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IU

Indiana 21 at Nebraska 35

NEB
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:32 · James Evans punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 190Pregame prior+1.6Home team on offense+23.5Score differential+7.2Garbage-time factor+6.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:03: Malcolm Hartzog 30 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Timmy Bleekrode Kick) — NEB win probability +9.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:54: Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +7.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:15: Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +16.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:43: Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 71 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +22.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:53: Casey Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +8.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 8 of 9IU made the numbers' call on 12 of 14
  1. Q1 14:04IU 4th & 9 at IU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:36IU 4th & 4 at IU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:36IU 4th & 4 at IU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:13NEB 4th & 23 at IU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    69.5%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:45IU 4th & 5 at IU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:03NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:03NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:26IU 4th & 10 at NEB 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:54NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:03IU 4th & 9 at IU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 9:02IU 4th & 18 at IU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−2.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:08NEB 4th & 17 at NEB 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−2.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:27NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:40IU 4th & 10 at IU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−4.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:11NEB 4th & 23 at NEB 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−4.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:39IU 4th & 1 at IU 11, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%−2.3
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:53NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−3.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:42IU 4th & 3 at NEB 42, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    41.9%−5.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%−3.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:58IU 4th & 6 at IU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−1.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:32IU 4th & 14 at IU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:19NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:49IU 4th & 16 at IU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:49IU 4th & 16 at IU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:17NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:17IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:03NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:54NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:09IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:15IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:43NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:53NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:5632% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
67.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
67.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
67.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q1 14:04
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
67.8%
James Evans punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 0:4768% → 68%
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
67.8%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+34
67.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 34 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
68.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 34 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
Q1 13:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
68.4%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Emery Simmons) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:4132% → 32%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malachi Holt-BennettSimilar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 6 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
68.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
68.4%
James Evans punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Neb 15Similar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
68.4%
James Evans punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Neb 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
14 plays · 43 yds · 5:2368% → 70%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
68.4%
Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+11
68.4%
Anthony Grant run for 11 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
68.4%
Casey Thompson run for 3 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+7
68.5%
Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
68.6%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
68.6%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Anthony GrantSimilar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+14
68.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 14 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
68.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 11 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
68.7%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Cam Jones) to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 19
OPP 38
+12
68.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 12 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
68.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Casey Thompson) to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 21
OPP 40
+2
68.4%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 21
OPP 40
+2
68.4%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 23
OPP 42
0
69.5%
Brian Buschini punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Connor Delp at the Ind 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
14 plays · 40 yds · 2:2830% → 30%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
69.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 8 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+7
69.5%
Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
69.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short right to Simmons,Emery PENALTY NEB Holding (Buford Jr.,Marques) 10 yards from IU 20 to IU 30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
69.4%
PENALTY IU Delay Of Game 5 yards from IU 30 to IU 25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 15
OWN 25
0
69.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Shaun ShiversSimilar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 15
OWN 25
0
69.6%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 15
OWN 25
-15
69.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short right to Swinton,Javon PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Newsome,Quinton) 15 yards from IU 25 to IU 40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
69.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Javon Swinton for 5 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
68.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
69.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
69.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Javon Swinton for 5 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
68.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
69.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
69.9%
James Evans punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Neb 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:4270% → 70%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
70.3%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 8 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+1
70.3%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 14Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+3
70.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
70.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Thompson,Casey pass complete short right to Ervin Jr.,Gabe for 7 yards to the NEB24, End Of Play PENALTY IU Holding (Williams,Jaylin) 10 yards from NEB17 to NEB27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
70.5%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 7 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+1
70.8%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-13
70.5%
Casey Thompson sacked by Dasan McCullough for a loss of 13 yards to the Neb 22Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-13
70.5%
Casey Thompson sacked by Dasan McCullough for a loss of 13 yards to the Neb 22Similar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 15
OWN 22
0
70.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 14 , Connor Delp returns for no gain to the Ind 22 INDIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (Jordan Grier) to the Ind 14Similar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 15
OWN 22
+2
70.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 56 yds , Connor Delp returns for 2 yds to the Ind 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 2:3729% → 28%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+25
70.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 25 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
70.4%
Connor Bazelak sacked for 0 yards to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+24
71.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 24 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
70.4%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Garrett Nelson for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+8
71.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 8 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+13
70.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 13 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
69.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
69.9%
Josh Henderson run for no gain to the Neb 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
70.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
71.6%
James Evans punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -9 yds · 1:0972% → 66%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
71.5%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 8Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+2
71.4%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 9
OWN 10
0
65.5%
Myles Jackson 0 Yd Fumble Return (Charles Campbell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:2366% → 65%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.3%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
66.5%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Palmer,Trey) 5 yards from NEB27 to NEB22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
66.1%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
66.0%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
65.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10PUNT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5136% → 26%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
63.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 1 yd to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
64.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malachi Holt-BennettSimilar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
64.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+30
73.7%
Malcolm Hartzog 30 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Timmy Bleekrode Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:5527% → 25%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
73.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
73.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andison Coby for 4 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
73.6%
INDIANA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Connor Bazelak) to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 18
OWN 16
+22
74.7%
James Evans punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 45 , Trey Palmer returns for 22 yds to the Neb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:0874% → 83%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
74.3%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Casey Thompson) to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 21
OWN 34
+17
73.0%
Anthony Grant run for 17 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+14
74.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 14 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
74.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 1 yd to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+10
74.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 10 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
74.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 21 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
75.1%
Jaquez Yant run for 2 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.5%
Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4520% → 28%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
80.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 12 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
80.3%
PENALTY IU False Start 5 yards from IU 37 to IU 32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+13
80.6%
Josh Henderson run for 13 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 2
OWN 45
-10
79.4%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+28
80.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Javon Swinton for 28 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
78.6%
Connor Bazelak run for 5 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+15
78.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 15 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
71.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 13 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 0:5675% → 74%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
75.1%
Freeman,Chris kickoff 65 yards to the NEB00 Hill,Tommi return 23 yards to the NEB23, End Of Play PENALTY IU Offside offsetting NEB Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
75.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 12 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-30
75.9%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Face Mask UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-30 Yards) to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
76.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 18
OWN 31
0
75.0%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 18
OWN 31
+1
74.4%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 17
OWN 32
0
73.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:5325% → 45%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
75.1%
Jaylin Lucas run for 5 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+34
74.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for 34 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
71.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 9 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+21
71.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andison Coby for 21 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
71.5%
Jaylin Lucas run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
64.2%
Casey Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:3364% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
63.7%
Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
65.4%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
64.2%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
64.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 8 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
66.4%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
65.3%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
63.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18INT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0140% → 40%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
59.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 3
OWN 17
-9
59.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass complete deep left to Simmons,Emery for 29 yards to the IU 46 (Farmer,Myles) PENALTY IU Pass Interference (Simmons,Emery) 9 yards from IU 17 to IU 08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+15
60.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 15 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
59.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andison Coby for 4 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+2
58.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
59.6%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
67.1%
Casey Thompson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:3740% → 38%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
60.1%
Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the Ind 3Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
60.4%
Donaven McCulley run for no gain to the Ind 3Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
61.6%
PENALTY IU Delay Of Game 1 yard from IU 03 to IU 02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+1
61.6%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 1Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 10
OWN 1
+9
62.3%
James Evans punt for 57 yds , Trey Palmer returns for 9 yds to the Ind 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 2:2966% → 60%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
65.9%
Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+2
66.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Brody Belt for 2 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
66.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Grant,Anthony rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IU 34 (Mullen,Tiawan) PENALTY NEB False Start (Piper,Ethan) 5 yards from IU 38 to IU 43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+10
64.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Grant,Anthony rush left for 0 yards to the IU 43 (Haynes,Jonathan) PENALTY NEB Holding (Boerkircher,Nate) 10 yards from IU 43 to NEB47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 25
OWN 47
+2
63.7%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 49 Anthony Grant fumbled, recovered by Neb Brody BeltSimilar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 23
OWN 49
0
63.2%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 23
OWN 49
0
61.6%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Gabe Ervin Jr.Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 23
OWN 49
0
60.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3241% → 39%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
59.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+8
59.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andison Coby for 8 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+1
60.3%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the Ind 11Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 1
OWN 11
+6
60.7%
James Evans punt for 51 yds , Trey Palmer returns for 6 yds to the Neb 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:4664% → 58%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
64.4%
Chubba Purdy run for no gain to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
63.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Thompson,Casey pass incomplete short middle to Vokolek,Travis PENALTY NEB Holding (Benhart,Bryce) 11 yard from NEB44 to NEB33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 21
OWN 33
+3
60.8%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 18
OWN 36
+3
59.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 3 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 1:53
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
58.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:1144% → 45%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
56.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
57.1%
Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+17
57.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andison Coby for 17 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
52.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malachi Holt-BennettSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
52.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 7 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
52.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Josh HendersonSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
54.7%
James Evans punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 0:5960% → 84%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
60.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Thompson,Casey pass incomplete short right to Palmer,Trey PENALTY IU Personal Foul (Mullen,Tiawan) 15 yards from NEB13 to NEB28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
61.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
60.8%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+71
83.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 71 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4519% → 17%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
81.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+4
81.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 4 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
82.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malachi Holt-BennettSimilar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
83.1%
James Evans punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 27TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 6:0587% → 96%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.9%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Alante BrownSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
86.5%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+11
85.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 11 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
87.2%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+7
87.2%
Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
87.5%
Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+6
87.5%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
87.5%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Ind 15Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+5
87.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 5 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+6
86.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 6 yds to the Ind 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
87.5%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.4%
Casey Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:216% → 5%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 11 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
93.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
93.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 4 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 14
OWN 32
0
94.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Malachi Holt-BennettSimilar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
94.6%
James Evans punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:1397% → 97%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
96.5%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
96.6%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+2
97.5%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
97.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 30DOWNS
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:303% → 2%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-8
97.1%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Ty Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 18
OWN 28
+2
97.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 2 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
97.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
97.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 31END OF GAME
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:4999% → 99%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
98.5%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+7
98.5%
Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.2%
Casey Thompson run for no gain to the Ind 19Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-2
99.3%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:43
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 71 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)
+22.9
TD · Q2 0:15
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)
-16.3
TD · Q2 10:03
Malcolm Hartzog 30 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Timmy Bleekrode Kick)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com