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PUR

Purdue 31 at Maryland 29

MD
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:55 · Jack Ansell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 4Pregame prior+9.4Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:14: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 68 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — MD win probability +11.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 7:47: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 11 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland PAT BLOCKED) — MD win probability +22.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:19: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 4 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +37.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:20: Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +16.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:35: Corey Dyches 18 Yd pass from Taulia Tagovailoa (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — MD win probability +28.9 pts (now 37%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 8PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:55PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:50PUR 4th & 19 at MD 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:22MD 4th & 10 at PUR 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:52MD 4th & 17 at MD 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−3.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:30PUR 4th & 7 at MD 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    54.4%−0.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:08MD 4th & 6 at MD 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:41PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−3.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:24MD 4th & 8 at MD 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:02MD 4th & 1 at MD 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.8%−3.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:41MD 4th & 10 at MD 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−2.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:40MD 4th & 4 at PUR 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.8%−2.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    56.0%−4.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:06PUR 4th & 25 at PUR 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−8.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:30MD 4th & 10 at MD 17, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 4PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:31MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:04PUR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:16PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:14MD Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:47MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−1.5
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:19PUR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.7%−2.8
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:20PUR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−2.9
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:35MD Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    18.0%−12.0
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    30.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:0540% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-13
59.8%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 13 yards to the Prdue 9 Dylan Downing fumbled, recovered by Prdue Dylan DowningSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 23
OWN 9
+7
59.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 7 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 16
+8
59.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 8 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q1 12:55
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
60.0%
Jack Ansell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:2460% → 62%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
59.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 4 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+35
59.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 35 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
60.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 5 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+8
60.2%
Roman Hemby run for 8 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
60.2%
Roman Hemby run for 8 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+9
62.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 9 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:4139% → 38%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
61.3%
O'CONNELL, Aidan pass to the right incomplete intended for TRACY JR., Tyrone thrown to the PUR36. PENALTY UMD Holding on STILL, Tarheeb enforced 10 yards from the PUR25 to the PUR35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
61.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
61.0%
Tyrone Tracy run for 2 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+15
61.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 15 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
60.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 9 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+5
60.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
60.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 7 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 3
OPP 23
-1
60.7%
Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 24Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+11
60.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 11 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
60.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Mary 12Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
60.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
60.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 9
OPP 12
-10
63.0%
FINERAN, Mitchell field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at UMD19], score nullified by penalty, clock 04:55. PENALTY PUR Holding on DURHAM, Payne enforced 10 yards from the UMD12 to the UMD22. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 19
OPP 22
+39
61.7%
Mitchell Fineran 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:5861% → 61%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.1%
Antwain Littleton II run for 5 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-15
61.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted return for no gain to the Prdue 30 PURDUE Penalty, Illegal Block (Semisi Fakasiieiki) to the Prdue 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:4839% → 45%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
61.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for 12 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
60.4%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
60.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+11
60.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 11 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
60.3%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+11
59.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 11 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
59.8%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+12
59.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 12 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
59.3%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Fa'Najae Gotay and Deonte Banks for 0 yards to the Mary 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
59.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 6 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
59.9%
O'CONNELL, Aidan pass up the middle incomplete thrown to the UMD0. PENALTY Before the snap, UMD Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the UMD2 to the UMD1. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.5%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, Offsides (Durell Nchami) declined, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:3557% → 60%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
57.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 13 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+25
57.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 25 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
59.3%
Colby McDonald run for 5 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+9
59.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Ramon Brown for 9 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
59.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
59.8%
Colby McDonald run for 4 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+1
59.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 1 yd to the Prdue 23Similar
Q2 13:57
4TH & 5
OPP 23
-5
58.1%
RYLAND, Chad field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at PUR31], score nullified by penalty. PENALTY Before the snap, UMD False Start on FONTAINE, Austin enforced 5 yards from the PUR23 to the PUR28. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
59.9%
Chad Ryland 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0641% → 55%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
58.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 10 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
57.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+19
57.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 19 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
56.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 12 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
55.8%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Jaishawn Barham for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 32Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+3
56.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Ahmad McCullough) to the Mary 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
55.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Mary 6Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+2
55.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 4 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:1848% → 46%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
48.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 17Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 12
OWN 17
-5
47.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Jaelyn Duncan) to the Mary 12Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 17
OWN 12
0
47.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 17
OWN 12
0
46.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:52
4TH & 17
OWN 12
0
45.7%
Colton Spangler punt for 31 yds, downed at the Mary 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2256% → 55%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-8
44.2%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Durell Nchami for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 18
OWN 49
+11
45.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 11 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
44.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
44.9%
Jack Ansell punt for 30 yds, downed at the Mary 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:2247% → 46%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
46.5%
Antwain Littleton II run for 7 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+2
45.8%
Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+13
45.9%
Antwain Littleton II run for 13 yds to the Mary 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
47.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-8
47.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Khordae Sydnor for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 24Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 18
OWN 24
+12
44.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 12 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
45.6%
Colton Spangler punt for 38 yds , Charlie Jones returns for no gain to the Prdue 36 PURDUE Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Prdue 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:2257% → 53%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
43.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+3
43.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
43.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 5
OWN 21
-5
44.5%
PURDUE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 16Similar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
44.8%
Jack Ansell punt for 37 yds, downed at the Mary 47Similar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
47.3%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the left complete for 2 yards to HEMBY, Roman caught at the UMD50 and advanced to the UMD49 (TRICE, Cory). PENALTY UMD Personal Foul on LUNSFORD, Mason enforced 15 yards from the UMD47 to the UMD32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12TD
1 play · 53 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 25
OWN 32
+68
59.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 68 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
56.7%
Kneel down by O'CONNELL, Aidan at PUR14 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3660% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.6%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
59.8%
Roman Hemby run for 5 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
59.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Spencer Anderson) to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
58.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
57.2%
Colton Spangler punt for 40 yds , Charlie Jones returns for no gain to the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 28 yds · 2:1645% → 47%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
55.0%
Dylan Downing run for 9 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
52.9%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+32
52.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 32 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
51.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 26Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 14
OPP 26
-13
52.8%
Aidan O'Connell sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the Mary 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0661% → 60%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
60.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 38Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+3
60.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to CJ Dippre for 3 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+7
59.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to CJ Dippre for 7 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
60.4%
Antwain Littleton II run for no gain to the Mary 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17INT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:2648% → 49%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
52.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
52.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+20
53.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 20 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
50.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
50.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 4:5559% → 57%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
59.0%
Colby McDonald run for 8 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+1
61.0%
Colby McDonald run for 1 yd to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+1
59.5%
Colby McDonald run for 1 yd to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
59.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 5 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+5
61.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Ramon Brown for 5 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
62.0%
Ramon Brown run for 1 yd to the Mary 45Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-8
61.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Khordae Sydnor for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 37Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 17
OWN 37
+7
57.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Ramon Brown for 7 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+2
56.7%
Colton Spangler punt for 50 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 2 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:5945% → 47%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
55.4%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the Prdue 9Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+5
55.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for 5 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+6
56.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 6 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
54.7%
O'CONNELL, Aidan pass to the right incomplete intended for JONES, Charlie thrown to the UMD50. PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on STILL, Tarheeb enforced 15 yards to the PUR35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
53.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 5 yds fumbled, recovered by Mary Jaishawn BarhamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2063% → 60%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
63.3%
Roman Hemby run for no gain to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-3
63.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+9
59.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 9 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+52
60.0%
Chad Ryland 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:3447% → 42%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
53.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-10
53.7%
MOCKOBEE, Devin rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the PUR38 (BENNETT, Jakorian). PENALTY PUR Holding on MBOW, Marcus enforced 10 yards from the PUR34 to the PUR24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 20
OWN 24
0
54.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 20
OWN 24
-5
56.3%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Jaishawn Barham for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 25
OWN 19
+49
57.9%
Jack Ansell punt for 49 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:1959% → 87%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
58.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
58.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 6 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+14
59.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 14 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
63.3%
Antwain Littleton II run for 3 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
63.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+24
62.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 24 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
64.8%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+6
64.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 6 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
63.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
64.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Jamari Brown for 0 yards to the Prdue 11Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
64.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
86.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 11 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:2125% → 69%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
75.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
75.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 8 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+20
73.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Ben Furtney for 20 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
71.3%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+12
71.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 12 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
68.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 12 yds to the Mary 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
68.6%
Aidan O'Connell run for 2 yds to the Mary 12Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+11
68.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 11 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
68.7%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 4Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
31.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 4 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4448% → 43%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
47.5%
Roman Hemby run for no gain to the Mary 17Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
46.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
44.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 10
OWN 17
0
42.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 1:0569% → 97%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
31.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+56
30.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 56 yds to the Mary 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
24.4%
Aidan O'Connell run for 1 yd to the Mary 1Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
19.7%
Aidan O'Connell run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 0:375% → 37%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
4.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 8 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+11
5.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 11 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
6.0%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the left incomplete intended for DEMUS, Dontay thrown to the PUR10. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on ALLEN, Cam enforced 15 yards to the PUR34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
7.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 16 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
36.6%
Corey Dyches 18 Yd pass from Taulia Tagovailoa (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
5.2%
[NH] Kneel down by O'CONNELL, Aidan at UMD39 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:19
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 4 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
-37.5
TD · Q4 0:35
Corey Dyches 18 Yd pass from Taulia Tagovailoa (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+28.9
TD · Q4 7:47
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 11 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland PAT BLOCKED)
+22
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com