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LIB

Liberty 42 at Massachusetts 24

MASS
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+3.2MASS 52.1%Cameron Carson 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 14 · Q2 1:53
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:53 · Cameron Carson 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 74Pregame prior−28.0Home team on offense+13.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.4Score differential+5.1Garbage-time factor+3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:13: Greg Desrosiers Jr. 53 Yd Run (Cameron Carson Kick) — MASS win probability +6.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:53: Cameron Carson 28 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +3.2 pts (now 52%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:42: Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Michael Bollinger for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +2.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:58: Shedro Louis run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK) — MASS win probability +2.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:34: Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 39 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK) — MASS win probability +3.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 10 of 11LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 14:59MASS 4th & 18 at MASS 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:33LIB 4th & 3 at LIB 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 14:59LIB 4th & 4 at MASS 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:13MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51LIB 4th & 1 at MASS 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    75.8%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    71.3%−6.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:28MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:57MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:02MASS 4th & 1 at LIB 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.5%−3.5
    88% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−12.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:53MASS 4th & 9 at LIB 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−8.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:15MASS 4th & 20 at MASS 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−4.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:55LIB 4th & 18 at LIB 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−5.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:57MASS 4th & 4 at LIB 35, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    59.3%−2.3
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:34LIB 4th & 2 at LIB 28, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:37MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:38MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−1.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:53MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−2.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:26LIB 4th & 9 at MASS 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:13MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0110% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
9.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UMass 20Similar
Q1 14:59
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-1
9.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 14Similar
Q1 14:59
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+25
9.6%
Garrett Dzuro run for 25 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
9.6%
T.Y. Harding run for 5 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 14:59
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-7
9.6%
Garrett Dzuro sacked by Durrell Johnson and Dennis Osagiede for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 37Similar
Q1 14:59
3RD & 12
OWN 37
-6
9.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 14:59
4TH & 18
OWN 31
0
9.6%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 43 yds, downed at the Liber 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0289% → 89%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
10.6%
Johnathan Bennett sacked by Nahji Logan for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 23Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 13
OWN 23
0
11.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 13
OWN 23
+10
11.4%
Johnathan Bennett run for 10 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
11.5%
Aidan Alves punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
3 plays · -19 yds · 4:3910% → 12%
Q1 14:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-12
9.6%
Garrett Dzuro sacked by Javon Scruggs for a loss of 12 yards to the UMass 18Similar
Q1 14:59
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-12
9.6%
Garrett Dzuro sacked by Stephen Sings V for a loss of 12 yards to the UMass 6Similar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.6%
Garrett Dzuro run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
9.6%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:59
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
9.6%
Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q1 14:59
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
9.6%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:59
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+1
9.6%
Johnathan Bennett run for 1 yd to the UMass 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 8:4610% → 16%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
9.6%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to George Johnson III for 12 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
15.7%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. 53 Yd Run (Cameron Carson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
9.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the Liber 31Similar
Q1 14:59
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+39
9.6%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Demario Douglas for 39 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
9.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 14:59
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-6
9.6%
Nate Hampton sacked by Jalen Mackie for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 35Similar
Q1 14:59
3RD & 15
OPP 35
0
9.6%
Nate Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:3918% → 22%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
18.3%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 6 yds to the UMass 7Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+1
18.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the UMass 8Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 3
OWN 8
0
19.2%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) to the UMass 5Similar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 6
OWN 5
0
21.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:2280% → 77%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
20.5%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
20.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offsides (Tanner Davis) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
21.1%
QB Keeper HAMPTON, Nate rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the UMA7 (CUSHNIE, Marcus;MACKIE, Jalen), clock 01:15. PENALTY UMA Unnecessary Roughness on MACKIE, Jalen enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the UMA8 to the UMA4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
21.6%
Johnathan Bennett run for 3 yds to the UMass 1Similar
Q1 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
22.4%
Shedro Louis run for no gain to the UMass 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
22.9%
Nate Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.0%
Shedro Louis run for no gain to the UMass 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3025% → 27%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
25.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the UMass 2Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
24.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the UMass 2Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+3
24.4%
Garrett Dzuro run for 3 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+14
27.3%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 42 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 14 yds to the UMass 19 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) to the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10TD
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:0974% → 72%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
26.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+15
26.4%
Johnathan Bennett run for 15 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
26.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 9 yds to the UMass 1Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.0%
Dae Dae Hunter 1 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:3540% → 43%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
39.5%
Isaac Ross run for 2 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+12
39.3%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to George Johnson III for 12 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.3%
Garrett Dzuro run for 6 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
42.4%
T.Y. Harding run for no gain to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
42.5%
Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
41.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, False Start (Isaac Ross) to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+26
42.9%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 36 yds, downed at the MASS 35 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Zukudo Igwenagu) to the Liber 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 0:5562% → 63%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
38.3%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Shedro Louis for 21 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
36.1%
Shedro Louis run for 9 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-10
35.8%
LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Noah Frith) to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+29
36.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Treon Sibley for 29 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
37.0%
Shedro Louis 1 Yd Run (Lawrence Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 5:0947% → 52%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
46.7%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Jamir Roberts for 45 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
46.3%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Isaac Ross for 11 yds to the Liber 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
45.8%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the Liber 15Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
45.1%
Garrett Dzuro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+5
48.9%
Garrett Dzuro run for 5 yds to the Liber 10Similar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
47.9%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the Liber 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
49.8%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 9Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
49.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, False Start (Jacquon Gibson) to the Liber 14Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+5
49.7%
Garrett Dzuro run for 5 yds to the Liber 9Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
48.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+28
52.1%
Cameron Carson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 1:0449% → 52%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
51.1%
Johnathan Bennett run for 7 yds to the Liber 46Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-1
49.2%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 45Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+51
49.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 51 yds to the UMass 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
47.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Michael Bollinger for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:2761% → 58%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.6%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-12
60.3%
Garrett Dzuro sacked by Dennis Osagiede for a loss of 12 yards to the UMass 16Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 19
OWN 16
-1
60.1%
Gino Campiotti run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 15Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
57.6%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 40 yds, downed at the Liber 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
54.1%
[NH] Kneel down by LIB at LIB42 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 2:0047% → 41%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
53.1%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 9Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 9
-1
54.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 8Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 8
-6
54.6%
Johnathan Bennett sacked by Marcus Cushnie for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 2Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 18
OWN 2
+9
59.2%
Aidan Alves punt for 48 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 9 yds to the Liber 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5860% → 62%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-6
60.2%
Gino Campiotti sacked by Quinton Reese and Khristian Zachary for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 47Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 16
OPP 47
+7
59.6%
Gino Campiotti run for 7 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+5
59.1%
Gino Campiotti pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 5 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
61.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2341% → 38%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
59.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
59.6%
Johnathan Bennett run for no gain to the Liber 20Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+8
60.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 8 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
62.0%
Aidan Alves punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5762% → 62%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
62.2%
Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
62.1%
Gino Campiotti pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
61.0%
Gino Campiotti pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
61.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:3939% → 41%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
61.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 23 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
58.4%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
56.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 18 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
56.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 6Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
59.5%
Shedro Louis run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:1471% → 72%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.0%
Gino Campiotti run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.7%
Gino Campiotti run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
71.6%
Gino Campiotti pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:2238% → 33%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
62.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 9 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
61.6%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+11
62.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 11 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
61.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 8 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+4
61.6%
Nate Hampton run for 4 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.9%
HUNTER, Dae Dae rush up the middle for no gain to the UMA1 (WOODEN, Billy). PENALTY Before the snap, LIB Illegal Formation UMA Face mask , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
66.1%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 2Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.0%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4079% → 90%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
78.9%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 3 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
78.6%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+3
77.5%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
79.7%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
79.4%
Gino Campiotti pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
78.5%
Gino Campiotti pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:38
4TH & 8
OWN 42
-5
89.6%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 39 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:4622% → 21%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
78.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Cole Peterlin for 14 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+22
79.4%
Jordan Mahoney 22 Yd Fumble Return (Cameron Carson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 26TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:1320% → 20%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
79.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
80.7%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+23
81.0%
Johnathan Bennett run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
50
0
77.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
50
0
77.6%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 10
50
+12
78.4%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Treon Sibley for 12 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
77.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 39Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+39
80.3%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 39 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4193% → 95%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
93.2%
Gino Campiotti sacked by Stephen Sings V for a loss of 10 yards to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+8
93.5%
Isaac Ross run for 8 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
92.9%
Gino Campiotti pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
94.6%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 52 yds, downed at the Liber 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:2715% → 7%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.3%
T.J. Green run for 2 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
84.6%
T.J. Green run for 10 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
84.1%
T.J. Green run for 15 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
83.2%
Nate Hampton pass complete to T.J. Green for 5 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+1
82.1%
T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the UMass 42Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-5
86.7%
Nate Hampton run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 47Similar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
92.6%
Aidan Alves punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 29TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 3:0497% → 99%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
97.4%
Gino Campiotti run for 6 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+15
97.3%
LIBERTY Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+42
97.3%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 42 yds to the Liber 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
97.6%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the Liber 25Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
98.4%
CAMPIOTTI, Gino pass to the right incomplete intended for ORLANDO, Jacob broken up by COUTRAS, Tim at the LIB5, clock 05:05. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on WASHINGTON, Aakil enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the LIB11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
98.4%
Gino Campiotti run for 5 yds to the Liber 5Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.5%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 30END OF 4TH QUARTER
7 plays · 22 yds · 4:224% → 2%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.4%
T.J. Green run for 5 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
96.2%
Nate Hampton run for 2 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
96.4%
T.J. Green run for 6 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
96.2%
Malik Caper run for 5 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
96.2%
Malik Caper run for 2 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+2
97.6%
Malik Caper run for 2 yds to the Liber 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-97.6
TD · Q1 6:13
Greg Desrosiers Jr. 53 Yd Run (Cameron Carson Kick)
+6
FG · Q2 1:53
Cameron Carson 28 yd FG GOOD
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com