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BYU

BYU 14 at Liberty 41

LIB
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:53 · Aidan Alves punt for 49 yds, downed at the BYU 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Home team on offense+35.6Pregame prior−1.9Score differential+27.1Garbage-time factor+13.3Blowout margin+11.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:29: Nick Brown 22 yd FG GOOD — LIB win probability +3.7 pts (now 32%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:59: Shedro Louis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +6.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q2 5:06: Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Austin Henderson for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +9.5 pts (now 45%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:16: Shedro Louis run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +19.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:54: Dae Dae Hunter run for 80 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +17.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 13:34BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:29LIB 4th & 4 at BYU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:03BYU 4th & 6 at LIB 47, up 4
    Close callPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:15BYU 4th & 9 at LIB 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    51.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:16LIB 4th & 1 at BYU 6, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    58.3%−3.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    48.1%−14.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:10BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 48, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:58BYU 4th & 9 at BYU 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:16BYU 4th & 12 at LIB 47, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00LIB 4th & 6 at BYU 37, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:46BYU 4th & 10 at BYU 44, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:53LIB 4th & 13 at LIB 12, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:49BYU 4th & 3 at LIB 32, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:14BYU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:41BYU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:59LIB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:06LIB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:16LIB Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:54LIB Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:36LIB Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2673% → 72%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.3%
Christopher Brooks run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
27.3%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
27.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 8 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
28.0%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 55 yds, downed at the Liber 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2FG
12 plays · 84 yds · 6:0528% → 32%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
28.0%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 6 yds to the Liber 18Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+5
28.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the Liber 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
28.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 11 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
28.1%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-5
28.1%
BENNETT, Johnathan pass to the left complete for 48 yards to FRITH, Noah caught at the BYU30 and advanced to the BYU16 (HAYES, Kaleb). PENALTY LIB Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on SCHLITTLER, Brendan enforced 5 yards from the LIB36 to the LIB31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+16
28.0%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 16 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
28.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 5 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+40
28.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Noah Frith for 40 yds to the BYU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
28.2%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
28.2%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the BYU 2Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
28.2%
Charlie Brewer run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 4Similar
Q1 7:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
31.8%
Nick Brown 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 3:0768% → 70%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
31.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 18 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
31.4%
Puka Nacua run for 9 yds to the Liber 49Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+4
31.1%
Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
31.2%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
31.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 4 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-5
31.3%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Joe Tukuafu) to the Liber 46Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+46
30.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 46 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4INT
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:4331% → 31%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
30.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 22Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 15
OWN 22
0
30.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:4370% → 73%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
29.8%
Puka Nacua run for 7 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+20
26.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4227% → 35%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
27.3%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Noah Frith for 13 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
27.7%
BENNETT, Johnathan pass to the right complete for 28 yards to SIBLEY, Treon caught at the BYU34 and advanced to the BYU34 (JEUDY-LALLY, Gabe). PENALTY LIB Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GRAHAM, Jonathan enforced 5 yards from the LIB38 to the LIB33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+8
27.3%
Johnathan Bennett run for 8 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
27.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 6 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
27.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
28.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+12
28.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 12 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
28.3%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
28.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 3 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+24
27.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 24 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
28.6%
BYU Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Keenan Pili) to the BYU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
34.6%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:5668% → 68%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.4%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
32.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 24 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
31.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for no gain to the BYU 49Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
31.3%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+4
31.9%
Puka Nacua run for 4 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
32.5%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 6:5733% → 45%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
32.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 7 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
33.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 6 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
33.1%
Johnathan Bennett run for no gain to the Liber 33Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
33.0%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 9 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
34.1%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
34.4%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 8 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+13
35.0%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Treon Sibley for 13 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
35.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Noah Frith for 5 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
35.6%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+16
34.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 16 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
35.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
35.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the BYU 5Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
45.0%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Austin Henderson for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 3:5157% → 56%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
42.6%
Jaren Hall sacked by Tyren Dupree for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+22
43.0%
Christopher Brooks run for 22 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
41.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 20 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
40.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 8 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 2
OPP 32
-1
38.9%
Miles Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 33Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-6
39.8%
Puka Nacua run for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 39Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
44.3%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 1:1046% → 51%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
46.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
45.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 10 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
47.7%
Johnathan Bennett run for 12 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
48.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 7 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+10
49.3%
Johnathan Bennett run for 10 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
49.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 1 yd to the BYU 21Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+3
48.6%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Shedro Louis for 3 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+37
51.4%
Nick Brown 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:4454% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
53.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 9 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
55.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to CJ Daniels for 5 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
55.3%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+11
56.1%
Shedro Louis run for 11 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
56.5%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+17
56.4%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 17 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
56.7%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+12
56.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Noah Frith for 12 yds to the BYU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
56.7%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
56.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+4
55.6%
Johnathan Bennett run for 4 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
75.3%
Shedro Louis run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5927% → 24%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
73.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 15 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
72.4%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Clark Barrington) to the BYU 40Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 15
OWN 40
-5
74.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Miles Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 20
OWN 35
0
74.7%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 20
OWN 35
+13
75.2%
Jaren Hall run for 13 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
75.8%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
93.1%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 80 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:568% → 7%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
92.0%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
92.1%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:58
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
92.6%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15FUMBLE
8 plays · 33 yds · 4:0293% → 93%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
93.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 11 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
93.4%
Johnathan Bennett run for 3 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+12
93.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Austin Henderson for 12 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
93.5%
Johnathan Bennett run for 3 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-10
93.5%
LOUIS, Shedro rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the BYU39 (AH YOU, Chaz). PENALTY LIB Holding on SCHLITTLER, Brendan enforced 10 yards from the BYU45 to the LIB45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 17
OWN 45
+8
94.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 8 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+6
92.6%
Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the BYU 41 Shedro Louis fumbled, recovered by BYU Caden HawsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:405% → 4%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
95.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 3 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
95.3%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+11
95.3%
HALL, Jaren pass to the right incomplete intended for NACUA, Puka thrown to the LIB49. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on SINGLETON, Kobe enforced 11 yards to the LIB45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.1%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-2
95.1%
Jaren Hall sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 47Similar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
95.3%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:16
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
96.2%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 4:2497% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
96.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 12 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
96.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+3
96.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-4
96.7%
Malik Caper run for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+6
96.3%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 6 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
96.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+3
96.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+25
99.7%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to CJ Daniels for 25 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:500% → 0%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
Miles Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 24Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
99.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 8 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
99.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 12 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.8%
HALL, Jaren pass to the right incomplete intended for ROBERTS, Chase thrown to the LIB44. PENALTY Before the snap, LIB Illegal Substitution on SINGS V, Stephen enforced 5 yards from the BYU44 to the BYU49. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 5
OWN 49
-10
99.8%
HALL, Jaren pass to the right complete for 20 yards to COSPER, Brayden caught at the LIB42 and advanced to the LIB31 (WALKER, Ahmad). PENALTY BYU Holding on SUAMATAIA, Kingsley enforced 10 yards from the BYU49 to the BYU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 15
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+5
99.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 5 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
99.8%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 11Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+3
99.8%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Liber 14Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 11
OWN 14
-5
99.8%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (X'Zauvea Gadlin) to the Liber 9Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 16
OWN 9
+3
99.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the Liber 12Similar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 13
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 49 yds, downed at the BYU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Kody Epps run for 2 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+8
99.9%
Jaren Hall run for 8 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
99.9%
Jaren Hall run for 12 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
99.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 7 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 3
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21END OF GAME
4 plays · 10 yds · 2:49100% → 100%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Malik Caper run for 4 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Malik Caper run for 4 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Malik Caper run for 3 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by BENNETT, Johnathan at LIB42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:16
Shedro Louis run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)
+19.6
TD · Q3 6:54
Dae Dae Hunter run for 80 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)
+17.3
TD · Q2 5:06
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Austin Henderson for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)
+9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com