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IOWA

Iowa 27 at Rutgers 10

RUTG
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:07 · Adam Korsak punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the Iowa 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Home team on offense−1.2Pregame prior−16.3Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:28: Kaevon Merriweather 30 Yd Fumble Return (Drew Stevens Kick) — IOWA win probability +8.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:21: Drew Stevens 25 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +4.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:09: Leshon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +12.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:15: Evan Simon pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 18 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK) — RUTG win probability +9.7 pts (now 13%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:15: Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26 — IOWA win probability +7.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 9IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:14RUTG 4th & 8 at IOWA 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:11IOWA 4th & 11 at RUTG 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:35RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:31IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:07RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 44, down 4
    Close callPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:18IOWA 4th & 7 at RUTG 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    62.7%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:00RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 48, down 11
    Close callPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:21IOWA 4th & 4 at RUTG 7, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−3.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:04RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.7%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:43IOWA 4th & 11 at RUTG 46, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    95.7%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:46RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:46RUTG 4th & 4 at IOWA 7, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−3.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:17IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 13, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:08IOWA 4th & 4 at RUTG 33, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%−0.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:49RUTG 4th & 28 at IOWA 42, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%
    30% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:47IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:19RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 4, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:26IOWA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:28IOWA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:09IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:15RUTG Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 4:4629% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
28.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
28.8%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
28.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to Johnny Langan for 8 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
28.8%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-5
28.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+5
28.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to Johnny Langan for 5 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+33
28.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to Shameen Jones for 33 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
30.7%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+15
30.7%
Evan Simon run for 15 yds to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
30.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
30.7%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
30.6%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+5
30.4%
IOWA Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Iowa 4Similar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 3
OPP 4
-5
30.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Snap on BROWN, Ireland enforced (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 9Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+28
31.6%
Jude McAtamney 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:5569% → 67%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
31.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
31.0%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 48Similar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 15
OWN 48
0
31.3%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 48Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 15
OWN 48
0
31.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+4
31.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Gavin Williams for 4 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
32.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3INT TD
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:4532% → 31%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
32.1%
run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+9
32.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
32.5%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+3
32.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to Al-Shadee Salaam for 3 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 8
OWN 18
-45
31.0%
Cooper DeJean 45 Yd Interception Return (Drew Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5132% → 32%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
31.5%
Evan Simon pass complete to Shameen Jones for 9 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
32.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Samuel Brown V for no gain to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
31.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
31.9%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
31.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to Johnny Langan for 4 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
33.0%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:35
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
32.0%
Adam Korsak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the Iowa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0468% → 66%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
32.2%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Iowa 17Similar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 14
OWN 17
0
32.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+7
32.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-2
32.6%
Spencer Petras sacked by Tyreem Powell for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 22Similar
Q1 0:31
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
33.8%
punt blocked by Max Melton blocked by Max MeltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5334% → 34%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
33.5%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
34.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Samuel Brown V for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
33.9%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
33.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the Iowa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 42 yds · 4:4967% → 67%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
33.1%
Leshon Williams run for 7 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+5
32.7%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
32.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 13 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
32.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 1
50
+5
31.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
31.7%
Spencer Petras sacked by Christian Izien for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+5
32.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Leshon Williams for 5 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+6
32.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Gavin Williams for 6 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
33.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:5034% → 25%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
33.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 5
OWN 12
0
34.0%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+30
25.1%
Kaevon Merriweather 30 Yd Fumble Return (Drew Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 3:2826% → 25%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
25.8%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
25.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 17 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-6
26.9%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Shameen Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
26.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Samuel Brown V for 4 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+1
26.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 1 yd to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
25.3%
Adam Korsak punt for 46 yds, downed at the Iowa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10FG
13 plays · 87 yds · 4:3974% → 82%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
25.9%
Monte Pottebaum run for 3 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+9
26.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
25.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+8
25.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-6
25.1%
Gavin Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 25Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+17
25.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 17 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
24.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+42
24.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 42 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
21.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
21.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+5
21.9%
Spencer Petras run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
17.7%
Drew Stevens 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:4581% → 94%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
19.3%
Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
19.0%
Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
18.3%
Leshon Williams run for 21 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
18.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
17.7%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+20
17.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 20 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
17.7%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
17.7%
Spencer Petras sacked by Rene Konga for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+12
18.2%
PETRAS, Spencer pass to the right incomplete intended for LAPORTA, Sam thrown to the RUT0. PENALTY RUT Pass Interference on BRASWELL, Christian enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the RUT2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
6.2%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13INT
8 plays · 40 yds · 4:2210% → 7%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
10.4%
run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+16
10.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Chris Long for 16 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
10.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
10.9%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
11.2%
run for no gain to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+2
11.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
11.2%
Samuel Brown V run for 18 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
6.7%
Evan Simon pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:5996% → 96%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
3.9%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 3
OPP 38
-5
3.8%
WILLIAMS, Gavin rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the RUT33 (POWELL, Tyreem). PENALTY Before the snap, IOW Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the RUT38 to the RUT43. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-3
3.9%
Gavin Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
4.0%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
3.8%
Tory Taylor punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15DOWNS
18 plays · 82 yds · 4:575% → 3%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
5.0%
Evan Simon pass complete to Al-Shadee Salaam for 10 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
5.0%
Evan Simon pass complete to Sean Ryan for 7 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+4
5.2%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
5.1%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
5.1%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+7
4.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 7 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 1:46
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+10
4.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to Shameen Jones for 10 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
4.5%
Evan Simon sacked by Lukas Van Ness for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+15
4.4%
SIMON, Evan pass to the left incomplete intended for JONES, Shameen thrown to the IOW48; QB hurried by LEE, Logan. PENALTY IOW Personal Foul on LEE, Logan enforced 15 yards from the RUT47 to the IOW38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
4.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Sean Ryan for 11 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
5.1%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+6
4.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Shameen Jones for 6 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+7
4.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Shameen Jones for 7 yds to the Iowa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
4.2%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
4.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 6 yds to the Iowa 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
4.1%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 4
OPP 7
0
3.4%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2998% → 98%
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
2.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 8Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
2.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+5
2.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 5 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 4
OWN 13
-2
2.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 48 yds , Aron Cruickshank returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:023% → 13%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+31
2.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to Johnny Langan for 31 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
3.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 14 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
3.1%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
3.0%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
12.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 18 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 5:0794% → 98%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
5.9%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
6.0%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+14
6.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Leshon Williams for 14 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
5.4%
Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+14
5.4%
Gavin Williams run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
5.2%
Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+1
5.0%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 1
OPP 30
-3
2.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+51
1.9%
Drew Stevens 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:194% → 3%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
4.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 9 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
4.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 5 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
4.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 8 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+29
5.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Sean Ryan for 29 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
5.8%
SIMON, Evan pass to the left incomplete intended for BROWN V, Samuel thrown to the IOW20. PENALTY RUT Holding on DUNLAP JR., Curtis enforced 10 yards from the IOW24 to the IOW34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 20
OPP 34
-8
5.4%
Evan Simon sacked by Aaron Graves for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 42Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 28
OPP 42
0
4.7%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 28
OPP 42
0
4.6%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 28
OPP 42
0
2.9%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0299% → 99%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
1.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+2
1.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
1.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
1.2%
Tory Taylor punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:282% → 2%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-5
2.1%
Evan Simon sacked by Jay Higgins and Aaron Graves for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 15
OWN 1
+3
2.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 12
OWN 4
0
2.1%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 12
OWN 4
0
1.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the Rutgr 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · 6 yds · 1:1999% → 99%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
0.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
-2
0.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:09
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)
-12
TD · Q4 11:15
Evan Simon pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 18 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)
+9.7
TD · Q2 8:28
Kaevon Merriweather 30 Yd Fumble Return (Drew Stevens Kick)
-8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com