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NEB

Nebraska 37 at Purdue 43

PUR
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+9.2PUR 90.4%Mitchell Fineran 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 30 - HOME 37 · Q4 10:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:00 · Mitchell Fineran 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Pregame prior+6.2Home team on offense+17.7Garbage-time factor+9.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Score differential+2.8Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:51: Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 37 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +9.4 pts (now 21%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:18: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 28 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +9.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:46: Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 72 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +13.2 pts (now 23%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:00: Mitchell Fineran 34 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +9.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:55: Anthony Grant run for 1 yd for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +13.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 8NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:34NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:09NEB 4th & 17 at NEB 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:09PUR 4th & 4 at NEB 19, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:11PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:01NEB 4th & 12 at PUR 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:44PUR 4th & 5 at NEB 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:48NEB 4th & 27 at NEB 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−2.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:12PUR 4th & 6 at NEB 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    82.0%−0.9
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:50NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:22PUR 4th & 8 at NEB 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−5.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:17NEB 4th & 4 at PUR 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−9.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    74.1%−3.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:00PUR 4th & 2 at NEB 17, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.2%−2.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    61.3%−15.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:06PUR 4th & 1 at midfield, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.5%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:54PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:16NEB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:49PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:35PUR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:51NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:18PUR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:46NEB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:55PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    94.4%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:55NEB Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1INT
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:5183% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
83.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 16 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
83.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 6 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+2
83.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+9
83.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
83.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
83.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+5
83.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
83.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
82.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:3518% → 19%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
82.2%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
82.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 3 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
82.2%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
82.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 14 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
82.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 2 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
82.0%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 47Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
82.1%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
81.5%
Brian Buschini punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:4082% → 83%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
81.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 17 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
81.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 18 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
81.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 14 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
82.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 9 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+9
82.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
82.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 10 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
82.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Neb 2Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
82.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:4118% → 17%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-14
82.3%
Casey Thompson sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the Neb 14Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 24
OWN 14
+7
82.5%
Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 17
OWN 21
0
82.7%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 17
OWN 21
+15
82.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 51 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 15 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:0083% → 83%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
82.9%
Tyrone Tracy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 12
OWN 41
0
82.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+18
82.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 18 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
83.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 8 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+8
83.1%
Kobe Lewis run for 8 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
83.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
83.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+6
82.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 6 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
82.6%
Mitchell Fineran 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:4918% → 23%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
82.5%
Jaquez Yant run for 3 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+10
82.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 10 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
82.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 5 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+45
81.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 45 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
81.1%
Jaquez Yant run for 2 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+5
81.1%
Jaquez Yant run for 5 yds to the Prdue 6Similar
Q2 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
80.8%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.7%
Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:0579% → 77%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
78.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 10 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
78.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
79.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
79.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
79.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
78.5%
Aidan O'Connell run for no gain to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
77.2%
punt blocked by blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8FG
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:1023% → 25%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
77.2%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+39
76.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 39 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
75.8%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+5
75.8%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 5
OPP 11
-7
76.4%
Casey Thompson sacked by Jack Sullivan for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 18Similar
Q2 9:01
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+36
74.8%
Timmy Bleekrode 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1276% → 83%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 9 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
77.2%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
76.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 9 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
77.8%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
77.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 18 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
78.4%
King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+31
83.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 31 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
80.5%
Casey Thompson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4683% → 82%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
83.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
83.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
82.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
82.1%
Mitchell Fineran 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -17 yds · 1:5618% → 16%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.4%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 25Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
82.6%
Casey Thompson sacked by Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 17Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-9
83.2%
Casey Thompson sacked by Branson Deen for a loss of 9 yards to the Neb 8Similar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 27
OWN 8
+1
84.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 32 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 1 yd to the Neb 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13TD
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:1384% → 92%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
84.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 13 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
84.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+8
84.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
84.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the Neb 8Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+7
84.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.5%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 0:3510% → 15%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
89.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 17 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
88.9%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+31
88.7%
Casey Thompson run for 31 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
86.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 2 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+43
85.1%
Timmy Bleekrode 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:0412% → 21%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
88.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Hunter Anthony) to the Neb 24Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+9
88.4%
Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
87.7%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+30
88.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 30 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
78.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 37 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 4:3482% → 83%
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
81.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 11 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
81.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 7 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+1
82.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 38Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+7
82.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 7 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
82.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 11 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
83.2%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
83.1%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the Neb 42Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+2
82.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 2 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
82.7%
Jack Ansell punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2220% → 18%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
80.5%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
80.7%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
81.7%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
82.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:2884% → 84%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
84.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 11 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
84.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
84.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+13
83.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 13 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
84.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
84.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
83.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+41
83.5%
Mitchell Fineran 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19FG
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:0520% → 24%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+60
80.2%
Trey Palmer run for 60 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
75.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 12 yds to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
75.6%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
77.2%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
78.7%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
76.3%
Timmy Bleekrode 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:5978% → 90%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
79.1%
King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+32
78.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 32 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
81.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 6 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 4
OPP 25
-3
81.3%
King Doerue run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+28
90.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 28 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:3210% → 23%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+72
76.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 72 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22FG
17 plays · 72 yds · 6:4177% → 90%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
77.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+4
78.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 20
0
78.0%
O'CONNELL, Aidan pass to the right complete for 38 yards to MOCKOBEE, Devin caught at the NEB42 and advanced to the NEB42 (NEWSOME, Quinton), clock 00:00. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on DURHAM, Payne enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards to the PUR9 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+16
76.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 16 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
78.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 11 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
79.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
79.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 9 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
80.1%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+17
79.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 17 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
81.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
81.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 8 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+5
81.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 5 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
82.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+7
82.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 7 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
81.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
90.4%
Mitchell Fineran 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:5712% → 14%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
87.6%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 22Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+11
88.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 11 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
87.1%
Casey Thompson run for 6 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
86.5%
Casey Thompson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:0891% → 97%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
91.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 5 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+18
91.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 18 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
91.5%
King Doerue run for 9 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+15
92.0%
O'CONNELL, Aidan pass to the right incomplete intended for JONES, Charlie thrown to the NEB15. PENALTY NEB Pass Interference on NEWSOME, Quinton enforced 15 yards to the NEB15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
92.0%
King Doerue run for 9 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+4
92.0%
King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Neb 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:554% → 19%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+64
95.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 64 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
94.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 5 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.0%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26END OF GAME
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:5591% → 97%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
91.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
91.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
91.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+4
93.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 1
50
+3
93.2%
Aidan O'Connell run for 3 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
94.8%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
95.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+15
94.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Roughing the Passer on ROBINSON, Ty enforced (Ty Robinson) to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
95.6%
Kneel down by PUR at NEB20 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
95.5%
Kneel down by PUR at NEB21 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 21
0
96.6%
Kneel down by PUR at NEB22 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:55
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)
-13.8
TD · Q3 1:46
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 72 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)
-13.2
TD · Q3 13:51
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 37 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)
-9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com