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IOWA

Iowa 10 at Ohio State 54

OSU
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:38 · Tory Taylor punt for 45 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for 16 yds to the Iowa 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior+36.1Home team on offense+3.8Score differential+0.2Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:07: Drew Stevens 49 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +1.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:38: Noah Ruggles 26 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +0.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:25: Tommy Eichenberg 15 Yd Interception Return (Noah Ruggles Kick) — OSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:36: C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 6 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:43: C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10IOWA made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 14:02OSU 4th & 9 at IOWA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:07IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:30OSU 4th & 6 at IOWA 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:24IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 30, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00OSU 4th & 9 at IOWA 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:07IOWA 4th & 10 at OSU 31, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:18OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 47, up 6
    Close callPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:38IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 3, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:38OSU 4th & 2 at IOWA 24, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:38OSU 4th & 7 at IOWA 8, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:39IOWA 4th & 14 at IOWA 49, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:32OSU 4th & 5 at midfield, up 16
    Close callPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:36OSU 4th & 1 at IOWA 6, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−3.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:37IOWA 4th & 5 at OSU 45, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:37IOWA 4th & 5 at OSU 45, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:43IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 34, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:52IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 44, down 30
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:27IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 40, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:01OSU 4th & 1 at IOWA 11, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:10OSU 4th & 1 at IOWA 47, up 44
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:21IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 28, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:00IOWA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:15OSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:25OSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:36OSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:43OSU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:26OSU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:59OSU Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.8%
Spencer Petras pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4497% → 97%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
96.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 28Similar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
96.8%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
96.8%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q1 14:02
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
96.7%
Noah Ruggles 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:553% → 3%
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
96.7%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
96.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · -13 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
96.5%
Joe Evans 11 Yd Fumble Return (Drew Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4597% → 96%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
96.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 5 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
96.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
96.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+6
96.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 6 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
96.6%
Miyan Williams run for 13 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+26
96.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 26 yds to the Iowa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
96.6%
Miyan Williams run for 4 yd loss to the Iowa 12Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+10
96.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 10 yds to the Iowa 2Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.9%
Miyan Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:294% → 5%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
95.8%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
95.8%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-4
95.5%
Spencer Petras sacked by Zach Harrison for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 27 Spencer Petras fumbled, recovered by OhSt Lathan Ransom , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:1096% → 96%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
95.6%
Miyan Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 27Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
95.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 7 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+3
95.4%
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
95.5%
Noah Ruggles 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:005% → 5%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
95.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+1
95.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+3
95.2%
Arland Bruce IV run for 3 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+4
94.9%
Tory Taylor run for 4 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:2495% → 95%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
95.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 16 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
95.3%
Shotgun Stroud,C.J. pass complete short left to Stover,Cade for 9 yards to the IOWA09 (Campbell,Jack) PENALTY OSU Illegal Formation (Jones,Dawand) 5 yards from IOWA18 to IOWA23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+9
95.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+3
95.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
95.2%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
94.6%
Noah Ruggles 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:535% → 7%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Diante Vines for 5 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
94.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
94.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
94.7%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+15
94.8%
Shotgun Petras,Spencer pass incomplete short right to Ragaini,Nico PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (McCalister,Tanner) 15 yards from IOWA39 to OSU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
94.5%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+17
94.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 17 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
94.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+2
94.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+1
94.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 1 yd to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+49
93.0%
Drew Stevens 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:4994% → 93%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
93.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
93.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
94.0%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
93.7%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q2 8:18
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
93.0%
Jesse Mirco punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:407% → 7%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
92.7%
PENALTY IOWA False Start (DeJong,Nick) 1 yard from IOWA02 to IOWA01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+1
92.7%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd to the Iowa 2Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+1
92.8%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Iowa 3Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 9
OWN 3
0
93.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Gavin WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 9
OWN 3
+16
93.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 45 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for 16 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13FG
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:0094% → 93%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
93.7%
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
93.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 5 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 2
OPP 24
0
93.5%
Miyan Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+13
93.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
93.7%
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
93.7%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
93.5%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
92.8%
Noah Ruggles 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-15
95.4%
Tommy Eichenberg 15 Yd Interception Return (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:465% → 5%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 7 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
95.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 6 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
95.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 15 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
94.8%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Luke LacheySimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-4
95.0%
Spencer Petras sacked by Javontae Jean-Baptiste for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 49Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 14
OWN 49
0
95.4%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Arland Bruce IVSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
95.2%
Tory Taylor punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
95.6%
C. Stroud takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
C.J. Stroud pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
94.6%
run for 1 yd to the OhSt 45 fumbled, recovered by OhSt Taron VincentSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1796% → 95%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
95.9%
Emeka Egbuka run for 4 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
95.9%
PENALTY IOWA Offside (Shannon,Noah) 5 yards from OSU49 to IOWA46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+4
95.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 5
50
0
95.8%
C.J. Stroud run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:32
4TH & 5
50
0
95.3%
Jesse Mirco punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Arland Bruce IV at the Iowa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:485% → 5%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
95.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 7Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 9
OWN 7
0
95.3%
Alex Padilla pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:0896% → 99%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
95.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 4 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+4
95.2%
Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the Iowa 7Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+1
95.0%
Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the Iowa 6Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
98.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 6 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:522% → 2%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.0%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
98.0%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+9
98.0%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
50
0
97.9%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Monte PottebaumSimilar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 10
50
0
97.9%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Luke LacheySimilar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 10
50
+5
98.0%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 5 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
98.2%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Brody BrechtSimilar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
98.2%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Brody BrechtSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:5499% → 100%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
98.7%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Fleming,Julian) 5 yards from OSU45 to OSU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+2
98.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 2 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+27
98.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 27 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
98.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 18 yds to the Iowa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 4:510% → 0%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.7%
Alex Padilla sacked by Cody Simon for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 19Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+2
99.7%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 2 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-5
99.7%
PENALTY IOWA False Start (Stephens,Beau) 5 yards from IOWA21 to IOWA16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+18
99.7%
Gavin Williams run for 18 yds to the Iowa 34 Gavin Williams fumbled, recovered by IowaSimilar
Q3 4:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.6%
Alex Padilla run for 2 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.6%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the Iowa 37Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-5
99.6%
Alex Padilla sacked by J.T. Tuimoloau for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 32Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+12
99.9%
Leshon Williams run for 12 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25TD
3 plays · 90 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
99.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+5
99.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 79 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.9%
Alex Padilla sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+10
99.9%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 10 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Arland Bruce IVSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 27TD
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:28100% → 100%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 20 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 9 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 1
OPP 11
0
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 1
OPP 11
0
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Stroud,C.J. pass intercepted by Merriweather,Kaevon at IOWA00, End Of Play PENALTY OSU Holding offsetting IOWA Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 1
OPP 11
0
99.9%
C.J. Stroud run for no gain to the Iowa 11Similar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.9%
Emeka Egbuka run for 6 yds to the Iowa 3Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Mitch Rossi for 3 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 28FUMBLE
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
99.9%
Arland Bruce IV run for 15 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Leshon Williams run for 7 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 2
50
+6
99.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the OhSt 44 Kaleb Johnson fumbled, recovered by OhSt Palaie Gaoteote IVSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 3 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 5 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+15
99.9%
Jesse Mirco punt for 41 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 15 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
100.0%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+6
100.0%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Brody Brecht for 6 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 13 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Dallan Hayden run for 4 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+9
100.0%
Chip Trayanum run for 9 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:36
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 6 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+3.5
TD · Q2 3:25
Tommy Eichenberg 15 Yd Interception Return (Noah Ruggles Kick)
+2.6
FG · Q2 10:07
Drew Stevens 49 yd FG GOOD
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com