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MINN

Minnesota 14 at Illinois 26

ILL
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:57 · Hugh Robertson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Home team on offense+28.3Pregame prior−0.2Garbage-time factor+15.9Score differential+10.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:30: Tanner Morgan run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +5.0 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 46%).
  2. FG · Q2 0:20: Fabrizio Pinton 23 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +5.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:34: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +21.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:45: Tommy DeVito run for 5 yds for a TD, (Fabrizio Pinton KICK) — ILL win probability +15.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 13:02: Fabrizio Pinton 23 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +5.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 7 of 11MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00ILL 4th & 1 at MINN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    39.5%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:20ILL 4th & 1 at ILL 17, up 7
    Close callPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:42MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00ILL 4th & 6 at MINN 24, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    50.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:06ILL 4th & 6 at MINN 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    47.8%−3.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:25ILL 4th & 5 at MINN 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:20ILL 4th & 5 at MINN 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−6.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:20MINN 4th & 16 at MINN 40, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−3.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:00ILL 4th & 3 at ILL 29, up 6
    Close callPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:56MINN 4th & 2 at MINN 42, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:02ILL 4th & 5 at MINN 5, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−10.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:55MINN 4th & 1 at ILL 38, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−5.9
    38% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−6.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:06MINN 4th & 20 at ILL 44, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−3.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−1.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:06ILL 4th & 1 at MINN 19, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.0%−2.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−8.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:22ILL 4th & 4 at MINN 12, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−4.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:57ILL 4th & 11 at ILL 47, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:56ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:30MINN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:34MINN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:45ILL Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0436% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
35.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 8 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
35.5%
Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
35.5%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+8
35.5%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
35.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 8 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+3
35.5%
Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+4
35.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+2
35.5%
Tommy DeVito run for 2 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
39.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 40 yds for a TD, (Fabrizio Pinton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2INT
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:3962% → 60%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
38.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 2 yds to the Minn 22Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
38.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 13 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
38.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+4
38.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 4 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
38.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+19
38.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 19 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
40.5%
Tanner Morgan pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5241% → 42%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
41.4%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 11Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+2
41.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 2 yds to the Illin 13Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+4
41.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the Illin 17Similar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 1
OWN 17
0
42.2%
Hugh Robertson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3858% → 56%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
42.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
41.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 46Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
42.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan WrightSimilar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
44.1%
Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Hank Beatty at the Illin 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5FG
17 plays · 74 yds · 5:3644% → 51%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
44.2%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 17Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+10
44.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 10 yds to the Illin 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
44.3%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+9
44.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 9 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
44.8%
Chase Brown run for 16 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
45.4%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+15
45.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 15 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
45.4%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
45.4%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+2
48.2%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+7
48.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 7 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
49.6%
Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+3
49.6%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+4
48.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 4 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
51.0%
Fabrizio Pinton 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:3248% → 55%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
52.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
51.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
52.1%
Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Minn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
52.3%
Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+44
51.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 44 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
49.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 11 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
49.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Illin 9Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
44.6%
Tanner Morgan run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7FG
21 plays · 72 yds · 8:0547% → 60%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
47.2%
Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+5
47.6%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+6
47.0%
Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+12
47.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 12 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+2
48.2%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
48.8%
Tommy DeVito run for 10 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
49.4%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Minn 45Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+9
49.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 9 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
49.4%
Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the Minn 35Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 19
OPP 45
+14
48.2%
Chase Brown run for 14 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
49.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Michael MarcheseSimilar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+12
48.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 12 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
50.2%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Minn 12Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+1
50.2%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Minn 11Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+6
49.2%
Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Minn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
50.2%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the Minn 5Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
56.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Luke FordSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
54.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q2 0:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
60.1%
Fabrizio Pinton 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
58.8%
Kneel down by Minnesota at MINN17 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9TD
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q3 14:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
37.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4944% → 64%
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.7%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
44.0%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
44.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Tip Reiman for 8 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+17
46.9%
Chase Brown run for 17 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+35
47.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 35 yds to the Minn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
48.6%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Minn 5Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
63.6%
Tommy DeVito run for 5 yds for a TD, (Fabrizio Pinton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2542% → 39%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan WrightSimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
57.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 21 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
54.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 12
OWN 44
0
56.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 12
OWN 44
-4
57.9%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Gabe Jacas for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 40Similar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 16
OWN 40
0
61.4%
Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds , Hank Beatty returns for no gain to the Illin 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2062% → 61%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
62.2%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 24Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
62.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+5
60.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 5 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
61.1%
Hugh Robertson punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:0440% → 38%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
60.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
58.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-FordSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+4
60.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 4 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
59.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Bryce WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
59.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 35Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+7
61.2%
Tanner Morgan run for 7 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
61.7%
Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Hank Beatty at the Illin 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14FG
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:5466% → 80%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
65.6%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 21Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
65.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 3 yds to the Illin 24Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
64.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 7 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
66.1%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+8
67.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 8 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
68.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Tip ReimanSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
67.6%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+10
67.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 10 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
69.2%
Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+4
74.6%
Chase Hayden run for 4 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+14
74.6%
Chase Brown run for 14 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
76.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Devito,Tommy pass incomplete short right to Bryant,Pat, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MINN Pass Interference (Walley,Justin) 15 yards from MINN24 to MINN09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
76.3%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Minn 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
76.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 5 yds to the Minn 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
75.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
80.4%
Fabrizio Pinton 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:4923% → 15%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
76.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
76.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-FordSimilar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+6
77.5%
Tanner Morgan run for 6 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+4
78.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
75.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Jer'Zhan Newton for a loss of 10 yards to the Illin 44Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 20
OPP 44
0
78.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 20
OPP 44
0
79.9%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Trill Carter) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:06
4TH & 20
OPP 44
0
85.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16FG
16 plays · 68 yds · 6:4484% → 97%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
83.7%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+11
83.3%
Chase Brown run for 11 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+7
83.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 7 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
84.4%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 37Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+12
84.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 12 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
85.1%
Chase Hayden run for 23 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
85.5%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Minn 25Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+4
85.5%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Minn 21Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+2
84.7%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q4 10:06
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+1
83.7%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Minn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
85.5%
Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the Minn 17Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+3
93.7%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 12
OPP 20
+8
92.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 8 yds to the Minn 12Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
96.9%
Fabrizio Pinton 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:064% → 3%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
96.4%
PENALTY MINN False Start (Ersery,Aireontae) 5 yards from MINN26 to MINN21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 15
OWN 21
0
96.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:1497% → 98%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
97.3%
Chase Hayden run for 3 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
97.3%
Chase Hayden run for 4 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 19
OWN 39
+8
97.8%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
98.1%
Hugh Robertson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:362% → 3%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
97.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 11 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
97.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 6 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
97.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
98.3%
Kneel down by Illinois at ILLINI29 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:34
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-21.2
TD · Q3 11:45
Tommy DeVito run for 5 yds for a TD, (Fabrizio Pinton KICK)
+15.1
FG · Q2 0:20
Fabrizio Pinton 23 yd FG GOOD
+5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com