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PUR

Purdue 24 at Wisconsin 35

WIS
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by Wisconsin at PUR49 for loss of 1 yards.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorBlowout margin
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:38: Chimere Dike 3 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Nate Van Zelst Kick) — WIS win probability +8.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:08: Braelon Allen 14 Yd Run (Nate Van Zelst Kick) — WIS win probability +8.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:12: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 8 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +6.6 pts (now 10%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:42: Isaac Guerendo 54 Yd Run (Nate Van Zelst Kick) — WIS win probability +5.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:24: Aidan O'Connell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +3.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 6:37PUR 4th & 4 at WIS 9, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.8%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−3.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:02PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 44, down 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:11WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:03WIS 4th & 21 at PUR 46, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−1.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    82.9%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:03PUR 4th & 1 at WIS 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%−2.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:49PUR 4th & 10 at WIS 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−4.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:03WIS 4th & 18 at midfield, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:00PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 25, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:33WIS 4th & 19 at WIS 36, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−1.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:07PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 34, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 47, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:05PUR 4th & 1 at WIS 1, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:04WIS 4th & 13 at PUR 38, up 18
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:47WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 48, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:34WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:16WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:38WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:08WIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:12PUR Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:42WIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:05PUR Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:24PUR Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:2656% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
55.7%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+27
55.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 27 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
55.7%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
55.7%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+9
55.7%
Graham Mertz run for 9 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
57.1%
Skyler Bell 29 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Nate Van Zelst Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2INT TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1843% → 41%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
56.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 4 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-31
58.6%
John Torchio 31 Yd Interception Return (Nate Van Zelst Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:3941% → 39%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
58.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+30
58.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 30 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
58.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 2
OPP 28
0
58.1%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+13
58.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 13 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
58.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the Wisc 11Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+2
60.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Wisc 9Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
60.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne DurhamSimilar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
61.5%
Mitchell Fineran 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:5963% → 73%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
63.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 13 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
63.2%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+9
63.6%
Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
63.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 6 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+41
63.9%
Braelon Allen run for 41 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
63.9%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Prdue 3Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
63.9%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack EschenbachSimilar
Q1 2:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
72.6%
Chimere Dike 3 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Nate Van Zelst Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:3628% → 25%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Abdur-Rahmaan YaseenSimilar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
72.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to TJ SheffieldSimilar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
72.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 10 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
72.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
71.7%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
71.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 2 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 0:02
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
75.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5175% → 77%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
75.0%
Mertz,Graham rush right for 3 yards gain to the WIS19, out of bounds at WIS19 PENALTY WIS Holding (Furtney,Michael) 8 yards from WIS16 to WIS08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 18
OWN 8
+8
74.6%
Isaac Guerendo run for 8 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
74.8%
Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
74.7%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
76.9%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:3324% → 22%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
76.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 23 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
74.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 7 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
74.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
75.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 3
OPP 28
0
78.3%
PURDUE Penalty, Illegal Shift (Reese Taylor) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:3581% → 84%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
81.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 20 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
81.7%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 8
50
+15
81.7%
Shotgun Mertz,Graham pass incomplete short right to Allen,Braelon QB hurried by Jenkins,Kydran PENALTY PUR Roughing The Passer (Jenkins,Kydran) 15 yards from WIS50 to PUR35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
81.8%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-5
81.7%
PENALTY WIS False Start (Wedig,Trey) 5 yards from PUR30 to PUR35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
81.7%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Keontez LewisSimilar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
81.4%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 21
OPP 46
0
84.3%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9FG
15 plays · 71 yds · 5:1418% → 22%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
82.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete short right to Jones,Charlie PENALTY WIS Pass Interference (Hallman,Ricardo) 15 yards from PUR10 to PUR25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
82.3%
Kobe Lewis run for 10 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
81.6%
O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete short right to Jones,Charlie PENALTY PUR Chop Block (Holstege,Spencer) 15 yards from PUR35 to PUR20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 25
OWN 20
+7
82.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 7 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+12
82.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 12 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+16
81.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for 16 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
80.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
80.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Wisc 36Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
80.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne DurhamSimilar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+3
80.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
80.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for 14 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
79.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
80.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne DurhamSimilar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
80.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to TJ SheffieldSimilar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
77.9%
Mitchell Fineran 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:4679% → 82%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.2%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
79.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jaylan Franklin for 19 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
80.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 13 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
80.2%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
80.0%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Keontez LewisSimilar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 10
OPP 42
-8
79.4%
Graham Mertz sacked by Jack Sullivan for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 18
50
0
82.0%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 1:0317% → 16%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
83.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 2Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+5
84.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Prdue 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4016% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
83.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
84.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:1286% → 95%
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
86.4%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
94.9%
Braelon Allen 14 Yd Run (Nate Van Zelst Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:086% → 5%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
93.7%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Rodas Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 17Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
92.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for no gain to the Prdue 17Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+8
92.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 44 yds , Dean Engram returns for 6 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:2796% → 97%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
95.9%
Braelon Allen run for 10 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
96.0%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+9
96.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Dean Engram for 9 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
96.2%
Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
96.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 4 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-15
96.2%
Shotgun Mertz,Graham pass complete short middle to Dike,Chimere for 9 yards to the PUR40, End Of Play PENALTY WIS Pass Interference (Eschenbach,Jack) 15 yards from PUR49 to WIS36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 19
OWN 36
0
96.0%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Isaac GuerendoSimilar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 19
OWN 36
+10
96.9%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 20 , Charlie Jones returns for 10 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:263% → 3%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
96.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+7
96.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 7 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
96.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-5
96.5%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Jake Chaney for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
96.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
97.4%
Jack Ansell punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:553% → 10%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
96.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+8
96.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Wisc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.9%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Wisc 8Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
90.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 8 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3093% → 99%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.3%
Graham Mertz run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+18
93.4%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 18 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.7%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Isaac GuerendoSimilar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+54
98.8%
Isaac Guerendo 54 Yd Run (Nate Van Zelst Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 5:302% → 5%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 11
OWN 19
0
98.3%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the Prdue 19Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+23
98.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 23 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 1 yd to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
98.2%
PURDUE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Aidan O'Connell) to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+12
98.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 12 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 47
+11
98.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 11 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
98.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 12 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+29
98.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 29 yds to the Wisc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.4%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the Wisc 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the Wisc 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 1 yd to the Wisc 1Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
Q4 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
94.8%
PENALTY WIS Offside (Paez,Gio) 2 yards from WIS03 to WIS03. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:0197% → 97%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.6%
Skyler Bell run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+39
96.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 39 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
96.9%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-10
96.9%
Allen,Braelon rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PUR26 (Sydnor,Khordae) PENALTY WIS Holding (Dike,Chimere) 10 yards from PUR30 to PUR40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+3
97.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 3 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+1
97.0%
Isaac Guerendo run for 1 yd to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 13
OPP 38
0
96.6%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Delay Of Game ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:04
4TH & 13
OPP 38
0
96.9%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21INT
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:284% → 3%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
96.3%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Prdue 8Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+6
96.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 6 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+18
96.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 18 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+15
95.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 15 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
95.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 7
50
0
97.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4998% → 99%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.1%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+4
98.1%
Isaac Guerendo run for 4 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+3
98.1%
Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 4
OWN 48
+6
98.6%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 13 , Charlie Jones returns for 6 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 2:232% → 6%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
98.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 5 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+12
98.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete short right to Jones,Charlie broken up by Smith,Alexander, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WIS Pass Interference (Smith,Alexander) 12 yards from PUR18 to PUR30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
98.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 18 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
97.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 3 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+27
97.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 27 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
97.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 6 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 4
OPP 16
0
97.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Andrew SowinskiSimilar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+6
97.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 6 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
97.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jake Chaney) to the Wisc 1Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.6%
Aidan O'Connell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:2397% → 97%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
97.2%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-1
97.4%
Kneel down by Wisconsin at PUR49 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:38
Chimere Dike 3 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Nate Van Zelst Kick)
+8.8
TD · Q3 14:08
Braelon Allen 14 Yd Run (Nate Van Zelst Kick)
+8.4
TD · Q3 4:12
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 8 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
-6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com