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NMSU

New Mexico State 0 at Minnesota 38

MINN
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2022 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadNMSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreNMSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:07 · Josh Carlson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Pregame prior+27.2Home team on offense+31.7Score differential+25.8Garbage-time factor+7.0Blowout margin+13.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:57: Mohamed Ibrahim 1 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick) — MINN win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:26: Matthew Trickett 26 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:25: Timeout MINNESOTA, clock 00:25 — NMSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:19: Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:31: Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2NMSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:13NMSU 4th & 5 at NMSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:50NMSU 4th & 9 at NMSU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:48NMSU 4th & 8 at NMSU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:26MINN 4th & 8 at NMSU 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:44NMSU 4th & 4 at NMSU 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:07NMSU 4th & 16 at NMSU 19, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q4 4:51MINN 4th & 7 at NMSU 40, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 3:08NMSU 4th & 11 at NMSU 8, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:50MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:57MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:19MINN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:31MINN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:07MINN Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NMSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:471% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.6%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Trevor Brohard) to the NMxSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
98.6%
Jamoni Jones run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 22Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
98.5%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+8
98.5%
Diego Pavia run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 30Similar
Q1 14:13
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Josh Carlson punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 3:3398% → 98%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
98.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 15 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+26
98.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 26 yds to the NMxSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
98.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 16 yds to the NMxSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
98.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 15Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
98.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 7 yds to the NMxSt 8Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
98.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 6:5398% → 98%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
97.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 15 yds to the NMxSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
98.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 40Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+3
97.9%
Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
97.8%
Trey Potts run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 32Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+7
97.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
97.7%
Trey Potts run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 21Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+7
97.6%
Trey Potts run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
97.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 9Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+6
97.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.4%
Trey Potts run for no gain to the NMxSt 3Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 1Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim 1 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:002% → 2%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Diego Pavia run for no gain to the NMxSt 25Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.3%
Diego Pavia run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 31Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
98.3%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Chris Bellamy for 9 yds to the NMxSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.2%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
98.2%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Star Thomas for 1 yd to the NMxSt 41Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
98.2%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
98.2%
Josh Carlson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:092% → 3%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.6%
Jamoni Jones run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26Similar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
97.6%
Jamoni Jones run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 27Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
97.6%
Gavin Frakes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
97.5%
Josh Carlson punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 5:2298% → 98%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
97.6%
Trey Potts run for 16 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
97.6%
Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Minn 43Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+10
97.6%
Trey Potts run for 10 yds to the NMxSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
97.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 16 yds to the NMxSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
97.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 29Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+9
97.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
97.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the NMxSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
97.4%
Trey Potts run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 8Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
97.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
97.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
97.9%
Matthew Trickett 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:422% → 3%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.7%
Ahmonte Watkins run for 10 yds to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.6%
Ahmonte Watkins run for no gain to the NMxSt 35Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.6%
Ahmonte Watkins run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 38Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-5
97.6%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMxSt 33Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+8
97.7%
Gavin Frakes run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 41Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
97.3%
Josh Carlson punt for 29 yds, downed at the Minn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 5:2598% → 99%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
97.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 8 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+6
97.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
97.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
97.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+8
97.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 8 yds to the NMxSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
97.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 14 yds to the NMxSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
97.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 27Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
97.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+20
97.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 20 yds to the NMxSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
97.9%
Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 2Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 1Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Jamoni Jones run for no gain to the NMxSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 8:2399% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+19
98.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 19 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
98.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
98.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
98.8%
Trey Potts run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 46Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+18
98.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 18 yds to the NMxSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
98.8%
IBRAHIM, Mohamed rush to the left for no gain to the NMS28 (PELETI, Buddha;OJOH, Chris). PENALTY UMN Holding on ERSERY, Aireontae enforced 10 yards from the NMS28 to the NMS38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 20
OPP 38
+4
98.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 4 yds to the NMxSt 34Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 16
OPP 34
-10
98.8%
POTTS, Trey rush to the right for a gain of 11 yards to the NMS23 (DUMAS, Syrus). PENALTY UMN Holding on CARROLL, Quinn enforced 10 yards from the NMS34 to the NMS44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 26
OPP 44
+14
98.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Trey Potts for 14 yds to the NMxSt 30Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+14
98.8%
Tanner Morgan run for 14 yds to the NMxSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
98.8%
Trey Potts run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 9Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+7
98.8%
Trey Potts run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.8%
Trey Potts run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 1Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Jamoni Jones run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 29Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Gavin Frakes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-10
99.8%
Gavin Frakes sacked by Thomas Rush for a loss of 10 yards to the NMxSt 19Similar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.8%
Josh Carlson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 5:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.9%
Trey Potts run for 7 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+13
99.8%
Trey Potts run for 13 yds to the NMxSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
99.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 10 yds to the NMxSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 27Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+3
99.9%
Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 24Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+9
99.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 9 yds to the NMxSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
99.9%
Bryce Williams run for 11 yds to the NMxSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 1Similar
Q3 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Trey Potts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 13INT
14 plays · 54 yds · 2:260% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Gavin Frakes run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.9%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMxSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-10
99.9%
Gavin Frakes sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 10 yards to the NMxSt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 21
+15
99.9%
FRAKES, Gavin pass up the middle incomplete intended for GICINTO, Dominic thrown to the UMN32. PENALTY UMN Pass Interference on HOWDEN, Jordan enforced 15 yards to the NMS36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Star Thomas run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 40Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Gavin Frakes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+9
100.0%
Gavin Frakes pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 9 yds to the NMxSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
100.0%
FRAKES, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for DAVID, Kordell thrown to the UMN25. PENALTY NMS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BROWN, Jae'vone enforced 5 yards from the NMS49 to the NMS44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 15
OWN 44
0
100.0%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Beanie Bishop) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
99.9%
Jamoni Jones run for 1 yd to the Minn 21Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
100.0%
Gavin Frakes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
100.0%
Gavin Frakes pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14PUNT
3 plays · 40 yds · 0:07100% → 100%
Q4 4:58
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+2
100.0%
Cole Kramer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 2 yds to the NMxSt 40Similar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
100.0%
Star Thomas run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 10Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 9
OWN 10
-2
100.0%
Gavin Frakes run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 8Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 11
OWN 8
0
100.0%
Gavin Frakes run for no gain to the NMxSt 8Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 11
OWN 8
0
100.0%
Josh Carlson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16END OF GAME
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
100.0%
Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 49Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+4
100.0%
Max Grand run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
Max Grand run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 42Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
100.0%
Max Grand run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:19
Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q3 6:31
Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+1
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:25
Timeout MINNESOTA, clock 00:25
-0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com