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NEB

Nebraska 14 at Rutgers 13

RUTG
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2022 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:18 · Brian Buschini punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the RUTGERS 14 RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Block (Shameen Jones) to the Rutgr 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Home team on offense+0.7Pregame prior−5.2Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:30: Jude McAtamney 40 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +6.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:35: Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 7 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +19.2 pts (now 43%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:54: Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 27 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +44.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:59: Evan Simon pass incomplete — RUTG win probability +14.5 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 29 — NEB win probability +32.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 10NEB made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:18NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:26RUTG 4th & 11 at NEB 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    48.8%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:56NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:29RUTG 4th & 7 at NEB 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:31RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:28NEB 4th & 23 at NEB 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−2.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:02RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 46, up 10
    Close callPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:02NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:30RUTG 4th & 9 at NEB 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:20RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 47, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:03NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 14, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00RUTG 4th & 18 at NEB 39, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−2.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.3%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    74.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:00NEB 4th & 2 at RUTG 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.0%−0.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−4.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:28RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 43, up 6
    Close callPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:24NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 26, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%−2.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:31NEB 4th & 1 at RUTG 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−4.8
    62% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−15.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:52RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 49, up 6
    Close callPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:50NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:04RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:03NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 41, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−5.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:22RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:35NEB Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:54NEB Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−2.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3344% → 47%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+33
44.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 33 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
44.8%
Samuel Brown V run for 6 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+5
45.0%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
45.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Neb 23Similar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 5
OPP 23
+2
45.3%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 2 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+21
46.4%
Noah Vedral run for 21 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 0
OPP 3
+1
46.5%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the Neb 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:5754% → 53%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
46.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 7 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+4
46.1%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
46.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 2 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
46.6%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 40Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
47.0%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+53
47.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the RUTGERS 14 RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Block (Shameen Jones) to the Rutgr 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:4447% → 50%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
47.3%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+5
48.0%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+3
47.8%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
48.2%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+34
48.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Sean Ryan for 34 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
49.6%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
49.7%
Noah Vedral run for no gain to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-1
49.9%
Noah Vedral run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
49.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:2350% → 49%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
49.9%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+2
50.1%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+21
51.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 21 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
50.3%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
50.6%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
50.8%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+11
51.5%
TEAM punt blocked by Max Melton blocked by Max Melton Parker Day return for 11 yds to the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1653% → 52%
Q1 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
52.8%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Neb 8Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
53.3%
Noah Vedral run for 1 yd to the Neb 7Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
52.9%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
52.3%
Jude McAtamney 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6INT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5848% → 47%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
52.4%
Jaquez Yant run for 10 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
52.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Jaquez Yant) to the Neb 39Similar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+4
53.1%
Jaquez Yant run for 4 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 11
OWN 43
-1
52.9%
Casey Thompson pass intercepted Christian Braswell return for 1 yd to the Rutgr 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2854% → 53%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
53.5%
Noah Vedral run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
54.2%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
53.5%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:31
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
52.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Neb 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 1:5346% → 43%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
54.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Trey Palmer) to the Neb 11Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 11
-5
54.5%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Nate Boerkircher) to the Neb 6Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 25
OWN 6
+2
54.8%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 8Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 23
OWN 8
0
55.4%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 8Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 23
OWN 8
0
56.7%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 23
OWN 8
-4
57.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 49 yds , Aron Cruickshank returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1956% → 55%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
55.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
56.4%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
55.9%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
55.3%
Adam Korsak punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:5144% → 40%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
56.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 3 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+11
56.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 11 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
57.2%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+7
57.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 7 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
57.7%
Trey Palmer run for no gain to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 9:09
4TH & 1
OWN 31
-5
59.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 26Similar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
60.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:2558% → 67%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
58.2%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+43
57.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 43 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-9
60.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the Neb 21 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 19
OPP 31
0
61.1%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 19
OPP 31
+10
60.7%
Noah Vedral run for 10 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
61.1%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+40
67.4%
Jude McAtamney 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12INT
6 plays · 48 yds · 1:3634% → 36%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
66.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 15 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
65.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 20 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
64.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for no gain to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+13
65.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 13 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
64.1%
Casey Thompson pass intercepted Max Melton return for 1 yd to the Rutgr 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:0568% → 74%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+29
68.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 29 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
69.4%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
69.3%
Evan Simon run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+13
69.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 13 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
71.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-10
72.2%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 14
OWN 45
-15
71.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 29
OWN 30
+18
71.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 18 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 11
OWN 48
-1
72.6%
Evan Simon sacked by Ochaun Mathis for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
73.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Neb 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:1227% → 26%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
73.0%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
73.4%
Chubba Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+2
73.6%
Chubba Purdy run for 2 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
74.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:5576% → 76%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
75.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 5 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+16
76.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Sean Ryan for 16 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
76.3%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-8
76.3%
Evan Simon sacked by Garrett Nelson for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 18
OPP 39
0
75.0%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Isaiah WashingtonSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 18
OPP 39
+58
75.9%
Jude McAtamney 58 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:1127% → 43%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
72.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
72.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 11 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
71.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
70.8%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
71.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 5 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+3
72.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 3 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+7
73.1%
Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
71.6%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
74.5%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+9
75.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 9 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
56.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 7 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5765% → 66%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
65.1%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
66.5%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
68.3%
Johnny Langan run for no gain to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
67.5%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:28
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
65.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5637% → 34%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
63.4%
Alante Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 16Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+2
64.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 2 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+8
66.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 8 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+12
66.0%
Brian Buschini punt for 47 yds , Aron Cruickshank returns for 12 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19INT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:1969% → 71%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
69.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Chris Long for 8 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
70.5%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
69.3%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
50
+12
70.9%
Samuel Brown V run for 12 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
71.8%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-1
72.5%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 36Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
71.1%
Evan Simon pass intercepted Brandon Moore return for no gain to the Neb 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:0335% → 36%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
64.7%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
65.4%
Jaquez Yant run for 6 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+10
64.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 10 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
62.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 17 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
61.7%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
61.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 7 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+2
61.7%
Jaquez Yant run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 1
OPP 27
0
63.8%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:0875% → 77%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
74.7%
Johnny Langan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
74.3%
Evan Simon pass incomplete RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+19
73.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Johnny Langan for 19 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
77.4%
Samuel Brown V run for 6 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
78.0%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
77.2%
Samuel Brown V run for no gain to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 1
OPP 46
-5
76.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
76.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:3431% → 25%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
68.7%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
70.8%
Casey Thompson run for 9 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
70.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Hunter Anthony) to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+4
71.4%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 16
OWN 25
-6
72.1%
Casey Thompson sacked by Aaron Lewis for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 19Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 22
OWN 19
+15
73.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 15 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
75.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 24 yds, downed at the Rutgr 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23INT
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:2085% → 83%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
84.5%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-10
84.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mike Ciaffoni) to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 17
OWN 35
-17
82.6%
Evan Simon pass intercepted Myles Farmer return for 17 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24TD
1 play · 27 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
37.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 27 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:3449% → 46%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
49.4%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
52.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Samuel Brown V for 9 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
53.2%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 9
50
-7
53.2%
Noah Vedral sacked by Colton Feist and Garrett Nelson for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 16
OWN 43
+6
45.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 6 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 6:04
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
45.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26PUNT
16 plays · 29 yds · 4:3560% → 72%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
40.4%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+1
40.2%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 15Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+11
42.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 11 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
38.9%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-2
37.3%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+16
39.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 1 yd to the Neb 26 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
32.2%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 41Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
31.0%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-10
29.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 17
OWN 34
+7
35.2%
Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
27.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1142% → 39%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
42.3%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
41.6%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-25
39.3%
Evan Simon pass intercepted Malcolm Hartzog return for no gain to the Neb 20 NEBRASKA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (25 Yards) to the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
7.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:54
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 27 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)
-44.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 29
-32
TD · Q3 10:35
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 7 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)
-19.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com