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VT

Virginia Tech 23 at Liberty 22

LIB
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGSAFETYFGTDEnd of GameFG-13LIB 57.5%Nick Brown 37 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 22 · Q3 3:50
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:50 · Nick Brown 37 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTimeout advantage
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+7.6Home team on offense+8.5Score differential−3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8Timeout advantage−4.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:09: Jalen Holston run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +6.1 pts (now 38%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:05: Nick Brown 47 yd FG GOOD — LIB win probability +5.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: Offense has -7 timeouts left).
  3. SAFETY · Q3 12:04: Grant Wells sacked by Kendy Charles for a loss of 7 yards for a SAFETY — LIB win probability +6.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q3 3:50: Nick Brown 37 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +13.0 pts (now 43%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:46: Jalen Holston 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — VT win probability +28.3 pts (now 66%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 6 of 8VT made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:41VT 4th & 1 at VT 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:07LIB 4th & 2 at LIB 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:20LIB 4th & 5 at LIB 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:36VT 4th & 8 at VT 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00VT 4th & 6 at LIB 25, tied
    Close callWent for it · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    28.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:09VT 4th & 1 at LIB 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    28.1%−1.0
    92% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−3.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:32LIB 4th & 12 at LIB 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:06VT 4th & 4 at LIB 5, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.3%−0.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−6.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:43VT 4th & 27 at VT 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:53LIB 4th & 7 at LIB 36, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:02VT 4th & 7 at VT 25, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−1.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:44LIB 4th & 9 at VT 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    66.5%−1.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:32LIB 4th & 10 at VT 48, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:27VT 4th & 2 at VT 35, down 2
    Close callPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:50LIB 4th & 10 at VT 19, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−1.9
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−9.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:54VT 4th & 19 at LIB 46, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−4.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%−3.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:17VT 4th & 2 at LIB 16, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−2.0
    81% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−15.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:28LIB 4th & 12 at VT 40, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.0 ptsWent for it · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.5%−4.0
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    47.6%
    34% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−4.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:19VT 4th & 15 at VT 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−10.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:57VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:34LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:09VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:46VT Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    50.0%−1.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    51.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1226% → 27%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
73.8%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the VTech 19Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+1
73.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 1 yd to the VTech 20Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+4
73.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 4 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
73.4%
Peter Moore punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3473% → 73%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
73.4%
Johnathan Bennett run for 2 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+3
73.4%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 3 yds to the Liber 39Similar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+3
73.4%
Johnathan Bennett run for 3 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
73.0%
Aidan Alves punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:1027% → 32%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
72.9%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+19
73.0%
Grant Wells run for 19 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
72.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 3 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+10
72.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 10 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+35
72.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 35 yds to the Liber 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
72.4%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the Liber 9Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
72.4%
Jalen Holston run for 5 yds to the Liber 4Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+6
72.5%
WELLS, Grant sacked for a loss of 6 yards at the LIB10 (DUPREE, Tyren). PENALTY Before the snap, LIB Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the LIB4 to the LIB2. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
68.2%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:3769% → 68%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.7%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 5 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
68.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+40
68.1%
Aidan Alves punt for 40 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4432% → 32%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
68.3%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
68.3%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
68.6%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 8
OWN 31
-9
68.5%
Peter Moore punt for 49 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 9 yards to the Liber 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 3:0267% → 73%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
67.1%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 10Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+8
67.1%
Johnathan Bennett run for 8 yds to the Liber 18Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+27
66.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Noah Frith for 27 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
67.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 44Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+12
67.4%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Treon Sibley for 12 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+29
68.1%
Shedro Louis run for 29 yds to the VTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
68.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
72.7%
Johnathan Bennett run for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:1730% → 38%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
69.9%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+21
70.1%
Keshawn King run for 21 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
68.9%
Keshawn King run for 5 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+12
68.8%
Jalen Holston run for 12 yds to the Liber 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
68.4%
Jalen Holston run for 5 yds to the Liber 24Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-14
68.4%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Grant Wells) to the Liber 38Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 19
OPP 38
+13
69.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jadan Blue for 13 yds to the Liber 25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+11
68.9%
John Love run for 11 yds to the Liber 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
67.3%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the Liber 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+4
67.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jalen Holston for 4 yds to the Liber 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+2
67.8%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the Liber 5Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+5
61.7%
Jalen Holston run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:3763% → 62%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
63.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
50
-8
64.8%
Johnathan Bennett sacked by Keli Lawson for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 42Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 18
OWN 42
+6
63.4%
Johnathan Bennett run for 6 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
63.3%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
61.8%
Aidan Alves punt for 16 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:2643% → 41%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
56.8%
Grant Wells run for 5 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
56.3%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+10
56.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jadan Blue for 10 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
55.8%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
55.9%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+32
56.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 32 yds to the Liber 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
55.4%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the Liber 10Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+5
55.4%
Grant Wells run for 5 yds to the Liber 5Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
55.8%
Keshawn King run for no gain to the Liber 5Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
58.6%
John Love 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:0937% → 35%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
62.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
50
+8
60.8%
Keshawn King run for 8 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
60.3%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
60.6%
Jalen Holston run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 40Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 12
OPP 40
-8
60.9%
Grant Wells sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 48Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 20
OPP 48
+5
62.7%
WELLS, Grant pass to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Kaleb broken up by MEGGINSON, Chris at the LIB15. PENALTY LIB Offsides on CLARK, TreShaun enforced 5 yards from the LIB48 to the LIB43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 15
OPP 43
-12
62.3%
Grant Wells sacked by Tyren Dupree for a loss of 12 yards to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 27
OWN 45
0
65.4%
Peter Moore punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5061% → 60%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
61.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds to the Liber 21Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+12
61.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 12 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
61.6%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
61.3%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+3
60.1%
Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 7
OWN 36
+4
60.1%
Aidan Alves punt for 46 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for 4 yds to the VTech 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5136% → 34%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
64.4%
Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
64.4%
Grant Wells run for no gain to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+2
65.3%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
66.1%
Peter Moore punt for 55 yds, downed at the Liber 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 0:5761% → 62%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
60.9%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Caleb Snead for 11 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
61.4%
SALTER, Kaidon pass to the left incomplete intended for DOUGLAS, Demario thrown to the VT40. PENALTY VT Pass Interference on STROMAN, Jalen enforced 15 yards to the LIB46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
63.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
62.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Shedro Louis for 6 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+8
63.9%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Noah Frith for 8 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-15
64.7%
SALTER, Kaidon pass to the left incomplete intended for SNEAD, Caleb thrown to the VT0. PENALTY LIB Tripping on REDDY, Cam enforced 15 yards from the VT40 to the LIB45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 25
OWN 45
+10
50.9%
Kaidon Salter run for 10 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+16
51.6%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Noah Frith for 16 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
55.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+47
61.6%
Nick Brown 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.3%
[NHSG] Kneel down by WELLS, Grant at VT23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:1068% → 66%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
67.9%
Shedro Louis run for 8 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
69.6%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+11
68.7%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 11 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
69.9%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
69.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 42
-1
69.0%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
65.6%
Aidan Alves punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16SF
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:4037% → 31%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
63.1%
Chance Black run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 7Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 13
OWN 7
-7
69.3%
Grant Wells sacked by Kendy Charles for a loss of 7 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2372% → 68%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
71.9%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 12
50
0
70.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 12
50
+2
69.1%
Johnathan Bennett run for 2 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
67.8%
Aidan Alves punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VTech 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:0532% → 32%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
68.1%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the VTech 8Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 8
OWN 8
0
68.5%
Jalen Holston run for no gain to the VTech 8Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+19
69.5%
Grant Wells run for 19 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
67.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 3 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
66.7%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+5
68.2%
Grant Wells run for 5 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
67.6%
Peter Moore punt for 41 yds, downed at the Liber 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:3767% → 58%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
67.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 8 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+14
68.9%
Kaidon Salter run for 14 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
70.7%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+12
69.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 12 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+23
71.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Noah Frith for 23 yds to the VTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
71.5%
Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the VTech 13Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-2
71.5%
Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 15Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 6
OPP 15
-4
70.4%
Kaidon Salter sacked by TyJuan Garbutt for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 19Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
57.5%
Nick Brown 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:4833% → 30%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
67.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jalen Holston for 1 yd to the VTech 41Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+22
67.8%
Keshawn King run for 22 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
64.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 2 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+1
63.5%
Grant Wells run for 1 yd to the Liber 34Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
65.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Johnny Jordan) declinedSimilar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 19
OPP 46
0
70.4%
Peter Moore punt for 36 yds, downed at the Liber 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21FUMBLE
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:3756% → 61%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
55.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jalen Stroman) to the Liber 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
55.8%
Shedro Louis run for 21 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
59.7%
T.J. Green run for 8 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
-2
59.6%
Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
58.4%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 5 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
60.7%
Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 36 Kaidon Salter fumbled, recovered by VTech Keli LawsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:3133% → 66%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
67.4%
Keshawn King run for 9 yds to the VTech 45 Keshawn King fumbled, recovered by VTech Tucker HollowaySimilar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+14
63.7%
Jalen Holston run for 14 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
63.5%
Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the Liber 37Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+1
62.7%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the Liber 36Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+12
64.0%
Jalen Holston run for 12 yds to the Liber 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
61.0%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
62.0%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the Liber 21Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+5
62.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 5 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+3
65.0%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the Liber 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
61.0%
Grant Wells run for 3 yds to the Liber 10Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+6
61.0%
Grant Wells run for 6 yds to the Liber 4Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+3
62.8%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the Liber 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.5%
Jalen Holston 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 35 yds · 3:1844% → 44%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
44.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 8 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
47.8%
Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
46.0%
Kaidon Salter run for 9 yds to the Liber 46Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+2
49.9%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
49.8%
SALTER, Kaidon pass to the right incomplete intended for DOUGLAS, Demario thrown to the VT7. PENALTY VT Pass Interference on PEOPLES, Nasir enforced 14 yards to the VT38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
50.9%
SALTER, Kaidon pass to the left incomplete intended for YARBROUGH, CJ thrown to the VT34. PENALTY LIB Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on SIBLEY, Treon enforced 5 yards from the VT38 to the VT43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 15
OPP 43
-7
47.5%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Dax Hollifield for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 22
50
+10
46.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 10 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
45.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
44.3%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:0965% → 58%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
35.5%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the VTech 41Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
34.8%
Grant Wells run for 5 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-11
34.8%
Grant Wells sacked by Javon Scruggs for a loss of 11 yards to the VTech 35Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
41.6%
Peter Moore punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25FUMBLE
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:3034% → 31%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
33.8%
Johnathan Bennett sacked by Norell Pollard for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 17Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 15
OWN 17
-3
31.4%
Johnathan Bennett sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:4973% → 95%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
27.4%
Jalen Holston run for 7 yds to the Liber 7Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+5
27.4%
Jalen Holston run for 5 yds to the Liber 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
23.6%
[NHSG] Kneel down by WELLS, Grant at LIB5 (team loss of 3).Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
24.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by WELLS, Grant at LIB10 (team loss of 5).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
4.6%
[NHSG] Kneel down by WELLS, Grant at LIB13 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:46
Jalen Holston 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-28.3
FG · Q3 3:50
Nick Brown 37 yd FG GOOD
-13
SAFETY · Q3 12:04
Grant Wells sacked by Kendy Charles for a loss of 7 yards for a SAFETY
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com