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WIU

Western Illinois 10 at Minnesota 62

MINN
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadWIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreWIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:04 · Jack Beulke punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior+39.4Home team on offense+19.5Score differential+1.3Blowout margin+4.5Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:48: Trey Potts 15 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick) — WIU win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 1:10: Mason Laramie 47 yd FG GOOD — WIU win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:05: Tanner Morgan 1 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick) — MINN win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:01: Trey Potts 2 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick) — MINN win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 1:02: Matthew Trickett 34 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WIU made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
  1. Q1 13:11WIU 4th & 3 at MINN 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:11MINN 4th & 2 at WIU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:15WIU 4th & 4 at WIU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:10WIU 4th & 18 at MINN 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:31WIU 4th & 3 at WIU 32, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:04WIU 4th & 6 at WIU 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:02MINN 4th & 3 at WIU 16, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00WIU 4th & 8 at WIU 41, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:00WIU 4th & 6 at WIU 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:46WIU 4th & 6 at WIU 34, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:46WIU 4th & 6 at WIU 34, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:45WIU 4th & 22 at WIU 27, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:24MINN 4th & 8 at WIU 28, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:24WIU 4th & 10 at WIU 39, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:24WIU 4th & 10 at WIU 39, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:08MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 36, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:08MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 36, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:13WIU 4th & 5 at WIU 23, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 10:05MINN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:01MINN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:45MINN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:07MINN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:28MINN Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:23MINN Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:26WIU Touchdown, down 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:4199% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 18 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 2 yds Michael Brown-Stephens fumbled, recovered by WIll Bryce CrossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:081% → 1%
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.2%
Henry Ogala run for 3 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
99.2%
Jay Parker run for 4 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
99.2%
Henry Ogala pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 3
OPP 38
-2
99.1%
Henry Ogala pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 40Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+5
99.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
50
+17
99.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 17 yds to the WIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
99.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 34Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
99.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+9
99.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 9 yds to the WIll 25Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+4
99.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the WIll 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the WIll 18Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
99.1%
MORGAN, Tanner pass to the left incomplete intended for AUTMAN-BELL, Chris thrown to the WIU0. PENALTY WIU Holding on ROSS, JJ enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the WIU18 to the WIU9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
99.1%
Trey Potts run for 8 yds to the WIll 1Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the WIll 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.9%
Henry Ogala pass complete to Erin Collins for 8 yds to the WIll 33Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
98.9%
Erin Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 31Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Henry Ogala pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Jack Beulke punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:2799% → 99%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
98.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
50
+35
98.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 35 yds to the WIll 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
98.9%
Trey Potts 15 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 6FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 2:381% → 2%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.7%
WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIll 20Similar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+38
98.7%
Nick Davenport pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 38 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.7%
Jay Parker run for no gain to the Minn 42Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
98.5%
Nick Davenport run for 6 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
98.5%
WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.5%
Nick Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
98.5%
Nick Davenport run for 6 yds to the Minn 15Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+15
98.5%
DAVENPORT, Nick pass to the right incomplete intended for MCKINNEY, Donald thrown to the UMN40, clock 02:05. PENALTY UMN Roughing the Passer on CARTER, Trill enforced 15 yards from the UMN36 to the UMN21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 18
OPP 29
+47
98.4%
Mason Laramie 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:5798% → 99%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
98.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 13 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
98.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+9
98.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the WIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
98.4%
Trey Potts run for 15 yds to the WIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
98.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the WIll 23Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+5
98.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the WIll 18Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+3
98.4%
Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the WIll 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
98.4%
WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Cam Washington) to the WIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
98.4%
Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the WIll 1Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.8%
Tanner Morgan 1 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:341% → 2%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Jaylin Jackson run for no gain to the WIll 25Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Nick Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.6%
Nick Davenport run for 7 yds to the WIll 32Similar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.5%
Nick Davenport punt for 64 yds, downed at the Minn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9TD
7 plays · 96 yds · 3:3099% → 99%
Q2 8:31
2ND & 11
OWN 3
+17
98.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 17 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
98.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 19Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+15
98.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 15 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
98.7%
Trey Potts run for 10 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+54
98.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 54 yds to the WIll 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
98.7%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-2 Yards) to the Minn 3Similar
Q2 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.1%
Trey Potts 2 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:572% → 2%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.3%
Nick Davenport pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for 6 yds to the WIll 31Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
98.1%
Erin Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 29Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
98.2%
Nick Davenport pass complete to Erin Collins for no gain to the WIll 29Similar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.4%
Jack Beulke punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11FG
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:0299% → 100%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+36
99.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 36 yds to the WIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
99.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the WIll 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the WIll 19Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+3
99.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the WIll 16Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 3
OPP 16
0
99.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+34
99.7%
Matthew Trickett 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:020% → 0%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.8%
Henry Ogala pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 14 yds to the WIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Henry Ogala pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Henry Ogala pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 10
OWN 39
-5
99.8%
WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Jaylin Jackson) to the WIll 34Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+7
99.8%
Ludovick Choquette run for 7 yds to the WIll 41Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Henry Ogala pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Henry Ogala pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Henry Ogala pass complete to Jay Parker for 4 yds to the WIll 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Henry Ogala pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Jack Beulke punt for 40 yds, downed at the Minn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 3:15100% → 100%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
99.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 14 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
99.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 16 yds to the WIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
99.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 11 yds to the WIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+23
99.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 23 yds to the WIll 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the WIll 1Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim 1 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Henry Ogala pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 8 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+10
99.8%
Trey Potts run for 10 yds to the WIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
99.9%
Brevyn Spann-Ford 45 Yd pass from Tanner Morgan (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 4:170% → 0%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.9%
Ludovick Choquette run for 3 yds to the WIll 18Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+3
99.9%
Henry Ogala pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for 3 yds to the WIll 21Similar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 4
OWN 21
-5
99.9%
WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Tyler Keinath) to the WIll 16Similar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+14
99.9%
Henry Ogala pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 14 yds to the WIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Ludovick Choquette run for 1 yd to the WIll 31Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Ludovick Choquette run for 5 yds to the WIll 36Similar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-2
99.9%
Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 34Similar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Jack Beulke punt for 33 ydsSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
99.9%
POTTS, Trey rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the UMN37 (WATTS, Cole), out of bounds. PENALTY UMN Holding on FILIAGA, Chuck enforced 10 yards from the UMN33 to the UMN23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Jack Beulke punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 3:18100% → 100%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+26
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Clay Geary for 26 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Trey Potts run for 5 yds to the WIll 46Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+21
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Clay Geary for 21 yds to the WIll 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Trey Potts run for 4 yds to the WIll 21Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+20
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 20 yds to the WIll 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+20
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 20 yds to the WIll 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis 1 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jafar Armstrong run for no gain to the WIll 25Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.9%
Henry Ogala run for 14 yds to the WIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 23
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Henry Ogala pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 23
OWN 26
+1
100.0%
Henry Ogala pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for 1 yd to the WIll 27Similar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 22
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Jack Beulke punt for 44 yds, downed at the Minn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:21100% → 100%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
99.9%
Bryce Williams run for 11 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.9%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Cole Kramer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+18
99.9%
Cole Kramer pass complete to Clay Geary for 18 yds to the WIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the WIll 40Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the WIll 35Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Cole Kramer run for 5 yds to the WIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Cole Kramer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Preston Jelen run for 2 yds to the WIll 28Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Cole Kramer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
99.9%
Matthew Trickett 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Erin Collins run for no gain to the WIll 39Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Nick Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Nick Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Jack Beulke punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 22Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Jack Beulke punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+22
99.9%
Bryce Williams run for 22 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
99.9%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass up the middle incomplete intended for WHITE, Ike thrown to the WIU22. PENALTY WIU Pass Interference on WEST, Eli enforced 15 yards to the WIU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the WIll 35Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the WIll 30Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+30
100.0%
Preston Jelen 30 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
100.0%
Nick Davenport pass complete to Naseim Brantley for 12 yds to the WIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
100.0%
Nick Davenport run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 36Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+23
100.0%
Nick Davenport pass complete to Donald McKinney for 23 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
100.0%
Nick Davenport pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 8 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+33
100.0%
Naseim Brantley 33 Yd pass from Nick Davenport (Mason Laramie Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Jordan Nubin run for no gain to the Minn 35Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-2
100.0%
Max Grand run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 36Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Naseim Brantley at the WIll 18Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Naseim Brantley at the WIll 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
100.0%
Nick Davenport pass complete to Naseim Brantley for 5 yds to the WIll 23Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 5
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Nick Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Nick Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Nick Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Jack Beulke punt for 48 yds, downed at the Minn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 4 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
100.0%
Max Grand run for 2 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Max Grand run for 2 yds to the Minn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 1:02
Matthew Trickett 34 yd FG GOOD
+0.6
TD · Q2 5:01
Trey Potts 2 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)
+0.4
TD · Q2 10:05
Tanner Morgan 1 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com