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AKR

Akron 0 at Michigan State 52

MSU
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Spartan Stadium
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Win probability · MSU
modelMSU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playMSU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:57 · Noah Gettman punt for 58 yds , Jayden Reed returns for no gain MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Elijah Collins) to the MchSt 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Pregame prior+36.0Home team on offense+17.6Score differential+12.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Blowout margin+0.7Garbage-time factor+3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:29: Jarek Broussard 1 Yd Run (Jack Stone Kick) — AKR win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:26: Jalen Berger 1 Yd Run (Jack Stone Kick) — MSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:16: Jalen Berger 1 Yd Run (Jack Stone Kick) — MSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:26: Noah Kim pass complete to Tre Mosley for 16 yds for a TD (Jack Stone KICK) — MSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:58: Jarek Broussard 2 Yd Run (Jack Stone Kick) — MSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6AKR made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 6:56AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:56AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:44MSU 4th & 6 at MSU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:46AKR 4th & 7 at MSU 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:49AKR 4th & 20 at MSU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:49AKR 4th & 20 at MSU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:12MSU 4th & 1 at MSU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.7%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:12MSU 4th & 1 at MSU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.7%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:57AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:57MSU 4th & 14 at AKR 44, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−<0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    98.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:50AKR 4th & 13 at AKR 29, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:00AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 23, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:00AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 23, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:49AKR 4th & 23 at AKR 13, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:49AKR 4th & 23 at AKR 13, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:55AKR 4th & 10 at MSU 31, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:35MSU 4th & 6 at MSU 35, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:26AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 36, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:18MSU 4th & 12 at AKR 49, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:51AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 25, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:29MSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:26MSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:16MSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:26MSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:58MSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:59MSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:21MSU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1FUMBLE
8 plays · 55 yds · 4:182% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.5%
DJ Irons run for 12 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
98.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 7 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+2
98.5%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+7
98.5%
DJ Irons run for 7 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
98.5%
DJ Irons run for 1 yd to the MchSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+8
98.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 8 yds to the MchSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
98.5%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
98.1%
DJ Irons pass complete to TJ Banks for 16 yds TJ Banks fumbled, recovered by MchSt Cal HaladaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:1398% → 98%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
98.1%
Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the MchSt 44Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
98.1%
Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the MchSt 48Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+15
98.1%
AKRON Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Akron 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
98.2%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 12 yds to the Akron 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
98.2%
Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.1%
Jarek Broussard 1 Yd Run (Jack Stone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:332% → 2%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.0%
DJ Irons run for 7 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
98.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 2 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.9%
Noah Gettman punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the MchSt 19Similar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.9%
Noah Gettman punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the MchSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1298% → 98%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
97.9%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 17 fumbled, recovered by MchSt Jalen BergerSimilar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+6
97.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 6 yds to the MchSt 23Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
97.9%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:44
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
98.0%
Bryce Baringer punt for 66 yds, downed at the Akron 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:412% → 2%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
97.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Clyde Price III for 12 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+22
97.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 22 yds Shocky Jacques-Louis fumbled, recovered by MchSt Maverick HansenSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+22
97.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 22 yds Shocky Jacques-Louis fumbled, recovered by MchSt Maverick HansenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:3798% → 98%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.0%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
98.0%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+23
98.0%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Maliq Carr for 23 yds to the Akron 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
98.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+6
98.1%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 6 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
98.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+6
98.0%
Payton Thorne run for 6 yds to the Akron 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Jalen Berger 1 Yd Run (Jack Stone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7END OF HALF
11 plays · 0 yds · 2:402% → 2%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 5
OWN 16
+21
97.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to Tristian Brank for 21 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
97.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 16 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
97.6%
DJ Irons run for 3 yds to the MchSt 44Similar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
97.6%
DJ Irons run for 3 yds to the MchSt 44Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+21
97.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Tristian Brank for 21 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
97.5%
Cam Wiley run for no gain to the MchSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
97.6%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
97.6%
Noah Gettman punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 8INT
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:4898% → 98%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.2%
Jalen Berger run for no gain to the MchSt 20Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.2%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jalen Berger for 5 yds to the MchSt 25Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+10
98.2%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 10 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
98.2%
Payton Thorne run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 34Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+10
98.2%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 10 yds to the MchSt 44Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+13
98.3%
Jarek Broussard run for 13 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.3%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+10
98.3%
THORNE, Payton pass to the right incomplete intended for FITZPATRICK, Christian thrown to the AKR35. PENALTY AKR Pass Interference on HOOKS, Jalen enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the AKR33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.3%
Payton Thorne pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 9 yds · 2:013% → 3%
Q2 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+19
97.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 19 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
97.2%
IRONS, DJ scrambles to the left for no gain to the MSU36 (SPEED, Ameer), out of bounds. PENALTY AKR Holding on DANIELS, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the MSU36 to the MSU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+1
97.3%
DJ Irons run for 1 yd to the MchSt 45Similar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+1
97.3%
DJ Irons run for 1 yd to the MchSt 45Similar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.4%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 19
OPP 45
-1
97.4%
DJ Irons run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 46Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 20
OPP 46
0
97.4%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 20
OPP 46
0
97.5%
Noah Gettman punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the MchSt 16Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 20
OPP 46
0
97.5%
Noah Gettman punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the MchSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:3798% → 98%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
98.2%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+8
98.1%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Tyler Hunt for 8 yds to the MchSt 24Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+13
98.0%
Jalen Berger run for 13 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
98.2%
Jalen Berger run for 7 yds to the MchSt 44Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+2
98.2%
Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the MchSt 46Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
97.9%
Jalen Berger run for no gain to the MchSt 46Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
97.9%
Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the MchSt 46Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
97.9%
Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the MchSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:583% → 3%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
97.2%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 4 yds to the MchSt 42Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
97.2%
Jonzell Norrils run for 2 yds to the MchSt 40Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-4
97.1%
Jonzell Norrils run for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 44 Jonzell Norrils fumbled, recovered by MchSt Jacoby WindmonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 2:5898% → 99%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.1%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
98.0%
Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
98.0%
Jarek Broussard run for 11 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+6
97.8%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 6 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
97.9%
Jalen Berger run for 5 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
97.8%
THORNE, Payton pass up the middle incomplete intended for REED, Jayden thrown to the AKR0. PENALTY AKR Pass Interference on HOOKS, Jalen enforced 7 yards to the AKR2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.7%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the Akron 1Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+20
97.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 20 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Jalen Berger 1 Yd Run (Jack Stone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
98.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Cam Wiley for 12 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.6%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
98.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 3 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
98.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 7
OWN 34
-5
98.8%
AKRON Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jalen Hooks) to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+14
99.1%
AKRON Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalen Hooks) to the MchSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
98.8%
Noah Gettman punt for 58 yds , Jayden Reed returns for no gain MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Elijah Collins) to the MchSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 68 yds · 0:5699% → 99%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
99.0%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 17 yds to the MchSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
99.0%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 22 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
99.1%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Harold Joiner for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 14
OPP 44
0
99.0%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 14
OPP 44
0
99.0%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 14
OPP 44
+19
98.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 19 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+43
99.1%
Jack Stone 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
AKRON Penalty, Holding Personal Foul enforced ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:422% → 2%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Cam Wiley run for no gain to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-10
98.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:3799% → 100%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
98.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
99.7%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tre Mosley for 16 yds for a TD (Jack Stone KICK)Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
99.6%
Tre Mosley 16 Yd pass from Noah Kim (Jack Stone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
99.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 14 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
99.7%
Clyde Price III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 29 fumbled, recovered by Akron Clyde Price IIISimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 13
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 13
OWN 29
+8
99.8%
Noah Gettman punt for 48 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 8 yds to the MchSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:52100% → 100%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.7%
Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the MchSt 37Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+23
99.7%
Jalen Berger run for 23 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
99.7%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Illegal Snap on SAMAC, Nick enforced (-5 Yards) to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+16
99.7%
Jalen Berger run for 16 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
99.7%
Jalen Berger run for 5 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+11
99.7%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 11 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
99.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 8 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+1
99.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Akron 4Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
99.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Jarek Broussard 2 Yd Run (Jack Stone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Cam Wiley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 23Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Noah Gettman punt for 42 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 5 yds to the MchSt 40Similar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Noah Gettman punt for 42 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 5 yds to the MchSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
99.8%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Tyler Hunt for 12 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
99.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 10 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 9 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+9
99.8%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Germie Bernard for 9 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
99.8%
Payton Thorne sacked by Victor Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 25Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 15
OPP 25
+20
99.8%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Germie Bernard for 20 yds to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.8%
THORNE, Payton pass to the right incomplete intended for BERNARD, Germie thrown to the AKR0. PENALTY AKR Pass Interference on HOOKS, Jalen enforced 3 yards to the AKR2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Jalen Berger 2 Yd Run (Jack Stone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-5
99.9%
AKRON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 21Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 15
OWN 21
-8
99.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. sacked by Derrick Harmon and Jacoby Windmon for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 13Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 23
OWN 13
+21
99.9%
Noah Gettman punt for 45 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 21 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 23
OWN 13
+21
99.9%
Noah Gettman punt for 45 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 21 yds to the Akron 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
99.9%
Elijah Collins run for 14 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.9%
Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the Akron 22Similar
Q3 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.9%
Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.9%
Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the Akron 22Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+17
99.9%
Elijah Collins run for 17 yds to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.9%
Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q3 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Elijah Collins 1 Yd Run (Jack Stone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24MISSED FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 5:050% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to TJ Banks for 6 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+13
99.9%
Cam Wiley run for 13 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Cam Wiley run for 4 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+7
99.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Cam Wiley run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
50
0
99.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
50
+19
99.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 19 yds to the MchSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to TJ Banks for no gain to the MchSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-7
99.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. sacked by Chester Kimbrough for a loss of 7 yards to the MchSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 38
+7
99.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to TJ Banks for 7 yds to the MchSt 31Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+49
99.9%
Cory Smigel 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Jordon Simmons run for no gain to the MchSt 31Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the MchSt 34Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Montorie Foster for 6 yds to the MchSt 40Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 1
OWN 40
-5
99.9%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 35Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Bryce Baringer punt for 41 yds , Tony Grimes Jr. returns for 6 yds to the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
100.0%
Cam Wiley run for 8 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 4 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-9
100.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Noah Gettman punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
100.0%
Katin Houser run for 13 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
100.0%
Harold Joiner run for 1 yd to the Akron 46Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
Katin Houser pass complete to Jaron Glover for 2 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Katin Houser pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 7
OPP 44
-5
100.0%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Bryce Baringer) to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Bryce Baringer punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:270% → 0%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Clyde Price III for 4 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+6
100.0%
Clyde Price III run for 6 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Clyde Price III run for 2 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-7
100.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. sacked by Zion Young for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 25Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Noah Gettman punt for 54 yds, downed at the MchSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
Elijah Collins run for 5 yds to the MchSt 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+15
100.0%
Elijah Collins run for 15 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:16
Jalen Berger 1 Yd Run (Jack Stone Kick)
+1.2
TD · Q3 13:26
Noah Kim pass complete to Tre Mosley for 16 yds for a TD (Jack Stone KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q1 2:26
Jalen Berger 1 Yd Run (Jack Stone Kick)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com