Try the model
RUTG

Rutgers 22 at Boston College 21

BC
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:15 · Adam Korsak punt for 34 yds, downed at the BC 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+12.5Home team on offense+5.8Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:22: Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 26 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) — BC win probability +5.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:03: Kyle Monangai 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — RUTG win probability +11.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:33: Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaden Williams for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) — BC win probability +9.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:11: Jude McAtamney 33 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +7.5 pts (now 29%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:43: Al-Shadee Salaam run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK) — RUTG win probability +43.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 7 of 9RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:37RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:20BC 4th & 9 at RUTG 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    72.9%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:59RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:27BC 4th & 5 at BC 30, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:41RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:15RUTG 4th & 7 at BC 42, down 8
    Close callPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:55BC 4th & 14 at BC 4, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−3.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:12BC 4th & 6 at RUTG 27, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−1.5
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:12BC 4th & 6 at RUTG 27, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−1.5
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:16RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 40, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:16RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 40, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:54BC 4th & 6 at BC 16, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:54BC 4th & 6 at BC 16, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:11RUTG 4th & 6 at BC 15, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−11.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:12RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:45BC 4th & 3 at midfield, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%−1.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:51BC 4th & 25 at BC 10, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−3.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:42BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:40RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:22BC Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:03RUTG Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    32.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:33BC Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:43RUTG Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1827% → 27%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
73.0%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+3
73.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
73.0%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
4TH & 3
OWN 35
-5
73.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, Delay Of Game (Joshua Youngblood) to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
72.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Zay Flowers at the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 2:1773% → 72%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
72.7%
Phil Jurkovec sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 17Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 20
OWN 17
+19
72.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 19 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+14
72.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
50
+13
72.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
72.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
72.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
72.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
72.3%
Danny Longman punt for 33 ydsSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
72.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the Rutgr 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2128% → 28%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+5
72.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+4
72.3%
run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 2
OWN 11
0
72.4%
Aron Cruickshank pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 2
OWN 11
-5
72.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Christian Izien) to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 7
OWN 6
0
72.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 35 yds, downed at the Rutgr 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:1773% → 74%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
72.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+29
72.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 29 yds to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
72.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
74.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
13 plays · 32 yds · 4:3126% → 26%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Al-Shadee Salaam for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+48
73.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 48 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
72.8%
Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+3
72.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+5
72.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Shameen Jones for 5 yds to the BC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
72.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
72.5%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass to the left incomplete intended for LANGAN, Johnny thrown to the BOS0. PENALTY RUT Pass Interference on LANGAN, Johnny enforced 15 yards to the BOS23 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 23
-10
72.9%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass to the right complete for 8 yards to CRUICKSHANK, Aron caught at the BOS27 and advanced to the BOS15 (WILLIAMS, Jaden). PENALTY RUT Holding on RYAN, Sean enforced 10 yards from the BOS23 to the BOS33 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 33
0
73.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 33
-5
73.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 38Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 38
0
73.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 43
0
74.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, downed at the BC 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:5974% → 74%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+20
73.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 20 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
74.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
73.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+6
73.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 6 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-8
74.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 8 yards Zay Flowers fumbled, recovered by BC Zay FlowersSimilar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
74.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
74.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 2:3227% → 32%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
73.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 6 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+16
72.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Sean Ryan for 16 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
72.5%
Aron Cruickshank run for 9 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+4
71.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 4 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
67.9%
Aron Cruickshank run for 26 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1370% → 69%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.4%
Phil Jurkovec run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
70.3%
JURKOVEC, Phil pass to the right complete for 19 yards to TAKACS, George caught at the BOS45 and advanced to the BOS45, out of bounds. PENALTY BOS Holding on CONLEY, Jack enforced 10 yards from the BOS26 to the BOS16 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+4
70.2%
Phil Jurkovec run for 4 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+10
69.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 10 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q2 11:27
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
68.9%
Danny Longman punt for 44 yds, downed at the Rutgr 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4630% → 30%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
69.9%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
70.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+5
70.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 5 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
70.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 47 yds, downed at the BC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:1970% → 78%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
70.1%
Cam Barfield run for no gain to the BC 21Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+31
70.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 31 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
72.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
72.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offsides (Joshua Youngblood) to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
72.0%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+1
71.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
72.0%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+15
71.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaden Williams for 15 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
72.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
72.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+26
78.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 26 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 3:0023% → 23%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
76.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+21
76.9%
Evan Simon pass complete to Johnny Langan for 21 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
75.4%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
75.5%
Evan Simon pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 5 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-2
75.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kyle Monangai for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 42Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
77.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 34 yds, downed at the BC 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:2078% → 78%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
78.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-4
79.2%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 4Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 14
OWN 4
0
78.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 14
OWN 4
0
77.5%
Danny Longman punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13INT
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:2124% → 20%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
76.4%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the BC 48Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-6
77.4%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Chibueze Onwuka for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 16
OWN 46
+15
79.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted RUTGERS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (TEAM) to the Rutgr 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14MISSED FG
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:1381% → 80%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
80.8%
Phil Jurkovec run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
81.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for no gain to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
80.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
80.3%
Connor Lytton 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
80.3%
Connor Lytton 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:1980% → 79%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
79.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
79.6%
JURKOVEC, Phil pass to the right complete for 9 yards to TAKACS, George caught at the BOS20 and advanced to the BOS29 (BAILEY, Wesley), out of bounds. PENALTY BOS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the BOS20 to the BOS15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 15
OWN 15
-4
79.5%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 11Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 19
OWN 11
-5
78.9%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 6 Phil Jurkovec fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Wesley BaileySimilar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 19
OWN 11
-5
78.9%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 6 Phil Jurkovec fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Wesley BaileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3525% → 36%
Q3 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
74.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the BC 1Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.8%
Kyle Monangai 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:2370% → 83%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
69.5%
Zay Flowers run for 9 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+4
71.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
71.5%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 45Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+15
70.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 15 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
72.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 1 yd to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+17
72.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 17 yds to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
72.6%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Tyreem Powell for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+14
72.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 14 yds to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
72.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
72.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
82.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaden Williams for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:1120% → 18%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
80.1%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+17
80.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Victor Konopka for 17 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
79.4%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-8
79.4%
Aron Cruickshank run for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 26 Aron Cruickshank fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Kyle MonangaiSimilar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 16
OWN 26
+14
82.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 14 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
81.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Zay Flowers at the BC 12Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
81.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Zay Flowers at the BC 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:2281% → 81%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
81.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 6 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 4
OWN 18
-5
81.5%
JURKOVEC, Phil pass to the right incomplete thrown to the BOS35; QB hurried by KONGA, Rene. PENALTY BOS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the BOS18 to the BOS13 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+3
81.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 3 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
80.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
80.6%
Danny Longman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
80.6%
Danny Longman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:5219% → 32%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
81.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Taj Harris for 9 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-5
79.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+15
80.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Personal Foul (Josh DeBerry) to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
78.8%
run for 9 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+3
78.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
78.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q3 0:11
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
70.9%
Jude McAtamney 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
65.6%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
67.7%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22INT
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:0680% → 84%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
79.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 20 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
81.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-2
81.1%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 44 Emmett Morehead fumbled, recovered by BC Emmett MoreheadSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+22
79.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 22 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
82.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
84.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:4228% → 22%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
72.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
72.0%
Evan Simon pass complete to Al-Shadee Salaam for 3 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-9
72.7%
Evan Simon sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
77.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 42 yds, downed at the BC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:2784% → 86%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
84.2%
Zay Flowers run for 7 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+2
85.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 2 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+1
84.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 1 yd to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
85.7%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 43Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
85.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 3
50
0
85.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 3
50
0
86.1%
Danny Longman punt for 46 yds, downed at the Rutgr 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25TD
12 plays · 96 yds · 5:0222% → 72%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
77.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+4
78.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+1
78.6%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
77.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
77.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+4
76.7%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
76.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
74.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
72.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
72.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+23
71.6%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 23 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
28.2%
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:0047% → 43%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
46.2%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Wesley Bailey and Christian Izien for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 15Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
41.7%
Danny Longman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-5
43.2%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Tyreem Powell for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:2974% → 85%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
25.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
24.5%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the BC 47Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
12.2%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the BC 47Similar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+5
15.2%
KORSAK, Adam punt 45 yards to the BOS2, FLOWERS, Zay return 29 yards to the BOS31, out of bounds. PENALTY BOS Running Into the kicker enforced 5 yards from the BOS47 to the BOS42 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:43
Al-Shadee Salaam run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)
-43.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-15.2
TD · Q3 13:03
Kyle Monangai 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com