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IDHO

Idaho 22 at Indiana 35

IU
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:11 · Ricardo Chavez punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Pregame prior+42.2Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 2:19: Ricardo Chavez 29 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +8.8 pts (now 25%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:31: Donaven McCulley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +10.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 8:41: Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 43 yds for a TD IDAHO Penalty, Defensive Offside (Murvin Kenion III) declined, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +7.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:46: Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 26 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +6.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:29: Shaun Shivers run for 46 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — IU win probability +5.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5IDHO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:58IU 4th & 3 at IU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:16IDHO 4th & 9 at IDHO 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:16IU 4th & 2 at IDHO 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:12IU 4th & 4 at IDHO 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:11IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:43IU 4th & 1 at IDHO 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00IDHO 4th & 2 at IU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:41IDHO 4th & 17 at IU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:39IU 4th & 11 at IU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:19IDHO 4th & 12 at IU 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−4.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:17IDHO 4th & 10 at IDHO 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:29IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:31IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 41, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:31IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 41, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5IDHO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 13:18IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:31IU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:41IU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:46IU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:55IU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:38IDHO Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:29IU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:51IDHO Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:0295% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
95.4%
PENALTY IND False Start (Weaver,Tim) 5 yards from IND35 to IND30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+12
95.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 12 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
95.4%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
95.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
95.2%
James Evans punt for 52 yds , Jermaine Jackson returns for no gain to the Idaho 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:425% → 5%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
95.3%
Roshaun Johnson run for 2 yds to the Idaho 8Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 8
OWN 8
-4
95.3%
Shotgun Woods,Anthony rush middle for 10 yards gain to the IDA18 (Jones,Cam) PENALTY IDA Illegal Formation (Puffer,Daseau) 4 yards from IDA08 to IDA04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 12
OWN 4
+1
95.3%
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the Idaho 5Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 11
OWN 5
+2
95.3%
Roshaun Johnson run for 2 yds to the Idaho 7Similar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 9
OWN 7
0
94.7%
Ricardo Chavez punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:0495% → 94%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
94.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
94.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+6
94.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+11
94.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 11 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
94.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-5
94.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass complete deep left to Matthews Jr.,D.J. for 11 yards to the IDA09 (Bertram,Matthias) PENALTY IND Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Coby,Andison) 5 yards from IDA20 to IDA25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
94.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+11
94.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 11 yds to the Idaho 14Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
94.3%
Charles Campbell 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:016% → 6%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.2%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Jordan DwyerSimilar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
94.2%
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the Idaho 21Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-5
94.3%
PENALTY IDA False Start (St. John,Beau) 5 yards from IDA21 to IDA16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+10
94.3%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 10 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
93.8%
Ricardo Chavez punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5DOWNS
12 plays · 38 yds · 2:2894% → 93%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
93.9%
Josh Henderson run for 6 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
93.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+8
93.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 8 yds to the Idaho 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
93.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 11 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
93.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
93.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 5 yds to the Idaho 10Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
93.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+5
93.8%
Campbell,Charles field goal attempt from 28 yards NO GOOD (H: Evans,James, LS: Wracher,Sean), clock 00:00 PENALTY IDA Holding (Williams,Malakai) 5 yards from IDA10 to IDA05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
93.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q1 7:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
93.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Idaho 2Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
93.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Idaho 1Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Idaho 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 6TD
14 plays · 98 yds · 6:257% → 13%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
93.0%
Ormanie Arnold run for 3 yds to the Idaho 5Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+4
93.0%
Ormanie Arnold run for 4 yds to the Idaho 9Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+7
93.1%
Gevani McCoy run for 7 yds to the Idaho 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+48
92.9%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 48 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
92.7%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Roshaun JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
92.7%
Gevani McCoy run for 6 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+8
92.7%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Michael Graves for 8 yds to the Ind 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
92.6%
PENALTY IDA False Start (Whitney,Connor) 5 yards from IND22 to IND27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 15
OPP 27
0
92.6%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Connor WhitneySimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 27
0
90.8%
Gevani McCoy run for no gain to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+13
91.1%
Anthony Woods run for 13 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+13
91.0%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 13 yds to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.5%
Gevani McCoy run for no gain to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.3%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 1 yd for a TD, (Ricardo Chavez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:2588% → 89%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
88.4%
Josh Henderson run for 6 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+14
88.7%
Josh Henderson run for 14 yds to the Idaho 45 Josh Henderson fumbled, recovered by Idaho Tommy McCormickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:1213% → 14%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
87.2%
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the Idaho 46Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
87.2%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Terez TraynorSimilar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+17
87.5%
Gevani McCoy run for 17 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
87.1%
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 11
OPP 38
-6
87.1%
Gevani McCoy sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 17
OPP 44
0
87.7%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Jermaine JacksonSimilar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 17
OPP 44
0
85.6%
Ricardo Chavez punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0286% → 84%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
85.6%
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+3
85.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 3 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
85.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+27
84.0%
James Evans punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 44 , Jermaine Jackson returns for 27 yds to the Ind 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 10FG
11 plays · 32 yds · 6:2017% → 25%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
83.5%
Gevani McCoy run for 5 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+8
83.4%
Roshaun Johnson run for 8 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
83.3%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Connor Whitney for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+4
83.3%
Roshaun Johnson run for 4 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+2
83.5%
Roshaun Johnson run for 2 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+15
84.1%
Johnson,Roshaun pass intercepted by Mullen,Tiawan at IND08 Mullen,Tiawan return 69 yards to the IDA23 (Graves,Michael), out of bounds PENALTY IND Pass Interference (Fitzgerald,Bryant) 15 yards from IND22 to IND07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
83.3%
Gevani McCoy run for 1 yd to the Ind 6Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
83.3%
Shotgun McCoy,Gevani pass complete short left to Woods,Anthony for 6 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY IDA Illegal Formation (Traynor,Terez) 5 yards from IND06 to IND11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-6
83.3%
Gevani McCoy sacked by Dasan McCullough for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 17Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+5
83.8%
Anthony Woods run for 5 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 2:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
75.1%
Ricardo Chavez 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11INT
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:3376% → 76%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
75.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+26
76.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 11 yds to the INDIANA 44 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Juliano Falaniko) to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
77.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
76.2%
Connor Bazelak pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:3825% → 30%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
74.6%
Anthony Woods run for no gain to the Idaho 3Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+4
74.2%
Roshaun Johnson run for 4 yds to the Idaho 7Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+9
74.7%
Roshaun Johnson run for 9 yds to the Idaho 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
73.5%
Roshaun Johnson run for 7 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 23
-2
69.8%
Gevani McCoy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4329% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.1%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Michael GravesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.4%
Roshaun Johnson run for 3 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
71.7%
Gevani McCoy sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 25Similar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
70.1%
Ricardo Chavez punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:4668% → 79%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+31
68.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 31 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
70.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
70.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 9 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+5
68.2%
Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
69.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+15
68.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 15 yds to the Idaho 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
69.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 10 yds to the Idaho 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
79.3%
Donaven McCulley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15SF
4 plays · -25 yds · 0:3525% → 23%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
75.1%
Shotgun McCoy,Gevani rush left for 2 yards gain to the IDA27 (Casey,Aaron) PENALTY IDA Personal Foul (Woods,Anthony) 12 yards from IDA25 to IDA13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
75.4%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Connor WhitneySimilar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+13
77.5%
run for 13 yds for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:1079% → 88%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
79.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 18 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
81.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 3 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
81.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+43
88.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 43 yds for a TD IDAHO Penalty, Defensive Offside (Murvin Kenion III) declined, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1214% → 15%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.9%
Roshaun Johnson run for 4 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
85.4%
Roshaun Johnson run for 3 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
85.7%
Roshaun Johnson run for no gain to the Idaho 32Similar
Q3 6:29
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
85.5%
Ricardo Chavez punt for 40 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews Jr. at the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:4387% → 95%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
86.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 8 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+15
87.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 15 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+23
88.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 23 yds to the Idaho 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
88.6%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Idaho 26Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
94.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 26 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:157% → 7%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.0%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Jordan DwyerSimilar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
93.1%
Anthony Woods run for 14 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
92.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 2 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
92.2%
Anthony Woods run for no gain to the Idaho 41Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
92.4%
IDAHO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Murvin Kenion III) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
92.8%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Michael GravesSimilar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
92.8%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Michael GravesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:3695% → 99%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
94.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 4 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+9
94.6%
Josh Henderson run for 9 yds to the Idaho 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
94.6%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the Idaho 27Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+5
94.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 5 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+14
96.2%
Josh Henderson run for 14 yds to the Idaho 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.0%
Josh Henderson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 7:173% → 8%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.7%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 6 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
96.5%
Roshaun Johnson run for 7 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
96.5%
Roshaun Johnson run for 4 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
96.5%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Michael Graves for 5 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
96.5%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 2 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
96.4%
Roshaun Johnson run for 2 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+3
96.4%
Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+9
96.4%
Anthony Woods run for 9 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
96.4%
Roshaun Johnson run for 2 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+26
96.0%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Roshaun Johnson for 26 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
95.8%
Gevani McCoy run for no gain to the Ind 9Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
92.2%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Roshaun Johnson for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 46 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:383% → 5%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Gevani McCoy run for no gain to the Idaho 25Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.5%
Anthony Woods run for 4 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+71
94.7%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Michael Graves for 71 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24END OF GAME
15 plays · 33 yds · 5:5198% → 99%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
97.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the Idaho 35Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+2
97.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+3
97.6%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
98.1%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
98.4%
Jaylin Lucas run for 5 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+3
98.6%
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the Idaho 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
98.6%
Trent Howland run for 9 yds to the Idaho 10Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+4
98.6%
Connor Bazelak run for 4 yds to the Idaho 14Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+5
98.6%
Jaylin Lucas run for 5 yds to the Idaho 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
98.6%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
99.1%
Connor Bazelak run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:31
Donaven McCulley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)
+10
FG · Q2 2:19
Ricardo Chavez 29 yd FG GOOD
-8.8
TD · Q3 8:41
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 43 yds for a TD IDAHO Penalty, Defensive Offside (Murvin Kenion III) declined, (Charles Campbell KICK)
+7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com