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IU

Indiana 24 at Cincinnati 45

CIN
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:21 · Mason Fletcher punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Connor Delp at the Ind 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 176Pregame prior+7.6Home team on offense+26.3Score differential+10.1Garbage-time factor+11.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.1Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:00: Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 75 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK) — CIN win probability +3.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:06: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 19 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +5.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:33: Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 34 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK) — CIN win probability +4.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:32: Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 32 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK) — CIN win probability +7.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:01: Shaun Shivers run for 47 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +7.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 6 of 11IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 13
  1. Q1 11:54IU 4th & 17 at CIN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    14.7%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:38CIN 4th & 1 at CIN 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:00CIN 4th & 6 at IU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:15IU 4th & 5 at CIN 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:49IU 4th & 28 at IU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:44IU 4th & 8 at CIN 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:11CIN 4th & 20 at CIN 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−2.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:51IU 4th & 6 at IU 49, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:00CIN 4th & 15 at CIN 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:44IU 4th & 16 at IU 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:42CIN 4th & 4 at CIN 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:59IU 4th & 7 at IU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:26CIN 4th & 3 at CIN 30, up 21
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:26CIN 4th & 3 at CIN 30, up 21
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:58IU 4th & 5 at CIN 5, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.8%−2.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:47CIN 4th & 7 at CIN 8, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:21CIN 4th & 5 at IU 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:31IU 4th & 15 at IU 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:46CIN 4th & 4 at IU 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−0.8
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:22IU 4th & 9 at CIN 38, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%
    38% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:22IU 4th & 9 at CIN 38, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%
    38% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.7
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:37CIN 4th & 1 at CIN 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.6
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:46IU 4th & 13 at IU 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:35IU 4th & 17 at IU 18, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:00CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:36CIN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:06IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:33CIN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:32CIN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:22CIN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:23IU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:01IU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:20CIN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:0615% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
85.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
85.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andison Coby for 15 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
85.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+19
85.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 19 yds to the CINCINNATI 35 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
85.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+4
85.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 4 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 42
0
85.1%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Cincy 42Similar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 17
OPP 42
0
84.2%
James Evans punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:1684% → 83%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
84.2%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tre TuckerSimilar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+3
84.2%
Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the Cincy 12Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+17
84.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 17 yds to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
84.2%
Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
84.2%
Ben Bryant run for 5 yds to the Cincy 37Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+1
84.2%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the Cincy 38Similar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
83.1%
Mason Fletcher punt for 52 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews Jr. at the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3817% → 17%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
83.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
83.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
83.1%
Connor Bazelak pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0084% → 83%
Q1 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
83.5%
Corey Kiner run for no gain to the Ind 6Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
83.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Corey Kiner for 1 yd to the Ind 5Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
83.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 1 yd to the Ind 6Similar
Q1 6:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
83.1%
Ryan Coe 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5FG
17 plays · 66 yds · 4:4517% → 20%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.0%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
83.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 6 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
82.9%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
82.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Josh HendersonSimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+16
82.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 16 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
82.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 11 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
82.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
82.5%
Connor Bazelak run for 8 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+3
82.5%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
82.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 1 yd to the Cincy 24Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+6
82.2%
Josh Henderson run for 6 yds to the Cincy 18Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+4
82.4%
Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the Cincy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
82.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 2 yds to the Cincy 16Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+7
82.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the Cincy 9Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
82.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
79.8%
Charles Campbell 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
83.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 75 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -18 yds · 1:1117% → 16%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
83.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-17
84.1%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Ivan Pace Jr. for a loss of 17 yards to the Ind 7Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 28
OWN 7
+6
84.5%
James Evans punt for 53 yds , Jadon Thompson returns for 6 yds to the Cincy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:1384% → 89%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
84.3%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the Cincy 37Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+45
84.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 45 yds to the Ind 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
84.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 14 yds to the Ind 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
84.8%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the Ind 5Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
84.8%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
88.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 43 yds · 1:4613% → 13%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+21
87.5%
Shaun Shivers run for 21 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
87.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
87.2%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+20
87.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
50
0
86.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
50
+2
87.0%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Cincy 48Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
87.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
87.5%
James Evans punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Charles McClelland at the Cincy 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:3388% → 88%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
88.3%
Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the Cincy 13Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 12
OWN 13
-8
88.3%
Ben Bryant sacked by Alfred Bryant for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 5Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 20
OWN 5
0
88.0%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Charles McClellandSimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 20
OWN 5
+10
87.8%
Mason Fletcher punt for 44 yds , D.J. Matthews Jr. returns for 10 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:0513% → 19%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
87.1%
Donaven McCulley run for 1 yd to the Cincy 38Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
87.1%
Josh Henderson run for no gain to the Cincy 38Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+19
87.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 19 yds to the Cincy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
81.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 19 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3384% → 89%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
84.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 7 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
84.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 11 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
84.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Charles McClelland for 9 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+5
85.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 5 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
85.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 6 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
85.0%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+34
89.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 34 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:4212% → 12%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
88.2%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Block Below Waist (Jowon Briggs) to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
87.8%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
87.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 7 yds to the Cincy 46Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
87.3%
Josh Henderson run for no gain to the Cincy 46Similar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 1
OPP 46
-5
87.2%
PENALTY IND False Start (Haggard,Luke) 5 yards from CIN46 to IND49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
88.2%
James Evans punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:1989% → 97%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
88.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun McClelland,Charles rush middle for 0 yards to the CIN20 (Robbins,Beau; Lanier,Brylan) PENALTY CIN Illegal Use Of Hands (Cooper,Jeremy) 10 yards from CIN20 to CIN10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 20
OWN 10
0
88.6%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tyler ScottSimilar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+26
88.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Charles McClelland for 26 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
89.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Josh Whyle for 8 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+3
89.3%
Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
89.3%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the Cincy 48Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+20
89.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 20 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
96.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 32 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Dominique Perry 0 Yd Fumble Return (Ryan Coe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.7%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Ind 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:3099% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
98.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 10 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
98.8%
Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the Cincy 41Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
98.9%
Ben Bryant pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:071% → 5%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
98.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andison Coby for 12 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
98.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 6 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+1
98.6%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Cincy 32Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+11
98.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andison Coby for 11 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
98.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 9 yds to the Cincy 12Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 1
OPP 12
0
98.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+6
98.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the Cincy 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
98.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Cincy 5Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Josh SanguinettiSimilar
Q3 13:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short right to Camper,Cam QB hurried by Phillips,Eric PENALTY CIN Pass Interference (Harris,Justin) 3 yards from CIN05 to CIN02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.5%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Cincy 2Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 2 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:2396% → 96%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.4%
PENALTY CIN False Start (Huber,Joe) 5 yards from CIN25 to CIN20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
96.4%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tyler ScottSimilar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
96.4%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tre TuckerSimilar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
96.4%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Josh WhyleSimilar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+5
96.3%
Mason Fletcher punt for 44 yds , Connor Delp returns for 5 yds to the Ind 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:164% → 3%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
95.9%
INDIANA Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 21
OWN 30
0
96.2%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Emery Simmons) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 21
OWN 30
+5
96.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 5 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
96.6%
James Evans punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0297% → 96%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
96.7%
Charles McClelland run for 6 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
96.7%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Leonard TaylorSimilar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
96.7%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tyler ScottSimilar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
96.4%
Mason Fletcher punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:433% → 3%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
96.6%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
96.8%
James Evans punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jadon Thompson at the Cincy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3397% → 97%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
96.9%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Charles McClellandSimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
96.9%
Ben Bryant run for 3 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+4
96.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 4 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
96.9%
Mason Fletcher punt for 46 yds , Connor Delp returns for no gain to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
96.9%
Mason Fletcher punt for 46 yds , Connor Delp returns for no gain to the Ind 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24DOWNS
20 plays · 81 yds · 4:283% → 2%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
97.0%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 13Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+6
97.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 6 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+14
97.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short left to McCulley,Donaven, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CIN Pass Interference (Harris,Justin) 14 yards from IND19 to IND33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
96.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
96.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+10
97.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 10 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
96.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
96.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short right to Holt-Bennett,Malachi, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CIN Pass Interference (Harris,Justin) 11 yard from IND45 to CIN44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
96.8%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the Cincy 45Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+17
96.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Aaron Steinfeldt for 17 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
96.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
96.9%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the Cincy 27Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+19
97.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 10 yds to the Cincy 17 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (Jaheim Thomas) to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
96.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 3 yds to the Cincy 5Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
97.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q3 2:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
97.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q3 0:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1199% → 99%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
99.1%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the Cincy 8Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 8
0
99.1%
Ben Bryant run for no gain to the Cincy 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 8
0
99.1%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Chris ScottSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 7
OWN 8
0
99.1%
Mason Fletcher punt for 50 yds , Connor Delp returns for no gain to the Ind 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:462% → 9%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+11
98.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 11 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
90.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 47 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:4096% → 97%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Nick Mardner for 1 yd to the Cincy 26Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
96.1%
Charles McClelland run for 4 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
96.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 6 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
96.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 13 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
96.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Charles McClelland for 5 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
96.6%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tyler ScottSimilar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
96.4%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
97.0%
Mason Fletcher punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Connor Delp at the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:507% → 6%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
92.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Henderson,Josh rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IND11 (Briggs,Jowon) PENALTY IND Holding (Hanna,Parker) 5 yards from IND10 to IND05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 15
OWN 5
0
92.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 15
OWN 5
0
92.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 15
OWN 5
0
93.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q4 10:31
4TH & 15
OWN 5
0
93.7%
James Evans punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 29DOWNS
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:4597% → 98%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
97.4%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the Cincy 48Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-7
97.4%
Ben Bryant sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 41Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 16
OWN 41
0
97.2%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tre TuckerSimilar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 16
OWN 41
+15
97.3%
Fletcher,Mason punt 48 yards to the IND11 fair catch by Delp,Connor at IND11 PENALTY IND Roughing The Kicker (Harris,Christian) 15 yards from CIN41 to IND44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
97.8%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+3
97.7%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+1
97.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Nick Mardner for 1 yd to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
97.8%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 30DOWNS
11 plays · 24 yds · 2:247% → 5%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
93.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
93.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+11
93.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 11 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
93.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
93.1%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+12
93.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 12 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
92.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
92.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 16
OPP 45
+7
93.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 7 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q4 4:22
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
94.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:22
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
94.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 31PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:4598% → 99%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
98.4%
Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
98.5%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the Cincy 41Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+6
98.8%
Ben Bryant run for 6 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
98.8%
Mason Fletcher punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Connor Delp at the Ind 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 32DOWNS
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:512% → 1%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
97.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Aaron Steinfeldt for 11 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
97.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
97.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 10
OWN 15
-3
97.7%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Ivan Pace Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 12Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 13
OWN 12
-10
98.7%
Connor Bazelak sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Ind 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 33TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:2699% → 100%
Q4 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.1%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.2%
Corey Kiner run for no gain to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 34INT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-8
99.8%
Connor Bazelak sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 18Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Connor Bazelak pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 35END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
99.9%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:01
Shaun Shivers run for 47 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q2 0:32
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 32 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)
+7.3
TD · Q2 8:06
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 19 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)
-5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com