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UND

North Dakota 17 at Nebraska 38

NEB
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadUND aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreUND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:40 · Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for 2 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Pregame prior+30.0Home team on offense+4.2Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.0Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:13: Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK) — UND win probability +9.1 pts (now 20%) (top driver: UND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:12: Casey Thompson pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 19 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +4.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:22: Tyler Hoosman run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK) — UND win probability +14.2 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:30: Anthony Grant run for 46 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +11.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:35: Ajay Allen run for 14 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — NEB win probability +5.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UND made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 8:48UND 4th & 9 at NEB 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:37UND 4th & 2 at UND 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:55UND 4th & 9 at UND 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:17NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:20UND 4th & 12 at UND 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:04NEB 4th & 7 at UND 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:40UND 4th & 1 at NEB 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−1.0
    92% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:36NEB 4th & 8 at UND 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:52UND 4th & 6 at NEB 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−5.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:11UND 4th & 3 at UND 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:52NEB 4th & 24 at NEB 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−4.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:00UND 4th & 13 at NEB 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−1.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:38UND 4th & 10 at UND 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UND made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:46NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:13UND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:12NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:22UND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:30NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:35NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:07NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNDDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 38 yds · 6:124% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.6%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 1 yd to the NDKTA 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
95.6%
Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Adam ZavalneySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
95.6%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 13 yds to the NDKTA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
95.6%
Tyler Hoosman run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
95.6%
Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+5
95.6%
Tyler Hoosman run for 5 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
95.6%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 7 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+4
95.6%
Quincy Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
95.6%
Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo BelquistSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
95.6%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 4 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+2
95.6%
Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 32
-5
95.6%
PENALTY UND False Start (Lotysz,Peyton) 5 yards from NEB32 to NEB37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
94.2%
Cade Peterson punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 2:0294% → 95%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
94.2%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 13Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
94.2%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Nate BoerkircherSimilar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+21
94.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 21 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
94.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 8 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+7
94.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 7 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+24
94.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 24 yds to the NDKTA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
94.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 8 yds to the NDKTA 19Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
94.6%
Anthony Grant run for 19 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:096% → 6%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.4%
Isaiah Smith run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 28Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
94.4%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 5 yds to the NDKTA 33Similar
Q1 6:46
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
94.4%
Tyler Hoosman run for no gain to the NDKTA 33Similar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+19
94.1%
punt blocked by Javin Wright blocked by Javin WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:1394% → 94%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
94.3%
Shotgun Thompson,Casey pass incomplete short left to Palmer,Trey, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UND Pass Interference (Hembry,Devin) 15 yards from NEB48 to UND37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-8
94.3%
Casey Thompson sacked by Ben McNaboe for a loss of 8 yards to the NDKTA 45 Casey Thompson fumbled, recovered by NDKTA Devon Krzanowski , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:296% → 6%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
93.9%
Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Isaiah SmithSimilar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
93.9%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for 1 yd to the NDKTA 46Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
94.0%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for no gain to the NDKTA 46Similar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
93.8%
Cade Peterson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the Neb 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:3894% → 93%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
93.8%
Shotgun Thompson,Casey pass incomplete short left to Johnson,Rahmir PENALTY UND Roughing The Passer (Krzanowski,Devon) 15 yards from NEB23 to NEB38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
94.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Illegal Shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-10
93.9%
Casey Thompson sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 28Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 20
OWN 28
+11
93.7%
Ajay Allen run for 11 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q1 1:17
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
93.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the NDKTA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:577% → 7%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
93.4%
Tyler Hoosman run for no gain to the NDKTA 15Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+12
93.4%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 12 yds to the NDKTA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
93.1%
PENALTY NEB Offside (Hill,Tommi) 5 yards from UND27 to UND32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 32
0
92.9%
Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Garett MaagSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+11
93.0%
Tyler Hoosman run for 11 yds to the NDKTA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
92.9%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 8 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 49
-15
92.7%
No Huddle Smith,Isaiah rush middle for 0 yards to the NEB49 (Reimer,Luke) PENALTY UND Face Mask (Lotysz,Peyton) 15 yards from NEB49 to UND36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 36
+5
93.1%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Quincy Vaughn for 5 yds to the NDKTA 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 41
0
93.2%
Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Garett MaagSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
92.8%
Cade Peterson punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8MISSED FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 5:1693% → 92%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
92.7%
Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+5
92.8%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
92.8%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
93.0%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+13
92.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 13 yds to the NDKTA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
93.1%
Anthony Grant run for 12 yds to the NDKTA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
93.2%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 36Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+14
93.2%
Casey Thompson run for 14 yds to the NDKTA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
93.2%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Corcoran,Turner) 5 yards from UND22 to UND27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+5
93.1%
Ajay Allen run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 22Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
93.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Omar Manning for 3 yds to the NDKTA 19Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
93.0%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Omar ManningSimilar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+37
92.0%
Timmy Bleekrode 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 9TD
22 plays · 80 yds · 6:518% → 20%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
91.6%
Isaiah Smith run for 10 yds to the NDKTA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
91.5%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for 4 yds to the NDKTA 34Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+19
91.4%
Isaiah Smith run for 19 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
90.8%
Tommy Schuster run for 7 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+6
90.7%
Tyler Hoosman run for 6 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
90.5%
Red Wilson run for 3 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-5
90.3%
PENALTY UND False Start (Ventrelli,Donny) 5 yards from NEB31 to NEB36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
91.1%
Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo BelquistSimilar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+12
91.4%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Marcus Preston for 12 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
90.3%
Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+6
88.8%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 6 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
88.8%
Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the Neb 14Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
88.1%
Tommy Schuster run for 2 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+7
88.4%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 7 yds to the Neb 5Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+2
89.7%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for 2 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
88.3%
Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.9%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.2%
Casey Thompson run for 1 yd to the Neb 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4885% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
84.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 35 yds to the NDKTA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
86.5%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Alante BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
86.5%
Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+4
86.3%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
86.9%
Casey Thompson run for 10 yds to the NDKTA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
90.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 19 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 12FUMBLE
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:4011% → 13%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.3%
Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 20Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
89.5%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 3 yds to the NDKTA 23Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+15
89.9%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 15 yds to the NDKTA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
88.8%
Isaiah Smith run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 45Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
88.2%
Tyler Hoosman run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
86.9%
Tommy Schuster sacked by Garrett Nelson for a loss of 3 yards to the NDKTA 46 Tommy Schuster fumbled, recovered by Neb Stephon Wynn Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:5691% → 91%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
90.9%
Anthony Grant run for 16 yds to the NDKTA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
91.0%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 28Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
91.0%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
90.5%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Chancellor BrewingtonSimilar
Q3 8:36
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
91.1%
Timmy Bleekrode 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 14FG
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:449% → 14%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.0%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 6 yds to the NDKTA 31Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+63
90.6%
Isaiah Smith run for 63 yds to the Neb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
89.1%
Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the Neb 5Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
89.1%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for 1 yd to the Neb 6Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
89.8%
Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Nick KupferSimilar
Q3 5:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
86.1%
Brady Stevens 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4689% → 89%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
89.4%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Gabe Ervin Jr.Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
89.2%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 16Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 11
OWN 16
0
88.5%
Casey Thompson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 16TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:4417% → 31%
Q3 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
83.5%
Tyler Hoosman run for 3 yds to the Neb 5Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
69.3%
Tyler Hoosman run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4877% → 89%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
76.9%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
78.3%
Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
78.2%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+13
78.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Omar Manning for 13 yds to the NDKTA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
90.6%
Anthony Grant run for 46 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
89.4%
PENALTY UND Personal Foul (Cooper,Aaron) 15 yards from NEB35 to NEB50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1514% → 13%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
85.9%
Red Wilson run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 33Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
85.8%
Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo BelquistSimilar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+5
86.8%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 5 yds to the NDKTA 38Similar
Q3 1:11
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
87.1%
Cade Peterson punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:1991% → 89%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
90.6%
Ajay Allen run for 2 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-10
89.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Thompson,Casey rush right for 13 yards gain to the NEB48 (Lennon,Luke) PENALTY NEB Holding (Boerkircher,Nate) 10 yards from NEB35 to NEB25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 22
OWN 25
+7
90.3%
Ajay Allen run for 7 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 32
0
89.8%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Casey Thompson) to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 24
OWN 23
0
89.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the NDKTA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:5215% → 12%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
85.5%
Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 41Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+7
85.5%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 7 yds to the NDKTA 48Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+1
84.7%
Quincy Vaughn run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
84.3%
No Huddle Schuster,Tommy pass incomplete short left to Kupfer,Nick PENALTY NEB Holding (Buford Jr.,Marques) 10 yards from UND49 to NEB41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
84.0%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 2 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-5
84.0%
Tommy Schuster sacked by Ochaun Mathis for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 13
OPP 44
0
86.0%
Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Garett MaagSimilar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
88.0%
Cade Peterson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21TD
12 plays · 89 yds · 4:2590% → 97%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
89.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for no gain to the Neb 11Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+1
89.8%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 12Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 9
OWN 12
-5
89.1%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Benhart,Bryce) 5 yards from NEB12 to NEB07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 14
OWN 7
+31
88.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 31 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
91.1%
Anthony Grant run for 17 yds to the NDKTA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
91.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 6 yds to the NDKTA 39Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+5
91.7%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
91.9%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 31Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+6
91.9%
Ajay Allen run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 25Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+5
91.3%
Ajay Allen run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
91.9%
Ajay Allen run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 14Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
97.2%
Ajay Allen run for 14 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:515% → 4%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
95.4%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 6 yds to the NDKTA 23Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+10
94.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Schuster,Tommy pass incomplete short right to Kupfer,Nick PENALTY NEB Holding (Hill,Tommi) 10 yards from UND23 to UND33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
95.0%
Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Jack WrightSimilar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
95.0%
Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Max GundersonSimilar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
95.5%
Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Marcus PrestonSimilar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
95.6%
Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Nick KupferSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 3:3197% → 100%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
97.4%
Anthony Grant run for 11 yds to the NDKTA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
97.4%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 17Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+6
97.4%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
97.4%
Ajay Allen run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 9Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+4
97.4%
Ajay Allen run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 5Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
99.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 5 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 15 yds · 2:071% → 1%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Quincy Vaughn run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 30Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.5%
Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 34Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
99.5%
Simon Romfo run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:22
Tyler Hoosman run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)
-14.2
TD · Q3 2:30
Anthony Grant run for 46 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)
+11.9
TD · Q2 0:13
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)
-9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com