 11 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
90.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+15
91.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 15 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
91.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+12
91.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 12 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-4
91.8%
Arland Bruce IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 35Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 14
OPP 35
+6
92.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 6 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 8
OPP 29
-7
91.9%
Spencer Petras sacked by Xander Mueller for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 36Similar
Q3 1:20
4TH & 15
OPP 36
+54
94.0%
Drew Stevens 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:077% → 7%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
92.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 6 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 4
OWN 30
-3
92.5%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 27 Evan Hull fumbled, recovered by Nwest Brendan SullivanSimilar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
92.8%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 7
OWN 27
+7
93.0%
Luke Akers punt for 51 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 7 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:4795% → 98%
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
94.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 5 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+14
94.9%
Leshon Williams run for 14 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
95.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
95.5%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+20
95.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 20 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
96.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 24 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
96.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 2 yds to the Nwest 3Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
96.9%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 7Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
98.2%
Drew Stevens 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 3:123% → 3%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
97.0%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Noah Shannon for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 18Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+10
97.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 10 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
97.1%
Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q4 8:23
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+5
97.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 5 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
96.9%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Seth Benson for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 33Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 15
OWN 33
-5
97.2%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Joe Evans for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 28Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 20
OWN 28
0
97.4%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:52
4TH & 20
OWN 28
+19
97.4%
Luke Akers punt for 42 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 19 yds to the Nwest 47 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Nwest 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 1:2899% → 100%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
98.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+5
98.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Arland Bruce IV run for 23 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:120% → 1%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Cole Freeman run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 10 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-1
99.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 7
50
+8
99.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
99.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
99.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Genson Hooper Price for 12 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.9%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Andrew Clair for 2 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 4 yds to the Iowa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.3%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Raymond Niro III for 7 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:22
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 6 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)
+8.7
TD · Q3 6:17
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Duke Olges for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Stage KICK)
-8.6
FG · Q2 2:45
Drew Stevens 24 yd FG GOOD
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com