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WYO

Wyoming 6 at Illinois 38

ILL
2022 · Week 1 · Aug 27, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:28 · run for 1 yd to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior+33.6Home team on offense+1.1Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.3Blowout margin−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:12: Chase Brown 11 Yd Run (Caleb Griffin Kick) — ILL win probability +4.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:33: Caleb Griffin 27 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +1.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 12:15: John Hoyland 46 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +1.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:56: Pat Bryant 8 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Caleb Griffin Kick) — ILL win probability +7.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:56: Chase Brown 5 Yd Run (Caleb Griffin Kick) — ILL win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 13:19WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:55ILL 4th & 11 at ILL 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:28WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:28ILL 4th & 1 at WYO 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:39ILL 4th & 15 at WYO 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:34WYO 4th & 6 at ILL 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:00ILL 4th & 7 at WYO 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:31WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 18, down 4
    Close callPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:33ILL 4th & 9 at WYO 9, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−2.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:27WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:27ILL 4th & 13 at WYO 39, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.3%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%
    36% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:18WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:15WYO 4th & 4 at ILL 28, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.6%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−3.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:10ILL 4th & 1 at ILL 31, up 11
    Close callPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:02WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 49, down 11
    Close callPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:10WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 44, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.1%−1.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:50WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:45ILL 4th & 1 at ILL 30, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:58WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 25, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 14:19ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:12ILL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:56ILL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:56ILL Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:49ILL Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 0:3586% → 86%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+38
85.7%
run for 38 yds to the Wyom 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
85.7%
Chase Brown 14 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Caleb Griffin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:5614% → 14%
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
85.6%
run for 14 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
85.6%
pass incomplete to Joey BraaschSimilar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
85.6%
pass incomplete to Titus SwenSimilar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
85.6%
pass incomplete to Joshua CobbsSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
85.6%
Clayton Stewart punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2486% → 85%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
85.6%
pass complete to Chase Brown for 1 yd to the Illin 33Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+2
85.6%
run for 2 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 11
OWN 31
0
85.5%
pass incomplete to Tip ReimanSimilar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
85.3%
Hugh Robertson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Caleb Cooley at the Wyom 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2715% → 15%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
85.4%
run for 1 yd to the Wyom 24 Titus Swen fumbled, forced by Calvin Avery, recovered by Wyom Titus SwenSimilar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+1
85.4%
run for 1 yd to the Wyom 23Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
85.5%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
85.4%
Clayton Stewart punt for 44 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for no gain to the Illin 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5MISSED FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 5:4985% → 85%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
85.4%
pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 13 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
85.5%
run for no gain to the Illin 46Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
85.5%
pass complete to Miles Scott for 6 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+3
85.5%
pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 3 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+1
85.4%
run for 1 yd to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-15
85.6%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Block Below Waist (-15 Yards) to the Illin 45Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+17
85.5%
run for 17 yds to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
85.6%
run for 5 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-10
85.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCray,Josh rush left for 0 yards to the WYO14 (Harris,DeVonne) PENALTY ILL Holding (Pihlstrom,Alex) 10 yards from WYO14 to WYO24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 15
OPP 24
0
85.5%
pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 15
OPP 24
0
85.4%
pass incomplete to Isaiah WilliamsSimilar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 21
OWN 45
+19
85.4%
run for 19 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 15
OPP 24
+42
84.5%
Caleb Griffin 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6FG
9 plays · 70 yds · 4:0515% → 18%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
84.7%
run for 11 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
84.5%
run for 17 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
84.1%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+37
84.1%
run for 37 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
83.4%
run for 1 yd to the Illin 8Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
83.4%
pass incomplete to Treyton WelchSimilar
Q1 2:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
83.8%
run for 2 yds to the Illin 6Similar
Q1 0:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+22
82.5%
John Hoyland 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 3:3483% → 82%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
82.5%
pass complete to Casey Washington for 9 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
82.9%
run for no gain to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
82.9%
run for no gain to the Illin 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
82.5%
run for 2 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
82.7%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
82.6%
pass complete to Casey Washington for 9 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
82.9%
run for 3 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
83.1%
run for 3 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+2
83.0%
pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 2 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
82.9%
pass incomplete to Isaiah WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
81.6%
Hugh Robertson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Caleb Cooley at the Wyom 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2918% → 16%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
82.4%
pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 9 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 1
OWN 18
0
81.9%
pass incomplete to Alex BrownSimilar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 1
OWN 18
0
83.4%
run for no gain to the Wyom 18Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
83.7%
Clayton Stewart punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:1982% → 87%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
82.2%
run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 1
50
+18
82.6%
run for 18 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
83.1%
pass complete to Brian Hightower for 12 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
83.0%
pass complete to Brian Hightower for 5 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+4
83.0%
run for 4 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+11
87.1%
Chase Brown 11 Yd Run (Caleb Griffin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:2613% → 13%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.0%
run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
86.9%
run for 8 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.7%
pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.8%
pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11FG
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:1388% → 89%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
87.8%
PENALTY ILL UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Martin,Jartavius) 15 yards from WYO19 to WYO34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
87.8%
pass complete to Jonah Morris for 7 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+21
87.8%
run for 21 yds to the Wyom 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
87.9%
pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
87.9%
pass complete to Chase Brown for 1 yd to the Wyom 9Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
87.6%
pass incomplete to Casey WashingtonSimilar
Q2 4:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
89.1%
Caleb Griffin 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:0612% → 11%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.5%
run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
88.5%
run for no gain to the Wyom 27Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
88.7%
PENALTY WYO False Start (Walsh,Jack) 5 yards from WYO27 to WYO22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+6
88.8%
run for 6 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
89.2%
Clayton Stewart punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:4790% → 91%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
50
+3
90.4%
run for 3 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+11
90.3%
pass complete to Brian Hightower for 11 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
90.4%
run for 2 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-10
90.5%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 15
OPP 41
+2
90.0%
pass complete to Josh McCray for 2 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 13
OPP 39
+5
89.5%
pass complete to Josh McCray for 5 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+51
90.9%
Caleb Griffin 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:2211% → 11%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
89.4%
pass incomplete to Alex BrownSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
89.7%
pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 5 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+1
89.4%
run for 1 yd to the Wyom 39Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+14
89.5%
Clayton Stewart punt for 35 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for 14 yds to the Illin 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15END OF HALF
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:1891% → 91%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.6%
pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
90.5%
pass incomplete to Isaiah WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+5
90.2%
pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 5 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+15
90.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Devito,Tommy pass incomplete short to Williams,Isaiah PENALTY WYO Pass Interference (Glinton,Keonte) 15 yards from ILL45 to WYO40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
91.2%
pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:4511% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
89.3%
Titus Swen run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
88.1%
pass complete to Will Pelissier for 5 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+11
88.1%
run for 11 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
87.7%
pass complete to Treyton Welch for 4 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
87.4%
run for 2 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
88.0%
pass incomplete to Joshua CobbsSimilar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+46
86.3%
John Hoyland 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0088% → 87%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
87.5%
run for 1 yd to the Illin 21Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+9
87.4%
pass complete to Pat Bryant for 9 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
87.2%
run for 1 yd to the Illin 31Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+10
86.9%
Hugh Robertson punt for 48 yds , Caleb Cooley returns for 10 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:0814% → 14%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
86.3%
run for 10 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
85.9%
pass incomplete to Wyatt WielandSimilar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
86.1%
run for 7 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+1
85.6%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 49Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
86.4%
Clayton Stewart punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 5:0688% → 96%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
88.1%
pass complete to Michael Marchese for 10 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
88.2%
run for 8 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
88.9%
pass complete to Brian Hightower for 4 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
89.0%
run for 9 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
89.1%
run for no gain to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+8
88.5%
run for 8 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
89.1%
run for 5 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+1
89.1%
run for 1 yd to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+8
88.6%
pass complete to Casey Washington for 8 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
89.1%
run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+19
89.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Devito,Tommy pass incomplete short left to Washington,Casey PENALTY WYO Pass Interference (Stone,Cameron) WYO Personal Foul (Gibbs,Easton) 19 yards from WYO27 to WYO08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.3%
Pat Bryant 8 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Caleb Griffin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:465% → 5%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.2%
No Huddle Peasley,Andrew pass complete short right to Christensen,Parker for 0 yards to the WYO25 (Coleman,Seth) PENALTY ILL Holding (Hart Jr.,Calvin) 10 yards from WYO25 to WYO35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.0%
pass incomplete to Will PelissierSimilar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
95.0%
run for 2 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+7
95.0%
pass complete to Joey Braasch for 7 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
95.3%
run for no gain to the Wyom 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:1497% → 99%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
96.6%
run for no gain to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+27
96.6%
pass complete to Pat Bryant for 27 yds to the Wyom 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
96.6%
pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+12
97.1%
pass complete to Tip Reiman for 12 yds to the Wyom 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.4%
Chase Brown 5 Yd Run (Caleb Griffin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:021% → 1%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.2%
pass incomplete to Joshua CobbsSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.2%
run for 5 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
99.2%
pass incomplete to Tyrese GrantSimilar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Clayton Stewart punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0599% → 100%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.4%
run for 2 yds to the Illin 19Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+3
99.4%
run for 3 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+8
99.4%
pass complete to Chase Hayden for 8 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Hugh Robertson punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Caleb Cooley at the Wyom 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:471% → 1%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.3%
pass incomplete to Ryan MarquezSimilar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.3%
run for 6 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
99.3%
pass incomplete to Parker ChristensenSimilar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+14
99.4%
Clayton Stewart punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 30 , Kody Case returns for 14 yds to the Illin 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 25TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 4:09100% → 100%
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.5%
run for 1 yd to the Illin 31Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
99.5%
pass complete to Chase Hayden for 4 yds to the Illin 35Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+8
99.5%
pass complete to Beatty Hank for 8 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.6%
run for 4 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+9
99.6%
run for 9 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
99.6%
pass complete to Jonah Morris for 11 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.9%
Reggie Love III 33 Yd Run (Caleb Griffin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 26FUMBLE
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
No Huddle Braasch,Joseph rush right for 0 yards to the WYO25 () PENALTY ILL Offside (McConnell,Sed) 5 yards from WYO25 to WYO30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
run for 2 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
run for 1 yd to the Wyom 33Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
run for 6 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
run for no gain to the Wyom 39Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
run for no gain to the Wyom 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 24 yds · 3:52100% → 100%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
99.9%
run for 9 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
run for 3 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
99.9%
run for 9 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+5
99.9%
run for 5 yds to the Wyom 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
99.9%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 14Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-1
100.0%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:56
Pat Bryant 8 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Caleb Griffin Kick)
+7.3
TD · Q2 8:12
Chase Brown 11 Yd Run (Caleb Griffin Kick)
+4.1
TD · Q4 14:56
Chase Brown 5 Yd Run (Caleb Griffin Kick)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com