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Maryland 38 at Indiana 33

IU
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.9IU 23.2%Charles Campbell 38 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 3 · Q1 8:53
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:53 · Charles Campbell 38 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior−27.2Home team on offense−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:47: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 3 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +10.5 pts (now 46%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:09: Josh Henderson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +26.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:35: Roman Hemby run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — MD win probability +35.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:54: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Aaron Steinfeldt for 3 yds for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Offside (Greg China-Rose) declined, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — IU win probability +15.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:54: Timeout MARYLAND, clock 00:54 — MD win probability +16.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:03IU 4th & 1 at MD 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    25.0%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:53IU 4th & 9 at MD 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:15MD 4th & 12 at IU 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    71.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:59IU 4th & 8 at IU 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:59MD 4th & 2 at IU 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    71.3%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:22IU 4th & 10 at IU 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:36MD 4th & 5 at IU 33, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    75.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:36IU 4th & 1 at IU 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:07MD 4th & 6 at MD 48, up 4
    Close callPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:25MD 4th & 23 at MD 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:17MD 4th & 1 at IU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.6%−3.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−4.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:52MD 4th & 8 at IU 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−8.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:52IU 4th & 1 at MD 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    24.5%−5.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    25.7%−4.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:16IU 4th & 8 at MD 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−10.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:49MD 4th & 13 at MD 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−5.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:41MD 4th & 10 at IU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    35.5%−0.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:05IU 4th & 11 at IU 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−6.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MD made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 13:03MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:49MD Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:52IU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:47IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:23MD Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:09IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:35MD Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:11MD Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:54IU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    11.5%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.8%
Connor Bazelak pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:5179% → 79%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-8
20.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Aaron Casey for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 37 Taulia Tagovailoa fumbled, recovered by Mary Roman Hemby , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 18
OPP 37
+17
20.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to CJ Dippre for 17 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+17
20.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 17 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
21.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:1021% → 23%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
21.2%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
21.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 1 yd to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+40
21.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 40 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
21.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-3
21.4%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Greg China-Rose for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 31Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+7
21.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 7 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+3
21.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Mary 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
21.4%
INDIANA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Connor Bazelak) to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 21
OPP 32
+3
21.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 18
OPP 29
+9
21.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 9 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 18
OPP 29
+9
21.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 9 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+38
23.2%
Charles Campbell 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 3:3377% → 75%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
23.1%
Roman Hemby run for 8 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 2
OWN 27
0
22.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to CJ DippreSimilar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+5
23.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 5 yds to the Mary 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
23.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 15 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
22.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
22.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 4 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+11
22.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 11 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
22.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Rakim JarrettSimilar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
22.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
22.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Corey DychesSimilar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
24.7%
Colton Spangler punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1624% → 24%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
24.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
24.2%
INDIANA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Connor Bazelak) to the Ind 8Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 22
OWN 8
+14
23.9%
Josh Henderson run for 14 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 22
OWN 8
+14
23.9%
Josh Henderson run for 14 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
24.2%
James Evans punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 4:1075% → 79%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
24.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 26 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
24.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 10 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
24.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 8 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+1
23.9%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
24.2%
Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+5
24.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 5 yds to the Ind 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
25.0%
Ramon Brown run for 4 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+18
21.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to CJ Dippre for 18 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2722% → 21%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
22.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
21.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+12
21.4%
James Evans punt for 43 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 12 yds to the Mary 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8MISSED FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:4679% → 79%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
21.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+18
21.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 18 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
21.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Corey DychesSimilar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
21.5%
Colby McDonald run for 5 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
21.5%
Colby McDonald run for 5 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
21.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+51
21.4%
Chad Ryland 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:4422% → 31%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
22.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 8 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+1
23.0%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 42Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
22.8%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Ind 42Similar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+2
22.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
22.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
22.7%
Connor Bazelak run for 9 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
23.2%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
23.2%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
30.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 44 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 4:3671% → 71%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
28.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 9 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+2
27.7%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
28.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Rakim JarrettSimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
28.2%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+7
27.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 7 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
27.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 4 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+1
27.2%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the Mary 49Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+1
27.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 1 yd to the Mary 48Similar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
29.2%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Connor Delp at the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
19 plays · 80 yds · 3:2030% → 46%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
29.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 9 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
31.5%
Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
30.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 2 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+1
29.8%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
29.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 9 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
31.5%
Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
30.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 2 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+1
29.8%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
30.2%
Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short left to Simmons,Emery PENALTY UMD Offside declined UMD Pass Interference (Still,Tarheeb) 15 yards from IND30 to IND45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
33.1%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+3
31.8%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
31.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Jaylin LucasSimilar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 8
OWN 47
+10
31.0%
Evans,James punt 38 yards to the UMD15 fair catch by Jones,Jeshaun at UMD15 PENALTY UMD Holding (Johnson,Taizse) 10 yards from IND47 to UMD43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
33.8%
Jaylin Lucas run for 5 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+8
32.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 8 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
33.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass complete deep right to Camper,Cam for 14 yards to the UMD26 (Whitaker,Lionell) PENALTY UMD Holding declined UMD Pass Interference (Whitaker,Lionell) 14 yards from UMD40 to UMD26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+23
35.1%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Connor Bazelak for 23 yds to the Mary 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
45.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 3 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 16 yds · 1:1757% → 55%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
42.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 3 yds to the Mary 32 Taulia Tagovailoa fumbled, recovered by Mary Spencer AndersonSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
42.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tai FeltonSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+8
43.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 8 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
41.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 18 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
39.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
39.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Corey DychesSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 10
OPP 42
-13
40.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Brylan Lanier for a loss of 13 yards to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 23
OWN 45
0
45.2%
Colton Spangler punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Connor Delp at the Ind 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
42.7%
C. Bazelak takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:2861% → 73%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
38.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 12 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
37.6%
Roman Hemby run for 8 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+8
37.3%
Roman Hemby run for 8 yds to the Ind 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
26.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 17 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.5%
Connor Bazelak pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 4:2572% → 76%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
28.3%
Antwain Littleton II run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 6
50
+6
27.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 6 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
27.9%
Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+8
27.9%
Antwain Littleton II run for 8 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
27.9%
Antwain Littleton II run for no gain to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+15
29.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 15 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
26.9%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
26.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Rakim JarrettSimilar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
28.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
23.6%
Chad Ryland 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17FG
18 plays · 57 yds · 5:3626% → 33%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
26.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+11
27.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 11 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
28.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
28.0%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+6
28.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 6 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+2
27.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
29.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 7 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+4
30.5%
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
30.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 6 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+4
30.5%
D.J. Matthews Jr. run for 4 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
30.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to James Bomba for 1 yd to the Mary 18Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+5
30.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to James Bomba for 5 yds to the Mary 13Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+5
28.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 5 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
30.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
30.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q3 8:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
28.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Aaron SteinfeldtSimilar
Q3 3:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
33.3%
Charles Campbell 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2771% → 68%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.3%
Colby McDonald run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
29.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
30.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 4 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q3 1:49
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+4
32.0%
Colton Spangler punt for 40 yds , Connor Delp returns for 4 yds to the Ind 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:4035% → 66%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
35.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Aaron Steinfeldt for 5 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
36.0%
Josh Henderson run for no gain to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+7
34.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 7 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
36.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+24
39.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 24 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
39.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 4 yds Josh Henderson fumbled, recovered by Ind Josh HendersonSimilar
Q4 14:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.9%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:2842% → 39%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
57.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 11 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
56.2%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
55.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 5 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+4
53.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 4 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
53.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 11 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
52.3%
Shotgun Hemby,Roman rush middle for 8 yards gain to the IND34 (Bryant,Alfred; Matthews,Devon) PENALTY UMD Holding (Harris,Aric) 10 yards from IND42 to UMD48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+10
55.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 10 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
52.6%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incomplete to Rakim JarrettSimilar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
54.7%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
60.7%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:3664% → 64%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
63.9%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+15
63.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short left to Simmons,Emery PENALTY UMD Pass Interference (Still,Tarheeb) 15 yards from IND01 to IND16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
64.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+4
64.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 4 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+2
62.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q4 8:05
4TH & 11
OWN 15
+11
63.7%
James Evans punt for 57 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 11 yds to the Mary 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:3040% → 81%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
59.8%
Ramon Brown run for 5 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
57.3%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+14
58.1%
PENALTY IND UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Matthews,Devon) 14 yards from UMD44 to IND42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
56.4%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+5
56.3%
Roman Hemby run for 5 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+31
56.2%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 31 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
54.0%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
54.0%
PENALTY UMD False Start 5 yards from IND01 to IND06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
18.7%
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:2738% → 37%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
38.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andison Coby for 9 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+4
36.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andison Coby for 4 yds Andison Coby fumbled, recovered by Mary Mosiah Nasili-KiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 2:5178% → 96%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
21.6%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
21.3%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-5
21.6%
PENALTY UMD False Start (Branch,Johari) 5 yards from UMD44 to UMD39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+46
23.0%
Roman Hemby run for 46 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
18.6%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+9
11.4%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 9 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
10.6%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the Ind 3Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.3%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:173% → 21%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Aaron Steinfeldt for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
3.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 9 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
3.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 12 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
3.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Aaron SteinfeldtSimilar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+25
3.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 25 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+24
5.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 24 yds to the Mary 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
5.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
20.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Aaron Steinfeldt for 3 yds for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Offside (Greg China-Rose) declined, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:5395% → 96%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
4.7%
B. Edwards Jr. takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-2
4.2%
B. Edwards Jr. takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:35
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)
-35.3
TD · Q4 14:09
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)
+26.7
TD · Q4 0:54
Timeout MARYLAND, clock 00:54
-16
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com