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SDST

South Dakota State 3 at Iowa 7

IOWA
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadSDST aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreSDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGSAFETYSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:43 · Tory Taylor punt for 35 yds, downed at the SDkSt 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior+19.2Home team on offense+2.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score differential−0.1Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:15: Hunter Dustman 44 Yd Field Goal — SDST win probability +9.8 pts (now 35%) (top driver: SDST has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:16: Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 46 — IOWA win probability +8.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. SAFETY · Q4 3:58: Joe Evans Safety — IOWA win probability +11.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: SDST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:49: Leshon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 41 — IOWA win probability +7.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:36: Mark Gronowski pass incomplete — SDST win probability +7.7 pts (now 13%) (top driver: SDST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 12SDST made the numbers' call on 13 of 13
  1. Q1 12:45IOWA 4th & 15 at IOWA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:06SDST 4th & 12 at SDST 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:31IOWA 4th & 5 at SDST 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:39SDST 4th & 9 at SDST 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:15IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:34SDST 4th & 9 at SDST 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:11IOWA 4th & 5 at SDST 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.5%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:56SDST 4th & 12 at SDST 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:43IOWA 4th & 3 at SDST 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    73.3%−0.7
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:29SDST 4th & 14 at SDST 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:39IOWA 4th & 19 at IOWA 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−2.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:36SDST 4th & 8 at SDST 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:15SDST 4th & 11 at IOWA 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−4.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:08SDST 4th & 14 at SDST 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−2.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:37IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:58SDST 4th & 11 at SDST 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−2.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:20IOWA 4th & 6 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:28SDST 4th & 8 at SDST 30, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:44IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 36, up 2
    Close callPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:25SDST 4th & 10 at SDST 4, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−3.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:14IOWA 4th & 4 at SDST 44, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    64.2%−6.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%−3.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:32SDST 4th & 18 at SDST 12, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−4.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  23. Q4 4:55IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 44, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−4.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:43IOWA 4th & 2 at SDST 37, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−1.0
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−3.3
    average punt
  25. Q4 0:19SDST 4th & 4 at SDST 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.6%−4.5
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:1477% → 76%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.5%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
76.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 6 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
76.2%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
76.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
76.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-5
76.1%
Spencer Petras sacked by Reece Winkelman for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
75.8%
Tory Taylor punt for 57 yds, downed at the SDkSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:3324% → 24%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
76.0%
SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (Mark Gronowski) to the SDkSt 7Similar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 15
OWN 7
0
76.0%
SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (Mason McCormick) to the SDkSt 3Similar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 18
OWN 4
+4
76.0%
Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the SDkSt 8Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 14
OWN 8
+2
75.8%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 2 yds to the SDkSt 10Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 12
OWN 10
0
75.7%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
75.8%
Hunter Dustman punt for 17 yds, downed at the SDkSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2976% → 76%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
76.0%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 25Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+3
75.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 3 yds to the SDkSt 22Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
75.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:31
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
75.5%
Aaron Blom 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:5125% → 26%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
75.1%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Tucker Kraft for 7 yds to the SDkSt 29Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+18
74.9%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Landon Wolf for 18 yds to the SDkSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
74.4%
Isaiah Davis run for no gain to the SDkSt 47Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
74.3%
Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 48Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+5
74.2%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 5 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 4
OPP 47
-5
74.1%
SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Hunter Dustman) to the SDkSt 48Similar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
74.5%
Hunter Dustman punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:2374% → 74%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
74.4%
Leshon Williams run for 9 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
74.6%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
74.2%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
74.0%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
74.0%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
73.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 55 yds, downed at the SDkSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3026% → 26%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
73.7%
Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 7Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 9
OWN 7
0
73.6%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 9
OWN 7
0
73.9%
Isaiah Davis run for no gain to the SDkSt 7Similar
Q1 2:34
4TH & 9
OWN 7
+9
73.7%
Hunter Dustman punt for 35 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 9 yds to the SDkSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0775% → 74%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
74.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 6 yds to the SDkSt 27Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 4
OPP 27
-1
74.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDkSt 28Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
74.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
74.2%
Aaron Blom 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0826% → 25%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
74.1%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
74.3%
Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 20Similar
Q1 0:14
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-5
74.5%
SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (Jadon Janke) to the SDkSt 15Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 12
OWN 15
0
74.6%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 12
OWN 15
0
74.9%
Hunter Dustman punt for 44 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for no gain to the Iowa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5774% → 74%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
74.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Leshon Williams for 15 yds to the SDkSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
74.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Monte Pottebaum for 3 yds to the SDkSt 41Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+4
74.7%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the SDkSt 37Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
74.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete IOWA Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
74.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 35 yds, downed at the SDkSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 4:0426% → 25%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
74.4%
Isaiah Davis run for 8 yds to the SDkSt 10Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 2
OWN 10
0
73.9%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+3
74.5%
Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
73.9%
Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 15Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-5
73.7%
SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (Garret Greenfield) to the SDkSt 10Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 13
OWN 10
+8
73.8%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 8 yds to the SDkSt 18Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 5
OWN 18
-4
73.8%
Mark Gronowski sacked by Joe Evans for a loss of 4 yards to the SDkSt 14Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 9
OWN 14
-5
74.4%
SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (Colby Huerter) to the SDkSt 9Similar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 14
OWN 9
+1
74.7%
Hunter Dustman punt for 41 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 1 yd to the SDkSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:4075% → 73%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
74.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 48Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-10
75.4%
Spencer Petras run for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 42 Spencer Petras fumbled, recovered by Iowa Spencer PetrasSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 19
OWN 42
0
73.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 19
OWN 42
+8
72.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 48 yds , Jaxon Janke returns for 8 yds to the SDkSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5227% → 26%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
73.0%
Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 20Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
72.9%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
73.6%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:36
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
74.4%
Hunter Dustman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Arland Bruce IV at the Iowa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13INT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:1174% → 73%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
73.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 8 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
75.0%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
74.4%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
74.8%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
74.0%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
73.2%
Spencer Petras pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 14FG
10 plays · 11 yds · 2:4930% → 35%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
70.2%
Mark Gronowski sacked by Lukas Van Ness and Logan Lee for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 41Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+3
70.7%
Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+12
69.9%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 12 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
68.0%
Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 6
OPP 22
-5
67.8%
(00:31) DAVIS, Isaiah rush up the middle for no gain to the U-I22 (SHANNON, Noah;BENSON, Seth), clock 00:31. PENALTY Before the snap, SDS Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the U-I22 to the U-I27. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 11
OPP 27
0
69.4%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 11
OPP 27
0
71.1%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+44
64.7%
Hunter Dustman 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 4:4535% → 34%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
65.2%
Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 21Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+4
65.1%
Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the SDkSt 25Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+5
65.3%
Isaiah Davis run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
64.2%
Isaiah Davis run for 12 yds to the SDkSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
62.1%
Isaiah Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDkSt 40Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-6
63.5%
Mark Gronowski run for a loss of 6 yards to the SDkSt 34 Mark Gronowski fumbled, recovered by SDkSt Mark GronowskiSimilar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 18
OWN 34
+4
65.5%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 4 yds to the SDkSt 38Similar
Q3 10:08
4TH & 14
OWN 38
+7
65.7%
Hunter Dustman punt for 42 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 7 yds to the Iowa 45 IOWA Penalty, Running Into the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2067% → 64%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
66.8%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
66.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the Iowa 30Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
65.1%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
63.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 50 yds , Tyler Feldkamp returns for no gain to the SDkSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3137% → 35%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
63.2%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
63.5%
Rudy Voss run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 21Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+3
64.4%
Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 24Similar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 6
OWN 24
-5
65.2%
SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Davis) to the SDkSt 19Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
65.5%
Hunter Dustman punt for 51 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for no gain to the Iowa 19 IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Karson Sharar) to the Iowa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:1865% → 64%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
65.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 26 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
68.5%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Nick DeJong) to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
66.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+1
65.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 1 yd to the Iowa 42Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+8
64.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Leshon Williams for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 6
50
0
64.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 49 yds, downed at the SDkSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 20SF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
67.8%
Jack Campbell SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21FUMBLE
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:2270% → 74%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
69.7%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
71.3%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
70.6%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-12
71.6%
Spencer Petras sacked by Max Baloun for a loss of 12 yards to the Iowa 36Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 22
OWN 36
+42
68.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 27 yds to the IOWA 37 for a 1ST down SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Targeting on REEDER, Cale enforced (Cale Reeder) to the SDkSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
73.6%
Arland Bruce IV run for 11 yds to the SDkSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
73.6%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the SDkSt 7 Leshon Williams fumbled, recovered by SDkSt Adam BockSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:5533% → 31%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
67.4%
Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 8Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+20
67.7%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 20 yds to the SDkSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
66.1%
Mark Gronowski run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 30Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
65.9%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
67.6%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
69.1%
Hunter Dustman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Arland Bruce IV at the Iowa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3768% → 69%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
68.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
67.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 6 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
70.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
68.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 56 yds, fair catch by DyShawn Gales at the SDkSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:1032% → 29%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
68.1%
Isaiah Davis run for 7 yds to the SDkSt 11Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 3
OWN 11
-3
67.5%
Isaiah Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDkSt 8Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 6
OWN 8
+5
69.8%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 5 yds Isaiah Davis fumbled, recovered by SDkStSimilar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 1
OWN 13
-5
70.4%
SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (Garret Greenfield) to the SDkSt 8Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 6
OWN 8
0
71.1%
SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (Jason Freeman) to the SDkSt 4Similar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 10
OWN 4
0
71.1%
Hunter Dustman punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Arland Bruce IV at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0573% → 70%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
50
+3
73.3%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 47Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
73.6%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 45Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+1
72.9%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 44Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
70.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:3332% → 31%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
67.6%
Mark Gronowski sacked by Logan Lee for a loss of 9 yards to the SDkSt 11Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+1
67.5%
Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 12Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 18
OWN 12
0
68.4%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (John O'Brian) declinedSimilar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
69.5%
Hunter Dustman punt for 44 yds, downed at the Iowa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2178% → 73%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
77.6%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-2
77.7%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
74.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:55
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
73.2%
Tory Taylor punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 28SF
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:4831% → 19%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
69.1%
Isaiah Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDkSt 7Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 11
OWN 7
-7
80.6%
Joe Evans SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 29PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:0688% → 95%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
88.2%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+4
88.4%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+10
87.7%
Leshon Williams run for 10 yds to the SDkSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
90.5%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the SDkSt 45Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
92.0%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 40Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+3
92.7%
Monte Pottebaum run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 37Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
94.8%
Tory Taylor punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSTDrive 30DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:1713% → 12%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.2%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
87.2%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 6 yds to the SDkSt 26Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
86.6%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
88.2%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+11.8
SAFETY · Q4 3:58
Joe Evans Safety
+11.5
FG · Q2 0:15
Hunter Dustman 44 Yd Field Goal
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com