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IU

Indiana 17 at Rutgers 24

RUTG
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:19 · Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the Ind 15 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Home team on offense−7.2Pregame prior+7.9Garbage-time factor−2.2Score differential−3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:05: Connor Bazelak run for 7 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +3.4 pts (now 46%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:53: Noah Vedral pass complete to Sean Ryan for 15 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK) — RUTG win probability +9.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:38: Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK) — RUTG win probability +20.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:12: Christian Braswell 0 Yd Interception Return (Jude McAtamney Kick) — RUTG win probability +23.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:18: Charles Campbell 39 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +4.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 11 of 15IU made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 11:25RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:37RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:37RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:07IU 4th & 22 at RUTG 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−2.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:07IU 4th & 22 at RUTG 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−2.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:19RUTG 4th & 1 at IU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−1.6
    81% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−6.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:34IU 4th & 11 at IU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:34IU 4th & 11 at IU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:58RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:10IU 4th & 10 at IU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−1.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:07RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:07RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  13. Q2 3:16IU 4th & 5 at RUTG 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:34RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  15. Q2 1:34RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  16. Q3 14:54RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    43.1%−2.9
    average punt
  17. Q3 8:27RUTG 4th & 13 at IU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−2.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−2.0
    average punt
  18. Q3 7:34IU 4th & 12 at IU 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−4.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%
    average punt
  19. Q3 0:16IU 4th & 10 at IU 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−2.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:16RUTG 4th & 5 at IU 38, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.5%−2.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    69.6%−2.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:57IU 4th & 5 at IU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  22. Q4 10:57IU 4th & 5 at IU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  23. Q4 9:23RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 14, up 3
    Close callPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−0.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 7:37IU 4th & 15 at RUTG 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−3.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−3.9
    average punt
  25. Q4 5:52RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−1.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  26. Q4 4:37IU 4th & 14 at IU 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  27. Q4 3:17RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  28. Q4 1:18IU 4th & 16 at RUTG 21, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.1%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 3IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:05IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:53RUTG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:38RUTG Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:12RUTG Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT TD
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:2462% → 60%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.6%
Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
61.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 14:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
61.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
61.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+7
61.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 7 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 14:49
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
61.6%
Noah Vedral run for no gain to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
60.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 45 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews Jr. at the Ind 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 91 yds · 4:2040% → 46%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
60.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 7 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+1
60.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 1 yd to the Ind 17Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+4
60.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 4 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
60.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andison Coby for 9 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+5
60.0%
Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
60.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass complete short left to Simmons,Emery for 4 yards to the IND39 (Melton,Max) PENALTY IND Illegal Block in Back (Barner,AJ) 10 yards from IND35 to IND25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+24
60.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 24 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
59.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 9 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+10
59.9%
Josh Henderson run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
59.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 19 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
57.7%
Josh Henderson run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
54.3%
Connor Bazelak run for 7 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 2:2456% → 54%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
55.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 9 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+1
56.1%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
55.9%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-5
56.2%
PENALTY RUT False Start (Jones,Shameen) 5 yards from RUT37 to RUT32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
55.9%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
55.7%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Johnny LanganSimilar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
53.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
53.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 22 yds · 3:3047% → 51%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
52.6%
Jaylin Lucas run for 7 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+7
52.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 7 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
52.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andison Coby for 10 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
52.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 7 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+3
52.1%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
52.1%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
52.1%
D.J. Matthews Jr. run for no gain to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-15
52.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short middle broken up by Ahanotu,Mayan PENALTY IND Chop Block (Watley-Neely,Lem) 15 yards from RUT33 to RUT48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 24
OPP 48
-5
52.5%
PENALTY IND False Start (Barner,AJ) 5 yards from RUT48 to IND47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 29
OWN 47
+7
52.5%
Jaylin Lucas run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 22
OPP 46
0
49.2%
James Evans punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 14Similar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 22
OPP 46
0
49.2%
James Evans punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
16 plays · 86 yds · 6:1449% → 55%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
49.2%
Shotgun Vedral,Noah pass complete short right to Langan,Johnny for 0 yards to the RUT14 (Fitzgerald,Bryant; McCullough,Dasan) PENALTY RUT Illegal Touch-Pass (Langan,Johnny) 5 yards from RUT14 to RUT09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+7
48.1%
Aron Cruickshank run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+28
48.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Sean Ryan for 28 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
49.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+16
49.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Sean Ryan for 16 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
49.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+7
50.2%
Samuel Brown V run for 7 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
50.2%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+5
50.1%
Aron Cruickshank run for 5 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
45.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+1
45.4%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
55.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Sean Ryan for 15 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)Similar
Q2 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
55.0%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Emery Simmons) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:0949% → 48%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
51.3%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+10
51.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short left to Simmons,Emery PENALTY RUT Holding (Young,Avery) 10 yards from IND14 to IND24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
50.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
51.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
52.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
52.1%
James Evans punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
52.1%
James Evans punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3653% → 50%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
52.6%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+1
53.2%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
52.7%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Matt AlaimoSimilar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
50.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4852% → 50%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
48.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for no gain to the Ind 20Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
48.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
49.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+7
49.6%
James Evans punt for 51 yds , Aron Cruickshank returns for 7 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0349% → 47%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
49.4%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
49.1%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
47.7%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
47.0%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 ydsSimilar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
47.0%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:5153% → 56%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
46.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 11 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
45.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 8 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
45.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 4 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
45.0%
Jaylin Lucas run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+3
44.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 3 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
45.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Jaylin LucasSimilar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
43.9%
James Evans punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:4246% → 46%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
46.1%
Samuel Brown V run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
46.9%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+2
46.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+6
45.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
45.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 66 ydsSimilar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
45.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 66 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:3453% → 55%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
47.1%
Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+5
47.4%
Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+10
45.3%
Josh Henderson run for 10 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13FG
18 plays · 46 yds · 6:2745% → 49%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
45.2%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
45.5%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Johnny LanganSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+8
44.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 8 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
45.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+7
45.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 7 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
47.3%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+4
46.0%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
48.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 1 yd to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+11
47.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Chris Long for 11 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
48.8%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Aron CruickshankSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
48.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 3 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+10
48.4%
No Huddle Vedral,Noah pass incomplete short right QB hurried by McCullough,Dasan PENALTY IND Holding (Pierre,Noah) 10 yards from IND38 to IND28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
50.2%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 26
-5
50.2%
No Huddle Vedral,Noah pass complete short right to Alaimo,Matt for 3 yards to the IND23 (McCullough,Dasan; Casey,Jared) PENALTY RUT Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Brown,Ireland) 5 yards from IND26 to IND31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 13
OPP 31
0
49.3%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 13
OPP 31
0
46.6%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+49
49.0%
Jude McAtamney 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5351% → 48%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.1%
Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
50.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
51.6%
James Evans punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
14 plays · 56 yds · 6:5652% → 71%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
51.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+4
52.4%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
52.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 2 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
53.0%
Samuel Brown V run for 9 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+10
53.1%
Samuel Brown V run for 10 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
55.0%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 3 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+1
55.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the Ind 22Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+6
48.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 6 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
50.9%
Aron Cruickshank run for 8 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+4
50.9%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the Ind 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
51.1%
Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the Ind 2Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.4%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2235% → 31%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
66.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Josh HendersonSimilar
Q3 0:38
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
68.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q3 0:16
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
69.1%
James Evans punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17MISSED FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:4466% → 72%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
65.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brown V,Samuel rush for 8 yards gain to the RUT23 (Haynes,Jonathan; Hohlt,Matt) PENALTY RUT Clipping (Tyler III,Willie) 7 yards from RUT15 to RUT08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+7
65.3%
Samuel Brown V run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+42
65.5%
Aron Cruickshank run for 42 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
70.4%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+3
70.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 38
0
69.6%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+56
71.5%
Jude McAtamney 56 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1934% → 31%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
66.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+6
67.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andison Coby for 6 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
65.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+90
68.7%
James Evans punt for 47 yds , Aron Cruickshank returns for 90 yds RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Block (Dariel Djabome) to the Ind 3Similar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+90
68.7%
James Evans punt for 47 yds , Aron Cruickshank returns for 90 yds RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Block (Dariel Djabome) to the Rutgr 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3471% → 69%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
70.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
70.4%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Johnny LanganSimilar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+5
68.9%
Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 3
OWN 14
0
68.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20MISSED FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:4637% → 29%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
63.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Javon Swinton for 9 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+15
61.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short right to Swinton,Javon PENALTY RUT Pass Interference (Longerbeam,Robert) 15 yards from RUT44 to RUT29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
60.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 4 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-10
60.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Lucas,Jaylin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RUT21 (Lewis,Aaron) PENALTY IND Holding (Katic,Mike) 10 yards from RUT25 to RUT35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 16
OPP 35
0
63.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 16
OPP 35
+1
67.2%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 15
OPP 34
+52
70.6%
Charles Campbell 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4573% → 73%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
72.9%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
74.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
73.7%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Johnny LanganSimilar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
72.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22INT TD
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4030% → 7%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
69.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Javon Swinton for 3 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 13
OWN 9
0
93.1%
Christian Braswell 0 Yd Interception Return (Jude McAtamney Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:317% → 6%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
92.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 1 yd to the Ind 19Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
92.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 9
OWN 19
-5
93.3%
PENALTY IND False Start (Matthews Jr.,D.J.) 5 yards from IND19 to IND14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 14
OWN 14
0
93.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 14
OWN 14
0
93.6%
James Evans punt for 44 yds , Aron Cruickshank returns for no gain to the Rutgr 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:2094% → 96%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
93.5%
Aron Cruickshank run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
94.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
94.3%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
95.6%
punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25FG
9 plays · 70 yds · 1:594% → 8%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+25
96.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 25 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+41
95.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Javon Swinton for 41 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
94.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+10
94.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 10 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-6
94.2%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Wesley Bailey for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 16
OPP 21
0
94.6%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Emery Simmons) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 16
OPP 21
0
95.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+39
91.8%
Charles Campbell 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -8 yds · 1:1798% → 98%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
98.1%
N. Vedral takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 47
-4
98.2%
N. Vedral takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:12
Christian Braswell 0 Yd Interception Return (Jude McAtamney Kick)
+23.3
TD · Q3 0:38
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)
+20.3
TD · Q2 9:53
Noah Vedral pass complete to Sean Ryan for 15 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)
+9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com