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WIS

Wisconsin 21 at Ohio State 52

OSU
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:08 · Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Wisc 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:54: C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 13 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:55: C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 2 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:33: Miyan Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:31: Graham Mertz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nate Van Zelst KICK) — WIS win probability +2.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:35: C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 12 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4WIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 7:19WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:54WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 44, down 21
    Close callPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:19OSU 4th & 1 at WIS 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%−1.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:20OSU 4th & 2 at WIS 7, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:19WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 43, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:05WIS 4th & 3 at OSU 41, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−0.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:13WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:40WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 31, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:11OSU 4th & 13 at OSU 48, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:24WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 4, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:00OSU 4th & 1 at WIS 41, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:13OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:54OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:55OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:33OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:31WIS Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:35OSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:22OSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:46WIS Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:21OSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:11WIS Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 2:3791% → 91%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
90.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 15Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+18
90.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 18 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
90.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 22 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
90.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 10 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+33
90.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 33 yds to the Wisc 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.5%
Miyan Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:3410% → 10%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.3%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
90.2%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
90.1%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.0%
Isaac Guerendo run for no gain to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-30
89.9%
Graham Mertz pass intercepted Tanner McCalister return for 30 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:3590% → 91%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
90.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 13Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
90.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 13 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:299% → 9%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.6%
Isaac Guerendo run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 20Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
90.7%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
90.8%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Keontez LewisSimilar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
90.8%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:1691% → 93%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
91.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
91.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 11 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
91.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+14
91.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 14 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
91.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 16 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
91.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 10 yds to the Wisc 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.1%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 2 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:557% → 7%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
92.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-3
92.8%
Graham Mertz sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+9
93.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 9 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
93.1%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:1793% → 96%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
93.2%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian FlemingSimilar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
93.1%
Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+16
93.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 16 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
93.9%
Miyan Williams run for 14 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
93.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
94.0%
Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+21
94.3%
Miyan Williams run for 21 yds to the Wisc 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.4%
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:484% → 6%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
96.3%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+7
96.4%
Mertz, Graham pass incomplete to Dike, Chimere, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Brown, Jyaire) 7 yards to the WISCONSIN37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.Similar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
96.4%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 9 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+2
96.2%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
96.4%
Graham Mertz run for 11 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
96.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the OhSt 40Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
96.5%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Clay Cundiff, broken up by Josh ProctorSimilar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+26
96.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 26 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
96.4%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the OhSt 6Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+5
96.5%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.9%
Graham Mertz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nate Van Zelst KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 6:0496% → 96%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.0%
Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+25
95.8%
Miyan Williams run for 25 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.2%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Cade Stover, broken up by Kamo'i LatuSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
96.2%
Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
96.1%
Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+9
96.0%
Miyan Williams run for 9 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
96.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the Wisc 21Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+3
96.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+3
96.0%
Mitch Rossi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
96.4%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Cade StoverSimilar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
96.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the Wisc 10Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+3
96.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 7Similar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+25
96.4%
Noah Ruggles 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:505% → 4%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.5%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Clay CundiffSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
95.4%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 1 yd to the Wisc 43Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
95.5%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 9
OWN 43
+67
95.8%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 57 yds for a touchback OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Sonny Styles)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:3697% → 97%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
97.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+6
96.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
96.7%
C.J. Stroud pass intercepted John Torchio return for no gain to the OhSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:275% → 3%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
95.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Clay Cundiff for 3 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
95.2%
Graham Mertz run for 3 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+1
95.5%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 1 yd to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
96.6%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Skyler Bell, broken up by Tanner McCalisterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
97.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:424% → 3%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.2%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
96.1%
Graham Mertz run for 3 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
95.9%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 38 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chimere Dike) to the Wisc 28Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
96.2%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Keontez LewisSimilar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
96.8%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:3597% → 100%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr., broken up by Nick HerbigSimilar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+18
96.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 18 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
97.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
97.2%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr., broken up by Ricardo HallmanSimilar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+31
97.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 31 yds to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
97.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+2
97.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 12Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+12
99.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 12 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+15
99.6%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:491% → 0%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Chimere Dike run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-13
99.5%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 31 WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (Logan Brown) to the Wisc 16Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+15
99.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 15 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.5%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.7%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian FlemingSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
99.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 44 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+2
99.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 13
OWN 48
0
99.7%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka, broken up by Jordan TurnerSimilar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 13
OWN 48
+50
99.7%
Jesse Mirco punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the OHIOST 4 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Preston Zachman) to the Wisc 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:421% → 0%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
99.5%
Braelon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 1Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+3
99.5%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 4Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 8
OWN 4
0
99.6%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Skyler Bell, broken up by Tyler FridaySimilar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 8
OWN 4
+10
99.6%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for 10 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+7
99.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
99.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 19 yds to the Wisc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 7:270% → 0%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 4 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 5 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+10
99.8%
Braelon Allen pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 10 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.8%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+9
99.8%
Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+4
99.8%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+6
99.8%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the OhSt 25Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+19
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 19 yds to the OhSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.9%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the OhSt 2Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the OhSt 2Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jackson Acker for 2 yds for a TD, (Nate Van Zelst KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 11 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming, broken up by Jay ShawSimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
50
+3
99.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+15
99.9%
Stroud, C.J. pass incomplete to Harrison Jr., Marvin, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Shaw, Jay) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 32 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.9%
Braelon Allen run for 75 yds for a TD, (Nate Van Zelst KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 6:04100% → 100%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
Kyle McCord run for 3 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Jesse Mirco punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:380% → 0%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
100.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
100.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:31
Graham Mertz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nate Van Zelst KICK)
-2.4
TD · Q3 9:35
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 12 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q2 13:33
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com