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IOWA

Iowa 6 at Illinois 9

ILL
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:33 · Hugh Robertson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+20.0+10.00−10.0−20.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Home team on offense+0.4Pregame prior+4.8Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 2:48: Drew Stevens 27 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +7.6 pts (now 46%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:56: Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the Iowa 3 — IOWA win probability +10.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 2:49: Fabrizio Pinton 36 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +20.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:46: Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 8 yds to the Iowa 30 — IOWA win probability +13.4 pts (now 29%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:36: PENALTY ILL False Start (Pihlstrom,Alex) 5 yards from ILL33 to ILL28. NO PLAY. — ILL win probability +19.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 9 of 12IOWA made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00ILL 4th & 3 at IOWA 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00ILL 4th & 1 at IOWA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    60.6%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    60.2%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:03ILL 4th & 9 at IOWA 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:51IOWA 4th & 14 at ILL 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    35.3%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:33ILL 4th & 14 at IOWA 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:05IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 8, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:05ILL 4th & 2 at IOWA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    60.5%−0.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    60.2%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:00ILL 4th & 3 at IOWA 19, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%−0.6
    77% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:16IOWA 4th & 21 at IOWA 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−3.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:27IOWA 4th & 16 at ILL 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:48IOWA 4th & 9 at ILL 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−6.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:38ILL 4th & 2 at ILL 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:12IOWA 4th & 19 at ILL 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−2.8
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−4.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:26IOWA 4th & 14 at IOWA 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−3.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:27ILL 4th & 10 at ILL 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−2.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 10:56IOWA 4th & 29 at IOWA 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−5.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:40ILL 4th & 4 at IOWA 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:02IOWA 4th & 8 at ILL 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:24ILL 4th & 11 at IOWA 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    56.7%−2.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 13:21IOWA 4th & 14 at ILL 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−3.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    42.4%−3.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:19IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−3.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:49ILL 4th & 10 at IOWA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−4.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−27.0
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:12ILL 4th & 6 at ILL 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−2.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1FG
18 plays · 66 yds · 5:5757% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
56.7%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
56.7%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
56.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 22 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
56.7%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+3
56.7%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
56.7%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Iowa 36Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+3
56.7%
Tommy DeVito run for 3 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
56.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
56.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Reggie Love III for 5 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+2
56.7%
Tommy DeVito run for 2 yds to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+4
56.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 4 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
56.7%
Isaiah Williams run for 8 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+5
56.7%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Iowa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
56.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
56.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Chase BrownSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
56.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Tip ReimanSimilar
Q1 9:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
58.0%
Fabrizio Pinton 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 5:0742% → 43%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
57.7%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Arland Bruce IVSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
57.8%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+31
57.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 31 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
57.1%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Illin 37Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
57.1%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Gavin WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+30
57.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 30 yds to the Illin 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
56.8%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Illin 8Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
56.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 1 yd to the Illin 9Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
57.2%
PENALTY IOWA False Start (Elsbury,Tyler) 5 yards from ILL09 to ILL14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
57.4%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the Illin 14Similar
Q1 3:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
57.3%
Drew Stevens 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3PUNT
15 plays · 36 yds · 5:1857% → 57%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.1%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
57.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 4 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
56.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 5 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
57.5%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
58.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Casey WashingtonSimilar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+16
57.5%
Tommy DeVito run for 16 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
58.4%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Illin 49Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 18
OWN 49
0
57.5%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Illin 49Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 18
OWN 49
+6
57.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Casey Washington for 6 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+10
57.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sitkowski,Artur pass complete short right to Bryant,Pat for 9 yards to the IOWA36 (Merriweather,Kaevon; Campbell,Jack) PENALTY IOWA Holding (DeJean,Cooper) 10 yards from IOWA45 to IOWA35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
59.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Isaiah WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
59.5%
Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the Iowa 40 Isaiah Williams fumbled, recovered by Illin Isaiah WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+1
57.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Chase Brown for 1 yd to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 14
OPP 39
0
56.8%
Hugh Robertson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2843% → 42%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
56.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 5Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+3
56.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 4
OWN 8
0
57.5%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Brody BrechtSimilar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 4
OWN 8
0
58.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 48 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for no gain to the Illin 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:0559% → 61%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
59.2%
Chase Brown run for 15 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
59.6%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+4
59.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+1
59.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Chase Brown for 1 yd to the Iowa 33Similar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+7
58.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Brian Hightower for 7 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
60.0%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+7
60.0%
Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
59.3%
Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
60.9%
Fabrizio Pinton 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:3940% → 38%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
59.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
60.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 11
OWN 26
-10
60.8%
Spencer Petras sacked by Keith Randolph Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 16Similar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 21
OWN 16
0
62.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4943% → 39%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-6
56.8%
Spencer Petras sacked by Tarique Barnes for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 41Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 16
OPP 41
+5
58.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 5 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 11
OPP 36
-5
58.5%
PENALTY IOWA False Start (Lachey,Luke) 5 yards from ILL36 to ILL41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 16
OPP 41
0
59.7%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kaleb Johnson) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 16
OPP 41
0
61.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:1161% → 61%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
60.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
60.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 9 yds Isaiah Williams fumbled, recovered by Iowa Seth BensonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9FG
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2843% → 46%
Q2 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
56.8%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Leshon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
56.8%
IOWA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Illin 23Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
+9
59.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 9 yds to the Illin 14Similar
Q2 4:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+5
61.3%
PENALTY ILL Offside (Avery,Calvin) 5 yards from ILL14 to ILL09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
53.7%
Drew Stevens 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1058% → 57%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.8%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
58.4%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
57.9%
Artur Sitkowski run for no gain to the Illin 33Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
56.5%
Hugh Robertson punt for 46 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for no gain to the Iowa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11MISSED FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 1:2646% → 45%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
54.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 7 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 3
OWN 28
0
53.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+7
54.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 7 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
53.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
50
0
51.3%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
50
+32
52.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 32 yds to the Illin 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
50.1%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
50.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 9 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 19
OPP 27
0
53.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 19
OPP 27
+45
55.5%
Drew Stevens 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
59.3%
Kneel down by Illinois at ILL26 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3246% → 43%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
54.4%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-8
54.1%
Spencer Petras sacked by Seth Coleman for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 17Similar
Q3 14:58
3RD & 14
OWN 17
0
56.0%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 14
OWN 17
0
57.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 49 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for no gain to the Illin 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5959% → 56%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
58.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Chase Brown for 5 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-5
60.2%
PENALTY ILL False Start (Adams,Isaiah) 5 yards from ILL37 to ILL32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
58.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Chase BrownSimilar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
56.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
55.6%
Hugh Robertson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -19 yds · 1:3146% → 43%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-15
53.9%
IOWA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Iowa 18Similar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 22
OWN 18
0
54.5%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Arland Bruce IVSimilar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 22
OWN 18
0
54.8%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 22
OWN 18
-7
56.0%
Spencer Petras sacked by Seth Coleman for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 11Similar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 29
OWN 11
0
57.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Miles Scott at the Illin 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:1660% → 59%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
60.4%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
60.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Hank Beatty for 4 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
60.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Miles ScottSimilar
Q3 9:40
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
58.7%
Hugh Robertson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Arland Bruce IV at the Iowa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:3845% → 46%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
54.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
53.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
54.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 5 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
53.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 13 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
51.1%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 9
50
+1
51.0%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the Illin 49Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
52.2%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
54.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Miles Scott at the Illin 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:3857% → 57%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
57.3%
Artur Sitkowski run for 5 yds to the Illin 14Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+23
57.5%
Chase Brown run for 23 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
59.1%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+12
61.5%
Chase Brown run for 12 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
62.2%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+3
62.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Brian Hightower for 3 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+6
61.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Miles Scott for 6 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
56.5%
Hugh Robertson punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:0346% → 45%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
54.5%
Spencer Petras run for 6 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+2
54.9%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+16
55.9%
Spencer Petras run for 16 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
53.6%
PENALTY ILL Personal Foul offsetting IOWA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting IOWA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+21
53.6%
Leshon Williams run for 21 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
49.7%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
50.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 11 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
48.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+8
48.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 8 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 46
0
52.9%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
55.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Hank Beatty at the Illin 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20INT
9 plays · 81 yds · 3:2557% → 65%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
57.2%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+8
57.3%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+34
57.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Brian Hightower for 34 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
62.8%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+11
60.5%
Artur Sitkowski run for 11 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
62.2%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
64.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Jonah Morris for 21 yds to the Iowa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
64.0%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Iowa 4Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
64.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:3746% → 43%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
54.0%
Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the Iowa 3Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+2
54.5%
Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the Iowa 5Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 6
OWN 5
-2
56.2%
PENALTY IOWA Delay Of Game 2 yards from IOWA05 to IOWA03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+3
56.2%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 6Similar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
56.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22FG
10 plays · 26 yds · 4:3063% → 83%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
63.4%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+4
63.5%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
62.7%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
64.8%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+11
64.9%
Reggie Love III run for 11 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
64.8%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+3
64.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Hank Beatty for 3 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+1
62.8%
Artur Sitkowski run for 1 yd to the Iowa 19Similar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
83.4%
Fabrizio Pinton 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:1029% → 32%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
71.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 8 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+10
68.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 10 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
69.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 7 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
67.6%
Spencer Petras pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 0:2487% → 91%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
87.3%
PENALTY ILL False Start (Pihlstrom,Alex) 5 yards from ILL33 to ILL28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+9
87.0%
Chase Brown run for 9 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
89.3%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 37Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+5
89.3%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 1
OWN 42
-5
91.4%
PENALTY ILL Delay Of Game 5 yards from ILL42 to ILL37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
91.3%
Hugh Robertson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Arland Bruce IV at the Iowa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 4 yds · 1:1213% → 10%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
86.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 13 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
85.7%
Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
85.4%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Luke LacheySimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+15
87.0%
Shotgun Petras,Spencer pass incomplete short left to Ragaini,Nico PENALTY ILL Pass Interference (Jennings,Terrell) 15 yards from IOWA31 to IOWA46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
83.8%
Spencer Petras sacked by Kenenna Odeluga for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 35Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 17
OWN 35
-10
87.0%
Shotgun Petras,Spencer pass complete short middle to Williams,Gavin for 0 yards to the IOWA35 (Barnes,Tarique) PENALTY IOWA Holding 10 yards from IOWA35 to IOWA25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 27
OWN 25
0
87.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 27
OWN 25
-5
87.8%
PENALTY IOWA False Start (Colby,Connor) 5 yards from IOWA25 to IOWA20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 32
OWN 20
+4
89.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to for 4 yds fumbled, recovered by Iowa Nico RagainiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 2:49
Fabrizio Pinton 36 yd FG GOOD
+20.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:36
PENALTY ILL False Start (Pihlstrom,Alex) 5 yards from ILL33 to ILL28. NO PLAY.
+19.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:46
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 8 yds to the Iowa 30
-13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com