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GASO

Georgia Southern 45 at Nebraska 42

NEB
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:35 · Jalen White run for 5 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 169Pregame prior+9.4Home team on offense−11.5Garbage-time factor−3.4Score differential−4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:00: Gerald Green run for 47 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +9.0 pts (now 27%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:12: Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Amare Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +13.7 pts (now 38%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:18: Ajay Allen run for 7 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +10.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:05: Casey Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +37.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:36: Kyle Vantrease run for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +72.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:01NEB 4th & 11 at NEB 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  2. Q2 5:54NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  3. Q3 10:57NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 34, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q3 8:17GASO 4th & 15 at GASO 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−3.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  5. Q4 14:42GASO 4th & 2 at NEB 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.3%−3.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−18.1
    average punt
  6. Q4 13:15NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−2.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  7. Q4 9:35GASO 4th & 1 at NEB 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.0%−8.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    45.7%−10.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 2:20GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.9%−5.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:02GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:17NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:21GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:40NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:25NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:27GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 4:00GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 1:50NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 12:12GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:18NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:05NEB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.6
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:36GASO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:5193% → 93%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
93.0%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-6
93.0%
Casey Thompson sacked by Justin Ellis for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 6Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+3
93.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 3 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q1 13:01
4TH & 11
OWN 9
0
92.5%
Brian Buschini punt for 65 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 4:598% → 10%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
92.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 2 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+12
92.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 12 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
92.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Beau Johnson for 5 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
92.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Amare Jones for 4 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
92.5%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
92.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Vantrease,Kyle pass incomplete short right to Burgess Jr.,Derwin PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Hill,Tommi) 15 yards from NEB48 to NEB33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
92.4%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+13
92.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 13 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
92.4%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+4
92.4%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+7
92.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Amare Jones for 7 yds to the Neb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
92.4%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the Neb 2Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
92.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.0%
Jalen White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4590% → 91%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.2%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
90.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 4 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+33
90.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 33 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
90.6%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+7
90.6%
Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+3
90.5%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
90.6%
Anthony Grant run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
90.6%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
90.5%
Casey Thompson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:5610% → 14%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+19
89.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 19 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
89.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 5 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+20
89.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 20 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
89.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
89.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+26
86.5%
Jalen White run for 26 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4187% → 89%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.1%
Ajay Allen run for 1 yd to the Neb 26Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
87.1%
Ajay Allen run for 4 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
87.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Ajay Allen for 9 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
87.3%
Ajay Allen run for 4 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
87.6%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Ajay AllenSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+15
85.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 15 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
86.5%
Ajay Allen run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
86.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Brody Belt for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+7
86.8%
Casey Thompson run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
88.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Brody Belt for 21 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:4213% → 13%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.5%
Khaleb Hood run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
87.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jalen White for 5 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
86.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:3388% → 90%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
87.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 15 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
88.1%
Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+4
88.5%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
88.5%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+26
88.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 26 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
88.7%
Casey Thompson sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 15
OPP 22
-5
88.5%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Martin,Oliver) 5 yards from GS22 to GS27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 20
OPP 27
+11
88.4%
Anthony Grant run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+10
88.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 10 yds to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
88.7%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
90.2%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5811% → 18%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.1%
PENALTY NEB Offside (Tannor,Caleb) 5 yards from GS25 to GS30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+67
88.7%
Gerald Green run for 67 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
87.6%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.0%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:2785% → 84%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
85.4%
Ajay Allen run for 18 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
86.2%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
86.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 2 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
85.5%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
84.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:5417% → 28%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
83.0%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
83.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 12 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
82.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Vantrease,Kyle pass incomplete short left to Singleton,Jeremy, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Newsome,Quinton) 11 yard from GS35 to GS46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
81.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+47
72.7%
Gerald Green run for 47 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
72.5%
PENALTY NEB Offside (Hill,Tommi) 2 yards from NEB03 to NEB03. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1075% → 85%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.4%
Casey Thompson run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
75.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 10 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+24
76.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 24 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+29
77.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 29 yds to the GeoSo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
78.5%
Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 2Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.7%
Casey Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12END OF HALF
15 plays · 67 yds · 1:5019% → 24%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.8%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
79.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
79.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 12 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
78.7%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 11
50
+12
78.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jalen White for 12 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
77.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+31
77.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Sam Kenerson for 31 yds to the Neb 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
76.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 5 yds to the Neb 2Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
75.5%
PENALTY GS Illegal Snap (Langemeier,Logan) 5 yards from NEB02 to NEB07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
75.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 4 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
76.1%
PENALTY GS Illegal Snap (Langemeier,Logan) 5 yards from NEB03 to NEB08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4821% → 38%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
78.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 8 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
78.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 16 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
77.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+35
77.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 35 yds to the Neb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
76.2%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the Neb 10Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
76.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
62.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Amare Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1567% → 64%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.5%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
66.5%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah Garcia-CastanedaSimilar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
65.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Omar Manning for 8 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
64.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the GeoSo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 2:4037% → 39%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
63.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
62.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+5
62.9%
PENALTY NEB Offside (Moore,Brandon) 5 yards from GS31 to GS36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
61.9%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
60.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jalen White for 3 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+6
61.1%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
60.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
60.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-5
61.3%
PENALTY GS False Start (Wimbley,Pichon) 5 yards from NEB49 to GS46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 15
OWN 46
0
63.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sam Kenerson) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:17
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
61.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 4:5961% → 78%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
61.2%
Anthony Grant run for 10 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
61.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 8 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+6
63.6%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
63.6%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
62.9%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Anthony GrantSimilar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+17
61.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 17 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
65.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Thompson,Casey rush middle for 12 yards gain to the GS30, End Of Play PENALTY NEB Holding (Benhart,Bryce) 10 yards from GS42 to NEB48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+14
63.0%
Anthony Grant run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
65.5%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+3
65.4%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
67.0%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-5
66.9%
PENALTY NEB Delay Of Game (Thompson,Casey) 5 yards from GS31 to GS36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+23
63.6%
Ajay Allen run for 23 yds to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
66.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 6 yds to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
77.8%
Ajay Allen run for 7 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17FG
12 plays · 77 yds · 3:2930% → 46%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
70.1%
Jalen White run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
69.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
67.0%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
66.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 16 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
66.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+37
66.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Beau Johnson for 37 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.7%
Kyle Vantrease run for 1 yd to the Neb 2Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
61.1%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the Neb 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.3%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the Neb 2Similar
Q4 14:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
54.3%
Alex Raynor 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2759% → 54%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 4 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
58.4%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+5
56.7%
Casey Thompson run for 5 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
54.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19INT
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:1247% → 63%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
53.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 7 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+1
51.1%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+8
51.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
50.6%
Gerald Green run for 10 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
50.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 9 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
47.5%
Gerald Green run for no gain to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
49.5%
Gerald Green run for no gain to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+5
43.6%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
36.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20TD
15 plays · 98 yds · 5:5848% → 90%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
48.2%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+6
47.9%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+6
46.4%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
49.1%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah Garcia-CastanedaSimilar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+11
48.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 11 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
49.6%
Casey Thompson run for 9 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+10
47.9%
Logan Smothers run for 10 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
48.6%
Casey Thompson run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+8
50.4%
Ajay Allen run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
50.3%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Anthony GrantSimilar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
50.1%
Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+2
50.1%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+27
53.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 27 yds to the GeoSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
53.0%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.3%
Casey Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 2:2921% → 95%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
78.9%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+6
86.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 6 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
84.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
84.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 10 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
82.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
83.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+27
81.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 27 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
78.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Vantrease,Kyle pass incomplete short right to Burgess Jr.,Derwin PENALTY NEB Holding (Hill,Tommi) 9 yards from NEB17 to NEB08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
78.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q4 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
5.3%
Kyle Vantrease run for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22MISSED FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:3022% → 27%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
22.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 12 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
22.9%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Alante BrownSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
22.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Wyatt Liewer for 13 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
26.3%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Alante BrownSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+18
25.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 18 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+52
27.3%
Timmy Bleekrode 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:36
Kyle Vantrease run for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)
-72.6
TD · Q4 3:05
Casey Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)
+37.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-27.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com