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ILST

Illinois State 0 at Wisconsin 38

WIS
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadILST aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreILST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:28 · Julius Davis run for 7 yds to the IllSt 34 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:52: John Torchio 100 Yd Interception Return (Vito Calvaruso Kick) — WIS win probability +0.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ILST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:15: Braelon Allen 96 Yd Run (Vito Calvaruso Kick) — WIS win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 3:11: Vito Calvaruso 28 Yd Field Goal — WIS win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:58: Graham Mertz pass complete to Markus Allen for 13 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST down — WIS win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:36: Braelon Allen 1 Yd Run (Vito Calvaruso Kick) — WIS win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ILST made the numbers' call on 1 of 7
  1. Q1 12:22ILST 4th & 11 at ILST 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:12ILST 4th & 3 at ILST 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:03ILST 4th & 9 at WIS 39, down 14
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:11WIS 4th & 5 at ILST 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:06ILST 4th & 3 at WIS 42, down 17
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:36WIS 4th & 1 at ILST 1, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:08ILST 4th & 20 at WIS 30, down 24
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    56% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:33ILST 4th & 1 at ILST 34, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:25WIS 4th & 2 at ILST 4, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:38WIS 4th & 15 at midfield, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:46ILST 4th & 1 at ILST 32, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 1:52WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:15WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:36WIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:55WIS Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:57WIS Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:382% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.3%
Cole Mueller run for 8 yds to the IllSt 33Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
98.3%
Zack Annexstad run for 6 yds to the IllSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.2%
Zack Annexstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-6
98.2%
Zack Annexstad sacked by John Torchio for a loss of 6 yards to the IllSt 33Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 16
OWN 33
+5
98.1%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Cole Mueller for 5 yds to the IllSt 38Similar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
98.0%
Jack Takerian punt for 40 yds , Dean Engram returns for no gain to the Wisc 38 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jay Shaw) to the Wisc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2PUNT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:5998% → 98%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
98.0%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+3
97.9%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
97.8%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 3INT TD
17 plays · 71 yds · 8:492% → 3%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
97.8%
Cole Mueller run for 14 yds to the IllSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.7%
Zack Annexstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
97.7%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to J'Kalon Carter for 5 yds to the IllSt 39Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+15
97.6%
(09:24) ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass up the middle incomplete intended for MUELLER, Cole broken up by DORT JR., Cedrick at the IS 43, clock 09:24. PENALTY UW Roughing the Passer on BENTON, Keeanu enforced 15 yards from the IS 39 to the UW 46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
97.5%
Cole Mueller run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 47Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-11
97.5%
Zack Annexstad sacked by Nick Herbig for a loss of 11 yards to the IllSt 42Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 22
OWN 42
0
97.5%
(08:19) ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass to the left complete for 0 yards to CARTER, J'Kalon to the IS 42 (SHAW, Jay;DORT JR., Cedrick), clock 08:19. PENALTY Before the snap, IS False Start enforced 0 yards UW Personal Foul enforced 0 yards from the IS 38 to the IS 42. NO PLAY (replay the down). for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
96.7%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Bryson Deming for 1 yd to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+4
96.6%
Wenkers Wright run for 4 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+6
96.5%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 6 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
96.2%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tanner Taula for 16 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
96.0%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Bryson Deming for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 26Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+1
96.0%
Zack Annexstad run for 1 yd to the Wisc 25Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+13
96.1%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Brock Annexstad for 13 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
95.9%
Zack Annexstad run for no gain to the Wisc 12Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
95.9%
Pha'leak Brown run for 3 yds to the Wisc 9Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-100
96.7%
John Torchio 100 Yd Interception Return (Vito Calvaruso Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:373% → 4%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
96.9%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Bryson Deming for 2 yds to the IllSt 23Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+11
96.8%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Wenkers Wright for 11 yds to the IllSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
96.6%
Wenkers Wright run for 5 yds to the IllSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+2
96.5%
Wenkers Wright run for 2 yds to the IllSt 41Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
96.4%
Zack Annexstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+51
96.5%
Jack Takerian punt for 43 yds, downed at the WISCONSIN 16 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jay Shaw) to the Wisc 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5TD
2 plays · 92 yds · 0:4497% → 97%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
96.5%
(13:59) ALLEN, Braelon rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the UW 14 (JACKSON, Keondre), clock 13:59. PENALTY UW Holding on MAHLMAN, Riley enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the UW 8 to the UW 4. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+96
97.4%
Braelon Allen 96 Yd Run (Vito Calvaruso Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 36 yds · 2:123% → 3%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
97.2%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 35 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
97.0%
Wenkers Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 42Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+3
97.0%
Zack Annexstad run for 3 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
96.9%
Zack Annexstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
97.0%
Jack Takerian punt for 17 yds, downed at the Wisc 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 7:4297% → 97%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
97.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 13 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+14
97.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Clay Cundiff for 14 yds to the IllSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
97.2%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the IllSt 41Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
97.2%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the IllSt 40Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
96.9%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the IllSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
97.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chez Mellusi for 2 yds to the IllSt 36Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+2
96.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Markus Allen for 2 yds to the IllSt 34Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+19
96.5%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Markus Allen for 19 yds to the IllSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
96.5%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the IllSt 12Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 7
OPP 12
-7
96.5%
Graham Mertz sacked by Sy Dabney for a loss of 7 yards to the IllSt 19Similar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 14
OPP 19
+9
96.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 9 yds to the IllSt 10Similar
Q2 3:11
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
97.3%
Vito Calvaruso 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:053% → 4%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
97.0%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for 26 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
96.5%
Pha'leak Brown run for 1 yd to the Wisc 48Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+6
96.5%
Pha'leak Brown run for 6 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
96.2%
Zack Annexstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
96.3%
Jack Takerian punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:1397% → 97%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
97.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Markus Allen for 13 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
97.2%
Graham Mertz run for 2 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-1
97.2%
Graham Mertz sacked by Zeke Vandenburgh for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 5:1897% → 99%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
97.2%
Braelon Allen run for 24 yds to the IllSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
97.2%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the IllSt 32Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+13
97.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 13 yds to the IllSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
97.2%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the IllSt 18Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+9
97.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Clay Cundiff for 9 yds to the IllSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
97.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the IllSt 3Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the IllSt 1Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.6%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the IllSt 1Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.8%
Braelon Allen 1 Yd Run (Vito Calvaruso Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 45 yds · 4:281% → 1%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
98.6%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Brock Annexstad for 23 yds to the IllSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.5%
Wenkers Wright run for 4 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+2
98.5%
Wenkers Wright run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+26
98.5%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Wenkers Wright for 26 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
98.3%
(07:08) ANNEXSTAD, Zack pass to the left incomplete intended for DEMING, Bryson thrown to the UW 13, clock 07:08. PENALTY IS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on ASCHE, Peyton enforced 5 yards from the UW 20 to the UW 25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 15
OPP 25
-1
98.3%
Wenkers Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 26Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 16
OPP 26
-4
98.4%
Zack Annexstad sacked by Nick Herbig for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 20
OPP 30
0
98.6%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Pha'leak Brown for no gain to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 20
OPP 30
0
98.8%
Jack Takerian punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
4 plays · 93 yds · 1:5099% → 100%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+74
99.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 74 yds to the IllSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.3%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the IllSt 16Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
99.3%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the IllSt 16Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+16
99.8%
Chimere Dike 16 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Vito Calvaruso Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Zack Annexstad sacked by Jordan Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 24Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Zack Annexstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
99.9%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for 10 yds to the IllSt 34Similar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Jack Takerian punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 7:26100% → 100%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Wisc 25Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+14
99.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 14 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Graham Mertz run for no gain to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+16
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 16 yds to the IllSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
99.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 15 yds to the IllSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the IllSt 24Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+12
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 12 yds to the IllSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the IllSt 10Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+6
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 6 yds to the IllSt 4Similar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the IllSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the IllSt 1Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Isaac Guerendo 1 Yd Run (Vito Calvaruso Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 15INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Wenkers Wright run for 2 yds to the IllSt 27Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
99.9%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tanner Taula for 11 yds to the IllSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Zack Annexstad pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
99.9%
Julius Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 46Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Julius Davis run for 5 yds to the IllSt 41Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-9
99.9%
Myles Burkett sacked by Josh Dinga for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 15
50
0
99.9%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Franky West at the IllSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:440% → 0%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
99.9%
Nigel White run for 13 yds to the IllSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Nigel White run for 3 yds to the IllSt 26Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Nigel White run for 3 yds to the IllSt 29Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Nigel White run for 3 yds to the IllSt 32Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Jack Takerian punt for 35 yds , Dean Engram returns for no gain to the Wisc 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18END OF GAME
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Julius Davis run for 6 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+16
100.0%
Julius Davis run for 16 yds to the IllSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
100.0%
Julius Davis run for 4 yds to the IllSt 41Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+7
100.0%
Julius Davis run for 7 yds to the IllSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:36
Braelon Allen 1 Yd Run (Vito Calvaruso Kick)
+1.4
FG · Q2 3:11
Vito Calvaruso 28 Yd Field Goal
+1.1
TD · Q2 13:15
Braelon Allen 96 Yd Run (Vito Calvaruso Kick)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com